数据显示，1月1日—3日，全市消费比去年同期增长15.7%。其中，饮料、通信器材、化妆品、服装等 同比增势显著，分别达110%、85.6%、55.4%和18.9%。餐饮业增长18.9%。 同时，广州启动"食在广州"餐饮消费券活动，设置满200减50、满500减100、满1000减200三档优惠，分 多轮滚动发放，市民游客通过银联云闪付、美团、抖音等多个平台领取使用优惠，推动商旅文体健相互 赋能。 元旦假期的广州，从摩登时尚的天河路到古朴雅致的永庆坊，从人气沸腾的长隆乐园到美食云集的北京 路，处处人潮涌动，消费热度一路走高。饮料、化妆品销售翻倍增长，商圈客流屡创新高，餐饮店排起 长龙……一系列"真金白银"的惠民政策和丰富多彩的特色活动，共同汇聚成一股强劲的消费浪潮。 1月1日零时，广州正式启动2026年消费品以旧换新补贴政策，覆盖家电、数码智能产品、汽车3大类203 小类产品。广州京东Mall诞生全国首单线下数码产品国补消费，广汽埃安完成全国首单汽车国补核销。 广百电器、苏宁易购等企业推出"国补+企补+满减"三重优惠，形成"政策引导、万企联动"的消费热潮。 ...

1月4日，广西壮族自治区商务厅介绍，2026年元旦假期，广西各地抢抓岁末年初消费黄金期，以新一轮 消费品以旧换新政策全面启动为契机，区市县联动、政银企协同、商文旅融合，精心组织系列促消费活 动，创新多元消费场景，消费市场运行平稳有序，消费活力十足。 线上促销方面，广西持续组织开展超400场"桂品链东盟"等原产地溯源直播活动，推广桂品及东盟商 品，通过线上引流，激活线下市集与特产销售。各大商超、便利店通过线上平台发放专属优惠券，推 动"线上下单、线下即时送达"消费模式在节日期间广泛应用。 2025年12月31日，广西正式启动2026年新一轮消费品以旧换新活动，相关头部企业纷纷推出"焕新专享 价"，部分型号产品低至7折，与政府补贴叠加形成强劲拉力。政策仅上线两日，广西申领超1万笔，补 贴金额超587万(人民币，下同)，带动销售额超4125万元。今年元旦假期期间，广西重点企业家电类、 通信器材商品销售额分别同比增长4.2%、5.0%。 广西商文旅体健多部门联动，推出各类吃住行游娱购优惠促销活动，带动餐饮、住宿、文旅、娱乐等服 务消费实现强劲复苏。 今年元旦假期期间，到访广西的外地游客数量较去年同期增长35.2%，餐 ...

记者从商务部获悉，消费品以旧换新政策取得显著成效，2025年以旧换新相关商品销售额超2.6万亿 元，惠及超3.6亿人次。其中，汽车以旧换新超1150万辆，家电以旧换新超1.29亿件，手机等数码产品购 新超9100万部，家装厨卫"焕新"超1.2亿件，电动自行车以旧换新超1250万辆。 自2024年9月政策全面实施以来，已累计发放直达消费者的补贴超4.8亿份，一大批绿色、低碳、智能的 新产品进入百姓生活。2025年，每卖出两辆家用新车，就有一辆享受了汽车以旧换新补贴。 政策实施以来，更多消费者选择到店体验购物并享受补贴，联动产生休闲娱乐、餐饮等跨场景消费。相 关机构数据显示，家电以旧换新线下门店较为集聚的商圈，周边1公里范围内相关商户消费额增长超 30%。(记者 董蓓从) 2025年1至11月，社会消费品零售总额同比(下同)增长4.0%，较上年同期加快0.5个百分点，以旧换新带 动社零总额增长超1个百分点；家电零售额已超2024年全年，突破万亿元大关并创历史新高。 汽车以旧换新中，新能源汽车占比近60%，带动新能源乘用车零售市场份额连续9个月超过50%，其中 2025年11月份达59.4%。家电以旧换新中，一级能 ...

Economic Overview - The city's economy continues to show overall stability and improvement, with a focus on stabilizing employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations [1] Industrial Production - In November, the city's industrial added value above designated size grew by 9.2% year-on-year, with a cumulative growth of 8.8% from January to November [1] - Among 38 major industrial categories, 26 reported growth, expanding the growth coverage to 68.4%, an increase of 10.5 percentage points from the previous month [1] - The seven leading industries contributed significantly, with their added value increasing by 9.9%, driving an overall industrial growth of 8.2 percentage points [1] - The manufacturing sector saw an increase in added value of 9.6%, accelerating by 0.3 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] Fixed Asset Investment - From January to November, fixed asset investment in the city grew by 4.0% year-on-year [2] - Investment in projects worth over 100 million yuan increased by 12.5%, contributing 6.7 percentage points to overall investment growth [2] - Private investment rose by 9.4%, outpacing the overall investment growth by 5.4 percentage points, and has consistently exceeded the overall growth rate since May of the previous year [2] - Industrial investment surged by 26.2%, maintaining over 20% growth for 11 consecutive months, contributing 5.8 percentage points to total investment growth [2] - Investment in new industries, such as computer and office equipment manufacturing, and aerospace equipment manufacturing, grew by 29.4% and 18.4% respectively [2] Market Sales - In November, the total retail sales of social consumer goods reached 57.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.7% [2] - From January to November, total retail sales amounted to 608.85 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.2% [2] - Over 70% of the 21 categories of goods in above-limit units saw retail growth, with significant demand for upgraded products [2] - Retail sales of wearable smart devices and smartphones surged by 94.1% and 91.4% respectively, accelerating by 49.7 and 27.2 percentage points compared to the previous month [2] Industrial Quality Improvement - The "Two Heavy" and "Two New" policies are showing positive effects, with the added value of equipment manufacturing in November increasing by 14.5%, outpacing the overall industrial growth rate by 5.3 percentage points [3] - Investment in equipment and tools grew by 6.1% year-on-year, exceeding the overall investment growth rate by 2.1 percentage points [3] - Retail sales of photographic and communication equipment surged by 320.3% and 78.9% respectively in November [3] - The added value of high-tech manufacturing increased by 24.8%, accelerating by 4.4 percentage points compared to the previous month [3] - Strategic emerging industries in the industrial sector saw an added value growth of 18.5%, contributing 7.9 percentage points to overall industrial growth [3] - The added value of high-tech industries grew by 13.1%, with an acceleration of 2.3 percentage points from the previous month [3] - The modern service industry also performed well, with significant revenue growth in broadcasting, television, film, and related services [3]

省统计局、国家统计局河南调查总队昨日发布11月份全省经济运行情况。11月份，全省工业、消费 增速加快，投资平稳增长，主要经济指标增速持续高于全国平均水平且领先幅度进一步扩大，经济运行 呈现平稳向好、趋新向优、韧性增强的良好态势。 市场销售增速加快，部分升级类商品快速增长。11月全省社会消费品零售总额2691.99亿元，增长 4.4%，高于全国3.1个百分点。1~11月，全省社会消费品零售总额26415.15亿元，增长5.8%，高于全国 1.8个百分点。近七成商品零售保持增长，可穿戴智能设备、智能手机等升级类消费增速加快。11月全 省居民消费价格同比上涨0.7%，高于上月0.9个百分点。 工业生产持续较快增长，重点产业链群贡献突出。11月全省规模以上工业增加值同比增长8.0%， 比上月加快0.1个百分点，高于全国3.2个百分点；1~11月，全省规模以上工业增加值增长8.4%，增速与 1~10月持平，高于全国2.4个百分点。重点产业链群支撑作用明显。11月份，全省规模以上工业重点产 业链群增加值增长10.5%，对全省规模以上工业增长贡献率达85.0%。 政策效应充分释放，"两重""两新"政策发力显效。工业方面，1 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - After the valuation repair in the A-share market in 2025, the main driving force in 2026 is expected to shift more towards the substantial improvement of the profit fundamentals. The core logic of this profit recovery lies in the gradual re - balancing of the supply - demand pattern. With the continuous deepening of the "anti - involution" policy and the natural clearing of the production capacity cycle, enterprise profit margins have stabilized first, and asset turnover is also expected to gradually pick up. The moderate recovery of PPI will drive the profit margin repair of the mid - stream manufacturing industry, and the gradual entry of AI technology into the commercial application stage will also promote the accelerated growth of revenues in related industries [3][54]. - The capital side is expected to remain generally abundant, supported by three aspects: the continuous transfer of domestic residents' asset allocation to equity products, the potential return of foreign capital to the A - share market as the external environment stabilizes, and the steady entry of long - term funds such as pensions and insurance funds, which will provide stable liquidity support for the market [3][54]. - Overall, the reasonable level of the valuation side and the positive factors on the capital side will provide strong support for the performance of the A - share market in 2026 [3][54]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review 3.1.1 Index Review - Since the beginning of the year, all major domestic stock indices have shown an upward trend, with the ChiNext Index having the largest increase and the Composite Index having the smallest increase. In terms of structure, small and medium - cap indices performed better. As of December 15, the ChiNext Index rose 49.16%, the Science and Technology Innovation 50 Index rose 36.40%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 27.31%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index rose 26.18%. The small and medium - cap 100 Index, CSI 500 Index, and CSI 1000 Index rose 25.66%, 25.22%, and 23.72% respectively. In addition, the CSI 300 Index rose 16.42%, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 16.04%, the SSE 50 Index rose 11.54%, and the Composite Index rose 11.29% [10]. - In 2025, the A - share market showed an "N" - shaped upward trend, mainly centered around the triple game of external environment disturbances, internal policy adjustments, and technological industry breakthroughs. It was affected by both external shocks such as tariff policies and changes in the Fed's interest - rate cut policy and internal factors such as policy support, valuation repair, and profit verification, completing multiple rounds of switches from risk aversion to confidence repair, then to trend - up and structural digestion [12]. 3.1.2 Sector Review - In the first half of 2025, most sectors showed an upward trend. As of December 15, among the primary industries, the materials and information technology sectors led the gains, with annual increases of 47.22% and 44.03% respectively. The industrial sector rose 27.32%, the communication services sector rose 20.30%, the healthcare sector rose 16.22%, and the optional consumer sector rose 14.48%. The annual increases of the finance, energy, utilities, and real estate sectors were all less than about 10%. The only sector that declined was the daily consumer sector, which fell 1.68% [17]. 3.1.3 Stock Index Futures Review - The overall trend of stock index futures in 2025 was consistent with the index market, showing an "N" - shaped trend. As of December 15, the SSE 50 futures, CSI 300 futures, CSI 500 futures, and CSI 1000 Index rose 12.60%, 20.21%, 38.61%, and 39.66% respectively compared with the beginning of the year. In terms of trading volume, the average annual daily trading volumes of the SSE 50 continuous contract, CSI 300 continuous contract, CSI 500 continuous contract, and CSI 1000 continuous contract were 35,000 lots, 70,000 lots, 63,000 lots, and 147,000 lots respectively. In terms of open interest, the average annual daily open interests of the SSE 50 continuous contract, CSI 300 continuous contract, CSI 500 continuous contract, and CSI 1000 continuous contract were 56,000 lots, 143,000 lots, 105,000 lots, and 175,000 lots respectively [19]. 3.2 Fundamental Analysis 3.2.1 Domestic Economic Progress - **GDP Data**: In 2025, China's economic growth rate showed a pattern of high at the beginning and stable later. The GDP grew by 5.4% year - on - year in the first quarter, 5.2% in the second quarter, and 4.8% in the third quarter. The cumulative GDP growth in the first three quarters was 5.2% year - on - year, higher than the full - year growth rate of the previous year [22][27]. - **PMI Data**: Since the beginning of the year, both the manufacturing PMI and non - manufacturing PMI have fluctuated around the boom - bust line (50). In November, the manufacturing PMI was 49.2%, slightly increasing by 0.2 percentage points but remaining below the boom - bust line. The service industry index in November was 49.5%, down 0.7 percentage points from the previous value [30]. - **Inflation Data**: Since the beginning of the year, the overall price level has shown a pattern of low - level CPI fluctuations and continuous negative PPI growth. However, there are positive structural changes. The core CPI has continued to rise since the second quarter, and the decline of PPI has significantly narrowed since August, showing signs of stabilization [31]. - **Consumption Data**: From January to November, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 4% year - on - year, faster than the same period and the full - year of the previous year. In November, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 1.3% year - on - year, with the growth rate continuing to decline. Service consumption grew rapidly, and the consumption of cultural and sports services maintained double - digit growth [38][39]. - **Fixed Investment Data**: From January to November, fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) decreased by 2.6% year - on - year, while project investment excluding real - estate development investment increased by 0.8%. Investment in emerging fields showed good momentum, and investment in some traditional industries also expanded. Policy effects continued to appear, and equipment and tool purchase investment increased by 12.2% year - on - year [41]. - **Outlook for the 2026 Economy**: In 2026, China's economy is expected to achieve "repair - type" growth and structural re - balancing under policy support, showing a "stable at the beginning and rising later" trend. The GDP growth target is expected to be set at around 5%, inflation is expected to enter a moderate recovery channel, and policies will focus on boosting consumption [44]. 3.2.2 Macroeconomic Policies Supporting the A - share Market - The "anti - involution" policy will continue to deepen, aiming to optimize the industrial structure and enhance global competitiveness. Active fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies are expected to continue. The fiscal deficit ratio is expected to remain at about 4%, the scale of new special bonds may reach 4.4 trillion yuan, and the scale of ultra - long - term special treasury bonds may increase to 1.6 trillion yuan. The M2 growth rate is expected to be between 7.7% and 8.1%, with possible reserve - requirement ratio cuts of 50 basis points and interest - rate cuts of 10 - 20 basis points [46][48]. 3.2.3 Tariff Uncertainty Disturbing the A - share Market - In April 2025, the US announced a series of tariff policies, which led to significant fluctuations in the A - share market in the short term. In the long term, it accelerated the transformation of A - share listed companies in two aspects: diversifying export markets and strengthening the "self - controllable" logic [49][50]. 3.2.4 Overseas Liquidity Loosening Supporting the A - share Market - The Fed cut interest rates three times in 2025, with a cumulative reduction of 75 basis points. This has two main impacts on the A - share market: expanding domestic policy space and boosting market risk appetite. However, the medium - and long - term trend of the market still depends on the recovery of the domestic economic fundamentals and policy effects [51][52]. 3.3 Summary and Outlook - In 2025, stock index futures were affected by both external shocks such as tariff policies and Fed interest - rate cut policy changes and internal factors such as policy support, valuation repair, and profit verification, completing multiple rounds of switches [53]. - In 2026, the A - share market is expected to be driven more by the improvement of profit fundamentals, and the capital side is expected to remain abundant, providing strong support for the market [54].

今天（15日），国务院新闻办公室举行新闻发布会。国家统计局新闻发言人表示，"两新"政策带动消费 需求扩大，重点投资增加。 国家统计局新闻发言人 付凌晖：大规模设备更新政策效应显现，企业推动设备更新、加快改造升级意 愿增强，设备投资较快增长，促进了投资扩大，也有利于企业竞争力提升。 设备更新政策，带动重点投资增加。1—11月份，设备工器具购置投资同比增长12.2%，拉动全部投资 增长1.8个百分点。 消费品以旧换新政策发力显效，带动家电、通信等相关商品销售增长加快，促进了商品消费需求扩大。 1—11月份，限额以上单位家用电器和音像器材类、文化办公用品类、通信器材类商品零售额同比分别 增长14.8%、18.2%和20.9%。 ...

Core Insights - The consumer market in China maintained a steady growth trend in October, with continuous release of consumption potential [1] Group 1: Goods Consumption - In October, retail sales of goods increased by 2.8%, with significant growth in sales of trade-in related products [1] - Retail sales of communication equipment, cultural and office supplies, and furniture for enterprises above designated size grew by 23.2%, 13.5%, and 9.6% respectively [1] - Demand for upgraded consumer goods remained strong, with retail sales of gold, silver, and jewelry, sports and entertainment products, and cosmetics increasing by 37.6%, 10.1%, and 9.6% respectively [1] Group 2: Service Consumption - From January to October, retail sales of services grew by 5.3%, driven by holiday travel demand [1] - Retail sales in tourism consulting and leasing services, transportation services, and cultural and recreational services all maintained a growth rate of over 10% [1] - In October, restaurant income increased by 3.8% [1] Group 3: New Consumption Trends - In October, sales of smart health devices increased by over 20%, while sales of smart wearable devices grew by approximately 4% [1] - Sales of certain first-level energy-efficient home appliances increased by over 10% [1] - E-commerce played a positive role in boosting consumption, with online service consumption growing by 21% [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the consumption sector is showing signs of recovery, particularly in the restaurant industry due to the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival, with restaurant revenue reaching 519.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.8% [5] - The overall retail sales in October reached 4.63 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.9%, indicating better-than-expected performance [5] - The report suggests that while essential consumption categories are performing well, optional categories like home appliances are experiencing slower growth due to high base effects from the previous year [5] - Online retail penetration is increasing, with online retail sales for the first ten months reaching 12.8 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.6% [5] Summary by Sections Recent Industry Performance - In the past 12 months, the industry has shown relative returns of 4.65% over one month, -1.1% over three months, and 2.33% over twelve months compared to the CSI 300 index [2] - Absolute returns were 4.86% over one month, 9.03% over three months, and 18.94% over twelve months [2] Investment Highlights - The report emphasizes the potential for growth in the consumption market, driven by government initiatives to boost consumption and improve the supply of quality goods and services [5] - Specific companies to watch include those in the restaurant supply chain, consumer growth sectors, and service consumption [5]

Economic Overview - The province's GDP for the first three quarters reached 24,283.9 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.3% at constant prices [1] - The primary industry added value was 1,611.5 billion yuan, growing by 4.3%; the secondary industry added value was 8,367.7 billion yuan, growing by 2.1%; and the tertiary industry added value was 14,304.7 billion yuan, growing by 5.4% [1] Industry Performance - The industrial added value for large-scale enterprises increased by 2.2% year-on-year, with high-tech manufacturing growing by 6.1% [1][2] - Among 40 major industrial categories, 24 saw a year-on-year increase in added value, resulting in a growth rate of 60.0% [2] - Notable product growth included transformers, civilian steel ships, synthetic ammonia, and new energy vehicles, all showing double-digit growth [2] Service Sector - The service sector's added value grew by 5.4% year-on-year, with wholesale and retail, and accommodation and catering sectors increasing by 6.0% and 5.4%, respectively [2] - The transportation and postal sectors also showed growth, with cargo turnover increasing by 4.3% and postal business volume growing by 20.9% [2] Consumer Trends - Social retail sales totaled 7,866.0 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.1% [3] - Urban retail sales reached 6,835.5 billion yuan, growing by 4.2%, while rural retail sales were 1,030.4 billion yuan, growing by 3.3% [3] - Significant growth in retail sales was observed in home appliances (51.0%), furniture (49.2%), and communication equipment (33.2%) [3] Investment Insights - First industry investment grew by 12.1%, while second industry investment increased by 1.6%, with manufacturing investment rising by 12.0% and high-tech manufacturing investment by 11.7% [3] Fiscal Performance - General public budget revenue reached 2,309.1 billion yuan, growing by 0.7%, while expenditure increased by 3.0% to 4,960.3 billion yuan [4] - Per capita disposable income for residents was 31,441 yuan, with urban residents at 37,493 yuan (4.5% growth) and rural residents at 18,691 yuan (5.1% growth) [4] Price Trends - Consumer prices remained stable, while industrial producer prices declined [5]