报告摘要 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户，用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便， 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 事件： 1. 美国：当地时间5月19日，美国参议院通过了《指导与建立美国稳定币国家创新法案》（简称《GENIUS 法案》）的程序性立法，该法案为在美发行的支付型稳定币设定了发行资格、储备资产、美国监管主导等 方面的监管要求，后续还需参议院最终表决及众议院讨论。2. 香港：5月21日，香港立法会正式通过《稳 定币条例》草案，标志着全球首个专门针对法币稳定币的综合监管框架进入实质执行阶段。该《条例》侧 重于对稳定币发行人实施牌照管理，对于稳定币发行机构的资本实力、机构建设等提出明确要求。 稳定币市值持续增长，市场格局高度集中 稳定币和RWA协同发展，稳定币法案有望推动RWA项目持续落地 RWA（Real World Assets ...

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 本周小结： 看好宏观预期改善后铜价上行 截至 2025 年 6 月 6 日 ， SHFE 铜收盘价 78930 元 / 吨，环比 5 月 30 日 + 1.0% ； LME 铜收盘价 9671 美元 / 吨，环比 5 月 30 日 + 1.83% 。 （ 1 ）宏观：本周贸易冲突有所缓和，铜价反弹；但贸易冲突对经济负面影响 尚未显现，仍会压制铜价涨幅。（ 2 ）供需：供给端铜矿扰动增加；需求端出口备货效应减弱以及国内逐步进 入淡季，需求有走弱风险，预计铜价短期维持震荡，铜价有望在国内刺激政策出台以及美国降息后逐步上行。 库存：国内铜社库环比 +7% ， LME 铜库存环比 -11% （ 1 ）国内港口铜精矿库存： 截至 202 ...

Core Viewpoint - The public REITs market in China has reached a total market value of over 200 billion yuan for the first time, driven by new issuances and a rising secondary market [3] Group 1: Public REITs Market - As of June 6, the total market value of public REITs has increased by 29% since the end of 2024, reaching over 200 billion yuan [3] - The public REITs market index closed at 113.91, reflecting a 19% increase since the end of 2024, positioning it at the 78th percentile historically [3] - The narrowing yield spread between public REITs and long-term bonds is a significant factor contributing to the market's upward trend, alongside new trading elements such as new issuances, dividends, and expansions [3] - Eight new products have been launched in 2025, with a total issuance scale of 13.4 billion yuan, and several more products are currently under review [3] Group 2: Infrastructure Projects - The Three Gorges Waterway New Channel project has begun bidding, with the aim to start construction within the year [4] - The project includes the Three Gorges Hub New Channel Engineering and the Gezhouba Navigation Capacity Expansion Project, with a static total investment of approximately 76.6 billion yuan and a total construction period of 100 months [4] - The project has received approval for its feasibility study, and funding sources have been secured, indicating a positive outlook for infrastructure investment in the transportation sector [4]

Core Viewpoint - The rise of the潮玩 (trendy toys) industry in China is driving new consumer demand, benefiting the color masterbatch and pigment industries in the long term [2] Group 1:潮玩 Industry Growth - The潮玩 industry has seen significant growth, with the Chinese pan-entertainment toy market surpassing 100 billion yuan, projected to reach 101.8 billion yuan in 2024 and exceed 200 billion yuan by 2029, reaching 212.1 billion yuan [2] - The production of潮玩 products primarily involves plastic materials, where color masterbatches and pigments play a crucial role in coloring [2] Group 2: Color Masterbatch Market - Color masterbatch is a new type of polymer composite coloring material, with the global market size reaching 94.686 billion yuan in 2023, and China's market size at 37.041 billion yuan [3] - The global color masterbatch market is expected to grow to 129.834 billion yuan by 2029, with a CAGR of 5.21% from 2023 to 2029 [3] - The international color masterbatch market is characterized by monopolistic competition, with major players like Cabot Corporation and Clariant dominating the market [3] - China has become the largest producer of color masterbatches in Asia, with a low industry concentration and many small-scale enterprises [3] - As internationalization progresses, larger Chinese companies are beginning to compete in the global color masterbatch market, with recommendations to focus on Meilian New Materials and Baolidi [3] Group 3: Organic Pigment Market - The plastic industry is one of the three main application areas for organic pigments, with stable global production growth and a significant market share held by China [4] - The market for organic pigments is promising due to rigid downstream demand, but the capacity for classic organic pigments is nearing saturation, leading to price and margin declines [4] - High-performance organic pigments are emerging as a new trend in the industry, with a high technical barrier and dominated by global chemical giants like BASF and Clariant [4] - Domestic companies such as Qicai Chemical and Baihehua are among the few that possess core production technologies [4] - The tightening of environmental policies and the oversupply of classic organic pigments favor the development of high-performance organic pigments, benefiting industry leaders [4]

点击注册小程序 关联方境外债重组取得重大进展，5月销售表现亮眼 1、根据克而瑞数据，公司关联方融创中国5月份全口径销售金额49亿元，同比+128%，权益口径销售金额 24.5亿元，同比+108%；1-5月，融创中国累计全口径销售金额160亿元，同比-35%，权益口径销售金额80 亿元，同比-41%。 2、融创中国发布公告，公司合计95.5亿美元的境外债务计划通过发行新强制可转换债券1和新强制可转换 债券2作为对价，分别以每股6.80/3.85港元的价格转换为融创中国普通股，截至5月26日，约82%的持有人 支持境外债重组方案。 3、2024年度，融创服务实现收入70亿元，同比基本持平，实现归母净亏损4.5亿元，核心归母净利润8.0亿 元，同比基本持平，宣派2024年度股息每股0.143元，合计派息约4.4亿元，占公司核心净利润比重为 55%。 点评： 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成 ...

特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 工业品链条：半钢胎开工率处于五年同期高位 （1）本周主要大宗商品价格表现：冷轧、铜、铝价格环比-0.81%、+0.87%、-0.30%，对应的毛利环比变 化-22.72%、亏损环比-18.19%、-1.15%；（2）本周全国半钢胎开工率为73.86%，环比-4.39个百分点。 细分品种：钨精矿价格创2011年以来新高水平，氧化铝价格创近2个月来新高 （1）石墨电极：超高功率18000元/吨，环比+0.00%，综合毛利润为1357.4元/吨，环比-11.46%；（2）电 解铝价格为20180元/吨，环比-0.30%，测算利润为2411元/吨（不含税），环比-1.15%；（3）预焙阳极本 周价格为5330元/吨，环比+0.00%； ...

Core Viewpoint - The article provides a comprehensive analysis of market performance, highlighting the positive returns of certain factors while noting the underperformance of others, indicating a mixed market sentiment and potential investment opportunities in specific sectors [3][4][5]. Factor Performance Summary - In the week of June 3 to June 6, 2025, the beta factor and momentum factor achieved positive returns of 0.58% and 0.31% respectively, while the size factor and liquidity factor recorded negative returns of -0.66% and -0.37% [3]. - In the CSI 300 stock pool, the best-performing factors included total asset growth rate (2.23%), quarterly revenue growth rate (1.78%), and quarterly ROA (1.58%), while the worst-performing factors were net profit gap (-0.36%), 5-day average turnover rate (-0.51%), and price-to-book ratio factor (-0.64%) [4]. - In the CSI 500 stock pool, the top factors were quarterly net profit growth rate (1.54%), quarterly operating profit growth rate (1.29%), and quarterly ROE (1.28%), with the weakest factors being 6-day transaction amount standard deviation (-0.95%), TTM price-to-earnings ratio reciprocal (-0.95%), and 6-day transaction amount moving average (-0.97%) [4]. - In the liquidity 1500 stock pool, the leading factors were total asset growth rate (2.67%), quarterly ROA growth (2.15%), and quarterly revenue growth (2.13%), while the lagging factors included TTM price-to-earnings ratio reciprocal (-0.65%), price-to-book ratio factor (-0.80%), and price-to-earnings ratio factor (-0.81%) [4]. Industry-Specific Factor Performance - The net asset growth rate factor performed well in the telecommunications industry, while the net profit growth rate factor excelled in the commercial trade sector [5]. - The earnings per share factor showed strong performance in the telecommunications industry, and the TTM operating profit per share factor was notable in both telecommunications and commercial trade sectors [5]. - The 5-day momentum factor exhibited significant momentum effects in the light manufacturing industry, while reversal effects were prominent in the defense, coal, and comprehensive industries [5]. Combination Tracking - The PB-ROE-50 combination achieved significant excess returns across various stock pools, with excess returns of 0.45% in the CSI 500 pool, 1.87% in the CSI 800 pool, and 3.35% in the overall market pool [7]. - The public fund research selection strategy and private fund research tracking strategy both yielded positive excess returns, with the public fund strategy outperforming the CSI 800 by 3.37% and the private fund strategy by 1.31% [8]. - The block trading combination also achieved excess returns relative to the CSI All Index, with an excess return of 0.41% [9]. - The targeted issuance combination outperformed the CSI All Index with an excess return of 1.97% [10].

Group 1: Pork Market - The average price of external three yuan pigs in China decreased to 14.05 yuan/kg, a week-on-week decline of 2.90% [2] - The average price of 15 kg piglets fell to 34.51 yuan/kg, down 2.38% week-on-week [2] - The market sentiment is weak due to sluggish post-holiday consumption demand and low demand for large pigs, leading to a continued strong supply and weak demand scenario [2] Group 2: Poultry Market - The price of white feather broilers is 7.32 yuan/kg, down 0.68% week-on-week, while chick prices are at 2.84 yuan/bird, a decrease of 1.05% [3] - The increase in frozen chicken inventory has reduced the purchasing enthusiasm of slaughter enterprises, resulting in a weak price for broilers [3] - The decline in broiler prices, combined with high summer temperatures, has led to a slowdown in orders for chicks [3] Group 3: Agricultural Products - The average spot price of corn increased to 2387.84 yuan/ton, a rise of 0.34% week-on-week, while soybean meal and wheat prices fell by 1.50% and 0.86%, respectively [4] - The supply of corn is tight in North China, but the new wheat harvest is putting pressure on the corn market [4] - The soybean meal supply is ample due to high production expectations from Argentina and the end of the Brazilian soybean harvest [4] Group 4: Natural Rubber Market - The domestic natural rubber futures price is 13695 yuan/ton, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 1.05% [5] - Supply disruptions due to weather conditions are expected to recover, but the overall market sentiment remains weak due to limited demand growth [5] - The production capacity utilization rate of tire companies is lower than the same period last year, indicating weak demand [5]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a volatile upward trend during the week of June 3-6, 2025, with small-cap stocks outperforming larger indices [3] - Major indices showed the following weekly performance: Shanghai Composite Index up 1.13%, SSE 50 up 0.38%, CSI 300 up 0.88%, CSI 500 up 1.60%, CSI 1000 up 2.10%, ChiNext Index up 2.32%, and Northbound 50 Index up 1.30% [3] Valuation Insights - As of June 6, 2025, the ChiNext Index is classified as "safe" in terms of valuation percentile, while other major indices are considered "moderate" [3] - In the CITIC industry classification, sectors such as building materials, light industry manufacturing, electric equipment and new energy, defense and military, textiles and apparel, computers, and comprehensive finance are rated as "dangerous" in valuation percentile [3] Fund Flow Analysis - Institutional focus this week was on top five stocks: Tianzhun Technology (389 institutions), Zhongkong Technology (312), Huichuan Technology (205), Huace Testing (204), and Huali Group (151) [5] - Southbound capital saw a net inflow of HKD 14.928 billion, with the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect recording a net inflow of HKD 15.957 billion and the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect showing a net outflow of HKD 1.029 billion [5] - Stock ETFs had a median return of 1.32% with a net outflow of CNY 2.559 billion, while Hong Kong stock ETFs had a median return of 2.40% with a net outflow of HKD 3.716 billion [5] Market Sentiment - The current market is characterized by cautious trading signals, with volume timing indicators for major indices remaining in a cautious stance as of June 6, 2025 [4] - The trading theme remains unclear, with rapid rotation of themes observed during the week, indicating a need for stronger capital support for further upward movement [3]

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 （1）截至6月6日，秦皇岛港口煤炭库存655 万吨，环比-2.96%，同比+34.22%，处于同期高位水平； 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 煤价延续平稳，波动或将缩窄 （1）中煤能源近日接受机构调研时就动力煤价格走势指出，目前动力煤价格已接近底部，后续有望进一 步企稳；（2）6月4日，国务院副总理丁薛祥在山西调研时指出，要加强迎峰度夏期间能源保供，推动电 煤市场平稳运行，确保民生及重要用户用电供应安全稳定；（3）从基本面角度来看，当前港口库存压力 有所缓解，近两周煤价基本稳定，供需矛盾并不突出，预计后续煤价仍将延续平稳，波动或将缩窄。 本周港口煤价小幅下跌，海外油价反弹 （1）本周（6.2-6.6）秦皇岛港口动力煤平仓价（5500大卡周度平均值）为609元 ...