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史诗级行情!贵金属集体狂飙创纪录,白银暴涨10%
华尔街见闻· 2025-12-27 01:08
贵金属再次全面爆发。 周五黄金、白银和铂金均创历史新高, 沪铜史上首次突破10万元人民币关口, 纽铜 超越了今年7月史无前例的逼空行情期间所创盘中最高纪录。 黄金现货大涨逾1%,盘中刷新历史高点至4550美元上方,现货白银站上79美元关口,COMEX铜期货涨5.01%。夜盘期货同样强势,沪银夜盘涨超6%,首次 收于19000元关口上方。 (金银铜铂金飙升) 铂族金属同样表现惊人。现货铂金大涨10%至每盎司2459.5美元,创历史新高,全年涨幅超170%,是自1990年有伦敦基准价以来最大年度涨幅;钯金也涨逾 11%至每盎司1925美元,全年涨幅已超111%。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 现货铂金(美元/盎司) | 2459.50 | 231.50 | 10.39% | 172.07% | | 现货把金(美元/盎司) | 1925.00 | 201.50 | 11.69% | 111.89% | | NYMEX铂 | 2513.9d | 266.1 | 11.84% | 176.13% | | NYMEX钥ู | ...
五界合围,高端战场换中国主角
华尔街见闻· 2025-12-26 03:56
鸿蒙智行全系 43个月,累计交付突破100万辆。 大家可能会觉得这只是又一个枯燥的行业里程碑。但如果把时间轴拉长,把背景板换成过去三年的价格战,这个数字的含金量就完全不同了。 刚刚过去的 11月,行业里充满了焦虑的降价声,但鸿蒙智行交出的答卷是:全系交付破8万台,同比增长89.61%。在总量几乎见顶的存量市场里,接近 90%的增长并不是凭空创造的需求,而是从传统老钱BBA那里硬生生抢下来的份额。 月均 8万多台的销量,意味着市场权重的剧烈转移,是一场关于汽车定价权、供应链重构以及豪华定义权的降维打击。 2025年的狂飙只是序曲,明年,这支军团将全面开战:智界进军豪华MPV、尚界切入主流轿跑、问界巩固SUV全矩阵、享界探索越野与旅行、尊界强攻超 豪华顶层。从家用到性能,从城市到野外,鸿蒙智行的产品网络正覆盖几乎所有出行场景。 蓄力之年已过,真正的大戏即将开场。余承东直言,下一百万, "只需要十来个月就行"。随之而来的,是中国汽车产业从未有过的、对旧有豪华格局的全 面替代。 在汽车领域多年耕耘,鸿蒙智行终是等来爆发前的曙光。 狂飙背后的市场投票 12月9日,余承东攒局,带着"五界"的一号位齐聚上海,亮相鸿蒙智行年 ...
养老的“东方智慧”:看泰康“新寿险”如何回答一个世界性难题?
华尔街见闻· 2025-12-26 03:56
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolving attitudes towards aging in society, particularly in Japan and China, highlighting the opportunities in the aging population market and the innovative approaches being taken by companies like Taikang Insurance in the eldercare and pension sectors [1][2][5][7]. Group 1: Demographic Changes and Aging Population - By the end of 2024, China's elderly population (aged 60 and above) is projected to reach 310 million, accounting for 22% of the total population, and is expected to rise to around 30% by 2035 [4]. - The average life expectancy in China is nearing 79 years, with a continuous increase of 2-3 years every decade [5]. - The aging population is anticipated to constitute one-third of society in the next 20 years, indicating a significant demographic shift [3]. Group 2: Market Opportunities in Elderly Care - The demand for "enjoying old age" is creating substantial market opportunities, as seen in developed countries where healthcare is recognized as a promising industry [6]. - China is establishing a multi-faceted pension system and various commercial pension products to address the needs arising from demographic changes [7]. - The insurance industry is increasingly competing in the eldercare market, with companies like Taikang Insurance leading the way by integrating healthcare resources [8]. Group 3: Taikang Insurance's Innovations - Taikang Insurance has been exploring the integration of insurance with eldercare services since 2007, positioning itself as a significant player in the eldercare market [9]. - The company has seen a notable rise in its global ranking, moving up 47 places to 334 in the Fortune Global 500, reflecting its growing influence [9]. - The "New Life Insurance" model proposed by Taikang emphasizes a triad of payment, service, and investment, aiming to enhance customer experience and financial stability [55]. Group 4: Global Perspectives on Elderly Care - The article references the global trend of increasing life expectancy, with half of the countries expected to have a life expectancy exceeding 75 years by 2024 [10]. - The U.S. and Japan have established robust pension systems, with the U.S. having over 90% of total pension assets in the second and third pillars [18]. - The article contrasts the U.S. approach to eldercare with China's, noting that many high-quality eldercare facilities in China are initiated by insurance companies, which have the financial capacity to integrate various resources [33]. Group 5: Challenges and Future Directions - The article highlights the challenges faced by the insurance industry, particularly in the U.S., where misjudgments about market demands have led to a decline in market position [36][39]. - It emphasizes the necessity for the insurance sector to seize the strategic opportunities presented by the aging population and to develop a complete financial mechanism for eldercare services [48]. - Taikang's long-term investments in healthcare and eldercare are positioned as a model for sustainable growth in the industry, with significant financial commitments planned for the future [59].
英伟达急了?或被谷歌TPU逼到墙角,黄仁勋不惜代价也要“收编”Groq
华尔街见闻· 2025-12-26 03:56
据华尔街见闻此前文章, 英伟达近日与Groq达成了一项非独家的技术许可协议。 按照披露,英伟达将把Groq的AI推理技术整合进未来产品体系中,而Groq创始人兼首席执行官Jonathan Ross、总裁Sunny Madra以及部分核心工程人员将加 入英伟达。Groq公司本身仍保持独立运营,其云业务Groq Cloud也将继续对外提供服务。 然而,如果只把它理解为普通的技术合作,显然过于表面。技术可以授权,但一家芯片公司的创始人和核心架构团队,很少作为"附带条款"整体迁移。 英伟达真正看中的,从来不是Groq的收入规模,而是它背后的架构思想。 而这套思想,与谷歌TPU高度同源。 业内普遍认为, 随着AI竞争重心从训练转向推理,GPU长期建立的统治优势开始出现松动,TPU在效率与成本结构上的优势正逐步显现,并有望成为谷歌云 未来十年的关键护城河 ,这一背景下,黄仁勋第一次显露出被逼到墙角的焦虑。 可以肯定的是,一旦英伟达借助这次技术引入在推理架构上追近甚至抹平与谷歌TPU的差距,原本在谷歌与OpenAI/英伟达阵营之间不断扩大的技术与生态裂 口,很可能会迅速收敛,竞争格局也将重新回到拉锯状态。 AI叙事正在从训 ...
金银再创新高,《货币战争》作者“明年金价10000美元,银价200美元!”
华尔街见闻· 2025-12-26 03:56
Core Viewpoint - The precious metals market is experiencing a strong upward trend, with silver reaching an all-time high and gold approaching its historical peak, driven by geopolitical tensions and expectations of future interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1][2][5]. Group 1: Precious Metals Performance - Silver has surged to a historical high of $75 per ounce, marking a 150% increase this year, particularly accelerating since October due to a historic short squeeze [2][3][10]. - Gold is also performing well, trading above $4500 per ounce and reaching a peak of $4530 per ounce, driven by ongoing geopolitical risks, particularly in Venezuela [5][8]. Group 2: Economic Predictions - Economist Jim Rickards predicts that gold could reach $10,000 and silver could hit $200 by 2026, citing sustained demand from central banks and institutional investors as key drivers [2][9][10]. - The expectation of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026 is providing additional support for precious metal prices, as a low-interest environment typically benefits non-yielding assets like gold and silver [8][9]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The sharp rise in silver prices is attributed to a supply-demand imbalance in the physical delivery market, with a significant disparity between paper silver and physical silver [9][10]. - Institutional investor demand, including sovereign wealth funds and endowment funds, is expected to increase, further pushing up prices as countries diversify away from potentially confiscable assets [9][10].
OpenAI的“广告模式”已初具雏形
华尔街见闻· 2025-12-25 10:14
Core Viewpoint - OpenAI is exploring new commercial paths for its flagship product ChatGPT by introducing advertising, which could reshape the trillion-dollar digital advertising market dominated by Google and Meta [3][7]. Group 1: Advertising Strategy - OpenAI is discussing adjustments to its AI model to prioritize sponsored content in ChatGPT responses, marking a shift towards a more detailed planning phase for its advertising business [3][4]. - The company aims to create a new type of digital advertising that integrates seamlessly with user interactions, utilizing detailed user interest data collected from conversations [4][6]. - Internal discussions focus on non-intrusive advertising methods to maintain user experience and trust, with ads potentially appearing only after specific stages in user conversations [6][8]. Group 2: Monetization Pressure and Market Opportunity - OpenAI faces significant monetization pressure, with ChatGPT's weekly active users reaching nearly 900 million since its launch in 2022, yet only about 5% are paying users [7][11]. - The introduction of advertising is expected to generate substantial revenue from the large free user base, with projections indicating an average annual revenue of $2 per free user starting next year, increasing to $15 by 2030, potentially yielding around $110 billion in total revenue from non-paying users by 2030 [7][8]. - OpenAI's entry into the global digital advertising market, currently dominated by Google, Meta, and Amazon, is significant, as these companies hold approximately 60% of the market share, with total ad revenue expected to approach $560 billion this year [7][8]. Group 3: Balancing Trust and Commercialization - Advertising remains a sensitive topic for OpenAI, with concerns that it may undermine user trust in the responses provided by ChatGPT, conflicting with the company's broader goal of achieving artificial general intelligence (AGI) [8][11]. - CEO Sam Altman has softened his stance on advertising, indicating a willingness to consider it as a viable option despite previous reservations, reflecting the company's need to balance high operational costs with sustainable business models [8][11]. Group 4: E-commerce Integration - OpenAI is laying the groundwork for commercialization by integrating shopping features into ChatGPT, including partnerships with payment processors like Stripe and companies such as Shopify, Zillow, and DoorDash [9][10]. - These e-commerce functionalities are designed to cultivate AI shopping habits among users and provide valuable merchant data for future targeted advertising [10][11]. - However, the advertising business is still in its early stages, with internal priorities delaying advertising-related work, and advertisers have yet to receive concrete information about paid advertising opportunities on ChatGPT [11].
两位90后,又融8亿
华尔街见闻· 2025-12-25 10:14
以下文章来源于投资界 ,作者周佳丽 投资界 . 清科控股旗下创业与投资资讯平台 投资界获悉,全球AI for Science基础设施公司——深势科技已完成总额超8亿元人民币的C轮融资,由达晨、京国瑞基金、北京市人工智能产业投资基金、北京市 医药健康产业投资基金、联想创投、元禾璞华等机构共同出资。 至此,深势科技已累计融资数十亿元,正式跻身独角兽俱乐部。 齿轮扭转到2018年,鄂维南院士在北京大学组织了一场主题为AI for Science的会议,这很可能是国际上第一次使用"AI for Science"这样的说法。 张林峰备受鼓舞,他看到AI与学科模型相结合的巨大潜力,与孙伟杰畅聊AI for Science的未来,深势科技由此诞生。 那年,他们才刚刚25岁,两人分工明确 :张林峰任首席科学家主导技术和研发,孙伟杰则担任CEO负责战略和商业相关。 成立于2018年,深势科技始于两位北大校友——张林峰、孙伟杰。 两人同为90后,一文一理,联手构建了一系列"读文献、做计算、做实验"的智能科学工具和各领域的科学智能体,也由此集结了一份长长的投资人名单。 两位90后带队,一个新晋AI独角兽诞生 故事始于2011年,两 ...
重构价值标尺:阳光保险“以客户为中心”破题行业转型
华尔街见闻· 2025-12-25 10:14
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the critical role of insurance in China's economic and social development, particularly in the context of the 15th Five-Year Plan, highlighting its importance in social security and high-quality development [1] Group 1: Industry Trends and Demand - With declining interest rates and an aging population, the demand for risk protection and stable asset growth has become urgent, shifting insurance from a supplementary need to a necessity [2] - The insurance industry is poised for significant growth driven by both policy and public demand, with leading insurance companies leveraging strong capital and operational capabilities to enhance their competitive advantages [2] Group 2: Strategic Focus of Sunshine Insurance - Sunshine Insurance has established "Everything for the Customer" as its core value, aligning with the "people-centered" development philosophy [3] - The company has launched the "New Sunshine Strategy," focusing on "Technology Sunshine," "Value Sunshine," and "Heartfelt Sunshine," aiming to become a trusted partner for customers [3][4] Group 3: Transformation of Business Logic - The transition in the insurance industry from a "product-centered" to a "customer-centered" approach reflects a fundamental shift in operational logic, necessitating a comprehensive overhaul of the business model [5][6] - This transformation requires significant resource investment across the entire value chain, from product design to customer service [7] Group 4: Unique Value Proposition - Sunshine Insurance's long-standing commitment to a customer-centric approach since its inception in 2005 has allowed it to develop a robust system that prioritizes customer needs [9] - The company's "Three/Five/Seven" family protection concept provides a structured framework for customers to understand their insurance needs, promoting a proactive approach to risk management [10][11] Group 5: Implementation of "Heartfelt Sunshine" - The "Heartfelt Sunshine" strategy focuses on understanding customer needs and translating insights into tangible service experiences, enhancing customer satisfaction [15][20] - Sunshine Insurance has initiated a "Customer Demand Perception Plan" to gather insights and optimize its product and service offerings, particularly in the aging finance sector [15][16] Group 6: Financial Performance and Market Position - In the first half of 2025, Sunshine Life's total premium income reached 55.44 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%, while Sunshine Property's original premium income was 25.278 billion yuan, up 2.5% [23] - The growth in high-value customer segments and improved customer satisfaction reflect the effectiveness of the "Heartfelt Sunshine" strategy [24][26] Group 7: Technological Empowerment - The integration of AI technology across sales, management, and service has significantly enhanced operational efficiency and customer experience, with a 95% satisfaction rate for AI customer management tools [29] - These digital capabilities are creating a competitive edge for Sunshine Insurance, positioning it well for future growth [30]
200亿美元,英伟达“史上最大收购”,图啥?
华尔街见闻· 2025-12-25 10:14
Core Insights - Nvidia has entered a non-exclusive licensing agreement with Groq to integrate Groq's AI inference technology into future products, while key personnel from Groq will join Nvidia [1][2] - Initial reports suggested Nvidia was set to acquire Groq for $20 billion, which would have been its largest acquisition to date, but Nvidia clarified that only a licensing agreement was reached [1][2] - The deal strengthens Nvidia's position in the inference segment, which is gaining importance as demand for AI model applications surges [1][3] Group 1: Acquisition Rumors and Clarifications - Reports of a $20 billion acquisition of Groq caused market fluctuations, citing information from Disruptive's CEO [2] - Both Nvidia and Groq confirmed that the agreement is a technology licensing deal, aimed at expanding the reach of high-performance, low-cost inference technology [2] - Groq's valuation has nearly doubled in three months, from $6.9 billion to $6.9 billion after a recent funding round [3] Group 2: Technology and Market Dynamics - The core of the transaction lies in Groq's unique chip architecture and the expertise of its founder, Jonathan Ross, who has a background in AI chip development [4][5] - Groq's chips, known as Language Processing Units (LPUs), are optimized for the inference process, outperforming GPUs in speed, deployment efficiency, and energy consumption [5] - The demand for inference chips is rapidly increasing as AI applications transition from training to large-scale deployment [6] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Nvidia aims to bolster its capabilities in high-efficiency inference to counter competition from Google, Amazon, OpenAI, and Meta Platforms [7][11] - Despite significant venture capital backing, challengers like Groq struggle to penetrate Nvidia's stronghold in the high-end AI chip market [10] - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with major companies developing their own inference chips to reduce reliance on Nvidia [11] Group 4: Financial Performance and Growth - Groq has seen a meteoric rise in valuation, with over $3 billion raised in funding, and a revenue target of $500 million for the year [9] - The company supports over 2 million developers, a significant increase from 356,000 a year ago [9] - However, Groq recently lowered its revenue expectations for 2025 by about 75% due to data center capacity issues [10] Group 5: Nvidia's Strategic Intent - Nvidia's strategy appears to leverage its substantial cash reserves to build a competitive moat, with $60.6 billion in cash and short-term investments as of last October [12] - The company is actively investing in the AI ecosystem, including funding for AI and energy infrastructure companies [12] - The challenges faced by other AI chip startups highlight the difficulties in competing against Nvidia's established market dominance [12]
重磅!北京发布楼市新政
华尔街见闻· 2025-12-24 08:46
Core Viewpoint - Beijing is implementing measures to stabilize the real estate market in response to the central economic work conference, with new policies effective from December 24, 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Housing Purchase Policy Adjustments - The policy relaxes housing purchase conditions for non-Beijing residents, reducing the social security or tax payment requirement from 3 years to 2 years for purchasing homes within the Fifth Ring Road, and from 2 years to 1 year for homes outside the Fifth Ring Road [1]. - Families with two or more children are allowed to purchase additional homes, with Beijing residents permitted to buy up to 3 homes within the Fifth Ring Road, while non-Beijing families with 2 years of social security or tax payments can buy 2 homes [1]. Group 2: Housing Loan Policy Adjustments - The minimum down payment for second home purchases using public housing funds is reduced from 30% to 25% [2]. - The personal housing loan interest rate policy is adjusted, with banks no longer differentiating between first and second home loans in their pricing mechanisms [1]. Group 3: Real Estate Development Efficiency - The approval process for real estate development projects is streamlined, shifting from city-level approval to district-level filing, aimed at improving the business environment and investment efficiency [2].