长按扫码▲立即报名 文 / 建本文库 站 在永宁寺遗址的基座 边 ，抚过焦黑的柱痕，仿佛仍能触到一千五百年前那场吞没世界第一高塔的烈火。孝武帝在凌云 台上遥望火光的叹息， 洛阳 百姓观火时的悲声，此刻穿透时光，在风中低回。 东魏孝静帝武定五年（公元 547年）杨 衒之重返洛阳，目睹 "寺观灰烬，庙塔丘墟"时，他 用一部《洛阳伽蓝记》以 文 字封印了这座佛都最后的辉煌 ，寄托亡国悲慨。 永宁寺塔基遗址 今年，建本文库以中华书局 2010年再版本为底本， 邀请历史学家罗新、诗人廖伟棠撰写导读，并重新编排设计白文本， 配以摄影师付羽的银盐作品 ——让这部 不仅具有极高的史料价值，也足以代表北朝的文学水平的古卷，重绽光彩。 建本文库《洛阳伽蓝记》 游学第一站，我们将开展一场《洛阳伽蓝记》共读会， 建本文库 的三位创始人梁文道、李继宏、林少，带 你解析 杨 衒 之 用 寺庙串联历史的独特写法，让沉睡的文字在遗址现场 " 复活 "。 " 伽蓝 "一词，即梵语"僧伽蓝摩"之略称，意为"众园"或"僧院"，是佛寺的统称。《洛阳伽蓝记》成书于公元547年，按 地域分为洛阳的城内、城东、城南、城西、城北，记述佛寺七十余处。 其体例 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes five key perspectives—stock market, real estate, exports, consumption, and technology—as essential indicators for understanding economic signals and market trends. Stock Market - Global capital flows are showing a trend of rebalancing, with funds shifting from the crowded US market to less crowded markets like Europe and Hong Kong, where the German stock market rose by 21% and Hong Kong stocks by 19% from the beginning of the year until May 21 [8] - In the first half of the year, foreign capital saw a net inflow into the Hong Kong market of $7.3 billion, while the mainland market experienced a net outflow of $5 billion [8] - For the next 12 months, major Chinese stock indices are expected to see strong earnings growth, with the Hang Seng Technology Index and Shanghai Composite Index projected to grow over 20% [14] - The recovery in consumer spending, particularly in sectors like tourism and dining, is expected to drive growth in the stock market [15] Real Estate - The real estate market is showing signs of stabilization, with a 3.2% year-on-year decline in sales from January to April 2025, which is a significant improvement compared to a 13.9% decline for the entire previous year [21] - Major cities like Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Hangzhou have seen new and second-hand home prices rise since September 2024, indicating a recovery trend [23] - The government is focusing on high-quality housing, with new regulations aimed at improving residential project standards [31] - Land acquisition efforts have accelerated, with 171 cities announcing land storage plans totaling 391.8 billion yuan, which is expected to reduce inventory pressure [34] Exports - China's exports from January to May 2025 reached $1,484.85 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6%, with significant growth in March and April [39] - Exports to ASEAN countries grew by 12.2%, with Thailand, Vietnam, and Indonesia showing the highest growth rates [44] - The export of high-tech products accounted for 60% of total exports, with a notable increase in the export of batteries, which grew by 22.1% in the first four months of 2025 [48][49] - The export growth rate is expected to slow down in the second half of the year, with key policy events and US tariff deadlines being critical factors to monitor [50][51] Consumption - Despite concerns about declining consumer sentiment, a McKinsey report indicates that consumer confidence is stabilizing, particularly among rural residents and younger generations [62][64] - Urbanization is contributing to new consumer units, with the urbanization rate projected to increase from 65.2% in 2022 to 67.0% in 2024 [57] - The trend of consumers being willing to spend more of their income is improving, with the proportion of income spent on consumption expected to stabilize [58] - The 618 shopping festival showed strong performance in the 3C and home appliance sectors, indicating a potential rebound in consumer spending [72] Technology - Investment opportunities in technology are focused on sectors with increasing penetration rates, particularly in AI applications and smart driving technologies [76] - The market for humanoid robots and low-altitude economy sectors is expected to see significant growth, supported by favorable policies and reduced manufacturing costs [82] - The semiconductor industry is highlighted as a key area for profitability within the robotics sector, with substantial projected net profits for chip companies [84]

Group 1: Economic Indicators - The US Markit Manufacturing PMI for June remains at 52, indicating continued expansion and is the highest level since February, surpassing expectations of 51 [1] - The Markit Services PMI for June is at 53.1, lower than the previous value of 53.7 but higher than the expected 52.9, marking a two-month low [1] - The Manufacturing Materials Purchasing Price Index has surged by 5.4 points to 70, the largest increase in four years, attributed to tariff impacts [1] Group 2: Tax Regulations - New regulations for tax reporting by internet platform companies have been implemented, requiring platforms like Douyin and JD to report income data quarterly [3][4] - The regulations aim to enhance oversight of improper business practices and ensure compliance among various internet business entities [3][4] Group 3: Automotive Industry - Changan Automobile Group has officially changed its name to Chen Zhi Automotive Technology Group, indicating a shift in focus towards automotive components [5][6] - The restructuring of Changan Automobile signifies its elevation to a central enterprise level, comparable to other major automotive companies [5] Group 4: Coffee Market - Gu Ming Coffee has expanded its presence to over 7,600 stores nationwide, positioning itself among the top five in the fresh coffee market [7] - The company reported a net profit of 10.80 billion yuan in 2023, with projections of 14.79 billion yuan for 2024, indicating strong growth [7] Group 5: Investment Plans - Amazon plans to invest 540 billion USD in the UK over the next three years, creating thousands of jobs and enhancing its logistics infrastructure [9][10] - This investment reflects Amazon's commitment to the UK market, which is its third-largest after the US and Germany [9] Group 6: Copper Market - LME copper inventories have decreased by approximately 80% this year, leading to significant price increases and a tight market situation [11][12] - The rapid decline in inventory is attributed to increased demand and potential tariff impacts on copper imports [12][13] Group 7: Stock Market Outlook - Goldman Sachs maintains an overweight recommendation for Chinese stocks, projecting a target of 4,600 points for the CSI 300 index, indicating a potential upside of about 10% [14] - The firm has raised ratings for the banking and real estate sectors, benefiting from domestic policy support [14][15]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the transition of Chinese manufacturing from being a global manufacturing hub to becoming a leader in global manufacturing, highlighting the need for Chinese companies to adopt a global mindset and explore new markets while leveraging their manufacturing capabilities [3][5][12]. Group 1: Global Manufacturing Transition - Chinese manufacturing has evolved from "global manufacturing in China" to "Chinese manufacturing for the world," indicating a shift towards innovation and quality [3][6]. - The ability of Chinese companies to drive globalization is primarily reflected in the manufacturing sector, where China has developed a comprehensive manufacturing capability system [6][12]. - The restructuring of global supply chains is underway, moving from offshore and efficiency-driven models to more autonomous and diversified approaches [10][11]. Group 2: Strategic Global Expansion - Chinese companies are encouraged to adopt a global perspective when selecting overseas markets, identifying regions with favorable tariff conditions such as the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and Latin America [16][19]. - The case of Zhejiang Tongxiang's China Jushi illustrates how tariffs can significantly impact business decisions, leading to the establishment of manufacturing facilities in countries with lower tariffs [17][18]. - Companies must navigate the complexities of different markets, balancing opportunities and risks while adapting to local conditions [21][22]. Group 3: Export and Outbound Investment - In 2024, China's goods trade export scale is projected to reach 25.45 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.1%, indicating resilience despite external challenges [34][35]. - China's outbound non-financial direct investment is expected to grow by 10.5% to $143.85 billion in 2024, showcasing a simultaneous increase in both exports and outbound investments [35]. - The home appliance industry exemplifies the dual strategy of expanding domestic demand while actively pursuing international markets, with significant growth in both revenue and exports [38][39]. Group 4: Case Studies of Successful Globalization - Lenovo serves as a prime example of a company that has successfully integrated global resources while maintaining core manufacturing in China, achieving a balance between local delivery and global supply chains [44][46]. - The article highlights the importance of new infrastructure capabilities, particularly in digital technology and renewable energy, as Chinese companies expand their influence globally [48][50]. - Emerging companies in smart hardware are leveraging China's supply chain to innovate and redefine industry standards, moving from imitation to original innovation [51][52]. Group 5: Strategic Considerations for Global Operations - Companies must find a balance between exporting and establishing local production to navigate trade barriers and optimize costs [56]. - Emphasizing local operations while maintaining a global strategy is crucial for long-term success, requiring cultural sensitivity and community engagement [57]. - Collaboration with international firms presents opportunities for joint market development, reinforcing the role of Chinese companies in stabilizing and accelerating global supply chains [58].

Group 1: Cross-Border Payment System - The cross-border payment system between Mainland China and Hong Kong, known as "Cross-Border Payment Pass," has officially launched, allowing real-time remittance in RMB and HKD through direct connections between payment systems [1][2] - The initial participating institutions include major banks from both Mainland China and Hong Kong, with plans for gradual expansion [1] - The advantages of this system over traditional cross-border remittance include improved timeliness and reduced transaction costs, catering to the increasing frequency and scale of cross-border transactions [1][2] Group 2: Alibaba's Restructuring - Alibaba has merged Ele.me and Fliggy into its China e-commerce business group, aiming to transition from an e-commerce platform to a comprehensive consumer platform [3][4] - The integration is part of a strategy to enhance user experience by optimizing business models and organizational structures [3] - The launch of Taobao Flash Sale has significantly increased order volume, indicating a successful expansion into various product categories [3][4] Group 3: Meituan's Instant Retail Expansion - Meituan is expanding its instant retail business, focusing on upgrading retail formats and increasing product categories [5][6] - The company is facing challenges with its community group buying model, which has high operational costs and low profit margins [6] - Meituan's digital supply chain and instant delivery services are expected to be key areas of focus moving forward [6] Group 4: Starbucks China Acquisition Interest - Hillhouse Capital is expressing interest in acquiring Starbucks' China business, with a transaction valuation estimated between $5 billion and $6 billion [7][8] - The acquisition could become one of the largest mergers in China's consumer sector in recent years, as Starbucks seeks to revitalize its business amid increasing competition from local brands [7][8] - The potential deal highlights the trend of foreign consumer brands partnering with local investors for transformation [8] Group 5: Tesla's Robotaxi Launch - Tesla has launched its "Robotaxi" service in Austin, Texas, with a limited fleet and operational hours, initially requiring a safety driver [9][10] - The service is currently in a testing phase, available only to invited users, contrasting with the fully autonomous service previously promoted by Tesla [9] - The launch may allow Tesla to leverage its existing user base for rapid expansion in the taxi market, contingent on advancements in its autonomous driving technology [10] Group 6: Oil Shipping Rates Surge - Oil shipping rates have surged dramatically, with the Baltic Dirty Tanker Index (BDTI) reaching $57,758 per day, a 154% increase from earlier in June [11][12] - The rise in rates is attributed to heightened security concerns in the Middle East, particularly regarding the Strait of Hormuz, a critical oil shipping route [11][12] - Potential closure of the Strait by Iran could lead to significant disruptions in global oil supply, although alternative shipping routes may mitigate some impacts [12][13] Group 7: Public REITs Market Growth - The market for public REITs in China has surpassed 200 billion yuan, with 68 listed projects and a total market value of approximately 204.6 billion yuan [14][15] - Institutional investors dominate the REITs market, with individual investor participation remaining low [14][15] - The growth of REITs reflects a trend towards the securitization of real estate projects, providing higher liquidity compared to traditional real estate investments [14][15]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of optimism, risk awareness, and adaptability for entrepreneurs venturing into global markets, drawing parallels between sailing and business expansion [1][14][16]. Group 1: Sailing Metaphor - The journey of sailing represents the challenges faced by companies as they expand globally, with the sailboat symbolizing the enterprise and the captain representing the entrepreneur [5][7]. - Team collaboration and synergy are crucial for success in both sailing and business, highlighting the importance of a cohesive team [5][16]. - The captain's experience and ability to navigate challenges are likened to the entrepreneur's role in steering the company through uncertainties [9][12]. Group 2: Macro Changes - The article outlines three significant changes impacting Chinese enterprises: domestic economic shifts, the rise of artificial intelligence, and geopolitical challenges [17][21][22]. - The domestic economy has seen a recovery with new stimulus policies, indicating a potential for growth after a period of stagnation [18][19]. - The proliferation of artificial intelligence tools is transforming industries, making it essential for companies to adapt to these technological advancements [21]. Group 3: Challenges of Going Global - Companies face various challenges when expanding internationally, including market selection, compliance issues, supply chain restructuring, talent shortages, and marketing innovation [43][44][46][49][51][53]. - A significant portion of companies lack knowledge about foreign tax regulations, which poses risks when entering new markets [46]. - The need for a robust supply chain that integrates with global networks is emphasized, as many companies struggle with inefficiencies and localization [49]. - Talent development is identified as a critical bottleneck, with a shortage of globally-minded professionals hindering expansion efforts [51]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The article predicts that 2025 will be a pivotal year marked by overlapping economic, geopolitical, and technological cycles, presenting unique opportunities for Chinese entrepreneurs [28]. - The current wave of globalization is characterized by a comprehensive approach, where products, technology, talent, and management practices are all part of the international strategy [33][34]. - The article concludes with a call for companies to embrace innovation and adaptability, positioning themselves as responsible global citizens [37][41][42].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the transformation of Chinese manufacturing from "Made in China" to "Created in China," emphasizing the importance of innovation and technology in enhancing value along the "smile curve" [2][4][7]. Group 1: The Smile Curve Concept - The smile curve illustrates the value addition in manufacturing, with technology and branding on the left and right ends, while assembly and manufacturing are in the middle, representing low profit margins [2][3]. - Flattening the smile curve involves achieving both scale and price advantages alongside brand marketing and core technology, a breakthrough that is currently occurring in China [4]. Group 2: Case Study of Print Technology - The article highlights the case of Pantum, which has developed 200,000 patents, establishing a significant barrier to entry in the laser printer market, making it one of the few countries with core technology in this field [13][14]. - Pantum's journey from a consumables company to a major player in the printer market illustrates the importance of independent R&D and the development of a robust supply chain [17][18]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Consumer Behavior - The shift towards a consumer society is evident, with a focus on enhancing domestic demand and addressing the increasingly rational and segmented consumer base [42]. - The "trade-in" model has proven effective, with sales increasing by over 50% during promotional events, demonstrating the impact of targeted marketing strategies [43][51]. Group 4: Innovation and Collaboration - The partnership between Pantum and JD.com has facilitated the development of innovative products tailored to specific market needs, enhancing user experience and driving sales [32][34]. - The integration of technology and service capabilities has become crucial for success, as companies must now respond to consumer demands rather than solely producing based on their capabilities [52][56]. Group 5: Conclusion and Future Outlook - The article concludes that the ability to navigate uncertainties and leverage innovation will determine the success of companies in the evolving market landscape [58][60]. - The ongoing collaboration between manufacturing and internet platforms signifies a trend towards a more integrated approach to product development and consumer engagement [55][56].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the deep integration of "Made in China" products into global households, highlighting their significance in everyday life and the ongoing trend of globalization [1][39]. Export Growth - In 2024, China's export scale surpassed 25 trillion yuan, reaching 25.45 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.1%, marking eight consecutive years of growth [5]. - The top ten categories of exported products include mobile phones, lithium batteries, integrated circuits, toys, and diesel, while niche products like natural lacquer wood furniture have also seen significant growth, exceeding 600 million USD in exports [6]. Key Export Markets - Major importers of Chinese products include the United States, Vietnam, Japan, South Korea, India, Russia, Germany, Malaysia, the Netherlands, and Mexico [7]. Specific Product Insights - Garlic from China dominates the Indonesian market, with over 98% of imports sourced from China, amounting to 575,800 tons in 2024 [11][13]. - China is the largest producer and exporter of garlic globally, accounting for over 75% of the world's garlic exports, with a total export volume of 2,493,400 tons and an export value of 3.874 billion USD in 2024, reflecting a 25% increase [13][14]. Household Appliances - In the U.S., over 99% of household toasters and 90% of microwaves are labeled "Made in China," indicating a strong preference for Chinese small appliances [16]. - Export data shows significant growth in small appliances, with electric kettles and toasters seeing a 24% and 10% increase in export value, respectively [17]. Seasonal Products - China exports 59.83 billion USD worth of Christmas decorations, capturing 80% of the global market, with the U.S. being a major importer [21][22]. - The toy export value from China reached 39.87 billion USD in 2024, making it the seventh-largest export category, with the U.S. accounting for 76.3% of toy imports from China [24]. Emerging Trends - The demand for crystal products has surged among Gen Z consumers in the U.S., with 42% viewing them as alternatives for mental health support, leading to significant cross-border e-commerce transactions [27][28]. - In the electric vehicle sector, China's exports of new energy vehicles reached 441,000 units in Q1 2025, a 43.9% increase, with Belgium being a key market [31][33]. Renewable Energy Products - China exported 7.79 billion solar batteries in 2024, a 38.2% increase, with rising demand from countries like the Netherlands, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia [36]. - The integration of Chinese products into global households reflects a response to real consumer needs and the resonance of China's industrial capabilities with global market demands [38].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of Chinese companies going global as a crucial aspect of their development, highlighting the unprecedented restructuring process faced by global manufacturing [1][10]. Group 1: Global Expansion - The current wave of globalization is characterized by "all-factor going global," where products, technology, talent, capital, and management models must all move overseas [9]. - A survey indicated that 70% of companies choose countries based on trends, 60% follow friends, and 50% rely on intuition, underscoring the need for careful market research [11]. - Compliance is critical, with 79% of companies unaware of foreign tax details, which poses significant risks in markets like Brazil and India [12][13]. Group 2: Supply Chain and Talent - The restructuring of supply chains is essential, as Chinese manufacturing must integrate deeply with global supply chains to avoid industrial hollowing [15]. - There is a severe shortage of global talent, with a 48% talent gap in Chinese manufacturing overseas, highlighting the need for investment in talent development [16][61]. - Companies must innovate their marketing strategies to adapt to local cultures and consumer habits, as understanding these factors is vital for establishing stable sales systems [17]. Group 3: Brand Strategy and Image - A strong brand image is crucial for competitive advantage, as it influences talent acquisition, pricing, and overall market presence [29]. - The development of a brand should follow a logical progression from awareness to recognition and ultimately to a strong brand value chain [30]. Group 4: Digital Economy and Future Trends - The digital economy is projected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting it will exceed $24 trillion by 2025, becoming a core driver of global economic growth [72]. - Companies must focus on digital transformation, including the digitization of assets and operations, to unlock new value and enhance competitiveness [76][81]. - The integration of blockchain technology is seen as a key factor in enhancing asset liquidity and operational efficiency for companies [79].

长按扫码 ▲ 预约直播 文 / 巴九灵（微信公众号：吴晓波频道） 当一个加拿大籍主持人，询问一位日本籍演讲嘉宾，关于中国人出海的话题。 值得一提的是，他们彼此交流时，说的都是中文。 这个略带喜感的画面，发生在新加坡出海峰会的舞台上。 有人在朋友圈点评：越来越多外国人习得一口流利中文，背后不仅是兴趣，更是对中国文化、经济与影响力的认同。语言的传播，是最温和却有 力的"出海"。 昨天是我们新加坡出海峰会的第二天，又有10位来自出海一线的嘉宾密集输出干货。 相较第一天，当天嘉宾的"外国人含量"明显提高，开场嘉 宾是 曾任日本通商产业省历任东北亚课课长的日本著名的国际经济学者和中国问题专 家津上俊哉。 他的普通话谈不上流利，但已经带上了一些江浙沪口音，反倒令人倍感亲切。 此外，还有来自哈萨克斯坦的Diana Ablyakimova，新加坡旅游局的潘政志，他们纷纷欢迎中国企业家们到他们所在国投资与观光。 由于是峰会最后一天，焦点自然落在了今天压轴出场的吴老师——他可是实打实得刚刚"出海"归来。不久前，他刚在地中海上进行了一场酣畅淋 漓的帆船之旅。 由此，他开场便感慨道： "我们出海不是为了征服大海，而是接受它给予的洗礼 ...