昆仑资本、中国核电等股东方共同增资中国聚变公司： 中核集团、中国核电、中国石油集团昆仑资本有限 公司、上海未来聚变能源科技有限公司、国家绿色发展基金股份有限公司、浙能电力及四川重科聚变能源 科技有限公司共同向中国聚变公司投资约 114.92 亿元，增资完成后公司注册资本将上升至 150 亿元； 股权结构为：中核集团 50.35% 、中国核电 6.65% 、昆仑资本 20% 、上海聚变 11.81% 、国绿基金 3.19% 、浙能电力 5% 、四川聚变 3% 。 中国核聚变行业再添生力军： 在中国聚变公司揭牌成立前，国内核聚变行业的主力军为聚变新能。 2024 年聚变新能通过增资扩股，其注册资本增至 145 亿元，股东涵盖安徽省与合肥市国有平台、中央企业、 中国科学院及社会资本。中国聚变公司的成立标志着中核集团在核聚变领域的拓展决心，并依托昆仑资 本、中核电力等央企资金拓展核聚变领域的布局。目前国内形成了以中国聚变公司、聚变新能两大主体为 主力，众多商业化公司（能量奇点、星环聚能、星能玄光等）百花齐放的行业格局。中国聚变公司的成立 有力推动了产业化的进程，国内核聚变行业迎来黄金发展时期。 风险提示： 核聚变行业 ...

Group 1: Non-Bank Sector Insights - The non-bank sector is still underweight, with an overall underweight of 4.72 percentage points [1][3] - Institutional funds are increasingly entering the market, with a focus on low-valuation non-bank stocks [3] - In Q2, the brokerage sector saw an increase in allocation, with public funds (excluding passive index funds) raising their holdings from 0.51% to 0.80%, although still underweight by 3.02 percentage points [1] Group 2: Insurance Sector Insights - The insurance sector allocation increased from 0.84% to 1.40%, remaining underweight by 1.23% [2] - The insurance index rose by 11.53% in Q2, indicating positive market performance [2] - Key individual stocks like China Ping An and China Life saw increases in their holding proportions, reflecting growing institutional interest [2] Group 3: Financial Technology and Multi-Financial Sector Insights - The allocation for multi-financial and financial technology sectors increased from 0.176% to 0.182% [2] - Individual stock performance varied, with Tonghuashun seeing a decrease in holdings while Zhinan Compass experienced an 82% increase in institutional shares [2] - The ongoing implementation of policies to attract incremental funds and the continuous rollout of AI-related products are expected to create investment opportunities in financial information service providers [2]

Core Viewpoint - Active funds are increasing their allocation to mid-cap growth stocks and large financials, with a slight rise in overall positions despite redemption pressures [2][3]. Fund Allocation Trends - In Q2 2025, active equity funds increased their positions to 84.2%, with a notable decrease in concentration as CR20 fell by 3.3% [2]. - There is a significant increase in allocation to Hong Kong stocks, reaching a record high of 19.5%, while A-shares saw a substantial increase in the ChiNext and a slight increase in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, with a reduction in the main board [2][3]. - The active fund structure has adjusted, favoring mid-cap growth stocks represented by the CSI 500, particularly in technology hardware, pharmaceuticals, and new consumption sectors, while reducing exposure to leading heavyweight stocks [2][3]. Sector Allocation - Funds are increasing their allocation to TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) and large financial sectors, while reducing positions in cyclical and manufacturing sectors [3]. - Within the TMT sector, there is a notable increase in communication equipment, chemical pharmaceuticals, aerospace equipment, and gaming, while passenger vehicles, consumer electronics, photovoltaic equipment, and semiconductors are seeing reduced allocations [3]. - In the large financial sector, the highest increases are seen in city commercial banks, insurance, and securities, with city commercial banks reaching historical highs in allocation [3]. Hong Kong Stock Market - Active funds continue to strengthen their allocation to Hong Kong stocks, with a significant increase in holdings in innovative pharmaceuticals and new consumption sectors, while reducing exposure to retail, automotive, and media sectors [4]. - Passive funds have also increased their holdings in banks, electronics, and communications, surpassing active funds in total stock holdings for the first time, indicating a consensus in fund behavior [4]. IPO and New Fund Performance - The pace of IPO approvals has accelerated in Q2 2025, with first-day average gains for newly listed stocks exceeding 220%, and significant increases in returns for A/B class accounts [7][8]. - The average return for new fund allocations in Q2 2025 was 1.76%, with smaller funds (under 2 billion) showing the best performance [8][9]. - The top sectors for new fund holdings include banking, electronics, and household appliances, with significant increases in positions in banks and pharmaceuticals [9].

Core Viewpoint - The rise of AI technology and the maturation of supply chains are expected to accelerate the development of unmanned forklifts, with traditional forklift companies poised to seize this opportunity due to their stable operational quality and high channel reuse [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Recommendations - The generalization of AI technology enhances the flexible working capabilities of automated equipment, making unmanned forklifts economically viable and likely to enter a rapid growth phase. Traditional forklift companies with stable operations and strong channel reuse are recommended for investment [2]. - The unmanned forklift, which integrates forklift and AGV technologies, has a penetration rate of less than 2% compared to traditional forklifts. However, the overall maturation of the supply chain and decreasing sales prices are expected to improve the economic viability of unmanned forklifts within a year [2]. - The advancement of unmanned driving and embodied intelligence technologies is anticipated to lower the purchase threshold for customers, particularly small and medium-sized B-end clients, facilitating faster market penetration for "plug-and-play" unmanned forklifts [2]. Group 2: Competitive Advantages of Traditional Forklift Companies - Traditional forklift companies are expected to stand out in the current wave of intelligent development represented by unmanned forklifts. These companies have healthy operational quality and a solid economic foundation for developing or acquiring unmanned forklift technologies [3]. - The decentralized demand from downstream customers allows leading traditional forklift companies to establish comprehensive sales networks both domestically and internationally, which is beneficial for the rapid promotion of unmanned forklift businesses [3]. - The shift towards unmanned operations presents an opportunity for traditional forklift companies to enhance profitability and increase global recognition, similar to the impact of lithium battery forklifts [3]. Group 3: Differentiation Among Domestic Forklift Leaders - Domestic forklift leaders such as Anhui Heli, Hangcha Group, and Zhongli Co. are focusing on different aspects of unmanned forklift development, leading to product, customer, and market selection differentiation [4]. - Anhui Heli emphasizes collaboration with industry partners, particularly with Huawei, to accelerate the development of embodied intelligence, potentially leading in technological strength [4]. - Hangcha Group, as an early developer of AGV technology, is enhancing AI and humanoid robot capabilities through acquisitions and is establishing localized supply capabilities overseas, indicating a faster international expansion [4]. - Zhongli Co., as a new entrant in the industry, aims to create an unmanned forklift ecosystem through investments in startups, focusing on concepts like "cargo digitization" and "AI scheduling" to explore differentiated market opportunities [4].

Core Insights - The report indicates that in Q2 2025, the pure bond positions of active bond funds increased while equity positions decreased overall [1][2] - The leverage duration for active bond funds has risen, reflecting a strategic shift in asset allocation [2][3] Market Review - The bond market experienced low volatility and oscillation, with short-term bonds outperforming long-term ones. In April, the market rose due to reduced investor risk appetite influenced by "reciprocal tariffs," followed by fluctuations due to monetary easing expectations and changing tariff policies. By June, the market saw an overall increase, supported by a loose funding environment and the potential for restarting government bond trading [1] - Key indices showed positive performance: the China Bond Total Net Price Index rose by 0.90%, the China Bond Financial Bond Total Net Price Index increased by 0.53%, and the China Bond Corporate Bond Total Net Price Index saw a slight rise of 0.01% [1] Asset Allocation - There was an overall increase in pure bond positions and a decrease in equity positions among active bond funds. Specifically, convertible bond funds saw a significant reduction in equity positions, while other types of active bond funds increased their pure bond positions [1] - For pure bond products, the allocation to interest rate bonds and credit bonds increased, with interest rate bonds rising to 46.81% and credit bonds decreasing to 65.85% [2] Leverage and Duration - The leverage ratio for active bond funds rose to 116.76%, an increase of 2.31 percentage points from the previous quarter, indicating a strategy to enhance returns amid a loose funding environment [2] - The duration of high-grade credit bonds increased to approximately 51.19%, while low-grade credit bonds decreased to about 14.42%. The overall duration of key holdings also lengthened, with pre-leverage duration at 4.13 years and post-leverage duration at 4.49 years [3]

Core Viewpoint - The recovery in industrial and automotive demand is expected to improve wafer foundry capacity utilization, with leading fabs likely to achieve performance growth due to the established trend of localized production [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Outlook and Investment Recommendations - As downstream industries in industrial and automotive sectors begin to replenish inventory, demand for BCD Analog is anticipated to grow, leading to an expected increase in wafer foundry capacity utilization in Q2 and the second half of the year [1]. - According to TrendForce, the capacity utilization rate for mature processes is projected to slightly increase to over 75% as terminal markets such as smartphones, PCs, and servers are expected to recover year-on-year growth by 2025 [1]. - In Q1, SMIC reported a 4.1% increase in overall capacity utilization, reaching over 90% for both 8-inch and 12-inch wafers, indicating a positive trend in capacity utilization [1]. Group 2: Capacity Expansion and Local Production Trends - SMIC is expected to increase its 12-inch wafer capacity by approximately 50,000 pieces annually, with capital expenditure for 2025 projected to remain around $7.5 billion, consistent with the previous year [2]. - Advanced packaging capacity, led by fabs, is becoming scarce, as advanced packaging relies on chip manufacturing capabilities that are the strong suit of fabs rather than traditional packaging factories [2]. - The integration of advanced packaging services into fabs is creating ecological barriers, as high-performance chip design and packaging are becoming increasingly intertwined [2].

Core Viewpoint - The construction materials industry is experiencing a "de-involution" policy direction since July, with different segments showing distinct rhythms and strategies. The market is increasingly focused on the demand side's recovery after supply expectations have been sufficiently addressed. The industry maintains an "overweight" rating [1]. Group 1: Cement Industry - The cement industry is focusing on limiting overproduction as a key policy measure, aiming to improve off-peak production. The actual capacity has exceeded designed capacity due to capacity replacement and technological upgrades from 2016 to 2022. The expected policy to limit overproduction could raise the national average capacity utilization from 50% to 70% if fully implemented [2]. - The recent initiation of hydropower projects is expected to catalyze demand recovery in the industry, creating a resonance between supply and demand expectations [2]. Group 2: Glass Industry - In the photovoltaic glass sector, leading companies are proactively reducing production to improve supply-demand balance, with a reduction of around 30% needed for equilibrium. The pace of implementation by leading firms is crucial for monitoring [3]. - For float glass, there are currently no mandatory policies, but the focus is on optimizing energy consumption structures. Some regions may see increased production costs, and cold repairs are expected to accelerate, benefiting overall supply-demand improvement [3]. Group 3: Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector is witnessing a stabilization in its structure, with proactive measures to improve profitability already underway. Some sub-sectors, such as waterproofing, piping, and coatings, have begun to raise prices, indicating a rational growth expectation [3]. - After a prolonged adjustment period in the real estate market, the long-term certainty of consumer building materials is solid, with leading companies expected to continue outperforming through structural optimization and expansion into new categories and markets [3].

Group 1: Medical Devices - The procurement scale of medical devices in the first half of 2025 shows strong growth, with a 25% year-on-year increase in June and a cumulative 41% increase for the first half of the year [2] - The implementation of equipment update policies is expected to drive long-term growth in medical device procurement, with a target of over 25% increase in investment by 2027 compared to 2023 [2] - Hospital funding pressures are easing, which is likely to lead to a gradual recovery in the performance of medical device companies, supported by increased issuance of special bonds for hospital equipment procurement [3] Group 2: Forklift Industry - The rise of autonomous forklifts is anticipated, driven by advancements in AI technology and a mature supply chain, making them economically viable [6] - Traditional forklift companies are expected to benefit from the shift towards automation, leveraging their established sales networks and operational quality [7] - Different leading domestic forklift companies are focusing on various aspects of autonomous forklift development, with partnerships and technology integration playing a crucial role in their strategies [8]

Group 1: Humanoid Robots and AI Innovations - The global first Tesla-themed restaurant will open on July 21, featuring Tesla's Optimus robot as a waiter, enhancing customer service through QR code ordering and autonomous delivery to car windows [1] - Zhiyuan and Yushu jointly won a procurement order for bipedal robots from China Mobile, with a total order value of 124 million yuan, which is expected to accelerate the application of humanoid robots and create a development ecosystem [1] - The World Artificial Intelligence Conference will be held on July 26 in Shanghai, featuring discussions on embodied intelligence and humanoid robots, with participation from notable industry players like Tesla and Yushu [1] Group 2: Solid-State Battery Industry - The solid-state battery project by Qingtai Energy has entered trial production, with multiple production bases established across China, indicating positive signals for the industry [2] - Solid-state batteries are expected to gradually replace liquid batteries as the next mainstream power source due to their performance and safety advantages, with project construction accelerating [2] - Attention is recommended for the equipment-related supply chain, including dry mixing, coating, and packaging inspection processes [2] Group 3: Other Key Sectors - In the photovoltaic equipment sector, silicon wafer prices have rebounded, and domestic silicon material companies are responding to government policies to avoid excessive competition, focusing on cost-based pricing adjustments [3] - Xiaopeng Huitian and Yunlu Composite Materials have signed a project cooperation agreement to collaborate on lightweight flying cars, focusing on high-performance carbon fiber composite materials [3] - The collaboration aims to address traditional composite material production challenges, enhancing weaving efficiency and optimizing precision for new fiber materials [3]

Group 1 - The U.S. "GENIUS Act" signed by Trump on July 18 establishes the first federal regulatory framework for stablecoins, promoting global compliance in the stablecoin sector [1] - Major stablecoin issuers, cross-border payment institutions, and companies involved in Real World Assets (RWA) are expected to benefit significantly from this regulatory development [1] - Hong Kong and Singapore have introduced supportive regulatory frameworks for stablecoin development, providing new compliance pathways for cross-border fintech platforms [1] Group 2 - Leading brokerage firms like Futu Holdings and Tiger Brokers possess advantages in user base, technological capabilities, and payment channel development, which may enhance their international user expansion and revenue diversification [1] - Since Q2 2024, the rapid decline in short- to medium-term interest rates has led to an increase in existing bond prices and improved yield opportunities for new bond subscriptions and market-making transactions [1] - Brokerage firms are extending duration in the current interest rate environment, which is expected to yield significant valuation gains, with fixed income business becoming a key driver of brokerage mid-year performance, potentially exceeding expectations for some companies [1] Group 3 - The global leading aircraft manufacturers are experiencing extended order delivery cycles, resulting in a surge in demand for aircraft leasing [2] - Leasing companies with available aircraft fleets are seeing increased bargaining power and rental income, entering a high prosperity cycle driven by supply-demand mismatches [2] - Top leasing firms are leveraging flexible financing and a global customer network to quickly capture excess returns, leading to significant increases in asset yield and Return on Equity (ROE) [2]