Dongguan Securities
Search documents
市场全天窄幅震荡,三大指数涨跌不一
Dongguan Securities· 2025-06-12 23:31
Market Overview - The market experienced narrow fluctuations with mixed performance across the three major indices, where the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3402.66, up by 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.11% to 10234.33 [1][3] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.27 trillion, an increase of 163 billion compared to the previous trading day, indicating heightened market activity [5] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Nonferrous Metals (up 1.40%), Media (up 1.33%), and Beauty Care (up 1.31%), while the underperforming sectors were Household Appliances (down 1.77%), Coal (down 1.14%), and Food & Beverage (down 1.13%) [2] - Concept indices showed strong performance in Hair Medical (up 2.02%), IP Economy (up 1.81%), and Quantum Technology (up 1.72%), while the weakest performers included the China-South Korea Free Trade Zone (down 1.52%) and Pork (down 1.11%) [2] Future Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a basic pattern of fluctuating upward movement, with a focus on sectors such as technology self-sufficiency and consumption upgrades, as well as large financials and restructuring concepts favored by state-owned enterprises [5] - Key upcoming events, including the Lujiazui Forum from June 18 to 19, are anticipated to provide support for the current structural market [5] Policy and Economic Indicators - The National Development and Reform Commission supports eligible Hong Kong-listed companies to issue depositary receipts on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, which may enhance market liquidity [4] - The U.S. inflation data for May showed a year-on-year increase of 2.4%, aligning with expectations, while core CPI rose by 2.8%, slightly below forecasts, indicating potential for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September [4]
5月磷酸铁锂电池装车量同比保持快速增长
Dongguan Securities· 2025-06-12 09:16
锂电池产业链 超配(维持) 5 月磷酸铁锂电池装车量同比保持快速增长 锂电池产业链跟踪点评 2025 年 6 月 12 日 分析师:黄秀瑜(SAC 执业证书编号:S0340512090001) 电话:0769-22119455 邮箱:hxy3@dgzq.com.cn 事 件 点 评 行 业 事件: 2025 年 5 月新能源汽车产销量及动力电池装车量数据公布。 点评: 5月新能源汽车产销同比保持快速增长,环比小幅增长。根据中汽协数据,2025年5月新能源汽车产销 分别完成127万辆和130.7万辆,同比分别增长35%和36.9%,环比分别增长1.52%和6.61%。其中,纯电 动销量83.4万辆,同比增长43.1%,环比增长1.46%;插电式混动销量47.3万辆,同比增长27.3%,环 比增长17.37%。1-5月新能源汽车产销分别完成569.9万辆和560.8万辆,同比分别增长45.2%和44%。 其中,纯电动销量355.6万辆,同比增长47.7%;插电式混动销量205.1万辆,同比增长38%。5月新能 源汽车渗透率48.7%,环比上升1.4pct;1-5月渗透率44%。5月新能源汽车出口21.2万辆,同比 ...
公募基金2025年中期投资策略:变中有常,守常而变数
Dongguan Securities· 2025-06-12 09:16
基 金 研 究 (可公开)变中有常,守常而应变 ——公募基金 2025 年中期投资策略 2025 年 06 月 12 日 投资要点 分析师:李荣 SAC 执业证书编号: S0340521010001 F4520000001431 电话:0769-26628039 邮箱:lirong@dgzq.com.cn 基 金 专 题 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息,关于信息的准确性与完整性,建议投资者谨慎判断,据此入市,风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 1.(可公开)基金研究专题:基于市 20250306 —20250410 历史新高——20250506 上半年市场回顾:全球主要权益资产震荡上行,在去美元化、地缘政治博 弈下黄金资产表现优异,原油资产下跌,港股市场超额收益显著。国内A 股市场震荡分化,走出典型的"N形"形态。基金市场方面,主要基金指 数均录得正收益,主动权益基金跑出超额,各类型ETF基金均呈现资金净 流入。 基金从业资格证书编号: 下半年大类资产配置观点:权益资产方面,A股市场估值合理,政策托底, 随着市场对关税扰动效应逐渐脱敏,市场交易逐渐回归经济基本面,优 质的权益资产将迎 ...
A股市场大势研判:沪指重回3400点,创业板指领涨
Dongguan Securities· 2025-06-12 02:11
Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index has returned to 3400 points, with the ChiNext Index leading the gains [1][4] - The market showed a rebound with all three major indices closing in the green, and the ChiNext Index leading the rise [4][6] Market Performance - The closing points and percentage changes for major indices are as follows: - Shanghai Composite Index: 3402.32, up 0.52% [2] - Shenzhen Component Index: 10246.02, up 0.83% [2] - CSI 300: 3894.63, up 0.75% [2] - ChiNext Index: 2061.87, up 1.21% [2] - STAR 50: 980.93, down 0.20% [2] - Beijing Stock Exchange 50: 1427.91, unchanged [2] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors include: - Non-ferrous metals: up 2.21% [3] - Agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery: up 2.02% [3] - Non-bank financials: up 1.90% [3] - Automotive: up 1.70% [3] - Media: up 1.60% [3] - The underperforming sectors include: - Pharmaceutical and biological: down 0.41% [3] - Communication: down 0.28% [3] - Beauty and personal care: down 0.10% [3] - Public utilities: up 0.09% [3] - Food and beverage: up 0.21% [3] Concept Index Performance - The leading concept indices include: - Rare earth permanent magnet: up 4.90% [3] - E-sports: up 2.72% [3] - Cobalt: up 2.36% [3] - Integrated die-casting: up 2.26% [3] - Online gaming: up 2.22% [3] - The lagging concept indices include: - China-South Korea Free Trade Zone: down 1.35% [3] - CRO concept: down 0.90% [3] - Alzheimer's concept: down 0.90% [3] - Recombinant protein: down 0.82% [3] - Controlled nuclear fusion: down 0.80% [3] Future Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a slight positive growth in exports in June and July, despite a slowdown in growth and a widening decline in exports to the U.S. [6] - The report anticipates that the trade negotiations between China and the U.S. will ease trade tensions, supporting overseas demand [6] - The focus will be on the implementation of existing economic stabilization policies and potential new policies following the political bureau meeting in July [6] - Investment strategies should consider sectors such as technology growth, new consumption, high-end manufacturing, and high-dividend defensive assets [6]
A股市场大势研判:大盘放量调整,创业板指领跌
Dongguan Securities· 2025-06-10 23:32
Market Overview - The market experienced a significant adjustment with the ChiNext index leading the decline, as all major indices closed in the red [1][4] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3384.82, down 0.44%, while the ChiNext index fell by 1.17% to 2037.27 [2][4] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Beauty Care (up 1.10%), Banking (up 0.48%), and Pharmaceutical Biology (up 0.33%), while the worst performers were Defense Industry (down 1.97%) and Computer (down 1.87%) [3][4] - Concept sectors such as Genetically Modified Organisms (up 3.15%) and Sino-Korean Free Trade Zone (up 2.30%) showed strong performance, whereas EDR Concept (down 2.63%) and MLOps Concept (down 2.56%) lagged [3][4] Future Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a volatile trend, with potential structural opportunities arising from positive policy implementations and breakthroughs in technology [7] - The report suggests a focus on sectors such as Finance, Public Utilities, Non-ferrous Metals, Pharmaceutical Biology, and TMT for potential investment opportunities [7]
基础化工行业2025年中期投资策略:拨云见日终有时,关注细分领域结构性机会
Dongguan Securities· 2025-06-10 09:22
Group 1 - The report emphasizes the improvement in supply-demand dynamics within the basic chemical industry, highlighting structural opportunities in specific sub-sectors such as refrigerants, sweeteners, lubricating oil additives, and modified plastics [5][6][61] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a decline in the scale of ongoing projects in the basic chemical sector, indicating a rationalization of supply as the industry moves away from "involution" competition [18][22] - The basic chemical sector's revenue for Q1 2025 was 605.93 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.49%, while net profit reached 36.91 billion yuan, up 5.18% year-on-year [21][29] Group 2 - In the refrigerant sector, the supply of second-generation refrigerants is being significantly reduced, while third-generation refrigerants remain under quota restrictions, leading to a favorable demand outlook driven by strong performance in air conditioning and automotive sectors [42][53] - The sweetener market is expected to benefit from the trend towards reduced sugar consumption, with potential growth in demand for products like sucralose and allulose, particularly if domestic approval for allulose is granted [4][6][4] - The lubricating oil additive market is poised for growth due to the increasing emphasis on domestic substitution, as the industry currently relies on significant imports, with 200,000 to 300,000 tons needed annually [6][5][6] Group 3 - The modified plastics sector is projected to grow as the government implements policies to encourage the replacement of old consumer goods, particularly in the automotive and home appliance markets [6][6][6] - The report indicates that the average price of refrigerants such as R134a and R32 has seen significant year-on-year increases, reflecting a high demand environment [59][63] - The overall market sentiment in the basic chemical industry is positive, with expectations of continued demand growth supported by government policies aimed at stabilizing the economy and boosting consumption [38][39][41]
新股发行跟踪(20250609)
Dongguan Securities· 2025-06-09 09:37
证券研究报告 2025 年 6 月 9 日 星期一 【新股发行跟踪(20250609)】 一、上周新股表现情况 上周(6 月 2 日-6 月 6 日)共有 2 只新股上市,上市首日涨跌幅均值 为 37.74%。其中,无新股上市首日涨幅超 100%。上周无新股首日破发。 资料来源:东莞证券研究所,iFinD 二、周度新股上市情况走势 从周度新股上市规模来看,上周(6 月 2 日-6 月 6 日,下同)较上上 周(5 月 26 日-5 月 30 日,下同)相比,上市新股数量多 1 只,首发募资 金额多 44.03 亿元。 从周度上市新股表现来看,上周与上上周均无新股首日破发,与上上 周相比,上周首日涨幅超 100%的新股数量有所减少,上市首日涨跌幅均 值大幅下降。 资料来源:东莞证券研究所,iFinD 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息,关于信息的准确性与完整性,建议投资者谨慎判断,据此入市,风险自担。请务必阅读 末页声明。 1 表 1:上周新股表现 股票代码 股票简称 上市日期 上市 板块 发行价 格(元) 发行市 盈率 证监会行业 首日收盘 涨跌幅(%) 603049.SH 中策橡胶 ...
公用事业行业双周报:国家能源局发布 4 月可再生能源绿色电力证书相关数据-20250606
Dongguan Securities· 2025-06-06 11:18
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the public utility industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [44]. Core Insights - The public utility index has seen a decline of 1.9% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.0 percentage points, ranking 27th among 31 industries. Year-to-date, the index has decreased by 1.1%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.4 percentage points, ranking 22nd [9][11]. - Among the sub-sectors, three have increased: heating services by 0.4%, photovoltaic power generation by 0.3%, and gas by 0.1%. Conversely, four sub-sectors have decreased: hydropower by 4.4%, thermal power by 1.9%, comprehensive energy services by 0.6%, and wind power by 0.5% [11][14]. - The report highlights significant industry news, including the issuance of 216 million renewable energy green power certificates in April 2025, a 23.94% increase month-on-month, covering 104,300 renewable energy projects [37][39]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - As of June 5, the public utility index has decreased by 1.9% in the last two weeks, ranking 27th among 31 industries. Year-to-date, it has decreased by 1.1%, ranking 22nd [9][11]. 2. Industry Valuation - The public utility sector's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 18.4 times. The photovoltaic sector has a P/E ratio of 740.3 times, while thermal power is at 11.9 times [17][18]. 3. Industry Data Tracking - The average price of Shenxi Yulin thermal coal (Q6000) is 560 yuan/ton, down 1.8% from the previous value. The average price of Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 612 yuan/ton, down 1.4% [29][32]. 4. Key Industry News - The report discusses the promotion of renewable energy and the establishment of a modern electricity business environment, emphasizing the construction of a new power system [40][41]. 5. Industry Weekly Viewpoint - The report suggests focusing on companies like Xin'ao Co., Ltd. and Huadian International, given the ongoing developments in the gas and thermal power sectors [39][41]. 6. Important Company Announcements - Notable announcements include Xinjiang Li New Energy's agreement with Xinjiang Energy Group and Nanfang Energy's planned investment exceeding 3 billion yuan in 2025 [38].
农林牧渔行业双周报(2025、5、23-2025、6、5):优质农业龙头推进国际化战略-20250606
Dongguan Securities· 2025-06-06 09:41
分析师:黄冬祎 S0340523020001 电话:0769-22119410 邮箱: huangdongyi@dgzq.com.cn 农林牧渔行业 超配(维持) 农林牧渔行业双周报(2025/5/23-2025/6/5) 行 业 优质农业龙头推进国际化战略 2025 年 6 月 6 日 投资要点: 风险提示:疫病大规模爆发,价格下行,自然灾害,市场竞争加剧等。 所 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息,关于信息的准确性与完整性,建议投资者谨慎判断,据此入市,风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 分析师:魏红梅 SAC 执业证书编号: S0340513040002 电话:0769-22119462 邮箱:whm2@dgzq.com.cn SW农林牧渔行业跑赢沪深300指数。2025年5月23日—2025年6月5日,SW 农林牧渔行业上涨1.23%,跑赢同期沪深300指数约2.16个百分点;细分板 块中,仅动物保健录得负收益,下跌1.25%;饲料、渔业、养殖业、农产 品加工和种植业均录得正收益,分别上涨2.74%、2.45%、1.14%、0.96%和 0.61%。估值方面,截至2025年6月5 ...
食品饮料行业双周报(2025、05、23-2025、06、05):白酒动销平淡,关注啤酒等旺季消费-20250606
Dongguan Securities· 2025-06-06 09:40
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the food and beverage industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by over 10% in the next six months [56]. Core Viewpoints - The white liquor market is experiencing sluggish sales, while attention should be paid to beer and other seasonal consumption [51]. - The SW food and beverage industry index fell by 1.83% from May 23 to June 5, 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 index by approximately 0.90 percentage points [13]. - Most sub-sectors within the industry outperformed the CSI 300 index during the same period, with the soft drink sector seeing the largest increase of 8.72% [15]. - Approximately 70% of stocks in the industry recorded positive returns, with notable gainers including Junyao Health (+62.74%) and Miaokelando (+21.27%) [17]. - The overall industry valuation is below the five-year average, with a current PE (TTM) of approximately 21.40 times, compared to the historical average of 34 times [21]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The SW food and beverage industry index underperformed the CSI 300 index, with a decline of 1.83% from May 23 to June 5, 2025 [13]. - Most sub-sectors outperformed the CSI 300 index, with the soft drink sector leading at an increase of 8.72% [15]. - About 70% of stocks in the industry achieved positive returns, with significant gains from Junyao Health and Miaokelando [17]. Industry Data Tracking White Liquor Sector - The prices of major white liquor brands, such as Feitian and Guojiao 1573, have decreased recently, indicating market pressure [24]. Seasonality and Consumer Trends - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring seasonal consumption trends, particularly in beer and soft drinks, as the industry enters a peak consumption period [51]. Valuation Metrics - The current industry PE (TTM) is approximately 21.40 times, which is below the five-year average of 34 times, suggesting potential undervaluation [21]. Key Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-certainty stocks such as Kweichow Moutai (600519) and other regional liquor brands like Shanxi Fenjiu (600809) and Gujing Gongjiu (000596) [51]. - In the broader consumer goods sector, companies like Haitian Flavoring (603288), Qingdao Beer (600600), and Yili (600887) are highlighted for their growth potential [51].