Quantitative Models and Construction Methods Model: PB-ROE-50 Combination - **Construction Idea**: The PB-ROE-50 combination aims to capture excess returns by selecting stocks with favorable Price-to-Book (PB) and Return on Equity (ROE) metrics. - **Construction Process**: The combination is constructed by selecting the top 50 stocks based on their PB and ROE metrics from the entire market stock pool, the CSI 500 stock pool, and the CSI 800 stock pool. The selection is updated periodically to maintain the combination's effectiveness.[23][24] - **Evaluation**: The PB-ROE-50 combination has shown the ability to generate positive excess returns in the overall market stock pool, although it has underperformed in the CSI 500 and CSI 800 stock pools this week.[23][24] Model: Institutional Research Combination - **Construction Idea**: This model leverages the insights from public and private institutional research to select stocks that are expected to outperform. - **Construction Process**: The combination is constructed by tracking the stocks that have been researched by public and private institutions. The performance of these stocks is then compared to the CSI 800 index to measure excess returns.[25][26] - **Evaluation**: Both the public and private institutional research strategies have generated positive excess returns this week, indicating the effectiveness of institutional insights in stock selection.[25][26] Model: Block Trade Combination - **Construction Idea**: This model aims to capture the information embedded in block trades, which are large transactions that can indicate significant investor interest. - **Construction Process**: The combination is constructed by selecting stocks with high block trade transaction amounts and low 6-day transaction amount volatility. The combination is rebalanced monthly to maintain its effectiveness.[29][30] - **Evaluation**: The block trade combination has generated positive excess returns this week, suggesting that the "high transaction, low volatility" principle is effective in identifying outperforming stocks.[29][30] Model: Private Placement Combination - **Construction Idea**: This model focuses on the event-driven opportunities presented by private placements, which can indicate significant corporate actions and investor interest. - **Construction Process**: The combination is constructed by selecting stocks involved in private placements, considering factors such as market capitalization, rebalancing cycle, and position control. The combination is updated based on the announcement date of the shareholders' meeting.[35][36] - **Evaluation**: The private placement combination has underperformed this week, generating negative excess returns, which raises questions about the current effectiveness of private placement event-driven strategies.[35][36] Model Backtesting Results PB-ROE-50 Combination - **CSI 500**: Excess return this week: -0.57%, Year-to-date excess return: 2.97%, Absolute return this week: 2.69%, Year-to-date absolute return: 13.29%[24] - **CSI 800**: Excess return this week: -0.45%, Year-to-date excess return: 7.47%, Absolute return this week: 1.64%, Year-to-date absolute return: 14.12%[24] - **Overall Market**: Excess return this week: 0.06%, Year-to-date excess return: 9.34%, Absolute return this week: 2.22%, Year-to-date absolute return: 20.17%[24] Institutional Research Combination - **Public Research**: Excess return this week: 1.02%, Year-to-date excess return: 7.37%, Absolute return this week: 3.15%, Year-to-date absolute return: 14.02%[26] - **Private Research**: Excess return this week: 2.72%, Year-to-date excess return: 18.45%, Absolute return this week: 4.88%, Year-to-date absolute return: 25.78%[26] Block Trade Combination - **Excess return this week**: 0.83%, Year-to-date excess return: 27.95%, Absolute return this week: 3.01%, Year-to-date absolute return: 40.62%[30] Private Placement Combination - **Excess return this week**: -0.46%, Year-to-date excess return: 7.55%, Absolute return this week: 1.69%, Year-to-date absolute return: 18.19%[36] Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods Single Factors - **Top Performing Factors in CSI 300**: Single-quarter operating profit YoY growth rate (2.40%), Price-to-Book ratio (2.30%), Turnover rate relative volatility (2.19%)[12][13] - **Top Performing Factors in CSI 500**: Downside volatility proportion (3.85%), Intraday volatility and transaction amount correlation (3.44%), Price-to-Earnings TTM inverse (2.31%)[14][15] - **Top Performing Factors in Liquidity 1500**: Price-to-Book ratio (1.67%), Price-to-Earnings TTM inverse (1.20%), Price-to-Earnings ratio (0.97%)[16][17] Factor Backtesting Results CSI 300 - **Single-quarter operating profit YoY growth rate**: 2.40%[12][13] - **Price-to-Book ratio**: 2.30%[12][13] - **Turnover rate relative volatility**: 2.19%[12][13] CSI 500 - **Downside volatility proportion**: 3.85%[14][15] - **Intraday volatility and transaction amount correlation**: 3.44%[14][15] - **Price-to-Earnings TTM inverse**: 2.31%[14][15] Liquidity 1500 - **Price-to-Book ratio**: 1.67%[16][17] - **Price-to-Earnings TTM inverse**: 1.20%[16][17] - **Price-to-Earnings ratio**: 0.97%[16][17]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future investment returns exceeding the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [5][13]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the domestic inductance market, with a significant global market share in magnetic components, microwave devices, sensors, and fine ceramics. The company reported a revenue of 1.461 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16%, and a net profit of 233 million yuan, up 37% year-on-year [1]. - The company has successfully expanded its automotive electronics business, achieving a revenue of 1.1 billion yuan in 2024, representing a 62% year-on-year growth. Its products cover various electric and intelligent driving applications [2]. - The company is actively collaborating with leading data center enterprises to develop energy-efficient product combinations for AI servers and storage solutions, responding to the increasing demand for high power density and low power consumption [2]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company specializes in magnetic components and has a strong presence in the global market, particularly in high-precision products. Its product applications are expanding into 5G communications, big data, automotive electronics, and renewable energy sectors [1]. Financial Performance - For 2023, the company forecasts a revenue of 5.04 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 18.93%. The net profit is projected to be 641 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 47.91% [4][9]. - The company expects to achieve a net profit of 1.057 billion yuan by 2025, with a corresponding P/E ratio of 22 [3][4]. Market Trends - The report highlights the acceleration of AI applications in consumer electronics, which is expected to create new market opportunities for various components. The company has achieved comprehensive coverage of clients in the consumer electronics sector [1][2]. - The automotive electronics segment is noted for its comprehensive coverage of electrification scenarios, including intelligent driving and smart cockpit applications [2]. Valuation Metrics - The company’s projected P/E ratios are 36 for 2023, decreasing to 15 by 2027, indicating a favorable valuation trend as earnings grow [4][12]. - The report also provides a detailed forecast of revenue, net profit, and other financial metrics through 2027, showcasing a consistent growth trajectory [4][9][11].

Group 1: Nature and Market of Stablecoins - Stablecoins are essentially "on-chain" dollars, designed to mitigate cryptocurrency market volatility and enhance payment efficiency[1] - As of July 24, 2025, the total market capitalization of stablecoins exceeded $270 billion, with USDT and USDC accounting for approximately 62% and 24% of the market, respectively[12] - USDT and USDC dominate the market, representing about 90% of stablecoin trading volume and 80% of market value[2] Group 2: Issuer Profit Models - Stablecoin issuers profit from the interest rate spread, as they do not pay interest on the stablecoins held by users[2] - Tether's reserve assets consist of approximately 80% in U.S. Treasury bonds and cash, while Circle's reserves are primarily in U.S. Treasury bonds and cash, leading to lower but safer returns[2] - Tether reported a net profit of approximately $13 billion in 2024, with $7 billion from U.S. Treasury investments and $5 billion from Bitcoin and gold holdings[50] Group 3: Regulatory Framework - The U.S. "GENIUS Act" mandates that stablecoins must be backed 100% by cash or short-term U.S. Treasury securities, with a diverse regulatory body overseeing compliance[3] - The EU's "MiCA Act" aims for unified regulation across member states, focusing on risk prevention and maintaining financial sovereignty[34] - Hong Kong's "Stablecoin Ordinance" emphasizes strict approval processes and a 100% reserve requirement, allowing for a more inclusive approach to stablecoin issuance[40] Group 4: Macro Implications - Dollar-backed stablecoins expand the functionality of the dollar, reinforcing its dominance in the international monetary system[4] - The growth of stablecoins poses new challenges for central banks in managing liquidity, as they can significantly increase the velocity of money circulation[4] - The expansion of stablecoins could exacerbate the U.S. government's long-term debt issues, as they are primarily tied to short-term bonds[4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, indicating an expected investment return exceeding 15% over the next 6-12 months compared to market benchmarks [5]. Core Insights - Stablecoins are anticipated to drive the internationalization of the Renminbi (RMB), with significant growth in its global payment share from approximately 2% in December 2015 to an estimated 4% by December 2024, alongside a rise in cross-border payment volume from 12 trillion yuan to 64 trillion yuan [1][2]. - The global cross-border payment market is projected to reach approximately 200 trillion USD by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) exceeding 6% from 2024 to 2032, indicating substantial potential for RMB payment growth [2][10]. - Third-party payment institutions are expected to benefit from the increasing RMB cross-border payment scale, with the retail cross-border payment market projected to grow from 39.9 trillion USD in 2024 to 64.5 trillion USD by 2032, reflecting a CAGR of 6.2% [3][17]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Stablecoins and RMB Internationalization - Stablecoins are positioned as a key driver for RMB internationalization, leveraging decentralized architecture and offshore circulation capabilities to enhance the RMB's global usage [1][8]. - The RMB's global payment share is expected to rise significantly, supported by upgrades in cross-border clearing systems and the expansion of offshore markets [2][16]. Section 2: Global Cross-Border Payment Market - The global cross-border payment market is on a stable growth trajectory, with transaction volumes projected to reach 194.6 trillion USD by 2024, growing at a CAGR of approximately 9% from 2019 to 2024 [2][10]. - By 2032, the market is expected to expand to 320 trillion USD, with a sustained CAGR of 6.4% [2][10]. Section 3: Opportunities for Third-Party Payment Institutions - The report highlights the significant role of third-party payment institutions in the retail cross-border payment market, where B2B payments dominate with a 79% share [3][17]. - The integration of stablecoins is expected to enhance the global expansion of RMB cross-border payment infrastructure and diversify application scenarios, leading to increased revenue potential for third-party payment companies [3][23]. Section 4: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on specific companies within the A-share market, including Xinguodu, Lakala, and Newland, as well as Hong Kong-listed companies like Lianlian Digital and Yika [3][27].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the carbon fiber industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The carbon fiber industry is currently at the bottom of its cycle, with demand expected to improve, leading to a potential increase in industry prosperity [4] - Domestic carbon fiber prices have been declining since 2022, but are now stabilizing, with a current price of 83.75 RMB/kg, down 8.2% year-on-year [4] - The average gross profit margin for the carbon fiber industry is currently -0.83 thousand RMB/ton, but has improved by 1.25 thousand RMB/ton since the beginning of the year [4] - The total carbon fiber production capacity in China is 159,500 tons, with expected new capacities of approximately 46,530 tons from 2025 to 2028 [5] - The "anti-involution" policy is expected to help reduce supply and increase industry concentration, improving overall industry conditions [5] Summary by Sections Demand Trends - Global carbon fiber demand is projected to reach 156,100 tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 35.7%, with significant growth in the wind power sector (120% increase) [6] - In China, total carbon fiber demand is expected to be 84,000 tons in 2024, up 21.7% year-on-year, with domestic supply increasing by 27.6% [6] Domestic Production and Technology - The domestic carbon fiber industry has accelerated its localization process since the 21st century, overcoming previous technological barriers [7] - A complete industrial system for carbon fiber production has been established in China, with capabilities for high-performance carbon fiber production [7] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies such as Jilin Chemical Fiber, Jilin Carbon Valley, Zhongfu Shenying, Shanghai Petrochemical, Zhongjian Technology, and Jinggong Technology, as they are expected to benefit from improved supply-demand dynamics [8]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report As of the end of June 2025, the total bond custody decreased on a month - on - month basis. The custody of inter - bank certificates of deposit decreased significantly due to concentrated maturities, while other bonds increased. Different institutions showed distinct trends in bond holding, and the bond market leverage ratio increased slightly [1][11]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Bond Custody Total and Structure - The total bond custody increased less on a month - on - month basis. As of the end of June 2025, the combined bond custody of CCDC and SHCH was 171.29 trillion yuan, with a net increase of 1.30 trillion yuan, 0.87 trillion yuan less than the month - on - month increase at the end of May [1][11]. - Affected by concentrated maturities, the custody of inter - bank certificates of deposit decreased by 0.72 trillion yuan, the largest decline in recent years. The custody of interest - rate bonds, credit bonds, and non - policy financial bonds increased by 1.67 trillion yuan, 0.17 trillion yuan, and 0.20 trillion yuan respectively [1][11]. 3.2 Bond Holder Structure and Changes 3.2.1 Month - on - month Changes in Custody by Institution - Policy banks and insurance institutions increased their holdings of major bond types comprehensively. - Commercial banks increased their holdings of major interest - rate products but continued to reduce their holdings of inter - bank certificates of deposit and major credit products. - Credit unions and overseas institutions reduced their holdings of major bond types comprehensively. - Securities companies and non - legal entity products increased their holdings of major interest - rate and credit products but reduced their holdings of inter - bank certificates of deposit [2][24]. 3.2.2 Month - on - month Changes in Custody by Bond Type - Treasury bond custody continued to increase, with non - legal entity products being the main buyers. - Local government bond custody continued to increase, with commercial banks as the main buyers and policy banks as the main sellers. - Policy financial bond custody continued to increase, with non - legal entity products turning to large - scale buying. - Inter - bank certificate of deposit custody turned to a decrease, with non - legal entity products as the main sellers. - Corporate bond custody continued to decrease, with commercial banks as the main sellers. - Medium - term note custody continued to increase, with non - legal entity products as the main buyers. - Short - term financing and super short - term financing custody continued to decrease, with commercial banks and non - legal entity products as the main sellers. - Non - public directional instrument custody continued to decrease, with non - legal entity products and commercial banks as the main sellers [3][26][27]. 3.2.3 Holder Structure of Major Bond Types - Treasury bonds: Commercial banks held 67.07%, policy banks 11.24%, and non - legal entity products 8.93%. - Policy financial bonds: Commercial banks held 53.65%, non - legal entity products 33.11%. - Local government bonds: Commercial banks held 75.08%, policy banks 9.35%. - Corporate bonds: Non - legal entity products held 53.90%, commercial banks 32.37%. - Medium - term notes: Non - legal entity products held 62.18%, commercial banks 23.01%. - Short - term and super short - term financing: Non - legal entity products held 62.85%, commercial banks 20.05%. - Non - public directional instruments: Non - legal entity products held 59.26%, commercial banks 25.20%. - Inter - bank certificates of deposit: Non - legal entity products held 64.91%, commercial banks 28.17% [32][34][37]. 3.3 Bond Market Leverage Ratio Observation As of the end of June 2025, the estimated balance of repurchase - to - be - acquired pledged repos was 12.151369 trillion yuan, an increase of 1.417041 trillion yuan month - on - month. The leverage ratio was 107.64%, up 0.90 percentage points month - on - month and 0.05 percentage points year - on - year [4][49].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The successful production launch of the Kenli 10-2 oilfield project marks a significant milestone for China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), enhancing its capacity for high-quality reserves and production [1][2] - The project is expected to reach a peak production of 19,400 barrels of oil equivalent per day by 2026, contributing to CNOOC's goal of achieving a total annual production of 40 million tons in the Bohai oilfield [2][4] - CNOOC is focusing on technological innovation to efficiently develop heavy oil reservoirs, employing a combination of conventional water injection and steam-assisted methods [3] Summary by Sections Production and Development - The Kenli 10-2 oilfield is the first billion-ton level lithologic oilfield discovered in the shallow layers of the Bohai Bay Basin, indicating a new phase in the development of complex heavy oil reservoirs [2][3] - The project includes the construction of one central platform and two wellhead platforms, with plans to drill 79 wells, including cold and thermal recovery wells [2] Financial Projections - CNOOC's capital expenditure for 2025 is projected to be between 125 billion to 135 billion yuan, with a focus on exploration, development, and production [4] - The company aims for production targets of 760-780 million barrels of oil equivalent in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 5.9% [4] Profitability and Valuation - The report forecasts CNOOC's net profit for 2025-2027 to be 135.4 billion, 139.8 billion, and 144.3 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.85, 2.94, and 3.04 yuan per share [4][11] - The company is expected to maintain a stable production scale while pursuing high-quality development and effective cost control [4][13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector [4]. Core Insights - The number of confirmed cases of Chikungunya fever is rapidly increasing, with 3,645 cases reported in Foshan as of July 23, 2025, including a daily increase of 383 cases in Shunde District [1]. - The World Health Organization (WHO) has warned that 119 countries and regions are at risk of virus transmission, with approximately 5.5 million people facing infection risk [1]. - There are currently no specific drugs or vaccines available for Chikungunya fever, making mosquito control the primary prevention strategy [2]. - Multiple companies have launched testing solutions for Chikungunya fever, and the approval of these products is expected to accelerate [3]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - Chikungunya fever is caused by the Chikungunya virus (CHIKV) and primarily transmitted by Aedes mosquitoes, with symptoms including acute fever and severe joint pain [2]. - The absence of effective treatment and vaccines necessitates supportive care and preventive measures such as mosquito control [2]. Testing Solutions - Common testing methods for Chikungunya fever include serological testing, nucleic acid testing, and virus isolation, but no test kits have been approved for sale in China [2]. - Companies like DaAn Gene, Wanfu Biology, and others have developed PCR-based testing solutions, while others are exploring high-throughput sequencing methods [3]. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on companies that have developed Chikungunya testing solutions, including DaAn Gene, Wanfu Biology, and others [3].

Group 1: Internet Media - Google's advertising revenue exceeded expectations in Q2 2025, indicating overall active economic activity in the U.S. and alleviating concerns about AI's impact on traditional search engine advertising [2] - Google Cloud's revenue and profitability were strong, leading to an upward revision of the annual capital expenditure guidance, with AI demand continuing to outstrip supply [2] - The full-stack AI industry chain comprising data centers, ASICs, algorithms, and products gives Google a solid and differentiated advantage in the AI field, suggesting continued attention is warranted [2] Group 2: Petrochemicals - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is set to launch a growth stabilization plan for the petrochemical industry, which is expected to promote the elimination of outdated capacity and lead to healthier industry development [3] - Key companies to watch include: in the soda ash sector, Boyuan Chemical, Shandong Haihua, China Salt Chemical, and Shuanghuan Technology; in the PVC sector, Xinjiang Tianye, Sanyou Chemical, and Chlor-alkali Chemical [3] Group 3: Non-ferrous Metals - The recent Central Financial Committee's emphasis on legally governing low-price disorderly competition is expected to facilitate the orderly exit of outdated capacity in the copper smelting industry [4] - If the "anti-involution" theme is implemented, it may limit new copper smelting capacity and accelerate the exit of small smelting capacities, leading to improved profitability for smelting enterprises [4] - Companies to focus on include Tongling Nonferrous Metals, China Daye Nonferrous Metals, Jiangxi Copper, and Yunnan Copper [4] Group 4: Construction - The commencement of the Yajiang Hydropower Station is expected to generate new demand for construction and materials [5] - Recommended companies include China Power Construction, China Energy Construction, China Communications Construction, and China Railway, along with material suppliers like Huaxin Cement and Tibet Tianlu [5] Group 5: Pharmaceuticals - The precise adjustment of medical insurance policies is reshaping the pharmaceutical industry ecosystem, with the "anti-involution" in procurement clearing low-quality capacity and creating market space for quality enterprises [6] - Focus on two types of companies: those that continue to be selected in procurement with dual advantages in quality and cost, and innovative drug companies with rich R&D pipelines [6] - Recommended companies include Heng Rui Medicine, Jingxin Pharmaceutical, and Jiuzhou Pharmaceutical, with attention to MicroPort Medical, Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical, and Fangsheng Pharmaceutical [6] Group 6: Automotive - Tesla's Q2 2025 performance showed a recovery, with a shift in focus towards AI-driven initiatives like Robotaxi and humanoid robots [8] - Due to uncertainties in overseas policies and market sales, the 2025E/2026E/2027E Non-GAAP net profit estimates have been adjusted to $6.06 billion, $8.77 billion, and $11.28 billion respectively [8] - Tesla's leading position in AI technology iteration and commercialization capabilities remains a positive outlook [8] Group 7: Internet Literature - The online reading business of the report's subject company remains stable, but revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised down to 7.39 billion, 7.95 billion, and 8.14 billion yuan due to uncertainties in new series and adjustments in short drama revenue recognition [9] - The company's proprietary profit continues to improve, supported by the strong performance of new businesses like short dramas and IP derivatives [9] - The full-year performance growth remains highly certain, with adjusted net profit forecasts of 1.35 billion, 1.53 billion, and 1.66 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company's performance in Q2 2025 shows a sequential recovery, with total revenue of $22.5 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 11.8% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 16.3%. The gross margin improved to 17.2% [1] - The automotive business in China remains robust, with global deliveries of 384,000 units in Q2 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 13.5% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.1%. The automotive business revenue reached $16.66 billion, with an average selling price (ASP) of approximately $42,000 [2] - The focus is shifting from fundamentals to AI-driven initiatives, particularly the Robotaxi and humanoid robots. The Robotaxi is seen as a viable low-cost solution for Level 4 autonomy, with expectations for rapid expansion in the U.S. market [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q2 2025 total revenue was $22.5 billion, with a gross margin of 17.2%. Non-GAAP net profit was $1.39 billion, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 49.1% [1] - The automotive business revenue was $16.66 billion, with a gross margin of 15.0% [2] Market Outlook - The report anticipates a positive trend in the Chinese market, with new models expected to launch in Q4 2025, including the Model YL and Model 3+ [2] - The AI sector is expected to drive future growth, with the introduction of Grok 4 and the ongoing development of Robotaxi and humanoid robots [3] Valuation Adjustments - The report adjusts the Non-GAAP net profit estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 downwards by 14%, 11%, and 4% respectively, reflecting uncertainties in overseas policies and market conditions [4]