证 券 研 究 报 告 保险行业深度研究报告 谁在战胜基准？——基于保险十年深度转型 推荐（维持） 复盘 ❑ 回顾保险板块过去十年，根据行情驱动因素划分阶段： 2015-2016 年：保险板块先升后降，随之低位调整，主要影响因素或在于股市 波动。 2017 年：保险板块显著跑赢大盘，主要驱动或在于 134 号文推动行业价值转 型。 2018-2019 年：保险板块先跌后涨，与大盘走势趋同，投资弹性+减税政策红利 驱动下 2019 年涨幅跑赢大盘。 2020-2022 年：保险板块先涨后跌，主要影响因素或在于疫情扰动及复苏预期、 地产违约事件及代理人改革清虚。 2023 年至今：保险板块多数时期跑赢大盘，影响因素多元化交叉集合体现， 如代理人改革兑现、监管推动压降负债成本、红利结构性行情、新准则下放大 行业贝塔效应。 ❑ 风险提示：监管变动、长端利率加速下行、权益市场震荡、转型不及预期 重点公司盈利预测、估值及投资评级 | | | | EPS（元） | | | PE（倍） | | PB（倍） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 17.0 HKD based on a 7x P/E ratio for 2025 [4][10][12]. Core Views - The company is a global leader in the aluminum industry, with a comprehensive integrated business model that includes power generation, mining, alumina, electrolytic aluminum, and aluminum processing, establishing a strong profit moat [8][10]. - The company has a high dividend payout history, with a cumulative cash dividend of 524.9 billion CNY since its listing in 2011, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns [8][40]. - The company is strategically positioned with a robust supply chain, including self-sufficient alumina production and a high self-supply rate of electricity, which contributes to a competitive cost structure [8][10][60]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has established itself as a leading aluminum producer with a total alumina capacity of 21 million tons and an electrolytic aluminum capacity of 646,000 tons as of 2024 [8][45]. - The company has a stable shareholding structure, with the Zhang family controlling 65.53% of the equity, ensuring long-term strategic planning [22][24]. Financial Performance - The company reported total revenue of 156.17 billion CNY for 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 14.7%, and a net profit of 22.37 billion CNY, reflecting a significant increase of 95.2% [4][25]. - The company’s operating income has grown from 84.18 billion CNY in 2019 to 133.62 billion CNY in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate of 12% [25][27]. Production and Cost Structure - The company has a self-sufficient alumina production rate exceeding 160%, which stabilizes the cost of aluminum production [2][8]. - The average cost of electrolytic aluminum production in 2024 is projected to be 13,232 CNY per ton, which is among the lowest in the industry [8][10]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is expanding its footprint in the aluminum recycling and processing sectors, with plans to establish a joint venture for recycling 50,000 tons of aluminum per year [2][10]. - The company is also involved in the Simandou iron ore project in Guinea, which is expected to enhance its earnings starting in 2026 [9][10]. Market Position - The company maintains a leading position in the electrolytic aluminum market, with a production capacity utilization rate close to 100% as of 2024 [46][49]. - The company’s electrolytic aluminum sales volume is expected to reach 583.7 million tons in 2025, reflecting a stable growth trajectory [11][55].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [4][8]. Core Insights - The company, Yuncong Technology, reported a significant decline in revenue for 2024, with total revenue of 398 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 36.69%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -696 million yuan, indicating a loss that has widened compared to the previous year [2][8]. - In the first quarter of 2025, the company continued to face revenue challenges, achieving 37 million yuan in revenue, down 31.56% year-on-year, but the net loss narrowed to -124 million yuan [2][8]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its large model capabilities and industry adaptability, with ongoing development in language, vision, and multimodal model systems [8]. - A partnership with Huawei is being leveraged to advance deployment in government and financial sectors, enhancing local commercial capabilities [8]. - The company is also collaborating with the National Cybersecurity Base's Intelligent Computing Center to strengthen its foundational infrastructure for large models [8]. Financial Summary - For 2024, the total revenue is projected to be 398 million yuan, with a forecasted growth of 12.6% in 2025, reaching 448 million yuan, and further growth expected in subsequent years [4][8]. - The net profit is expected to improve gradually, with projections of -484 million yuan in 2025 and -358 million yuan in 2026 [4][8]. - The company's gross margin is anticipated to increase from 35.8% in 2024 to 39.8% by 2027, indicating a potential improvement in profitability [4][8].

证 券 研 究 报 告 公募基金观察（20250519-20250523） 推荐（维持） 新浮动费率产品发行在即 ❑ 本周行情复盘：本周主要指数小幅下跌，沪深 300：-0.18%，中证 A500：-0.29%， 科创 50：-1.47%，中证 500：-1.10%，上证 50：-0.18%，创业板指：-0.88%， 中证 1000：-1.29%，中证 A50：+0.18%。本周基金收益率：股票指数型基金： -0.42%，跑赢上证指数 0.15pct，跑输普通股票型基金 0.55pct；债券型指数基 金：+0.05%，跑赢上证指数 0.62pct。 ❑ 本周动态： （1）新华社：5 月 24 日，易方达、华夏、南方、富国、广发、嘉实、汇添富 基金等 16 家基金公司集体公告，旗下浮动费率基金产品发行定档，均将于 5 月 27 日开启发行，多数产品将于 6 月中下旬结束认购。此前，首批共 26 只新 型浮动费率基金已获证监会注册，在一周左右时间内完成了申报流程。 行业研究 （2）证券时报：近期，易方达中债新综合债券指数基金、易方达投资级信用 债债券基金、华夏中证沪深港黄金产业股票 ETF、华夏中证红利低波动 E ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [4][8]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 398 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decline of 36.69%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -696 million yuan [2][8]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 37 million yuan, down 31.56% year-on-year, but the net loss narrowed to -124 million yuan compared to the same period last year [2][8]. - The company is enhancing its large model capabilities and industry adaptability, with a focus on deploying AI applications across various sectors [8]. - A partnership with Huawei is being leveraged to strengthen local commercial capabilities in government and financial sectors [8]. - The company is collaborating with the National Cybersecurity Base's Intelligent Computing Center to build a robust infrastructure for its large models [8]. Financial Summary - The total revenue forecast for 2025-2027 is projected to be 448 million yuan, 560 million yuan, and 727 million yuan, reflecting growth rates of 12.6%, 25.0%, and 29.9% respectively [4][8]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to improve from -484 million yuan in 2025 to -284 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 30.5%, 26.0%, and 20.7% [4][8]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to improve from -0.47 yuan in 2025 to -0.27 yuan in 2027 [4][8].

证 券 研 究 报 告 保险行业周报（20250518-20250523） 25Q1 险资规模稳健增长，债券、股票环比均 推荐（维持） 增配 ❑ 本周行情复盘：保险指数下跌 0.43%，跑输大盘 0.26pct。保险个股表现分化， 太平+1.01%，众安+0.48%，人保+0.37%，太保+0.24%，财险-0.27%，平安-0.3%， 友邦-1.74%，国寿-2.09%，阳光-2.1%，新华-2.18%。10 年期国债收益率 1.72%， 较上周末+4bps。 ❑ 本周动态： （1）金监总局：①5 月 23 日，发布《银行保险机构资产管理产品信息披露管 理办法(征求意见稿)》，按照资产管理产品生命周期，对募集、存续、终止各环 节进行全面规范，旨在引导行业将信息披露融入业务全过程。②5 月 22 日， 国务院新闻办公室举行新闻发布会，金融监管总局表示，最近将批复第三批保 险资金长期投资改革试点，规模 600 亿。③5 月 16 日，公布 2025Q1 保险公司 资金运用情况。 ❑ 投资建议：从短期看，保险板块 2025 年业绩基数压力相对较大。但从中长期 看，当前保险板块主要受制于长端利率下行带来的"利差损" ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 【资产配置快评】 Riders on the Charts: 每周大类资产配置图 表精粹 投资摘要： The real problem of humanity is the following: we have paleolithic emotions; medieval institutions; and god-like technology. —E. O. Wilson 多资产配置研究 资产配置快评 2025 年 05 月 27 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：牛播坤 电话：010-66500825 邮箱：niubokun@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360514030002 证券分析师：郭忠良 电话：010-66500830 邮箱：guozhongliang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360520090002 相关研究报告 《资产配置快评 2025 年第 23 期：Riders on the Charts：每周大类资产配置图表精粹》 2025-05-19 《资产配置快评 2025 年第 22 期：Riders on the Charts：每周大类资产配置图表精粹》 ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 148.35 CNY based on a 70x PE for 2025 [6][9]. Core Insights - The company is a global provider of 3D visual digitalization solutions, focusing on both industrial and professional-grade markets. It has shown rapid revenue growth, with a CAGR of 37.9% from 2020 to 2024 [6][32]. - The global market for 3D visual products is expected to grow significantly, reaching 400 billion CNY by 2027, with a CAGR of 26.6% [8][12]. - The company has a strong R&D foundation, with a focus on self-developed core technologies, which positions it well for future growth [6][9]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 333 million CNY in 2024 to 677 million CNY in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 22.4%, 26.5%, 26.9%, and 26.8% respectively [2][9]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 121 million CNY in 2024 to 209 million CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 5.5%, 19.6%, 19.8%, and 20.8% [2][9]. - The company maintains a gross margin above 75.5% since 2020, indicating strong profitability [32][34]. Market Position and Growth Drivers - The company operates in a rapidly expanding 3D digitalization market, with a significant focus on industrial applications, which accounted for 96% of its revenue in 2024 [6][8]. - The penetration of 3D visual products is increasing, with expectations for manual products to capture a larger market share by 2027 [8][12]. - The company has established a stable shareholding structure, with major shareholders holding 44.64% of the equity, ensuring consistent management [6][30]. Product Development and Innovation - The company has a robust product development cycle, introducing new products every 1-2 years, including innovations in handheld and automated 3D scanning technologies [14][15]. - R&D expenses have been maintained at around 18% of revenue, reflecting a commitment to innovation and technology advancement [34][41]. Industry Overview - The global 3D digitalization market was valued at 500.6 billion CNY in 2022, with expectations to grow significantly, driven by advancements in automation and machine vision technologies [8][12]. - The domestic market for machine vision is also expanding, with a projected CAGR of 17.5% from 2024 to 2028 [38][43].

证 券 研 究 报 告 公募风格偏向价值，散户资金净流入持续低位 ——投资者温度计第26期 2025年5月26日 证券分析师：姚佩 执业编号：S0360522120004 邮箱：yaopei@hcyjs.com 联系人：朱冬墨 邮箱：zhudongmo@hcyjs.com 本报告由华创证券有限责任公司编制 卖的出价或询价。本报告所载信息均为个人观点，并不构成对所涉及证券的个人投资建议。 请仔细阅读PPT后部分的分析师声明及免责声明。 @2021 华创 版权所有 核心结论 证 券 研 究 报 告 • 上周市场震荡下行， 自媒体热度整体有所 消退，5/23上证指 数下跌0.9%引发热 度小幅上升。从趋势 上来看，快手、抖音 热度保持前列，微博、 百度表现相对冷静。 2600 2800 3000 3200 3400 3600 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 9/11 9/16 9/21 9/26 10/1 10/6 10/11 10/16 10/21 10/26 10/31 11/5 11/10 11/15 11/20 11/25 11/30 12/5 12/10 12/1 ...

证券研究报告 【宏观快评】 深化与东盟&欧洲合作 -- 政策周观察第 31 期 近一周政策出台不多,主要关注以下内容: 8 (一)外交:强化与欧洲、东盟国家联络。1)5月20日,中国与东盟十国全 面完成中国_东盟自贸区3.0 版谈判。2)5月22日-23日,总书记先后同法国 总统马克龙、德国总理默茨通电话。在与法国总统通电话时,总书记指出,"维 护国际贸易规则和世界经济秩序,践行真正的多边主义。国际形势越是复杂 中法越要作出正确战略抉择"。3)5月25日,总理同印度尼西亚总统普拉博 法会谈,"中方愿同印尼加强发展战略对接,深化高质量共建'一带一路'合 作","坚持多边主义和自由贸易,推动平等有序的世界多极化、普惠包容的经 济全球化"。4)5月26日,总理将出席在马来西亚吉隆坡举行的东盟-中国- 海合会峰会。 (二)财政及项目进度。1)发改委 4月审批项目加速。据 5月20日发改委 例行新闻发布会,4月份,发改委共审批固定资产投资项目 5个、核准 3个, 总投资 3771 亿元(去年同期审批核准固定资产投资项目 20个,总投资 1152 亿元)。1-4 月份,发改委共审批核准固定资产投资项目 27个,总投资 5 ...