Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [4] Core Views - The macro sentiment has eased following the dialogue between the US and China, leading to a strong fluctuation in industrial metals [1][6] - Precious metals have seen a decline in safe-haven demand, with gold and silver prices experiencing slight increases this week [1][25] - The report highlights the impact of US economic indicators, including manufacturing and employment data, on market sentiment and metal prices [1][40] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Gold prices increased by 0.54% to $3,331.00 per ounce, while silver prices rose by 9.24% to $36.13 per ounce this week [1][25] - SPDR Gold ETF holdings increased by 129,023.13 troy ounces, and SLV Silver ETF holdings rose by 13,038,422.40 ounces [1][25] - The gold-silver ratio fell by 7.96% to 92.19, indicating a shift in market dynamics [1][25] Base Metals - In the LME market, copper prices rose by 1.83% to $9,670.50 per ton, aluminum by 0.12% to $2,451.50 per ton, zinc by 1.25% to $2,662.50 per ton, and lead by 0.51% to $1,974.00 per ton [6][46] - SHFE market showed similar trends with copper up by 1.71% to ¥78,930.00 per ton and zinc up by 0.72% to ¥22,385.00 per ton [6][46] - The report notes a significant decrease in LME copper registered warehouse stocks, down 17.5% to 54,700 tons, the lowest level since July 2023 [44] Copper - Chile's copper exports in May reached 181,234 tons, with 32,721 tons exported to China [7][67] - Domestic copper rod enterprises' operating rates increased to 75.90%, reflecting a recovery in demand [7][67] - The report anticipates a long-term positive outlook for copper prices due to ongoing macroeconomic policies and infrastructure investments in China [8][68] Aluminum - The report indicates that aluminum demand is under pressure, with production costs decreasing and seasonal demand weakening [9][10] - The average cost of electrolytic aluminum in China fell to ¥16,374 per ton, while the average profit margin increased to ¥3,703 per ton [44] - The outlook for aluminum prices remains cautiously optimistic, supported by ongoing demand in the electric vehicle and power sectors [10][18] Zinc - The report highlights ongoing uncertainties due to tariffs and increased imports, leading to sustained supply pressures in the zinc market [11] - Domestic zinc ingot inventories increased by 0.43% to 79,300 tons, indicating a buildup in supply [11] Lead - Lead consumption is currently in a seasonal downturn, with inventories expected to continue rising [12] - The report notes that lead battery markets are experiencing reduced production, leading to cautious procurement strategies among downstream enterprises [12] Minor Metals - Magnesium prices have seen a decline of 3.25% to ¥17,590 per ton, with cautious purchasing behavior observed in the market [13][14] - Molybdenum prices have increased, supported by strong raw material prices, while vanadium prices have softened due to weak demand [15]

证券研究报告|宏观点评报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 06 月 08 日 [Table_Title] 公募 REITs 总市值首次突破 2000 亿元 ——公募 REITs 周速览（2025 年 6 月 2-6 日） 图 1：REITs 市场整体表现 资料来源：WIND，华西证券研究所 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00 0.55 0.65 0.75 0.85 0.95 1.05 1.15 1.25 1.35 2021/9/30 2022/2/28 2022/7/31 2022/12/31 2023/5/31 2023/10/31 2024/3/31 2024/8/31 2025/1/31 REIT全收益成交额（右轴） 中证REITs全收益 沪深300 中证500 中证1000 中证转债 基准线（1.00） 注 1：通常用中证 REITs 全收益指数（指数代码：932047）或中证 REITs（收盘）指数（指数代码：932006）来反映沪深市场上市 REITs 的整体表现，二者均选取沪深市场中满足一定流动性条件和上市时间要求的 RE ...

Market Overview - The Wande All A index closed at 5156.21 on June 6, 2025, up 1.61% from May 30, 2025, while the China Convertible Bond index rose by 1.08% during the same period[1] - Since the beginning of 2025, the Wande All A index has increased by 2.68%, and the China Convertible Bond index has risen by 4.67%[1] U.S.-China Relations - The recent U.S.-China summit led to a positive market response, with expectations of easing trade tensions, although the U.S. raised steel and aluminum tariffs to 50%[2][34] - Non-farm payrolls data showed an increase of 139,000 jobs, slightly above expectations, leading to a decrease in interest rate cut expectations for the year[35] Investment Strategy - The report suggests maintaining a rotation strategy, focusing on technology opportunities, as the technology sector shows low crowding and potential for upward movement[3][40] - The TMT sector's crowding index rose from 8.7% at the end of May to 27.5%, indicating increased interest in technology stocks[43] Convertible Bonds - Convertible bond valuations have improved across various price levels, with the valuation center for 80 yuan parity rising by 0.81 percentage points to 47.28%[27] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring stock performance and credit events for potential investment opportunities in convertible bonds[55] Risks - The report highlights risks associated with accelerated style rotation in equity markets and unexpected adjustments in convertible bond market rules[5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company achieved a turnaround in profitability in FY24, with a revenue of 10.99 billion yuan, down 17.49% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.22 billion yuan, compared to a loss of 1.54 billion yuan in the same period last year [2][6] - The company is actively adjusting its business structure, focusing on the development of the prepared food segment, which is expected to grow significantly in the future [7][8] Revenue and Profit Analysis - In FY24, the company reported revenues from various segments: fresh and frozen meat (8.99 billion yuan), cooked food (0.215 billion yuan), prepared food (1.687 billion yuan), and others, with declines of 6.65%, 10.06%, and 14.98% respectively [3] - The company’s gross margin for FY24 was 3.98%, an increase of 5.56% year-on-year, indicating improved profitability despite revenue pressures [4] - The net profit margin for FY24 was 0.20%, showing a significant recovery from the previous year's losses [6] Cost and Expense Management - The company’s selling, general, and administrative expenses as a percentage of revenue were 0.94%, 2.28%, and 0.07% respectively for FY24, reflecting a strategic focus on cost control [5] - In Q4 FY24, the company recorded a significant asset impairment loss of 0.57 billion yuan, but also realized an investment gain of 0.63 billion yuan from the sale of a subsidiary [5] Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 11.73 billion yuan and 12.66 billion yuan respectively, with an expected EPS of 0.10 yuan and 0.14 yuan [9] - The company aims to expand its market presence in the prepared food sector, targeting a market size of around 5 billion yuan [8]

证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2025 年 06 月 08 日 [Table_Title] 周专题：国补政策调整是控量而非结束，后续资金积极拨 付中 [Table_Title2] 家电行业周报 [Table_Summary] ► 周专题： 国补资金消耗超预期，多地转向限额限流甚至暂停。根据奥 维云网，2025 年以来消费市场回暖与密集促销节点共振，国 补资金消耗速度超预期。截至 5 月底，全国范围内已有超 1500 亿资金被消耗，进入 6 月，叠加 618 大促、端午促销等 购物节点，预计 6 月资金消耗将攀升至 500 亿元，推动 1- 6 月累计消耗规模达 2100 亿元，占 3000 亿国补资金池的 70%。多地因资金透支开始进入国补限额模式，甚至是暂停 国补。如消费大省江苏省商务厅市场运行和消费促进处工作 人员表示，从 6 月 1 日开始，江苏"国补"线上线下都将采 取限额管理，活动将持续到年底。 国补政策调整是控量而非结束，后续资金积极拨付中。根据 中国能源网，发改委于 1.6、4.28 各下发两笔 810 亿消费品 换新资金，剩余 1400 亿资金等待下发，考虑到地方配套 ...

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [5] Core Views - The approval of the Three Gorges Waterway project, with a total investment of 76.6 billion yuan, is expected to benefit companies in the civil explosives and engineering sectors, such as Zhongyan Dadi and Chongqing Construction [4][8] - The civil explosives industry is experiencing high demand, with consolidation expected among leading companies, benefiting firms like Guangdong Hongda and Xuefeng Technology [8] - The carbon fiber market is seeing price increases and emerging demand, with recommendations for companies like Zhongfu Shenying and Jilin Chemical Fiber [8] - There is a strong focus on resilient companies with high dividends in the consumer building materials sector, recommending firms like Dongfang Yuhong and Weixing New Materials [8] - The expectation for increased domestic investment is strong, with recommendations for China State Construction and China Communications Construction [8] - The trend of domestic substitution is accelerating, with recommendations for Maijia Xincai and Songji Coatings [8] Summary by Sections Building Materials - Beneficiaries include Zhongyan Dadi and Chongqing Construction due to major projects like the Three Gorges Waterway and Yarlung projects [8] - The civil explosives sector is consolidating, with a target of reducing the number of producers to 50 by 2025, benefiting companies like Guangdong Hongda and Xuefeng Technology [8] - Carbon fiber prices are rising, with a projected annual capacity of 135,500 tons by the end of 2024, benefiting companies like Zhongfu Shenying and Jilin Chemical Fiber [8] Market Trends - The new housing and second-hand housing market is showing a downward trend, with new housing transaction area down 24% year-on-year and 40.21% month-on-month in major cities [2][24] - Cement prices are under downward pressure, with a national average price of 363.5 yuan/ton, down 1.2% week-on-week [3][26] - The glass market continues to decline, with float glass prices averaging 1,250.27 yuan/ton, down 1.63% week-on-week [3][26] Investment Opportunities - The report highlights the potential for investment in infrastructure and civil engineering projects, with a focus on companies that can benefit from increased domestic demand and government support [8][11] - The "Belt and Road" initiative is expected to catalyze international engineering projects, benefiting companies like China State Construction and China Metallurgical Group [11]

证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2025 年 6 月 7 日 缅甸地区供应持续缩减，供应收紧预期对锡价 或有支撑 [Table_Title2] 有色-能源金属行业周报 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要: ►本周沪镍价格环比上涨，沪镍大幅去库 截止到 6 月 6 日，LME 镍现货结算价报收 15225 美元/ 吨，较 5 月 30 日上涨 0.5%，LME 镍总库存为 200106 吨，较 5 月 30 日增加 0.36%；沪镍报收 12.2 万元/吨，较 5 月 30 日上 涨 0.89%，沪镍库存为 25,616.00 吨，较 5 月 30 日减少 5.39%；截止到 5 月 30 日，硫酸镍报收 28,500.00 元/吨，较 5 月 30 日价格持平。根据 SMM，从供给端来看，国内方面的情 况是，虽然菲律宾镍矿的发运量持续增加，国内冶炼厂的原材 料库存也较为充足，但主产区苏里高以及巴拉望的中高品位镍 矿品位有所下滑，这可能导致国内冶炼厂的金属产量出现一定 程度的下降。印尼方面，尽管当前内贸火法镍矿的升水依然较 为坚挺，冶炼厂因此面临较高的成本压力，成品价格的疲软导 致冶 ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the defense and military industry as "Recommended" [1] Core Viewpoints - The J-10C fighter jet is expected to lead China's military trade, becoming a prominent symbol of China's military exports [11] - The potential demand and development space in the military trade market are anticipated to exceed market expectations, with various companies positioned to benefit [11] Summary by Sections Events - Indonesia is evaluating the feasibility of purchasing Chinese-made J-10 fighter jets, influenced by the aircraft's performance in the India-Pakistan conflict and its competitive pricing compared to Western counterparts [2] - Recent reports highlight the J-10's development and achievements, with significant interest shown at the Langkawi International Maritime and Aerospace Exhibition [2] - Pakistan's government announced the acquisition of 40 J-35 fifth-generation stealth fighters and other military equipment from China [2] Analysis and Judgments - The J-10 is poised to continue the success of previous Chinese military exports, moving from low-end markets to mid-high-end markets [3] - The J-10CE is recognized as China's most advanced fighter jet export, indicating China's capability for comprehensive high-performance fighter jet exports [4] - The J-10CE is seen as a cost-effective option for developing countries, competing against established models like the F-16 and MiG series [4] Market Dynamics - The global military trade landscape is shifting towards integrated solutions rather than just hardware sales, with increasing demand for comprehensive military systems [6] - Countries like South Korea are emerging as competitors in the arms market, leveraging their military-industrial capabilities [6] Industry Development - The J-10CE's export is expected to drive significant growth in the military supply chain, with advancements in materials, engines, and avionics systems enhancing its performance [7][9] - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic aerospace manufacturers in achieving technological self-reliance and innovation [10] Investment Recommendations - Key beneficiaries identified include: - AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group, a core manufacturer of fighter jets, expected to gain from increased international interest in the J-10CE [11] - Zhongjian Technology, a leader in high-end carbon fiber materials crucial for aircraft performance [11] - Guorui Technology, a leader in military radar systems, showing positive growth in military trade orders [11] - Other companies like AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation and Hongdu Aviation are also highlighted for their export potential in various military aircraft and systems [12]

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [5] Core Viewpoints - Zhou Li Fu has passed the Hong Kong Stock Exchange hearing and has over 4,000 stores, maintaining a top five position in the Chinese jewelry market from 2017 to 2024 [1][21] - The company’s revenue for 2024 is projected to be CNY 5.718 billion, an increase of 11.0%, with a net profit of CNY 706 million, up 7.1% [2] - The product mix includes 91% gold jewelry and 9% diamond-set jewelry, with a diverse range of product series [1][2] Summary by Sections Industry & Company Dynamics - Zhou Li Fu operates a comprehensive business model integrating product development, supply chain, franchising, and brand management [1] - The company has a strong offline sales network with 4,129 stores across 31 provinces and cities in China, and 4 overseas stores [2][21] - Online sales are rapidly growing, with a CAGR of 46.1% from 2022 to 2024 [2] Macroeconomic & Industry Data - In April, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 5.1% year-on-year, with jewelry retail sales growing by 25.3% [27][41] - National gold consumption in Q1 2025 was 290.49 tons, a decrease of 5.96% year-on-year, with jewelry demand particularly affected by high gold prices [43][44] Investment Recommendations - Five investment themes are suggested: 1. Recovery of offline traffic benefiting traditional retail [54] 2. Continuous upgrades in AI technology [54] 3. Increased consumer willingness to pay for emotional value in new retail [54] 4. Recovery of cyclical sectors under domestic demand promotion [54] 5. Opportunities for domestic brands to expand overseas [54]

Investment Rating - The report rates the defense and military industry as "Recommended" [1] Core Viewpoints - The J-10C fighter jet is expected to lead China's military trade, becoming a prominent symbol of China's military exports [11] - The potential demand and development space in the military trade market are anticipated to exceed market expectations, with various companies positioned to benefit [11] Summary by Sections Events - Indonesia is evaluating the feasibility of purchasing Chinese-made J-10 fighter jets, influenced by the aircraft's performance in the India-Pakistan conflict and its competitive pricing compared to Western counterparts [2] - Recent reports highlight the J-10's development and achievements, with significant interest shown at the Langkawi International Maritime and Aerospace Exhibition [2] - Pakistan's government announced the acquisition of 40 J-35 fifth-generation stealth fighters and other military equipment from China [2] Analysis and Judgments - The J-10 is poised to continue the success of previous Chinese military exports, moving from low-end markets to mid-high-end markets [3] - The J-10CE is positioned as a cost-effective option for developing countries, competing against established models like the F-16 and MiG series [4] - The J-10CE is expected to gain more international interest, particularly in Southeast Asia, South America, and the Middle East [5] Global Military Trade Landscape - The military trade landscape is shifting towards integrated solutions rather than just hardware sales, with increasing demand for comprehensive military systems [6] - Countries like South Korea are emerging as significant players in the global arms market, challenging traditional military powers [6] Industry Development - The J-10CE's capabilities, including advanced avionics and weapon systems, are expected to drive growth in the military supply chain [7] - The use of advanced materials and engines in the J-10CE enhances its performance and operational capabilities [7][8] Investment Recommendations - Key beneficiaries of the J-10's success include: - AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group, a core manufacturer of fighter jets [11] - Zhongjian Technology, a leader in high-end carbon fiber for aerospace applications [11] - Guorui Technology, a leader in military radar systems [11] - AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation, known for its advanced fighter jets [12] - Hongdu Aviation, a core manufacturer of training aircraft with significant export potential [12]