上 市 公 司 机械设备 ——卡位智能眼镜与固态电池关键赛道 报告原因：首次覆盖 买入（首次评级） | 市场数据： 2025 年 12 月 23 日 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 70.32 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 96.69/36.00 | | 市净率 | 3.2 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | 0.50 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 1,790 | | 上证指数/深证成指 3,919.98/13,368.99 | | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2025 年 09 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 21.67 | | 资产负债率% | 25.84 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 53/25 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/- | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： -100% 0% 100% 12-23 01-23 02-23 03-23 04-23 05-23 06-23 07-23 08-23 09-23 10-23 11-23 12-23 荣旗科技 ...

上 市 公 司 公 司 研 究 / 公 司 深 度 有色金属 2025 年 12 月 24 日 中孚实业 (600595) ——成本改善释放业绩弹性，高分红凸显长期价值 报告原因：首次覆盖 增持（首次评级） | 市场数据： | 2025 年 12 月 23 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 8.07 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 8.34/2.71 | | 市净率 | 1.9 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | - | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 32,344 | | 上证指数/深证成指 3,919.98/13,368.99 | | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2025 年 09 月 30 日 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | | 4.16 | | 资产负债率% | | 31.03 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | | 4,008/4,008 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | | -/- | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： -200% 0% 200% 400% 12-23 01 ...

| 指数 | 收盘 | | 涨跌（％） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | （点） | 1 日 | 5 日 | 1 月 | | 上证指数 | 3920 | 0.07 | 2.22 | 2.49 | | 深证综指 | 2492 | -0.02 | 5.14 | 3.08 | | 风格指数 (％) | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 大盘指数 | 0.23 | 3.72 | 20.28 | | 中盘指数 | -0.1 | 6.55 | 28.78 | | 小盘指数 | -0.02 | 5.03 | 23.85 | | 涨幅居前 | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 行业(％) | | | | | 玻璃玻纤 | 3.14 | 13.79 | 52.44 | | 电池 | 2.43 | 2.74 | 56.23 | | 贵金属 | 2.2 | 14.11 | 36.42 | | 非金属材料 | 1.87 | 5.76 | 19.31 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Outperform" rating for China Railway Group Limited (00390) [1][7] Core Insights - The report highlights that the company's valuation is expected to recover due to the optimization of financial statements and the performance of its resource segment [6][18] - It emphasizes the improvement in new contract signings and the robust backlog of orders, ensuring stable long-term growth [6][16] - The resource segment is noted for enhancing profitability and cyclicality resistance, with significant reserves of copper, cobalt, and molybdenum [6][25] - The report points out the attractive dividend yield of H-shares compared to A-shares, indicating a clear discount in valuation [6][33] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: - 2023: 1,263.41 billion RMB - 2024: 1,160.31 billion RMB - 2025E: 1,156.73 billion RMB - 2026E: 1,164.20 billion RMB - 2027E: 1,179.18 billion RMB - The expected growth rates are: - 2023: +9.45% - 2024: -8.16% - 2025E: -0.31% - 2026E: +0.65% - 2027E: +1.29% [5][36] - Net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders is forecasted as follows: - 2023: 33.48 billion RMB - 2024: 27.89 billion RMB - 2025E: 25.16 billion RMB - 2026E: 24.95 billion RMB - 2027E: 25.85 billion RMB [5][36] Order and Contract Insights - The company has signed new contracts amounting to 2.73 trillion RMB in 2021, 3.03 trillion RMB in 2022, 3.10 trillion RMB in 2023, 2.72 trillion RMB in 2024, and 1.58 trillion RMB in 2025 (Q1-Q3), with a year-on-year growth of +4.7%, +11.1%, +2.2%, -12.4%, and +3.7% respectively [6][16] - As of Q3 2025, the company has a backlog of contracts worth 7.54 trillion RMB, ensuring stable revenue for the upcoming years [6][16] Resource Segment Performance - The resource utilization segment's revenue from 2021 to 2025 (Q1-Q3) is as follows: - 2021: 5.96 billion RMB - 2022: 7.50 billion RMB - 2023: 8.37 billion RMB - 2024: 8.16 billion RMB - 2025 (Q1-Q3): 6.22 billion RMB - The segment's gross margin is reported at 59.45% for 2025 (Q1-Q3) [6][25] Valuation and Market Comparison - The report suggests a target market capitalization of 999 billion RMB for 2026, translating to 1,102 billion HKD, indicating a potential upside of 16.6% from the current market cap of 945 billion HKD [6][41] - The report compares the company's valuation with peers, noting that the average PE for comparable companies is 4.2X for 2025 and 4.0X for 2026 [6][41]

市公司 型 ( 2025 年 12 月 23 日 (06110) 三季度基本符合预期,经营指标健康,需求仍待回暖 报告原因: 有业绩公布需要点评 ar (维持) | 市场数据: | 2025 年 12 月 22 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（港币） | 3.12 | | 恒生中国企业指数 | 8939.68 | | 52 周最高/最低（港币) | 4.13/2.60 | | H 股市值（亿港币） | 193.48 | | 流通 H 股 (百万股) | 6,201.22 | | 汇率（港币/人民币） | 0.9068 | -年内股价与基准指数对比走势: 刘佩 A0230523070002 liupei@swsresearch.com 申万宏源研究微信服务号 投资要点: 财务数据及盈利预测 | 货币单位:人民币 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026E | FY2027E | FY2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(亿元) | 289.3 | 270.1 | 252.7 | 266.2 | 282.7 | | 同 ...

2025 年 12 月 23 日 证券分析师 庞盈盈 A0230522060003 panqyy@swsresearch.com 屠亦婷 A0230512080003 tuyt@swsresearch.com 黄莎 A0230522010002 huangsha@swsresearch.com 张海涛 A0230524080003 zhanght@swsresearch.com 张文静 A0230524120005 zhangwj@swsresearch.com 魏雨辰 A0230525010001 weiyc@swsresearch.com 联系人 魏雨辰 A0230525010001 weiyc@swsresearch.com 「内需提消费下关注 舞碁道;美注永艺股 造纸轻工周报 2025/12/15-2025/12/19 H Press From The States of the S 重点提示: 1) 内需消费: 在扩大内需、提振消费的背景下,关注结构性消费机会, 如国 强起的个护、相对高景气的宠物用品、悦己消费催化的 IP 潮玩; 2) 出口: 外部扰动洞 u 弱,美国降息有望拉动家具消费,中国企业 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The development of 6G is an inevitable trend, and countries are actively involved in its R & D. Satellites, as the aerospace infrastructure in the 6G era, will drive a new round of network construction capital expenditure. The commercial aerospace industry has achieved a closed - loop in the entire industrial chain, and the number of direct - connected satellite mobile phone users is expected to increase significantly [4][9]. - The Guozheng Commercial Satellite Communication Industry Index has high - quality characteristics that support high R & D investment in satellite communication. Since 2024, it has outperformed comparable indices under the background of developing new - quality productivity [4]. - The Yongying Guozheng Commercial Satellite Communication Industry ETF (159206) is a highly scarce product. Compared with comparable ETFs, it has the largest scale [3][61]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Satellite Communication - **6G R & D and Global Competition**: With the 5G pattern settled, countries are actively competing for the right to speak in 6G. China started 6G forward - looking R & D in 2019 and launched the world's first 6G satellite in 2023. Many countries and regions around the world have also carried out 6G R & D activities [9]. - **Satellite Internet Industry Clusters**: In China, satellite internet industry clusters are blooming in multiple locations across the country. Beijing and Shanghai have comprehensive industrial clusters, while Sichuan and Chongqing cover core supporting and application of the satellite industrial chain. Hainan and Shandong cover commercial space launches [12]. - **6G - Driven Network Construction**: In the 6G era, satellites will combine with ground networks to form a space - ground integrated communication network. With the issuance of satellite internet licenses by the three major operators in 2025, 6G is expected to drive a new round of network construction capital expenditure [15]. - **6G Vision and Features**: The 6G vision framework proposal was passed in June 2023. The 6G development is divided into three stages, and it defines six scenarios and four design principles. 6G is expected to have three characteristics: space - air - land - sea integrated communication, human - machine - thing intelligent interconnection, and the blurring of the boundaries between the real physical world and the virtual digital world [20][22]. - **Commercial Aerospace Development Status**: China's first commercial launch site (Hainan Commercial Launch) completed its first launch mission in November 2024, achieving a closed - loop in the entire commercial aerospace industrial chain. Rocket carrying capacity is continuously increasing, and constellation networking is accelerating. The number of direct - connected satellite mobile phone users is expected to reach 350 million by 2030 [23][24]. 3.2 Guozheng Commercial Satellite Communication Industry Index - **Index Compilation Method**: The index selects 50 listed companies' securities from the A - share market whose business involves commercial satellite manufacturing, launch, operation, and satellite ground equipment and communication services. The weight of samples related to commercial satellite manufacturing and launch should be no less than 50% in total, and the index is adjusted semi - annually [25][27]. - **Weight and Market Value Distribution**: The index's weight is concentrated in the top ten component stocks, and the heavy - weight stocks are mostly from the communication equipment and defense military - electronics industries. The average free - floating market value of the component stocks is 14.32 billion yuan, and the average total market value is 25.716 billion yuan. In December 2025, about 12% of the positions, a total of 9 stocks, were removed and 9 new stocks were included [28][32][40]. - **Industry Characteristics**: In the index's component stocks, 20 stocks belong to the defense military industry, with a weight of 50.04%, and 9 stocks belong to the electronics industry, with a weight of 23.19%. The satellite industry is expected to enter an accelerated development stage with the support of relevant policies [42][45]. - **Fundamental Characteristics**: The index attaches great importance to R & D investment, and its R & D investment ratio is higher than that of the CSI Military Industry Index. In terms of profitability, the ROE of the Guozheng Commercial Satellite Communication Industry Index reached 6.74% at the end of 2024, which is close to the CSI 500 Index and far exceeds comparable indices [46][49]. - **Investment Value Analysis**: Since 2024, the index has shown excellent performance. It is more adaptable to the small - cap rebound environment. As of December 17, 2025, the index has risen by 63.78% cumulatively, outperforming comparable indices and representative broad - based indices, and its risk - adjusted returns (Sharpe and Calmar) are also outstanding [53][56]. 3.3 Yongying Guozheng Commercial Satellite Communication Industry ETF (159206) - **Basic Information**: The ETF was officially established on March 6, 2025, and listed on March 14, 2025. Its current fund manager is Liu Tingyu. It closely tracks the underlying index and aims to minimize the tracking deviation and tracking error [3][60]. - **Product Scarcity and Scale Advantage**: As of December 18, 2025, it is the only ETF tracking the Guozheng Commercial Satellite Communication Industry Index, with a high degree of scarcity. Its scale reaches 3.186 billion yuan, exceeding the total scale of comparable ETFs tracking the CSI Satellite Industry Index [3][61]. 3.4 Fund Manager and Fund Manager Information - **Fund Manager Introduction**: Yongying Fund Management Co., Ltd. was established in November 2013. As of the third quarter of 2025, its net asset value excluding money funds and short - term wealth - management bond funds was 428.944 billion yuan. It manages 15 ETF products, with a cumulative management scale of 27.808 billion yuan [63]. - **Fund Manager Introduction**: Liu Tingyu has 6 years of securities - related work experience. He currently manages 16 products, with a total scale of 23.53 billion yuan [64].

上 市 公 司 商业贸易 2025 年 12 月 23 日 滔搏 (06110) ——三季度基本符合预期，经营指标健康，需求仍待回暖 一年内股价与基准指数对比走势： -6% 14% 34% 54% 12/23 01/23 02/23 03/23 04/23 05/23 06/23 07/23 08/23 09/23 10/23 11/23 HSCEI 滔搏 资料来源：Bloomberg 证券分析师 王立平 A0230511040052 wanglp@swsresearch.com 刘佩 A0230523070002 liupei@swsresearch.com 联系人 刘佩 A0230523070002 liupei@swsresearch.com 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 买入（维持） | 市场数据： | 2025 年 12 月 22 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（港币） | 3.12 | | 恒生中国企业指数 | 8939.68 | | 52 周最高/最低（港币） | 4.13/2.60 | | H 股市值（亿港币） | 193.48 | | 流通 H 股（百万股） | 6,201. ...

业 及 产 业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 证券分析师 林起贤 A0230519060002 linqx@swsresearch.com 杨海晏 A0230518070003 yanghy@swsresearch.com 黄忠煌 A0230519110001 huangzh@swsresearch.com 洪依真 A0230519060003 hongyz@swsresearch.com 李国盛 A0230521080003 ligs@swsresearch.com 郝知雨 A0230525060002 haozy@swsresearch.com 陈晴华 A0230525100001 chenqh@swsresearch.com 研究支持 张淇元 A0230124080001 zhangqy@swsresearch.com 姜安然 A0230125070008 jiangar@swsresearch.com 陈悦 A0230524100003 chenyue@swsresearch.com 联系人 林起贤 A0230519060002 linqx@swsresearch.com 2 ...

证券分析师 2025 年 12 月 23 日 布局 6G 时代空天基础设施：永赢国 证 商 用 卫 星 通 信 产 业 ETF （159206）投资价值分析 ——指数基金产品研究系列之二百六十二 证 券 研 究 报 告 相关研究 - 白皓天 A0230525070001 baiht@swsresearch.com 邓虎 A0230520070003 denghu@swsresearch.com 研究支持 达邵炜 A0230124030001 dasw@swsresearch.com 联系人 白皓天 A0230525070001 baiht@swsresearch.com ⚫ 永赢国证商用卫星通信产业 ETF（159206）是永赢基金旗下的 ETF 产品，于 2025/3/6 正式成立，并于 2025/3/14 正式上市，现任基金经理为刘庭宇先生。基金紧密跟踪标的 指数，追求跟踪偏离度和跟踪误差最小化。截止 2025/12/18，跟踪国证商用卫星通信产 业的 ETF 仅有永赢国证商用卫星通信产业 ETF，产品具备高度的稀缺性。 对比跟踪中证 卫星产业指数的五只 ETF，永赢永赢国证商用卫星通信产业 ETF 的规 ...