Investment Rating - The investment rating for the electric power equipment and new energy industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the landscape for power batteries is expected to optimize, with profitability in the sector likely to recover. Key factors include a long-term significant correction in the lithium battery sector, a potential turning point for the oversupply of lithium batteries, and a decrease in lithium carbonate prices which may lower battery costs and stimulate downstream demand. The penetration rate of new energy vehicles is expected to continue to rise due to advancements in fast charging and new technologies [2][3] - The report anticipates that 2025 will be a significant year for grid investment, with the electric power equipment sector presenting favorable investment opportunities. The increasing demand for electricity from emerging industries like AI is expected to drive the demand for power equipment. The rapid development of new energy sources is creating pressure on the grid, leading to a positive outlook for global grid investment [3][4] - In the energy storage sector, a high growth trend is expected to continue in 2025. The report notes that the construction of the electricity market and auxiliary service market is likely to enhance the commercial viability of large-scale energy storage, while the recognition of commercial energy storage is expected to improve due to the development of virtual power plants [4] - The photovoltaic sector is experiencing sustained high demand in Europe, with domestic ground power station demand remaining strong. The report suggests that the reduction in costs across the supply chain is likely to accelerate the installation of photovoltaic systems globally [6][7] - The report discusses the industrial control and humanoid robot sectors, indicating a potential new cycle of industrial control driven by large-scale equipment updates. The report also highlights the rapid advancement of intelligent platforms in the humanoid robot industry, which may accelerate the deployment of robots in factories [6][7] - The low-altitude economy is being catalyzed by policy changes, with the establishment of a leadership group for general aviation and low-altitude economic development by the Civil Aviation Administration. This is expected to promote the safe and orderly development of the low-altitude economy [7] Summary by Sections New Energy Vehicles - In May 2025, sales of new energy vehicles reached 1.307 million units, a year-on-year increase of 36.9% and a month-on-month increase of 6.6%. The installed capacity of power batteries was 57.1 GWh, up 61.3% year-on-year [14][15] Electric Power Equipment and Energy Storage - The report emphasizes the importance of energy storage in the power system, predicting a high growth trend for energy storage in 2025. It highlights the potential for large-scale energy storage to develop commercially and the expected rebound in household storage demand as summer approaches [4][6] Photovoltaic Industry - The report notes that the photovoltaic industry is benefiting from high demand in Europe and strong domestic demand for ground power stations. The reduction in costs across the supply chain is expected to stimulate global market demand [6][7] Industrial Control and Humanoid Robots - The report indicates that a new cycle in industrial control is approaching, driven by low inventory levels in industrial enterprises. The development of intelligent platforms is expected to accelerate the deployment of humanoid robots in factories [6][7] Low-altitude Economy - The establishment of a leadership group for general aviation and low-altitude economic development is expected to promote the safe and orderly development of the low-altitude economy [7]

Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided in the given content. Report's Core View - Credit bonds return to strength, with yields of 3Y and above varieties generally declining by around 5BP. Interest rates of interest rate bonds fluctuate and decline, and credit spreads mostly decline except for some high-grade short-duration varieties [2][5]. - Credit spreads of urban investment bonds decline across the board, with spreads of each variety decreasing by about 4BP [2][9]. - Most credit spreads of industrial bonds decline, while those of mixed-ownership real estate bonds slightly increase [2][18]. - Yields of secondary and perpetual bonds decline across the board, and their overall performance is stronger than that of ordinary credit bonds [2][23]. - Excess spreads of industrial perpetual bonds are generally stable, while those of 3Y urban investment perpetual bonds decline [2][25]. Summary by Directory 1. Credit bonds return to strength, with yields of 3Y and above varieties generally declining by around 5BP - Interest rate bond yields fluctuate and decline. The yields of 1Y, 3Y, 5Y, and 7Y Guokai bonds decline by 3BP, 2BP, 1BP, and 4BP respectively, and the 10Y yield remains flat [2][5]. - Credit bond yields return to a downward trend. Yields of 3Y and above varieties generally decline by around 5BP, and credit spreads mostly decline except for some high-grade short-duration varieties [2][5]. - Rating spreads and term spreads mostly remain flat or decline [5]. 2. Credit spreads of urban investment bonds decline across the board - Credit spreads of external rating AAA, AA+, and AA platforms all decline by about 4BP. Spreads of most AAA-level platforms decline by 3 - 4BP, AA+ by 3 - 5BP, and AA by 3 - 6BP [2][9]. - By administrative level, credit spreads of provincial, municipal, and district-level platforms all decline by 4BP [2][16]. 3. Most credit spreads of industrial bonds decline, while those of mixed-ownership real estate bonds slightly increase - Credit spreads of central and local state-owned real estate bonds decline by 4BP, those of mixed-ownership real estate bonds increase by 2BP, and those of private real estate bonds increase by 13BP [2][18]. - Credit spreads of coal bonds at all levels decline by 3BP, those of AAA and AA+ steel bonds decline by 3BP and 4BP respectively, and those of chemical bonds at all levels decline by 4 - 5BP [2][18]. 4. Yields of secondary and perpetual bonds decline across the board, and their overall performance is stronger than that of ordinary credit bonds - Yields of secondary and perpetual bonds follow the decline of certificate of deposit rates. Spreads of medium and short-term high-grade varieties compress significantly [2][23]. - Specifically, the yield of 1Y AAA- secondary capital bonds declines by 9BP, and the spread compresses by 6BP. Yields of other grades decline by 8BP, and spreads compress by 4 - 5BP [23]. 5. Excess spreads of industrial perpetual bonds are generally stable, while those of 3Y urban investment perpetual bonds decline - The excess spread of industrial AAA3Y perpetual bonds increases by 0.01BP to 3.82BP, and that of AAA5Y remains flat at 8.51BP [2][25]. - The excess spread of urban investment AAA3Y perpetual bonds declines by 2.38BP to 3.76BP, and that of AAA5Y increases by 0.10BP to 9.91BP [25]. 6. Credit Spread Database Compilation Instructions - Market-wide credit spreads, commercial bank secondary and perpetual spreads, and credit spreads of urban investment/industrial perpetual bonds are calculated based on ChinaBond medium and short-term notes and ChinaBond perpetual bonds data [27]. - Credit spreads of industrial and urban investment individual bonds are calculated by subtracting the yield of the same-term government bond from the medium-term valuation of the individual bond, and then the arithmetic average method is used to calculate the credit spreads of the industry or regional urban investment [31]. - Samples of medium-term notes and public corporate bonds are selected for industrial and urban investment bonds, and guaranteed bonds and perpetual bonds are excluded [31].

Domestic Highlights - Xiamen has launched the "ESG Report Verification Cost Compensation Insurance," aiming to enhance ESG disclosure and verification coverage in the region[12] - The Xiamen Free Trade Zone has introduced 632 innovative measures, with 153 being national firsts, to promote ESG standards and practices[12] International Developments - The European Commission proposed amendments to the European Climate Law, targeting a 90% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2040 compared to 1990 levels[3] - The proposal includes mechanisms like carbon credit allowances to alleviate pressures in achieving these reduction targets[3] ESG Financial Products Tracking - As of July 5, 2025, China has issued 3,605 ESG bonds, with a total outstanding amount of 5.52 trillion RMB, where green bonds account for 61.53% of the total[22] - In the past month, 41 ESG bonds were issued, raising 39.8 billion RMB, while the total issuance over the past year reached 1,007 bonds worth 1.1758 trillion RMB[22] Public Fund Insights - The market has 902 existing ESG products, with a total net asset value of 1,055.066 billion RMB, where ESG strategy products represent 52.98% of the total[34] - No new ESG public funds were issued in the past month, but 236 funds were launched in the last year, totaling 170.639 billion units[34] Banking Wealth Management - There are 965 existing ESG products in the banking sector, with pure ESG products making up 55.85% of the total[40] - In the last month, 12 new ESG products were issued, primarily focused on pure ESG and environmental protection[40] Index Performance - As of July 4, 2025, major ESG indices, except for the Wind All A Sustainable ESG, outperformed the market, with the 300 ESG Leading Index showing the highest increase of 1.87%[41] - Over the past year, the Huazheng ESG Leading Index had the largest growth at 17.59%, while the Shenzhen ESG 300 Index increased by 13.3%[41] Expert Opinions - UNEP FI's Butch Bacani emphasized the insurance industry's role in managing climate-related risks and supporting sustainable industrial transitions[8] - The need for a comprehensive asset-liability perspective was highlighted to align insurance and investment efforts towards building resilient and carbon-neutral communities[8] Risk Factors - Potential risks include slower-than-expected ESG development, delays in the dual carbon strategy, and insufficient policy advancements[43]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the expansion of waste incineration capacity overseas, which is expected to enhance the profitability of companies in the sector. As the domestic waste incineration power generation industry approaches saturation, Southeast Asia is becoming a preferred destination for Chinese waste incineration enterprises due to rapid economic development, dense population, and increasing waste management needs. Chinese companies possess significant competitive advantages in overseas markets due to their mature technology, strong cost control, and complete industrial chain [3][16][20]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of July 4, the environmental protection sector rose by 0.81%, underperforming the broader market, which increased by 1.40%. The top-performing sub-sectors included water governance (up 2.12%) and environmental equipment (up 3.14%), while the air treatment sector fell by 1.16% [3][9][10]. Industry Dynamics - Recent developments include the introduction of a one-way bidding trading method in the national carbon emissions trading market and the approval of new ecological standards aimed at enhancing water pollution management and promoting green development [22][23]. Company Announcements - Notable company activities include the signing of contracts for various overseas waste incineration projects by companies such as China Tianying and Wangneng Environment, indicating a strategic focus on international expansion [19][21][26]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the "14th Five-Year Plan" will maintain high demand for energy conservation, environmental protection, and resource recycling. It recommends focusing on companies like Huanlan Environment, Xingrong Environment, and Hongcheng Environment, while also suggesting attention to Wangneng Environment and Junxin Co. [29][30].

- Model Name: Continuous Hedging Strategy; Model Construction Idea: The strategy is based on the analysis of basis convergence factors and optimization strategies; Model Construction Process: The strategy involves holding the corresponding total return index on the spot side and shorting the corresponding stock index futures contracts on the futures side, with specific parameters and settings for backtesting, including the backtesting period, spot side, futures side, and rebalancing rules[44][45] - Model Name: Minimum Discount Strategy; Model Construction Idea: The strategy selects the futures contract with the smallest annualized basis discount for opening positions; Model Construction Process: The strategy involves holding the corresponding total return index on the spot side and shorting the corresponding stock index futures contracts on the futures side, with specific parameters and settings for backtesting, including the backtesting period, spot side, futures side, and rebalancing rules[44][46] - Factor Name: Cinda-VIX; Factor Construction Idea: The factor reflects the market's expectation of future volatility of the underlying asset; Factor Construction Process: The factor is based on the methodology from the research report series "Exploring Market Sentiment Implied in the Options Market" and reflects the volatility expectations of investors in the options market for different periods[62] - Factor Name: Cinda-SKEW; Factor Construction Idea: The factor captures the skewness of implied volatility (IV) of options with different strike prices; Factor Construction Process: The factor measures the degree of skewness in volatility, providing insights into market expectations of future returns distribution of the underlying asset[70][71] - Continuous Hedging Strategy, Annualized Return: -2.73% (monthly), -1.93% (quarterly), -0.95% (minimum discount); Volatility: 3.88% (monthly), 4.77% (quarterly), 4.68% (minimum discount); Maximum Drawdown: -8.15% (monthly), -8.34% (quarterly), -7.97% (minimum discount); Net Value: 0.9221 (monthly), 0.9446 (quarterly), 0.9725 (minimum discount); Annual Turnover: 12 (monthly), 4 (quarterly), 17.40 (minimum discount); 2025 YTD Return: -3.24% (monthly), -0.94% (quarterly), -0.63% (minimum discount)[48] - Continuous Hedging Strategy, Annualized Return: 0.54% (monthly), 0.80% (quarterly), 1.37% (minimum discount); Volatility: 3.02% (monthly), 3.36% (quarterly), 3.15% (minimum discount); Maximum Drawdown: -3.95% (monthly), -4.03% (quarterly), -4.06% (minimum discount); Net Value: 1.0159 (monthly), 1.0237 (quarterly), 1.0406 (minimum discount); Annual Turnover: 12 (monthly), 4 (quarterly), 15.36 (minimum discount); 2025 YTD Return: -0.75% (monthly), 0.39% (quarterly), 0.70% (minimum discount)[53] - Continuous Hedging Strategy, Annualized Return: 1.07% (monthly), 2.04% (quarterly), 1.76% (minimum discount); Volatility: 3.13% (monthly), 3.56% (quarterly), 3.15% (minimum discount); Maximum Drawdown: -4.22% (monthly), -3.75% (quarterly), -3.91% (minimum discount); Net Value: 1.0316 (monthly), 1.0609 (quarterly), 1.0526 (minimum discount); Annual Turnover: 12 (monthly), 4 (quarterly), 16.04 (minimum discount); 2025 YTD Return: 0.08% (monthly), 1.15% (quarterly), 1.14% (minimum discount)[57] - Continuous Hedging Strategy, Annualized Return: -5.96% (monthly), -4.33% (quarterly), -3.76% (minimum discount); Volatility: 4.74% (monthly), 5.79% (quarterly), 5.60% (minimum discount); Maximum Drawdown: -14.00% (monthly), -12.63% (quarterly), -11.11% (minimum discount); Net Value: 0.8521 (monthly), 0.8849 (quarterly), 0.9009 (minimum discount); Annual Turnover: 12 (monthly), 4 (quarterly), 15.96 (minimum discount); 2025 YTD Return: -8.68% (monthly), -3.91% (quarterly), -3.47% (minimum discount)[59] - Cinda-VIX, 30-day VIX values: 17.29 (SSE 50), 15.95 (CSI 300), 23.13 (CSI 500), 21.70 (CSI 1000)[62] - Cinda-SKEW, 30-day SKEW values: 100.62 (SSE 50), 101.40 (CSI 300), 96.04 (CSI 500), 102.73 (CSI 1000)[71]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the utility sector is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The utility sector has shown a strong performance, with a 2.3% increase as of July 4, outperforming the broader market [3][11] - The electricity sector is expected to see profit improvement and value reassessment due to previous supply-demand tensions, with a focus on coal power's pivotal role [4] - Natural gas consumption in China has increased by 2.4% year-on-year in May 2025, indicating a recovery in demand [4] Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of July 4, the utility sector rose by 2.3%, with the electricity sector up by 2.38% and the gas sector up by 1.09% [3][11] - The top-performing sub-sectors include thermal power, which increased by 4.37%, and thermal services, which rose by 6.53% [13] Electricity Sector Data Tracking - The price of Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) increased by 2 CNY to 616 CNY/ton as of July 4 [3][21] - Coal inventory at Qinhuangdao port reached 5.7 million tons, an increase of 50,000 tons week-on-week [30] - The outflow from the Three Gorges Reservoir increased by 32.61% year-on-year, reaching 18,300 cubic meters per second [46] Natural Gas Sector Data Tracking - The LNG ex-factory price index in Shanghai was 4,412 CNY/ton, a decrease of 2.09% year-on-year [55] - Domestic natural gas apparent consumption in May 2025 was 36.42 billion cubic meters, up 2.4% year-on-year [4] - The EU's natural gas supply for week 26 of 2025 was 6.23 billion cubic meters, an increase of 8.9% year-on-year [4] Investment Recommendations - For the electricity sector, it is recommended to focus on leading coal power companies such as Guodian Power, Huaneng International, and Huadian International [4] - In the natural gas sector, companies like Xin'ao and Guanghui Energy are expected to benefit from stable margins and increased sales volume [4]

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive outlook for the tire industry, particularly highlighting the stability in demand and the introduction of new products by key players like Sailun [5][6]. Core Insights - The tire industry is experiencing a decline in raw material prices, which is expected to benefit manufacturers [5][8]. - Sailun has launched a new product line, the Liquid Gold tire fashion series, which includes innovative features [5][6]. - The U.S. tire retail sales remain robust, with a year-on-year increase of 3.53% in May 2025 [5][67]. - The import demand for tires in the U.S. shows a mixed performance, with semi-steel tire imports decreasing while full-steel tire imports are increasing significantly [5][76]. Summary by Sections Raw Materials - The tire raw material price index decreased to 152.76 in June 2025, down 2.63% month-on-month and 11.82% year-on-year [5][9]. - Natural rubber averaged 14,257 CNY/ton, down 4.67% month-on-month and 3.99% year-on-year [5][9]. - Styrene-butadiene rubber averaged 12,005 CNY/ton, down 3.64% month-on-month and 21.53% year-on-year [5][9]. Production and Export - In June 2025, the average operating rate for full-steel tires in China was 63.96%, up 5.61 percentage points year-on-year [5][26]. - The production of new inflatable rubber tires in China reached 101.99 million units in May 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.20% [5][28]. Consumption - The replacement market for tires shows resilience, with stable demand in the U.S. [5][38]. - In June 2025, China's heavy truck sales were approximately 92,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 28.85% [5][55]. Shipping Costs - Shipping costs showed significant fluctuations in June 2025, impacting the overall cost structure for tire imports and exports [5][6]. Industry News - Sailun's participation in the Nürburgring endurance race resulted in a podium finish, showcasing the performance of their tires under challenging conditions [5][6].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the oil processing industry Core Insights - The report indicates a more relaxed fundamental outlook for the oil market, with adjustments in supply and demand forecasts from IEA, EIA, and OPEC for 2025 and 2026 [1][2][3] Supply Overview - IEA, EIA, and OPEC predict global oil supply for 2025 to be 10,488.00, 10,434.42, and 10,410.62 million barrels per day respectively, showing increases from 2024 of +182.72, +154.73, and +175.68 million barrels per day [2][32] - For 2026, the supply predictions are 10,603.04, 10,513.81, and 10,505.26 million barrels per day, reflecting increases from 2025 of +115.04, +79.39, and +94.64 million barrels per day [2][32] - The average change in global oil supply for Q2 2025 is forecasted to be +70.56 million barrels per day, a significant increase from previous predictions [2][27] Demand Overview - Global oil demand predictions for 2025 are 10,376.27, 10,352.80, and 10,513.49 million barrels per day from IEA, EIA, and OPEC respectively, with year-on-year increases of +72.41, +78.67, and +129.49 million barrels per day [2][4] - For 2026, the demand forecasts are 10,450.19, 10,458.75, and 10,641.54 million barrels per day, indicating increases from 2025 of +73.92, +105.95, and +128.05 million barrels per day [2][4] Price Trends - As of July 2, 2025, Brent crude, WTI, Russian ESPO, and Urals crude prices are $69.11, $67.45, $62.59, and $65.49 per barrel respectively, with recent monthly changes of +6.93%, +7.89%, +3.54%, and 0.00% [9][10] - Year-to-date price changes show Brent crude at -8.98%, WTI at -7.77%, Russian ESPO at -13.01%, and Urals at -4.41% [9][10] Inventory Insights - IEA, EIA, and OPEC predict global oil inventory changes for 2025 to be +111.73, +81.62, and -102.87 million barrels per day respectively, with an average change of +30.16 million barrels per day [3][27] - For 2026, the inventory changes are forecasted at +152.85, +55.06, and -136.28 million barrels per day, averaging +23.88 million barrels per day [1][27] Related Companies - The report highlights several related companies including China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), and China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) among others [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company plans to invest CNY 11 billion in an integrated high-performance paper-based new material project in Sichuan, which includes the construction of 400,000 tons of bamboo pulp and 600,000 tons of paper, contributing a total of 800,000 tons of bamboo pulp and 1.2 million tons of paper [1] - The first phase is expected to achieve an annual output value of approximately CNY 5.15 billion, with production anticipated to commence within three years from the start of construction [1] - The investment aims to seize high-quality bamboo forest resources in China, with the bamboo pulp production line expected to be the first to commence operations [1][2] Summary by Sections Market Potential - The bamboo pulp market is expected to expand significantly, with 2023 production at 2.54 million tons, accounting for only 2.9% of total pulp production [2] - Government initiatives, such as the "Replace Plastic with Bamboo" action plan, are set to boost the bamboo pulp paper industry, with an anticipated 200,000 to 250,000 tons of new capacity to be launched in the next three years [2] Financial Performance - The company is projected to achieve a revenue growth rate of over 30% for the year, with a net profit forecast of CNY 1.31 billion in 2025, reflecting a 30% year-on-year increase [3][4] - The gross profit margin is expected to improve from 11.6% in 2023 to 15.8% in 2025, indicating a positive trend in profitability [4] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from CNY 0.94 in 2023 to CNY 1.85 in 2025, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio decreasing from 21.90 to 11.14 [4]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Insights - The new "Mineral Resources Law" marks a historic transition for the coal industry from "scale and speed" to "quality and efficiency," which will accelerate the elimination of outdated production capacity in the short term and promote a "safe, green, and efficient" modern coal industry system in the long term [1][4] Summary by Sections New "Mineral Resources Law" Key Points - The law introduces a market-oriented mechanism for mineral rights allocation, emphasizing competitive bidding and auctioning, which aims to eliminate administrative barriers and promote fair market access [2][4] - It establishes a clear property rights system for mineral resources, ensuring legal protection for mining rights and separating property rights from administrative permits [3][4] - The law enhances ecological restoration responsibilities, requiring mining companies to undertake full lifecycle restoration obligations and establishing a funding mechanism for ecological repair [3][4] Impact on the Coal Industry - In the short to medium term, the coal industry faces increased resource acquisition costs and market segmentation, potentially accelerating the exit of smaller coal mines [4] - The overall cost curve for coal production is expected to rise due to higher ecological restoration and safety requirements, which may support coal prices [4] - Long-term trends indicate a shift towards market-driven, green, and intensive development, with potential for new business models integrating resources, capital, and technology [4][5]