中美谈判利好落地，公募新规或催化配置逻辑重塑 —— 量化市场追踪周报（2025W20） 2025 年 5 月 18 日 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 证券研究报告 金工研究 金工定期报告 于明明 金融工程与金融产品 首席分析师 执业编号：S1500521070001 联系电话：+86 18616021459 邮 箱：yumingming@cindasc.com 主动权益基金仓位下行：截至 2025/5/16，主动权益型基金的平均仓位约 为 86.50%。其中，普通股票型基金的平均仓位约为 89.44%（较上周下降 0.20pct），偏股混合型基金的平均仓位约为 86.86%（较上周下降 0.39pct）， 配置型基金的平均仓位约为 84.37%（较上周下降 0.37pct）；"固收+"基金 平均仓位约为 24.55%，较上周下降 0.09pct。 中小盘风格暴露相对提升：截至 2025/5/16，主动偏股型基金大盘成长仓 位 10.55%（较上周下降 2.39pct），大盘价值仓位 10.93%（较上周上升 0.08pct），中盘成长仓位 14.82%（较 ...

证券研究报告 行业研究——周报 [Tabl Table_StockAndRank] 石油加工行业 e_ReportType] 行业评级 ——看好 上次评级——看好 [Table_A 左前明 uthor 能源行业首席分析师 ] 执业编号：S1500518070001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮箱：zuoqianming@cindasc.com 胡晓艺 石化行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524070003 邮箱：huxiaoyi@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDASECURITIESCO.，LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅 大厦B座 邮编：100031 原油周报：中美关税谈判落地，油价震荡上行 [Table_Title] [Table_ReportDate0] 2025 年 5 月 18 日 本期内容提要： [Table_Summary] ➢ 【油价回顾】截至 2025年 5月 16 日当周，油价震荡上涨。本周，中 美经贸高层会谈取得实质性进展，双方大幅下调关税，贸易争端紧张 局势缓和，提振市场风险偏好。但美伊核谈判等地缘因素反复（特朗 普称美伊就核协议达成某种共 ...

美国签订中东 AI 芯片大单，主权 AI 拉动基建投资 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 5 月 18 日 证券研究报告 行业研究 [行业周报 Table_ReportType] | [Table_StockAndRank] 电子 | | | --- | --- | | 投资评级 | 看好 | | 上次评级 | 看好 | [Table_Author] 莫文宇 电子行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500522090001 邮 箱：mowenyu@cindasc.com 杨宇轩 电子行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525010001 邮箱：yangyuxuan@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅 大厦B座 邮编：100031 [美国签订中东 Table_Title] AI 芯片大单，主权 AI 拉动基 建投资 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 5 月 18 日 本期内容提要: [Table_S [Table_Summary ummary] ] 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 ht ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights an increase in the valuation center of new consumption, with new tobacco and smart glasses industries poised for catalysts [2] - The report discusses various sectors including paper, exports, new tobacco, home furnishings, consumer goods, packaging, two-wheelers, gold and jewelry, cross-border e-commerce, IP retail, maternal and child products, beauty care, e-commerce, electrical lighting, and tools, indicating a broad analysis of the light industry [2][3][4][5] Summary by Relevant Sections Paper Industry - As of May 15, the average weekly price of imported needle and broadleaf pulp increased by 1.1% and 0.9% respectively, influenced by overseas supply and easing US-China trade tensions [2] - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in paper prices due to ongoing demand and cost pressures [2] Export Sector - The narrative remains positive with structural growth and overseas capacity as long-term focus areas [2] - Companies like Walmart and YETI reported stable growth, with Walmart's Q1 revenue up by 2.5% year-on-year [2] New Tobacco - The GLO HILO product from British American Tobacco is set to launch in Japan, with expectations for strong performance in 2024 [2] - Sales for various tobacco products are projected to grow, with heated tobacco products (HNB) and nicotine pouches showing significant increases [3] Home Furnishings - The report notes a decline in revenue and net profit for leading companies like Minhua, but anticipates recovery through multi-channel strategies [3] - Companies such as Gujia and Mousse are highlighted for their potential growth in the domestic market [3] Consumer Goods - The report mentions the upcoming 618 shopping festival, with domestic brands showing strong pre-sale performance [3] - Brands like Babycare and Bubululu are noted for their market leadership in specific categories [3] Packaging - Companies like Yongxin and Yutong are performing steadily, with growth in new segments [4] - The report emphasizes the importance of overseas market expansion for these companies [4] Two-Wheelers - Ninebot's cumulative sales have surpassed 7 million units, indicating robust growth in the electric two-wheeler market [4] - New product launches from companies like Niu Electric are also performing well [4] Gold and Jewelry - The report discusses the launch of new product lines and promotional activities by brands like Chao Hong Ji and Lao Feng Xiang [4] - Despite concerns over gold price fluctuations, sales performance remains strong [4] Cross-Border E-commerce - The easing of tariff pressures is seen as a temporary relief for sellers, with a focus on global supply chain strategies [4] - Companies like Anker Innovations and Zhiou Technology are highlighted for their strong global presence [4] IP Retail - The opening of new stores by brands like Pop Mart is expected to attract significant consumer interest [4] - The report notes the potential for increased foot traffic and sales through innovative product launches [4] Maternal and Child Products - The strategic investment by Kidswant in HanSang Technology aims to enhance service ecosystems [5] - The report emphasizes the importance of technology in improving customer experience [5] Beauty Care - Domestic brands are leading in pre-sale rankings for the 618 shopping festival, with significant year-on-year growth in sales [5] - Brands like Proya and Kefu Mei are noted for their strong market presence [5] E-commerce - The report discusses the focus on lower-tier markets and the integration of AI in retail strategies [5] - Companies like Huitongda Network are highlighted for their innovative approaches to market expansion [5] Electrical Lighting - Bull Group is focusing on smart lighting and international expansion, launching new products [5] - The report notes the brand's efforts to enhance its global reputation [5] Tools - The report indicates a recovery in shipments due to easing tariff impacts, with companies like Juxing Technology resuming exports [5] - The ongoing shift in production capacity is noted as a significant trend in the industry [5]

歌声ue 如何看待降准落地后资金面的边际收敛？ —— 流动性与机构行为周度跟踪 250518 [[Table_R Table_Report eportTTime ime]] 2025 年 5 月 18 日 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 证券研究报告 债券研究 [Table_ReportType] 专题报告 | ] [Table_A 李一爽 uthor固定收益首席分析师 | | --- | | 执业编号：S1500520050002 | | 联系电话：+86 18817583889 | | 邮 箱： liyishuang@cindasc.com | [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 5 月 18 日 [➢Table_Summary] 本周央行逆回购净回笼 3501 亿元，周四 1250 亿 MLF 到期，但降准 0.5%也在 当日落地。尽管央行在周中持续净回笼，但上半周资金利率显著走低，R001 降至 1.4%-1.45%的区间。尽管周四降准落地，但 MLF 到期叠加政府债缴款规 模增大，尾盘资金边际收紧，周五央行小幅净投放，早盘资金紧张持 ...

证券研究报告 行业研究——周报 [Table_Title] 大炼化周报：关税 争端缓和与成本支撑，炼化产品价格上涨 [Table_ReportDate0] 2025 年 5 月 18 日 本期内容提要： ➢ 国内外重点炼化项目价差跟踪： [Table_Summary] [Table_Summary] 截至 5 月 16 日当周，国内重点大炼化 项目价差为 2422.43 元/吨，环比变化+89.11 元/吨（+3.82%）；国外重 点大炼化项目价差为 1125.10 元/吨，环比变化+63.39 元/吨（+5.97%）。 截至 5 月 16 日当周，布伦特原油周均价为 65.36 美元/桶，环比变化 +6.23%。 ➢ 【炼油板块】本周前期英美就关税贸易协议条款达成一致，加之中美经 贸高层会谈取得实质性进展，双方大幅下调关税，贸易争端紧张局势缓 和，提振市场风险偏好，叠加美国通胀数据好于预期，缓解了市场对美 国经济衰退的担忧；同时，特朗普对伊朗施压，多重利好提振下，国际 油价有所上涨。本周后期，EIA 上周美国原油库存下降，加之欧佩克+增 产压力，国际油价有所回落。2025 年 5 月 16 日布伦特、WTI ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is seen as the beginning of a new upward cycle in the coal economy, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to accumulate coal sector assets [11][12] - The underlying investment logic of coal supply shortages remains unchanged, with a short-term balance in supply and demand but a medium to long-term gap still anticipated [11][12] - The coal price is expected to stabilize and rise, with historical patterns suggesting a potential turning point in consumption by late May as the summer electricity demand season approaches [3][11] Summary by Sections Coal Price Tracking - As of May 16, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 618 CNY/ton, down 17 CNY/ton week-on-week [29] - The international thermal coal FOB price for Newcastle (NEWC5500) is 69.3 USD/ton, down 0.3 USD/ton week-on-week [29] - The price for coking coal at Jing Tang port is 1350 CNY/ton, down 30 CNY/ton week-on-week [31] Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 96.1%, down 0.3 percentage points week-on-week [3][47] - The daily coal consumption in inland provinces decreased by 1.20 million tons/day (-0.39%), while coastal provinces saw an increase of 7.10 million tons/day (+4.09%) [3][48] - The chemical industry’s coal consumption decreased by 22.31 thousand tons/day (-3.11%) [11] Inventory Situation - As of May 15, coal inventory in inland provinces increased by 337 thousand tons, while coastal provinces saw a decrease of 26 thousand tons [48] - The available days of coal in inland provinces increased by 0.20 days, while it decreased by 0.80 days in coastal provinces [48] Company Performance - The coal sector has shown resilience, with a 1.65% increase in the coal sector index, outperforming the broader market [14] - Key companies to focus on include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and others with stable operations and strong performance [12][13]

《关于持续推进城市更新行动的意见》发布，污水厂网一体化建设有望加快 CINDA SECURITIES CO.，LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 《关于持续推进城市更新行动的意见》发布，污水 厂网一体化建设有望加快 2025 年 5 月 18 日 本期内容提要: 【】【】[Table_Industry] 环保周报 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 5 月 18 日 15666646523.tcy | 证券研究报告 | | --- | | 行业研究——周报 | | [Table_ReportType] | | 行业周报 | | [Table_StockAndRank] | | 环保 | | 投资评级 看好 | | 上次评级 看好 | | [左前明 Table_Author] 能源行业首席分析师 | | 执业编号：S1500518070001 | | 联系电话：010-83326712 | | 邮 箱：zuoqianming@cindasc.com | | 郭雪 环保联席首席分析师 | | 执业编号：S150052503000 ...

[Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 5 月 17 日 [于明明 Table_ First 金融工程与金融产品首席 Author] 分析师 执业编号：S1500521070001 联系电话：+86 18616021459 邮 箱：yumingming@cindasc.com 周金铭 金融工程与金融产品分析师 执业编号：S1500523050003 联系电话：+86 18511558803 邮 箱：zhoujinming@cindasc.com 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 中证红利成交较 4 月缩量，本周 ETF 净流出 28.24 亿元 —— 红利风格投资价值跟踪（2025W20） 证券研究报告 金工研究 [TableReportType] 金工专题报告 [Table_A 于明明 uthor 金融工程与金融产品 ] 首席分析师 执业编号：S1500521070001 联系电话：+86 18616021459 邮 箱：yumingming@cindasc.com 周金铭 金融工程与金融产品 分析师 执业编号：S1500523050003 联系 ...

广东 136 号文衔接政策落地，4 月我国进口天然气量同比下降 6.1% 【】【】[Table_Industry] 公用事业—电力天然气周报 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 5 月 17 日 15666646523.tcy ● 本周市场表现：截至5月16日收盘，本周公用事业板块上涨0.1%，表现 劣于大盘。其中，电力板块上涨0.06%，燃气板块上涨0.23%。 ● 电力行业数据跟踪： ➢ 动力煤价格:秦港动力煤价格周环比下跌。截至5月16日，秦皇岛港动 力煤(Q5500)山西产市场价618元/吨，周环比下跌17元/吨。截至5月16 日，广州港印尼煤(Q5500)库提价702.12元/吨，周环比下跌7.23元/吨； 广州港澳洲煤(Q5500)库提价721.93元/吨，周环比下跌11.88元/吨。 ➢ 动力煤库存及电厂日耗：秦港动力煤库存周环比增加，沿海电厂日耗 周环比上升。截至5月16日，秦皇岛港煤炭库存760万吨，周环比增加7 万吨。截至5月15日，内陆17省煤炭库存8080.1万吨，较上周增加33.7 万吨，周环比上升0.42%；内陆17省电厂日耗为310.3万吨，较上周下降 1.2万吨 ...