Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Insights - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 10.453 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 25.63%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.36 billion yuan, up 37.75% year-on-year. The gross margin and net margin were 26.28% and 13.02%, respectively, with increases of 0.08 percentage points and 1.16 percentage points year-on-year [2][5]. - For Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 5.671 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.06% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 18.56%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 869 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 42.92% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 76.74% [2][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s PCB business generated 6.274 billion yuan in revenue in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 29.21%, accounting for 60.02% of total revenue. The gross margin for this segment was 34.42%, an increase of 3.05 percentage points year-on-year [11]. - The packaging substrate business achieved revenue of 1.740 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 9.03%, representing 16.64% of total revenue. The gross margin decreased to 15.15%, down 10.31 percentage points year-on-year due to rising costs and production ramp-up challenges [11]. Market Trends and Drivers - The demand for AI-related products has significantly increased, driven by the capital expenditure growth of major cloud service providers, particularly in AI computing infrastructure. This has positively impacted the company's order growth in the PCB business [11]. - The company is actively advancing its projects in Thailand and Nantong, which are expected to support future business expansion [11]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 2.987 billion yuan, 3.647 billion yuan, and 4.466 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 40.91, 33.52, and 27.37 [11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.899 billion yuan, net profit attributable to shareholders of 138 million yuan, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 87 million yuan, representing year-on-year declines of 14%, 7%, and 31% respectively [2][6] - The revenue in Q2 2025 was 1.082 billion yuan, with a net profit of 96 million yuan and a net profit excluding non-recurring items of 51 million yuan, showing year-on-year declines of 22%, 5%, and 41% respectively [2][6] - The revenue decline in H1 was significantly impacted by large-scale business disruptions, while the integrated business contributed positively [2][6] - The company is focusing on cost control and organizational optimization to support growth in southern markets and is committed to executing its overseas strategy [2][6] Revenue Summary - H1 revenue was affected by large-scale business disruptions, with retail, large-scale, and export revenues declining by 4%, 47%, and increasing by 71% year-on-year respectively [2][6] - In terms of product categories, revenue from cabinets, wardrobes, wooden doors, and others declined by 26%, 3%, 5%, and 23% year-on-year respectively, with wardrobes and wooden doors showing relative resilience [2][6] Profitability Summary - H1 operating profit faced temporary pressure, with a year-on-year decline in gross margin of 0.7 percentage points [2][6] - The gross margin for retail, large-scale, and export channels changed by -2.0, -0.3, and +3.4 percentage points respectively [2][6] - The net profit margin attributable to shareholders improved by 0.5 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to an investment income of approximately 44.31 million yuan [2][6] Store Optimization - During H1 2025, the net change in the number of stores for cabinets, wardrobes, and wooden doors was -137, -186, and +9 respectively, focusing on enhancing the resilience of existing stores and optimizing the store structure [2][6] Operational Outlook - The company aims to explore potential and control costs, with a focus on enhancing the integrated business model and expanding into southern markets and overseas [2][6] - The company expects to continue its growth trend in H2 2025, driven by resource allocation and organizational policies [2][6] - The company anticipates significant growth potential in domestic sales, customized home furnishings, and supporting product revenue [2][6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.551 billion yuan, a net profit attributable to shareholders of 319 million yuan, and a net profit excluding non-recurring items of 429 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing year-on-year declines of 8%, 43%, and 19% respectively. In Q2 2025, the figures were 2.513 billion yuan, 307 million yuan, and 278 million yuan, with year-on-year declines of 11%, 23%, and 26% respectively. Both retail and bulk sales faced pressure, and profitability was under strain in Q2 [2][6] Summary by Sections Revenue - Revenue from traditional retail, integrated decoration, bulk sales, and exports showed year-on-year changes of -7%, -13%, -12%, and +39% respectively in H1 2025. Exports demonstrated a strong growth trend. The brands saw revenue changes of -7% for Sophia, -27% for Milan, -22% for Huaher, and +9% for others [12] Profitability - In Q2 2025, the net profit margin and net profit excluding non-recurring items decreased by 1.9 and 2.3 percentage points year-on-year. The gross margin and operating expenses showed a year-on-year change of -2.3 and +0.8 percentage points respectively. The overall gross margin for H1 decreased by 1.4 percentage points, while the gross margin for retail and bulk sales decreased by 0.6 and 8.8 percentage points respectively [12] Store Dynamics - The net change in the number of stores for the brands in H1 2025 was +14 for Sophia, -26 for Si Mi, -19 for Huaher, and +13 for Milan, resulting in a total of 2,517, 135, 260, and 572 stores respectively [12] Future Outlook - The company’s integrated home strategy positions retail as the core, with Milan and integrated decoration showing growth potential. The expansion of supporting products and customer order value is expected to contribute to revenue growth. The average customer order value reached 22,340 yuan in H1 2025, down from 19,619 yuan in 2023, but is expected to recover. The integrated decoration segment is improving in quality, with partnerships covering 211 and 1,450 market areas respectively. The company has established 26 overseas distributors across 23 countries/regions, indicating potential for growth in exports [12] Long-term Value - The long-term value in the home furnishing sector remains intact, with expectations for continued high dividends. The company is set to benefit from national subsidies in the home furnishing sector, with a projected dividend of 960 million yuan for 2024, representing 88% of net profit excluding non-recurring items, yielding a dividend rate exceeding 7%. Forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are approximately 1.17 billion, 1.16 billion, and 1.28 billion yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 11, 11, and 10 times [12]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 4.966 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 23%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 490 million yuan, a decrease of 17% year-on-year. The adjusted net profit was 691 million yuan, reflecting an 11% increase year-on-year [2][4]. Revenue Performance - The company reported that both domestic and U.S. same-store sales have turned positive. As of Q2 2025, the company had 4,305 domestic stores, 3,307 overseas stores, and 293 TOPTOY stores, with a net increase of 30, 94, and 13 stores respectively in the quarter. Domestic same-store sales grew by 14% year-on-year, while overseas and TOPTOY saw increases of 29% and 87% respectively [7]. Profitability Analysis - The decline in net profit was primarily due to losses from Yonghui Supermarket, which amounted to 120 million yuan. Despite this, the adjusted net profit showed a double-digit growth of 11% year-on-year, with a gross margin increase of 0.4 percentage points. The sales and management expense ratios changed by -2.9 and -0.4 percentage points respectively, indicating improved operational efficiency [7]. Strategic Developments - The company has optimized its operations significantly in both domestic and overseas markets. The domestic strategy focuses on transitioning from small to large stores and refining inventory management, which has led to improved same-store sales. The overseas business, particularly in the U.S. and Europe, is expected to continue growing due to enhanced direct operations [7]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a solid growth trajectory, with projected adjusted net profits of 3.12 billion, 3.73 billion, and 4.28 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively. The long-term investment highlights include a stable domestic business foundation, expansion of direct overseas operations, and the development of proprietary IP [7].

丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨周大生（002867.SZ） [Table_Title] 周大生 2025 年中报点评：25Q2 盈利显著增长， 直营渠道表现较优 报告要点 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% [Table_Summary] 2025 上半年公司实现收入 46 亿元，同比下滑 43.9%，归母净利润 5.9 亿元，同比下滑 1.3%， 单二季度实现收入 19 亿元，同比下滑 38.5%，归母净利润 3.4 亿元，同比增长 31.3%，扣非 归母净利润 3.4 亿元，同比增长 36.1%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490514080004 SAC：S0490520080019 SAC：S0490525080008 SFC：BUV258 李锦 罗祎 张彦淳 research.95579.com 1 周大生（002867.SZ） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 周大生 20252]年中报点评：25Q2 盈利显著增长， 直营渠道表现较优 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 2025 上半年公司实现收入 46 亿元，同比 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.79 billion yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year decline of 7.05%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 110 million yuan, down 15.2% year-on-year [2][4] - In Q2 alone, the company achieved a revenue of 910 million yuan, a decrease of 11.7% year-on-year, with a net profit of 57.25 million yuan, down 16.1% year-on-year [2][4] - The cosmetics business, particularly the Yilian brand, showed steady growth, while the Aier Doctor brand is undergoing a phase of adjustment [10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the cosmetics, pharmaceutical, and raw materials segments generated revenues of 1.09 billion, 210 million, and 180 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -7.7%, -13.9%, and +4.2% [10] - The Yilian brand achieved a revenue of 550 million yuan, a growth of 23.8% year-on-year, while the Aier Doctor brand saw a revenue decline of 30% to 450 million yuan [10] - The overall gross profit margin slightly improved, with a net profit margin of 6%, down 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [10] Business Segments - The Yilian brand's growth was supported by the announcement of a global spokesperson, leading to a 43% increase in the spray product line [10] - The Aier Doctor brand is in a brand adjustment phase, with new product launches expected to drive future growth [10] - The raw materials business showed stability, with sales of hyaluronic acid reaching 120 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.4% [10] Future Outlook - The company is expected to focus on its main brands, with the Yilian brand showing strong momentum and the Aier Doctor brand undergoing necessary adjustments [10] - The company anticipates improvements in profitability due to optimized channel structures and enhanced gross margins in the raw materials segment [10] - EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 0.24, 0.29, and 0.34 yuan per share respectively [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the cosmetics industry [3] Core Insights - The cosmetics industry is experiencing stable growth with a slight improvement in growth rates, while profitability continues to show differentiation among companies [11][16] - The average revenue growth rate for the cosmetics industry in Q1 and Q2 of 2025 was -8.4% and -2.1%, respectively, indicating a slight improvement in the second quarter [16] - Online sales channels, particularly Tmall and Douyin, have shown a year-on-year growth of 13.1% in the first half of 2025, reflecting a recovery in consumer demand [11] Summary by Sections Cosmetics: Stable Growth and Business Adjustments - The cosmetics industry showed a year-on-year growth of 3.1% and 2.6% in Q1 and Q2 of 2025, respectively, with a significant improvement compared to the -1.1% growth in 2024 [11] - The industry is characterized by a slight improvement in growth rates, with the overall growth falling into a stable range [11] Revenue: Differentiation Among Brands - The average revenue growth for the brand segment was 0.4% and 6.5% in Q1 and Q2 of 2025, respectively, indicating stronger resilience compared to upstream and downstream segments [16] - Mid-sized brands like Maogeping and Shangmei have achieved good growth amidst a stable industry backdrop, while leading companies like Proya continue to grow steadily [16] Gross Margin Trends - The average gross margin for the brand segment increased by 1.6 percentage points in the first half of 2025, driven by improved business structures and effective price control by certain brands [21] - Specific brands like Water Sheep and Beitaini have seen significant improvements in gross margins due to product upgrades and price management strategies [21] Product Innovation: Focus on Core Series and Efficacy Expansion - Brands are focusing on upgrading core product lines and expanding efficacy categories, particularly in sunscreen and whitening, with increased competition expected [25] - New product launches include Proya's whitening series and Beitaini's anti-aging products, indicating a trend towards enhancing product offerings [25] Sales Expenses: Rising Industry Rates - The average sales expense ratio for brands in the first half of 2025 was 44.7%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.7 percentage points, influenced by rising competition and platform costs [31] - The narrowing of gross sales margins indicates ongoing pressure on profitability across the industry [31]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the investment banking and brokerage industry [7] Core Insights - The recent implementation of the public fund fee reform in three phases is driving high-quality development in the industry. Brokerage firms continue to show high growth in their mid-year performance, and market enthusiasm remains high. The valuation still offers cost-effectiveness, suggesting a focus on leading companies and high-performing stocks in the sector. In the insurance sector, the overall trend supports the logic of deposit migration, increased equity allocation, and improved new policy costs, enhancing the certainty of long-term ROE improvement and accelerating valuation recovery [2][4] - From the perspective of profitability and dividend stability, the report continues to recommend Jiangsu Jinzu, which has stable profit growth and dividend rates, China Ping An, which maintains a high dividend yield, and China Pacific Insurance, which has clear advantages in business model and market position. Additionally, based on performance elasticity and valuation levels, the report recommends Xinhua Insurance, China Life, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Wealth, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings [4] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The non-bank financial index increased by 0.3% this week, with an excess return of -1.1% relative to the CSI 300, ranking 24th out of 31 industries. Year-to-date, the non-bank financial index is up 8.2%, with an excess return of -6.7%, also ranking 21st out of 31 [5] - Market enthusiasm has slightly declined, with an average daily trading volume of 23,264.15 billion yuan, down 10.63% week-on-week, and an average turnover rate of 2.45%, down 34.86 basis points [5] Key Industry News & Company Announcements - The China Securities Regulatory Commission released the "Classification Evaluation Regulations for Futures Companies" [6] - Company announcements include Guosen Securities completing the registration procedures for issuing new shares to acquire 96.08% of Wanhe Securities, and Xibu Securities completing the transfer of shares for the acquisition of Guorong Securities [6] Brokerage Data Tracking - The report highlights a slight recovery in margin financing, with a balance of 2.34 trillion yuan, up 2.67% week-on-week. The stock pledge market remains cautious, with expectations of continued contraction in stock pledge scale, but improved asset yield rates are anticipated to enhance income performance [45][49]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the supermarket and department store industry [4]. Core Insights - The overall retail sector is showing signs of stabilization and recovery, with essential and national subsidized categories performing well. In the first seven months of 2025, the retail sales growth rate was 4.8%, with July's growth at 3.7% [14]. - Supermarkets are undergoing store closures and adjustments, leading to an optimization of profit margins. In the first half of 2025, major supermarket chains closed a total of 223 stores, with ongoing adjustments expected to enhance profitability [15][19]. - The department store sector is experiencing a short-term decline in performance, with a focus on maintaining operational stability and gradually improving brand matrices [35]. Summary by Sections Overall Retail Sector - Retail sales growth is stabilizing, with essential goods showing strong growth. For instance, the retail sales growth for essential food categories was 12.2% in Q2 2025 [14]. - The performance of optional categories is recovering, with notable growth in national subsidized products like home appliances and furniture, which saw growth rates of 40.4% and 27.2% respectively in Q2 2025 [14]. Supermarkets - Supermarkets are optimizing their store networks, with significant closures and adjustments. For example, Yonghui Supermarket closed 223 stores, reducing its total to 552 [15]. - The average revenue for representative supermarket enterprises in Q2 2025 was 3.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 15% year-on-year, primarily due to the closure of underperforming stores [19]. - The average gross margin for supermarkets improved by 0.84 percentage points to 22.82% in Q2 2025, despite a net loss of 160 million yuan [19][25]. Department Stores - The average revenue for representative department store enterprises in Q2 2025 was 1.28 billion yuan, down 11% year-on-year, attributed to weak consumer demand [35]. - The average gross margin for department stores increased by 1.83 percentage points to 36.25% in Q2 2025, while average sales and management expenses decreased by 3% and 2% respectively [35]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests continuous monitoring of supermarket adjustments and improvements in operational efficiency. Key companies to watch include Yonghui Supermarket, Jiajiayue, Wushang Group, Chongqing Department Store, and Tianhong [42][43].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the gold and jewelry industry [4]. Core Viewpoints - The jewelry industry is experiencing a trend towards product upgrades and diversification, with a focus on design and cultural elements to attract younger consumers [16][20]. - Investment demand remains strong, with gold bar and coin sales increasing by 18% year-on-year in Q2 2025, despite a 24% decline in gold jewelry sales [9][32]. - The report suggests that the upcoming holiday season may further boost jewelry demand if gold prices stabilize [52]. Industry Prosperity - The industry is witnessing a slow recovery in gold jewelry demand, with Q2 2025 sales down 24% year-on-year, while investment gold continues to show high demand [9][12]. - The number of marriages has seen a positive year-on-year growth for the first time since 2024, which may alleviate some pressure on diamond jewelry sales [12]. Product Trends - The industry is focusing on multi-material designs and cultural integration, with brands increasingly collaborating with IPs to appeal to niche markets [16][21]. - Notable product innovations include lightweight and high-repurchase items like beads and rings, as well as high-end designs featuring diamonds and enamel [17]. Performance Overview of Jewelry Companies - In H1 2025, the average revenue of representative jewelry brands increased by 15% year-on-year, driven by a 39% rise in gold prices [32]. - Companies like Cai Bai and Lai Shen Tong Ling reported revenue growth rates of 50% and 27%, respectively, due to their focus on investment gold [32]. - The gross profit margin for many brands improved, with Lai Shen Tong Ling, Man Ka Long, and Chao Hong Ji showing significant year-on-year growth in gross profit [32][37]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading brands that are enhancing product offerings and optimizing channels, specifically highlighting Lao Pu Gold, Chao Hong Ji, Cai Bai, Zhou Da Sheng, and Lao Feng Xiang as key players to watch [52].