Report Overview - This is the Baocheng Futures Variety Arbitrage Data Daily Report for November 17, 2025, providing data on various futures products including basis, spreads, and cross - product ratios [1] 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Report's Core View - No clear - stated core view in the report. It mainly presents daily variety arbitrage data for different futures products including power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures 3. Summary by Category Power Coal - The report shows the basis and spreads (5 - 1 month, 9 - 5 month, 9 - 1 month) of power coal from November 10 to November 14, 2025 [1][2] Energy Chemicals Energy Commodities - Data on the basis of fuel oil, INE crude oil, and the ratio of crude oil to asphalt from November 10 to November 14, 2025 are provided, including values such as basis in yuan per ton and ratios [7] Chemical Commodities - **Basis**: The basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, V, and PP from November 10 to November 14, 2025 are given [9] - **Cross - Period Spreads**: Cross - period spreads (5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, 9 - 5 month) of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are presented [10] - **Cross - Product Spreads**: Cross - product spreads of LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3 * methanol from November 10 to November 14, 2025 are shown [10] Black Metals - **Basis**: The basis data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from November 10 to November 14, 2025 are provided [20] - **Cross - Period Spreads**: Cross - period spreads (5 - 1 month, 9(10) - 1 month, 9(10) - 5 month) of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are presented [19] - **Cross - Product Spreads**: Cross - product spreads of rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot - rolled coil from November 10 to November 14, 2025 are shown [19] Non - Ferrous Metals Domestic Market - The domestic basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from November 10 to November 14, 2025 are provided [29] London Market - Data on LME copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin including LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss on November 14, 2025 are presented [34] Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis data of soybeans 1, soybeans 2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn from November 10 to November 14, 2025 are provided [40] - **Cross - Period Spreads**: Cross - period spreads (5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, 9 - 5 month) of soybeans 1, soybeans 2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, palm oil, corn, sugar, and cotton are presented [40] - **Cross - Product Ratios**: Cross - product ratios of soybeans 1/corn, soybeans 2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, soybean meal - rapeseed meal, soybean oil - palm oil, rapeseed oil - soybean oil, and corn - corn starch from November 10 to November 14, 2025 are shown [39] Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from November 10 to November 14, 2025 are provided [51] - **Cross - Period Spreads**: Cross - period spreads (next - month - current - month, next - quarter - current - quarter) of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are presented [51]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - In the short term, Treasury bond futures are expected to trade in a range. Last week, Treasury bond futures fluctuated and consolidated. Currently, the upside and downside of Treasury bond futures are limited. In the long - term, there is still a problem of insufficient effective domestic demand in China. The latest consumption and investment data released by the statistics bureau are weak. A relatively loose monetary environment is needed to stabilize macro - domestic demand, providing strong long - term support for Treasury bond futures. However, in the short term, this year's economic data shows resilience, and there is no high need to further loosen policies at the end of the year. Especially, the recent overseas expectations of the Fed's interest rate cuts have been volatile, and the possibility of an interest rate cut in the short term is low, so the upward momentum of Treasury bond futures is limited. Overall, Treasury bond futures will mainly fluctuate and consolidate in the short term [3][30]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog 3.1 Market Review - Focuses on the price trends of TL2512, T2512, TF2512, and TS2512 Treasury bonds, but no specific trend analysis is provided in the given content [7][10][12][15]. 3.2 Treasury Bond Indicators - **Interest Rate Term Structure**: Includes the interest rate term structure of Treasury - local bonds and ChinaBond Treasury bonds [17][19]. - **Central Bank's Open - Market Operations**: Presents a chart of the central bank's open - market operations [21]. - **Treasury Bond Yield Curve**: Focuses on the Treasury bond yield curve [22][24]. - **Market Interest Rate and Policy Interest Rate**: Focuses on the relationship between market interest rates and policy interest rates [27]. 3.3 Conclusion - Reiterates that in the short term, Treasury bond futures are expected to trade in a range, with the same reasons as the core view [30].

期货研究报告 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 股指衍生品 | 周报 2025 年 11 月 17 日 股指衍生品 专业研究·创造价值 股指维持区间震荡 核心观点 股指期货：股指维持区间震荡 上周各股指均呈现震荡整理的走势，上周五股指高位回落大幅 收跌。随着昨日股指反弹至前期高点附近，叠加最新公布的国内投 资消费数据走弱以及海外 AI 科技股票降温，部分投资者止盈意愿 上升，股指技术性回调。目前政策利好预期与资金净流入股市趋势 共同构成股指中长期向上的强力支撑，但是政策利好预期与获利资 金止盈相互博弈的节奏决定着短线行情，短期行情震荡反复的可能 性较大。总的来说，短期内股指区间震荡为主。 邮箱：longaoming@bcqhgs.com 作者声明：本人具有中国期货 业协会授予的期货从业资格证 书，期货投资咨询资格证书， 本人承诺以勤勉的职业态度， 独立、客观地出具本报告。本 报告清晰准确地反映了本人的 研究观点。本人不会因本报告 中的具体推荐意见或观点而直 接或间接接收到任何形式的报 酬。 专业研究·创造价值 1 / 17 请务必阅读文末免责条款 请务必阅读文末免责条款部分 ETF 期权与股 ...

说明： 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 宝城期货螺纹钢早报（2025 年 11 月 17 日） ◼ 品种观点参考 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 螺纹 2601 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 震荡 偏弱 | 关注 MA20 一线压力 | 现实格局弱稳，钢价低位震荡 | 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘价为终点价格， 计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为弱势，跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强，涨幅大于 1%为强势。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 ◼ 行情驱动逻辑 周末钢材现货价格持稳运行，成交表现一般，而螺纹钢供需格局变化不大，螺纹产量持续下 降，但库存水平偏高，且持续性存疑，供应端利好效应不强。与此同时，螺纹需求持续走弱，高频 指标延续下行，继续位于近年来同期低位，且下游行业未见好转，后续需求降迎来季节性走弱。目 ...

期货研究报告 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 观点参考 宝城期货煤焦早报（2025 年 11 月 17 日） ◼ 品种观点参考 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 焦煤 | 2601 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 震荡 偏强 | 震荡思路 | 供应扰动仍存，焦煤震荡下行 | | 焦炭 | 2601 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 震荡 偏弱 | 震荡思路 | 成本支撑弱化，焦炭向下调整 | ◼ 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—商品期货黑色板块 品种：焦煤（JM） 日内观点：震荡偏强 中期观点：震荡 参考观点：震荡思路 核心逻辑：截至 11 月 14 日当周，全国 523 家炼焦煤矿精煤日均产量 75.7 万吨，环比增 1.9 万 吨，同比减 3.3 万吨。下游焦化厂由于焦炭第四轮涨价遇阻，吨焦盈利周环比下降 12 元/吨， 至-34 元/吨，生产积极性偏低。截至 11 月 14 日当周，钢联口径全样本独立焦化厂和钢厂焦化 厂焦炭 ...

期货研究报告 晨会纪要 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 宝城期货甲醇早报-2025-11-17 品种晨会纪要 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 甲醇 2601 | 偏弱 | 震荡 | 偏弱 | 偏弱运行 | 偏弱供需主导，甲醇震荡偏弱 | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为弱势，跌幅 0~1%为偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为偏强，涨幅大于 1%为强势。 3.偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议 专业研究·创造价值 1 / 2 请务必阅读文末免责条款 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—商品期货能源化工板块 甲醇（MA） 日内观点：偏弱 中期观点：震荡 参考观点：偏弱运行 核心逻辑：近期美国国会参议院已就结束联邦政府"停摆"达成一致，市场乐观情绪有所回暖，提振 投资者风险偏好。当前国内甲醇开工率 ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Ratings - No specific industry investment ratings are provided in the report. Group 2: Core Views of the Report - For gold, the short - term, medium - term, and intraday views are "oscillation", "oscillation", and "oscillation with a slight upward bias" respectively, with a reference view of "wait - and - see". The core logic is that the Fed turning hawkish has led to a short - term decline in gold prices [1][3]. - For copper, the short - term, medium - term, and intraday views are "strong", "strong", and "oscillation with a slight upward bias" respectively, with a reference view of "long - term bullish". The core logic is that macro - economic easing and supply contraction expectations will support copper prices in the long run [1][4]. Group 3: Summary by Variety Gold (AU) - Last week, gold prices first rose and then fell. The rise was due to the restoration of market liquidity after the US government "re - opened", with New York gold rebounding above $4200 and Shanghai gold above 960 yuan. The sharp decline on Friday was mainly due to the Fed turning hawkish. In the short term, gold prices have fallen after rising, and long - position holders have a strong willingness to close positions. Continuously monitor the support at the $4000 level for New York gold [3]. Copper (CU) - Last week, copper prices also first rose and then fell, similar to the trend of gold prices. The rise was due to the US Senate reaching an agreement to end the federal government "shutdown", which increased market risk appetite and restored market liquidity. The decline was due to the Fed turning hawkish and the decrease in market expectations of interest rate cuts. Additionally, LME copper is at a near - 5 - year high and faces strong technical pressure. In the long - term, macro - economic easing and supply contraction expectations will support copper prices. In the short term, monitor the resistance at the $11,000 level for LME copper [4].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content Group 2: Core View of the Report - The daily view of thermal coal spot is to maintain a mid - term view of "oscillation". It is expected that thermal coal will start to operate in a high - level oscillation in the short term [4] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalog Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Commodity Futures Black Sector - As of November 13th, the total coal inventory of 9 ports in the Bohai Rim was 2.4092 billion tons, with a weekly cumulative inventory of 568,000 tons, but still significantly lower than the same period last year by 324,400 tons [4] - Due to the approaching peak winter, low coal inventory in northern ports, and the expected contraction of coal supply at the end of the year, coal prices have been strongly rising recently. However, the National Development and Reform Commission mentioned energy supply guarantee again, which cooled the market sentiment [4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Both Shanghai rubber (RU) and synthetic rubber (BR) are expected to run strongly in the short - term and intraday, with a mid - term view of oscillation [1][5][7] 3. Summary According to Related Catalogs Shanghai Rubber (RU) - **Short - term, Mid - term and Intraday Views**: Short - term is weak, mid - term is oscillating, intraday is strong, with a reference view of strong operation [1][5] - **Core Logic**: The US Senate's key step to end the federal government "shutdown" has re - stimulated investors' risk appetite, and market optimism has recovered. After the enhancement of macro factors, combined with the optimistic domestic automobile production and sales data in the rubber market. Last Friday night, the domestic Shanghai rubber futures maintained an oscillating and stable trend, with the futures price slightly lower. It is expected that the Shanghai rubber futures may maintain an oscillating and strong trend on Monday [5] Synthetic Rubber (BR) - **Short - term, Mid - term and Intraday Views**: Short - term is weak, mid - term is oscillating, intraday is strong, with a reference view of strong operation [1][7] - **Core Logic**: The US Senate has reached an agreement to end the federal government "shutdown", which has boosted investors' risk appetite. After the enhancement of macro factors, combined with the optimistic domestic automobile production and sales data in the rubber market. The market has shifted from "expectation - driven" to "reality - dominated", and investors' sentiment has become more cautious. Last Friday night, the domestic synthetic rubber futures showed an oscillating and stable trend, with the futures price slightly lower. It is expected that the synthetic rubber futures may maintain a strong trend on Monday [7]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The iron ore market is expected to continue to fluctuate. The demand for iron ore has improved, but its sustainability is questionable, and the supply remains at a high level. The upward driving force is not strong. The relatively positive factor is the switching of the arbitrage logic of black varieties. Under the game of multiple and short factors, the ore price is expected to continue to fluctuate. Attention should be paid to the steel mill production situation [2] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Variety Viewpoint Reference - For the iron ore 2601 contract, the short - term view is "oscillation", the medium - term view is "oscillation", and the intraday view is "oscillation and weakening". It is recommended to pay attention to the support at the MA5 line. The core logic is that the fundamentals have not improved, and the upward movement of the ore price is questionable [1] Market Driving Logic - There have been changes in both the supply and demand sides of iron ore. Steel mills have resumed production, and the terminal consumption of ore has increased slightly. However, the industrial contradictions in the steel market remain unresolved, and the room for improvement in ore demand is questionable. At the same time, the arrival of ore at domestic ports has declined from a high level, and the shipments of overseas miners have continued to decrease, but both are still at the highest levels of the year. The domestic ore production has stabilized, and the pressure on ore supply has not receded [2]