Report Summary 1. Report's Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Views - **沪铜**: Today, Shanghai copper fluctuated within a narrow range, with a slight decline in open interest. Macroscopically, due to the better - than - expected US non - farm payroll data last night, the US dollar index rebounded in the short term, which is negative for non - ferrous metals. Industrially, the copper inventory in major regions continued to rise. With the Spring Festival approaching, short - term capital drive was weak [7]. - **沪铝**: Today, Shanghai aluminum fluctuated strongly, with a continuous decline in open interest. Macroscopically, affected by the better - than - expected US non - farm payroll data last night, the US dollar index rebounded in the short term, which is negative for non - ferrous metals. Domestically, with the Spring Festival approaching, investors had a strong willingness to close positions. Industrially, domestic electrolytic aluminum continued seasonal inventory accumulation. Technically, recently, Shanghai aluminum continued to decline in open interest and fluctuate, with weak capital drive [8]. - **沪镍**: Today, Shanghai nickel fluctuated strongly, with the main contract price fluctuating around the 140,000 - yuan mark and falling below 140,000 at the end of the session. Macroscopically, affected by the better - than - expected US non - farm payroll data last night, the US dollar index rebounded in the short term, which is negative for non - ferrous metals. Industrially, on February 10, the Indonesian official revealed that the 2026 nickel ore RKAB production target was set at 260 - 270 million tons, in line with previous market expectations, which boosted market sentiment. The positive news on the supply side made the nickel price stronger than the non - ferrous metals sector in the short term. Technically, attention should be paid to the long - short game at the 140,000 - yuan mark [9]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Industry Dynamics - **Copper**: On February 12, SMM reported that the spot premium was expected to face downward pressure. With the Spring Festival approaching, market participation continued to decline. Most suppliers and downstream enterprises had gradually entered the holiday state, and the overall trading atmosphere was light. On the supply side, the priced - in imported copper locked during the opening of the import window was continuously arriving at the port, and the inventory in Shanghai increased significantly. On the demand side, due to the approaching festival, downstream enterprises had generally taken holidays, and the procurement demand continued to weaken. Overall, the market would maintain light trading, and it was expected that the spot discount would continue to expand tomorrow [11]. - **Nickel**: On February 12, the price of SMM1 electrolytic nickel was 140,200 - 150,500 yuan/ton, with an average price of 145,350 yuan/ton, up 2,750 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The mainstream spot premium quotation range of Jinchuan 1 electrolytic nickel was 8,000 - 9,500 yuan/ton, with an average premium of 8,750 yuan/ton, down 750 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The spot premium quotation range of domestic mainstream brand electrowon nickel was - 400 - 400 yuan/ton. According to Bloomberg Technoz, the Indonesian Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) released the 2026 nickel ore RKAB quota on February 10. Tri Winarno, the director - general of Mineral and Coal, confirmed that the approved production this year was only 260 - 270 million tons [12]. 3.2 Relevant Charts - **Copper**: The report includes charts such as copper spot premium [13], Shanghai electrolytic copper social inventory [14], LME copper cancelled warrant ratio [15], global copper exchange inventory (SHFE + LME + COMEX) [17], and SHFE warrant inventory [18]. - **Aluminum**: The report includes charts such as aluminum basis [24], aluminum monthly spread [30], electrolytic aluminum domestic social inventory [26], electrolytic aluminum overseas exchange inventory (LME + COMEX) [32], and aluminum rod inventory [34]. - **Nickel**: The report includes charts such as nickel basis [36], nickel monthly spread [42], LME inventory [38], and nickel ore port inventory [46].

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is a daily report on lithium carbonate dated February 12, 2026 [3] Group 2: Market Analysis Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract LC2605.GFE was 149,420 yuan/ton, down 840 yuan/ton from the previous day, showing a volatile trend in the past 10 trading days [4] Spot Market - The spot price of lithium carbonate was 142,590 yuan/ton, up 3.24% from the previous day, showing a downward trend in the past 10 trading days [4] Basis Analysis - The current basis was -6,750 points, with a negative basis (spot discount), weakening 730 points from the previous day, showing a weakening trend in the past 10 trading days [4] Warehouse Receipts - The registered warehouse receipts for lithium carbonate were 37,282 lots, an increase of 1,755 lots (+4.94%) from the previous day, showing an overall increase in the past 10 trading days [4] Supply - Demand Relationship - The export policy of power batteries and the tendering of energy storage projects maintained resilience [4] Group 3: Industry Dynamics Price Comparison | Indicator | Unit | Latest Price | Change vs. Previous Day | Change vs. Previous Week | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Main contract closing price (futures) | yuan/ton | 149,420 | -840 | 16,640 | | Main contract settlement price | yuan/ton | 149,340 | 5,200 | 12,620 | | Australian CIF6 China lithium spodumene concentrate | US dollars/ton | 1,840 - 1,910 | 0 | -60 - -120 | | Brazilian CIF6 China lithium spodumene concentrate | US dollars/ton | 1,830 - 1,900 | 0 | -60 - -120 | | Zimbabwean CIF6 China lithium spodumene concentrate | US dollars/ton | 1,830 - 1,890 | 0 | -50 - -120 | | Malian CIF6 China lithium spodumene concentrate | US dollars/ton | 1,770 - 1,890 | 0 | -330 - -310 | | South African CIF China lithium spodumene ore | US dollars/ton | 280 - 340 | 0 | -50 | | Lithium carbonate (99.5% electric, domestic) | yuan/ton | 142,590 | 4,470 | -1,290 | | Lithium hydroxide (56.5%, domestic) | yuan/ton | 136,620 | 2,000 | -3,290 | | Lithium hydroxide (LiOH56.5%, single - water, Xinjiang) | yuan/ton | 136,530 | 1,910 | -3,440 | | Lithium hydroxide (56.5%, battery - grade) | yuan/ton | / | / | / | | Lithium hydroxide (56.5% - 56.5%, domestic) - Lithium carbonate (99.5%, domestic) | yuan/ton | -5,970 | -2,470 | -2,000 | | Ternary precursor (523) | 10,000 yuan/ton | 11.05 | 0 | 0 | | Ternary precursor (622) | 10,000 yuan/ton | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | | Ternary precursor (111) | 10,000 yuan/ton | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | | Ternary material (111, power, domestic) | 10,000 yuan/ton | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | | Ternary material 5 - series (523, power, domestic) | 10,000 yuan/ton | 18.55 | 0 | 0 | | Ternary material 5 - series (523, digital, domestic) | 10,000 yuan/ton | / | / | / | | Electrolyte (lithium manganate) | 10,000 yuan/ton | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | | Lithium iron phosphate (domestic) | 10,000 yuan/ton | / | / | / | | Cobalt acid lithium (≥60%, domestic) | yuan/ton | 400,500 | 0 | 0 | | Lithium hexafluorophosphate | 10,000 yuan/ton | 13 | 0 | 0 | [6] Group 4: Related Charts Ore and Lithium Prices - Included charts of lithium mica price changes, lithium carbonate futures main price, domestic lithium carbonate price, lithium hydroxide price, lithium carbonate basis, and lithium hydroxide - lithium carbonate price difference [8] Cathode and Ternary Materials - Included charts of manganese acid lithium price, domestic lithium iron phosphate price, cobalt acid lithium average price, ternary precursor price, and ternary material price [10][12] Other Related Data of Lithium Carbonate Futures - Included charts of lithium carbonate main contract trading volume change, main contract holding volume change, and registered warehouse receipts volume [15][16]

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 姓名：涂伟华 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号：F3060359 投资咨询证号：Z0011688 电话：0571-87006873 邮箱：tuweihua@bcqhgs.com 作者声明 本人具有中国期货业协会 授予的期货从业资格证书，期 货投资咨询资格证书，本人承 诺以勤勉的职业态度，独立、 客观地出具本报告。本报告清 晰准确地反映了本人的研究观 点。本人不会因本报告中的具 体推荐意见或观点而直接或间 接接收到任何形式的报酬。 钢材&铁矿石 | 日报 2026 年 2 月 12 日 钢材&铁矿石日报 专业研究·创造价值 节前情绪弱稳，钢矿延续震荡 核心观点 螺纹钢：主力期价偏弱震荡，录得 0.23%日跌幅，量仓收缩。现阶段， 节前供需双弱局面未变，螺纹钢基本面矛盾持续累积，库存大幅增加， 钢价继续承压运行，相对利好的是政策预期与成本支撑，预计走势延续 弱势寻底态势，关注假期累库情况。 热轧卷板：主力期价偏弱震荡，录得 0.31%日跌幅，量仓收缩。目前来 看，热卷供应压力未退，而需求持续走弱，基本面延续弱势运行，热卷 价格承压偏弱运行，关注需求 ...

期货研究报告 晨会纪要 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 宝城期货原油早报-2026-02-12 品种晨会纪要 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为弱势，跌幅 0~1%为偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为偏强，涨幅大于 1%为强势。 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—商品期货能源化工板块 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 原油 | 2604 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 偏强 | 偏强运行 | 地缘风险升温，原油震荡偏强 | 3.偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 原油（SC） 日内观点：偏强 中期观点：震荡 参考观点：偏强运行 核心逻辑：近期供需基本面的边际改善提供坚实支撑。OPEC+八大主要产油国明确宣布 2026 年 3 月 继续暂停增产，产量维持 2025 年 12 月水平，有效缓解了市场对于供应过剩的担忧。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core View of the Report - Both Shanghai rubber and synthetic rubber are expected to run strongly in the short - term and maintain an oscillating trend in the medium - term, with a strong bias in intraday trading [1][5][7] 3. Summary by Related Categories 3.1 Shanghai Rubber (RU) - **Short - term, Medium - term, and Intraday Views**: Short - term and medium - term views are oscillating, and the intraday view is strong. The reference view is to run strongly [1][5] - **Core Logic**: Domestic Yunnan and Hainan natural rubber producing areas are in the off - season, and Southeast Asian producing areas are in the low - yield season, reducing the supply pressure of domestic full - latex. However, due to the approaching Spring Festival, the downstream tire industry's operating load has decreased, and demand is expected to weaken. Benefiting from the rebound of crude oil futures prices, the bullish atmosphere in the energy and chemical sector has increased. On Wednesday night, Shanghai rubber futures maintained a stable oscillating trend with slightly lower prices. It is expected to maintain an oscillating and strongly - biased trend on Thursday [5] 3.2 Synthetic Rubber (BR) - **Short - term, Medium - term, and Intraday Views**: Short - term and medium - term views are oscillating, and the intraday view is strong. The reference view is to run strongly [1][7] - **Core Logic**: The supply of butadiene, the core raw material of synthetic rubber, is becoming more abundant. With the approaching Spring Festival, the downstream tire industry's operating load has decreased, and demand is expected to weaken. Benefiting from the rebound of crude oil futures prices, the bullish atmosphere in the energy and chemical sector has increased. On Wednesday night, synthetic rubber futures showed a stable oscillating trend with slightly higher prices. It is expected to maintain an oscillating and strongly - biased trend on Thursday [7]

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货贵金属有色早报（2026 年 2 月 12 日） ◼ 品种观点参考 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄金 | 2604 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 震荡 偏弱 | 观望 | 短期恐慌抛售暂缓，去美元化长 期趋势不变 | | 铜 | 2603 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 震荡 偏弱 | 观望 | 国内供应收缩给予铜价支撑 | 说明： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘价为终点价格， 计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为弱势，跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强，涨幅大于 1%为强势。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—商品期货 期货研究报告 品种：黄金（AU） 日内观点：震荡偏弱 中期观点：震荡 参考观点：观望 核心逻辑：昨夜金价呈现震荡运行，美国 1 月非农就 ...

◼ 品种观点参考—金融期货股指板块 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | IH2603 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 偏强 | 震荡整理 | 假期前股市风险偏好较为谨慎 | 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货股指期货早报（2026 年 2 月 12 日） 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为弱势，跌幅 0~1%为偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为偏强，涨幅大于 1%为强势。 3.偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 ◼ 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—金融期货股指板块 品种：IF、IH、IC、IM 日内观点：偏强 中期观点：震荡 参考观点：震荡整理 核心逻辑：昨日各股指均窄幅震荡整理。沪深京三市成交额 20010 亿元，较上日缩量 1237 亿元。临 近假期，出于对假期现金需求以及假期不确定性风险的考虑，当前股市资金交投意愿 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 2.跌幅大于 1%为弱势，跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强，涨幅大于 1%为强势。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 期货研究报告 宝城期货铁矿石早报（2026 年 2 月 12 日） ◼ 品种观点参考 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 铁矿 2605 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 震荡 偏强 | 低位震荡 | 供需格局弱稳，矿价低位震荡 | 说明： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘价为终点价格， 计算涨跌幅度。 ◼ 行情驱动逻辑 铁矿石供需两端有所变化，节前钢厂生产趋稳，矿石终端消耗小幅回升，但钢市产业矛盾持续累 积，短期需求改善力度受限，利好效应不强。与此同时，国内港口到货量回落，而飓风扰动下矿商发 运大幅下降，海外矿石供应迎来收缩，但库存高企局面下供应压力缓解有限。总之，天气因素扰动下 海外矿石供 ...

Report Overview - The report is a coal and coking morning report from Baocheng Futures on February 12, 2026, covering short - term, medium - term, and intraday views on coking coal and coke, along with their price driving logic [1] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Report's Core View - Coking coal and coke are expected to maintain a low - level oscillatory pattern before the Spring Festival, with coking coal influenced by Middle - East geopolitics and domestic policies, and coke having stable supply - demand and limited price - moving factors [1][5][6] According to Related Catalogs 1. Variety View Reference - For coking coal (2605), short - term view is oscillatory, medium - term view is oscillatory, intraday view is strong, and the overall view is oscillatory, with attention on Middle - East geopolitics and domestic policy impacts [1] - For coke (2605), short - term view is oscillatory, medium - term view is oscillatory, intraday view is oscillatory and slightly strong, and the overall view is oscillatory, due to stable supply - demand and range - bound price [1] 2. Main Variety Price Driving Logic - Commodity Futures Black Sector Coking Coal (JM) - Intraday view is strong, medium - term view is oscillatory, and the reference view is oscillatory [5] - In the spot market, the latest quotation of Mongolian coal at Ganqimaodu Port is 1230.0 yuan/ton, a 2.50% week - on - week increase. Before the Spring Festival, coal mine production decreases, but downstream inventory is sufficient, and production will quickly resume after the festival. The long - term supply - demand is expected to be loose, so the price is expected to oscillate at a low level before the Spring Festival [5] - There are three major upside risks: potential escalation of US - Iran geopolitical conflicts during the Spring Festival, economic policy expectations around the Two Sessions after the Spring Festival, and possible "anti - involution" policies in the coal industry due to low coal prices [5] Coke (J) - Intraday view is oscillatory and slightly strong, medium - term view is oscillatory, and the reference view is oscillatory [6] - In the spot market, the latest quotation of quasi - first - grade wet - quenched coke at Rizhao Port is 1520 yuan/ton, with a flat week - on - week change, and the ex - warehouse price at Qingdao Port is 1470 yuan/ton, a 0.68% week - on - week decrease. The supply - demand at both ends has a small increase at a low level, and the futures lack unilateral momentum. The main contract is expected to oscillate at a low level before the Spring Festival [6] - Uncertainties come from "US - Iran geopolitical risks", "Two Sessions policy expectations", and "anti - involution policy expectations" [6]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The short - term view of TL2603 is oscillatory, the medium - term view is oscillatory, and the intraday view is weak. The overall view is oscillatory consolidation. The main reason is that the possibility of a comprehensive interest rate cut in the short term is low [1]. - For the TL, T, TF, and TS varieties, the intraday view is weak, the medium - term view is oscillatory, and the reference view is oscillatory consolidation. Due to the slowdown of the Fed's interest rate cut expectation in the short term and the central bank's structural interest rate cut policy, the possibility of a comprehensive interest rate cut in the short term is low, limiting the upward space of Treasury bond futures. With the 10 - year Treasury bond yield falling to around 1.8% and the approaching Spring Festival holiday leading to tightened liquidity, the upward momentum of Treasury bond futures weakens. In the long - term, the latest macro - economic indicators are weak, and there is still a problem of insufficient effective demand, so the expectation of future interest rate cuts still exists, providing strong support for Treasury bond futures. Overall, Treasury bond futures will mainly oscillate and consolidate in the short term [5]. Group 3: Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Variety Viewpoint Reference - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For the TL2603 variety, the short - term is oscillatory, the medium - term is oscillatory, the intraday is weak, with an overall view of oscillatory consolidation. The core logic is that the possibility of a comprehensive interest rate cut in the short term is low [1]. Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For the TL, T, TF, and TS varieties, the intraday view is weak, the medium - term view is oscillatory, and the reference view is oscillatory consolidation. The core logic is that Treasury bond futures oscillated in a narrow range yesterday. The slowdown of the Fed's interest rate cut expectation and the central bank's structural interest rate cut policy limit the upward space of Treasury bond futures in the short term. As the 10 - year Treasury bond yield falls to around 1.8% and liquidity tightens approaching the Spring Festival, the upward momentum of Treasury bond futures weakens. In the long - term, weak macro - economic indicators and insufficient effective demand keep the expectation of future interest rate cuts, providing support for Treasury bond futures. In the short term, Treasury bond futures will mainly oscillate and consolidate [5].