多晶硅日报 油） 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 硅）028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃纯碱） 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 行业 日期 2025 年 11 月 14 日 能源化工研究团队 研究员：李捷,CFA（原油燃料 研究员：任俊弛（PTA/MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（工业硅/多晶 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 期货从业资格号：F03134307 请阅读正文后的声明 每日报告 一、行情回顾与展望 ...

Report Information - Report Name: Pig Daily Report [1] - Date: November 14, 2025 [2] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The spot market is expected to be stable with a slight increase in demand, but the support for prices is weak due to the wait - and - see attitude of secondary fattening, so it will mainly fluctuate. The futures market, especially the 2601 contract, is likely to be under dual supply pressure before the Spring Festival, with a medium - to - long - term weakening trend [7]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Futures Market**: On the 13th, the main 2601 contract of live pigs opened slightly lower, then bottomed out and rebounded, closing up. The highest price was 11,865 yuan/ton, the lowest was 11,690 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 11,860 yuan/ton, up 0.64% from the previous day. The total index positions decreased by 31 to 359,899 lots [6]. - **Spot Market**: On the 13th, the average price of ternary pigs nationwide was 11.65 yuan/kg, down 0.1 yuan/kg from the previous day [6]. - **Supply - side Analysis**: In the long run, pig slaughter is expected to increase slightly until the first half of next year. In October, the concentrated secondary fattening and holding back of pigs increased the supply pressure before the Spring Festival. In the short term, according to Yongyi sample data, the planned sales volume in November was 26.66 million heads, a month - on - month decrease of 3.27% compared to the actual sales volume in October, with the daily average remaining the same. Currently, farmers are mainly selling pigs at a normal pace [7]. - **Demand - side Analysis**: With the rebound of spot prices and the high utilization rate of pigsties, secondary fattening is mainly in a wait - and - see state. As the weather gets colder, terminal consumer demand continues to rise, but the continuous increase is insufficient. The orders of slaughtering enterprises are average, and the slaughter rate and volume have increased slightly. Mid - to - late - month pickling and enema may increase slightly. On November 13th, the slaughter volume of sample slaughtering enterprises was 162,900 heads, a decrease of 1,200 heads from the previous day, an increase of 2,300 heads week - on - week, and an increase of 3,600 heads month - on - month [7]. 2. Industry News - As of October 30th, the average profit per self - breeding and self - fattening pig was - 34.5 yuan/head, a month - on - month increase of 20 yuan/head; the profit from purchasing piglets for fattening was - 258 yuan/head, a month - on - month increase of 50 yuan/head [8][10]. 3. Data Overview - As of October 31st, the utilization rate of fattening pigsties was 55.5%, a month - on - month increase of 21.2 percentage points, and the same year - on - year [15]. - As of the end of October, the price difference between 175 - kg fat pigs and standard pigs was 0.71 yuan/jin, a month - on - month increase of 0.36 yuan/jin [15]. - As of the end of October, the cost of fattening a 110 - kg pig to 140 kg was 12.18 yuan/kg, a decrease of 0.58 yuan/kg from the previous month; the cost of fattening a 125 - kg pig to 150 kg was 12.63 yuan/kg, a decrease of 0.44 yuan/kg from the previous month [15]. - In October, the average slaughter weight of pigs nationwide was 128.1 kg, a decrease of 0.3 kg from September, a month - on - month decrease of 0.23%, and an increase of 2.2 kg compared to the same period last year, a year - on - year increase of 1.75% [15]. - In September, the slaughter volume of large - scale designated pig slaughtering enterprises nationwide was 35.84 million heads, a month - on - month increase of 7% and a year - on - year increase of 28.5% [15].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The industrial silicon futures price showed a pattern of strengthening first and then weakening. The Si2601 contract closed at 9,145 yuan/ton, with a decline of 0.22%. The trading volume was 292,479 lots, and the open interest was 267,758 lots, with a net increase of 5,622 lots [4]. - The spot price remained stable, with the 553 price ranging from 9,100 to 9,500 yuan/ton and the 421 price ranging from 9,750 to 9,950 yuan/ton [4]. - In the supply side, the weekly output has gradually decreased from 98,000 tons to 90,000 tons. Attention should be paid to the implementation of the expected production cuts in the southwest region. The expected output of polysilicon is also decreasing. Today, organic silicon enterprises plan to conduct a centralized production cut. Currently, the weekly operating rate of organic silicon enterprises is 70.14%, and the monthly demand for industrial silicon is about 120,000 tons. After a 30% production cut, the demand loss will be more than 30,000 tons (accounting for 10% of the industrial silicon output). In the short term, the resistance in the dense trading area above is still strong, and the stalemate in the spot price also restricts the upward momentum of the futures price benefiting from the basis. The futures price will continue to fluctuate in a triangle - convergent pattern [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Performance and Outlook - **Futures Price**: The industrial silicon futures price of the Si2601 contract closed at 9,145 yuan/ton, down 0.22%. The trading volume was 292,479 lots, and the open interest was 267,758 lots, with a net increase of 5,622 lots [4]. - **Spot Price**: The 553 spot price ranged from 9,100 to 9,500 yuan/ton, and the 421 spot price ranged from 9,750 to 9,950 yuan/ton [4]. - **Supply - side Situation**: The weekly production of industrial silicon decreased from 98,000 tons to 90,000 tons. There are expectations of further production cuts in the southwest region. The output of polysilicon is expected to decline synchronously. Organic silicon enterprises plan to cut production by 30%, resulting in a demand loss of more than 30,000 tons, accounting for 10% of the industrial silicon output [4]. - **Market Outlook**: The futures price will continue to fluctuate in a triangle - convergent pattern due to strong resistance in the upper dense trading area and the stalemate in spot prices [4]. 3.2 Market News - **Warehouse Receipts**: On November 13, the number of industrial silicon warehouse receipts on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange was 45,387 lots, a net decrease of 549 lots compared with the previous trading day [5]. - **Organic Silicon Production Cut**: In response to the national "anti - involution" call, organic silicon monomer plants have reached a consensus to cut production by 30%. The DMC price has been initially adjusted to 12,000 - 12,500 yuan, and some enterprises have suspended quotations. Further consultations will be held next week [5]. - **Inventory**: On November 7, the industrial silicon market inventory was 452,400 tons, a weekly increase of 1.05% and a year - on - year increase of 42.49% [5]. - **Production**: On November 7, the weekly production of industrial silicon was 90,900 tons, a weekly decrease of 7.85% and a year - on - year increase of 1.2% [5]. - **Company Report**: On October 30, Hesheng Silicon Industry released its Q3 2025 report. The company's operating income in the first three quarters was 15.206 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 25.35%; the net profit attributable to shareholders was - 321 million yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 122.1%; the non - recurring profit was - 271 million yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 120.61%. The net cash flow from operating activities was 3.727 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 104.94%. In the third quarter, the operating income was 5.430 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 23.51% and a quarter - on - quarter increase of 19.42%; the net profit attributable to shareholders was 76 million yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 84.12% and a quarter - on - quarter increase of 111.52%; the non - recurring profit was 262 million yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 37% and a quarter - on - quarter increase of 135% [5].

Group 1: Report General Information - Report Type: Crude Oil Daily Report [1] - Date: November 14, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [4] Group 2: Market Review and Trading Recommendations Market Review - WTI: Opened at $60.96, closed at $58.48, high of $61.01, low of $58.30, down 4.12%, with a trading volume of 20.31 million lots [6] - Brent: Opened at $65.15, closed at $62.86, high of $65.15, low of $62.56, down 3.81%, with a trading volume of 40.35 million lots [6] - SC: Opened at 464 yuan/barrel, closed at 449.5 yuan/barrel, high of 464.1 yuan/barrel, low of 446.9 yuan/barrel, down 3.66%, with a trading volume of 9.40 million lots [6] - EIA raised the Q4 inventory build forecast from 2.58 million barrels per day to 2.79 million barrels per day. OPEC lowered the demand forecast for OPEC+ crude oil [6] - India is tendering for crude oil purchases in early 2026, retaining Russian oil but requiring the producers and terminals of the goods to be unsanctioned [6] - Lukoil's overseas assets are under US sanctions, and the West Qurna-2 oil field project is under force majeure and may exit operation later [6] Trading Recommendations - OPEC+ decided to temporarily halt production increases in Q1 2026, which is marginally bullish for supply, but the inventory build rate in Q1 2026 may reach 3 million barrels per day, and current policies are unlikely to reverse the oversupply [7] - The medium-term oil price still faces continuous oversupply pressure, and short positions are recommended [7] Group 3: Industry News - OPEC maintained its global crude oil demand growth forecast for this year and next, but changed the Q3 global oil market outlook from supply shortage to supply surplus [8] - EIA raised its oil price forecasts for this year and next. The expected Brent crude oil price in 2025 is $68.76 per barrel (previously $68.64 per barrel), and the expected WTI crude oil price in 2025 is $65.15 per barrel (previously $65.00 per barrel) [8] - The US Department of Energy awarded a contract to purchase about 1 million barrels of crude oil for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve [8] - Russia's seaborne oil product exports in October were basically the same as in September, at 7.804 million tons [8] Group 4: Data Overview - Data includes global high-frequency crude oil inventory, EIA crude oil inventory, US crude oil production growth rate, Dtd Brent price, WTI spot price, Oman spot price, US gasoline consumption, and US diesel consumption [11][12][15][22] - Data sources include EIA, Bloomberg, and wind, as well as the Research and Development Department of CCB Futures [10][14][17]

行业 棉花 日期 2025 年 11 月 14 日 研究员：余兰兰 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F0301101 研究员：林贞磊 021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3055047 研究员：王海峰 021-60635727 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F0230741 研究员：洪辰亮 021-60635572 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3076808 研究员：刘悠然 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 农产品研究团队 、 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 请阅读正文后的声明 - 2 - 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 | 表1：行情回顾 | | --- | 数据来源：Wind，建信期货研究发展部 郑棉震荡调整。现货方面，最新棉花价格指数 328 级在 14819 元/吨，较上一 ...

Report Overview - Report Date: November 14, 2025 [2] - Industry: Eggs [1] - Research Team: Agricultural Products Research Team [4] 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View - The egg market is currently in a phase of adjustment. The recent decline in egg prices is mainly due to the end of the previous price increase, with short - sellers re - entering the market, especially in the near - month contracts. In the future, the decline is expected to be limited due to improved storage conditions and slightly better存栏量. In the long run, the decline may accelerate the elimination of laying hens and keep the replenishment rate low, presenting potential long - position opportunities in the more distant months. In the short - term, the market will likely experience bottom - level fluctuations with near - month contracts being relatively weak [8] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market Review**: The egg futures market showed a downward trend. The 2601 contract closed at 3265, down 62 points or 1.86%; the 2602 contract closed at 3045, down 27 points or 0.88%; the 2512 contract closed at 3040, down 52 points or 1.68%. The average price of eggs in the main production areas was 2.98 yuan/jin, down 0.01 yuan/jin from the previous day, and in the main sales areas was 3.31 yuan/jin, also down 0.01 yuan/jin [7] - **Operation Suggestions**: In the short - term, the market is expected to experience bottom - level fluctuations with near - month contracts being relatively weak. In the long - term, as the decline may accelerate the elimination of laying hens and keep the replenishment rate low, long - position opportunities in the more distant months can be gradually considered [8] 3.2 Industry News - **Inventory**: As of the end of October 2025, the national monthly inventory of laying hens was about 1.359 billion, a month - on - month decrease of 0.66%, ending the previous continuous growth trend, but a year - on - year increase of 5.59% compared to October 2024 [9] - **Replenishment**: In October 2025, the monthly output of laying hen chicks from sample enterprises was about 39.15 million, slightly less than 39.2 million in September 2025 and significantly less than 44.83 million in the same period of 2024. The total replenishment from July to October 2025 was about 158.14 million, compared with about 176.1 million in the same period of 2024 [9] - **Elimination Volume**: From the latest data, in the three weeks up to November 6, 2025, the national elimination volume of laying hens was 20.02 million, 20.53 million, and 19.81 million respectively, showing a fluctuating trend. The average elimination age was 493 days as of November 6, 2025, 1 day earlier than the previous week and 6 days earlier than the previous month, indicating an accelerated elimination process [9][14] 3.3 Data Overview - The report provides multiple data charts, including the monthly inventory of laying hens in China, egg production area average prices, egg 12 - contract basis, and egg 12 - 02 spread, etc., but no specific data analysis is provided in the text [13][10][11]

Group 1: Report Overview - Report Name: Paper Pulp Daily Report [1] - Date: November 14, 2025 [2] Group 2: Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Group 3: Core Viewpoint - In the short - term, pulp prices are strong due to low warehouse receipt quantities and rising overseas November quotes. It is recommended to observe the cost digestion performance of downstream paper enterprises and adopt a wait - and - see approach [7] Group 4: Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Pulp futures contract 01: The previous settlement price was 5486 yuan/ton, the closing price was 5534 yuan/ton, with an overall increase of 0.87% [7] - Shandong wood pulp market: The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp was 4900 - 6500 yuan/ton, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day's closing price. The quotation of Shandong Yinxing was 5550 - 5580 yuan/ton [7] - Overseas quotes: Finnforest Metsa notified Chinese customers that the November quote for softwood pulp was raised by $20 [7] - Production and sales data: In September, the chemical pulp shipments of 20 major pulp - producing countries increased by 8.3% year - on - year, with softwood pulp up 3.8% and hardwood pulp up 11.8%. Shipments to the Chinese market also increased [7] - Inventory data: As of November 6, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports decreased by 2.31% month - on - month, with inventory at Qingdao Port and Tianjin Port decreasing [7] - Downstream paper market: The performance of downstream base papers remained differentiated. The packaging paper market continued to be favorable, while other base papers mainly replenished inventory as needed. Tendering for offset paper publication was ongoing, but social demand was limited [7] 2. Industry News - During the 8th CIIE, the sub - forum "Promoting Green Trade Liberalization and Accelerating Global Green Transformation" of the 8th Hongqiao International Economic Forum was held. Zhai Jingli, vice - president of APP, was invited to attend and share the company's innovation exploration in technology and full - industry chain collaboration [8] 3. Data Overview - The report provides multiple data charts, including import softwood pulp spot prices in Shandong, pulp futures prices, pulp spot - futures price differences, softwood - hardwood price differences, inter - period price differences, warehouse receipt totals, domestic main port pulp inventories, European main port wood pulp inventories, prices and price differences of coated paper and offset paper, prices and price differences of white cardboard and white board paper, and the US dollar - RMB exchange rate [14][16][18][24][25][27]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - Copper prices are expected to continue to fluctuate strongly. The potential end of the US government shutdown and the expectation of liquidity release will support copper prices, while the continuous decline of domestic social inventories will also underpin copper prices [11]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Copper prices fluctuated strongly. The expected release of liquidity from the unfreezing of the US TGA account drove an overnight rebound in risk assets. The main contract of Shanghai copper jumped to a maximum of 87,050 during the day, but the increase narrowed as the A - share market weakened. Spot copper rose 230 to 86,765, and the spot premium remained flat. The slowdown in downstream orders due to rising copper prices was offset by the decline in domestic social inventories, making it difficult for the spot premium to fall. The loss of spot imports widened to over 700, the LME 0 - 3 contango narrowed to 14.85, and the Shanghai - London ratio decreased, limiting the supply of imported goods. It is expected that domestic social inventories will continue to decline in the short term [11]. 3.2 Industry News - Japanese companies JX Advanced Metals, its partners, and Mitsubishi Materials plan to integrate Mitsubishi's copper concentrate procurement and copper product sales business into Pan Pacific Copper (PPC). The proposed integration aims to build a new framework for improving profitability by integrating copper concentrate procurement, reducing costs, and streamlining sales operations [12]. - Citi continues to expect copper prices to climb to an average of $12,000 per ton by the second quarter of 2026 (up to $14,000 per ton in a bullish scenario), and expects copper prices to fluctuate around $11,000 per ton for the rest of this year [12].

Group 1: Investment Rating - Not provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The short - term price of lithium carbonate futures is expected to fluctuate, and it is still bullish in the medium term. The short - term basis still has regression pressure, but considering the strong spot demand and continuous inventory reduction, the callback space of futures prices is also limited [8] Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Lithium carbonate futures fluctuated. The selling sentiment in the A - share market and polysilicon was transmitted to lithium carbonate during the day, causing the futures price to fall to around 85,000 and then rebound at the end of the session. The total open interest increased by 11,156 lots, indicating strong capital entry willingness. The spot price of lithium carbonate rose by 1,000 to 83,300, and the basis has regressed. The prices of 6F, Australian ore, mica, ternary materials, and lithium iron phosphate all increased, and the price increase in the industrial chain continued, but the upward trend of electrolyte slowed down [8] 2. Industry News - Core Lithium optimized the mining plan for the Grants deposit in its Finniss lithium project, reducing pre - production capital expenditure by 35 - 45 million Australian dollars and advancing the production time of the first batch of ore. The ore reserves increased by 33% to 1.53 million tons, and the contained lithium oxide metal increased by 44% [11] - CATL's Chairman and CEO Zeng Yuqun said that the mass - produced fourth - generation lithium iron phosphate battery leads the mainstream second - and third - generation products in the industry, and the fifth - generation product has begun mass production, achieving new breakthroughs in energy density and cycle life [11] - The Jiangxi Natural Resources Department publicized the evaluation report of the mining right transfer income of the Jianxiawo lithium mine. According to the evaluation results, CATL may need to pay an additional 177 million yuan [12]

Report Information - Report Title: Zinc Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: November 13, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Zhang Ping, Peng Jinglin, Yu Feifei [3][4] Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core View - The zinc price is supported by the temporary tightening of the ore end and exports but is restricted by weak consumption. In the short term, it will fluctuate within the upper - middle track of the Bollinger Bands [7]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Review - **Futures Market Data**: For different delivery months of SHFE zinc (2511, 2512, 2601), prices decreased slightly. The main contract 2512 closed at 22,680 yuan/ton, down 40 yuan with a 0.18% decline. The trading volume decreased while the open interest increased by 528 lots to 113,005 lots [7]. - **LME Inventory**: As of November 11, LME zinc inventory was 35,300 tons, an increase of 1,475 tons from the beginning of the month. The Cash - 3M spread dropped to 117.04B, and the supply shortage eased [7]. - **Domestic Zinc Mine**: Northern domestic mines have seasonal production cuts, and some mines control production actively after completing their annual plans. The domestic zinc concentrate TC has weakened month - on - month, squeezing smelting profits, but the sulfuric acid price is still rising [7]. - **Consumption and Inventory**: The peak consumption season is ending, and environmental protection warnings are frequent, so consumption is hard to boost. The export window is open, increasing zinc exports, and domestic social inventory has dropped below 160,000 tons [7]. 2. Industry News - **Zinc Transaction Prices**: On November 12, 2025, the mainstream transaction prices of 0 zinc were 22,690 - 22,755 yuan/ton, and different brands had different transaction price ranges and premium/discount situations in different markets such as Shanghai, Ningbo, Tianjin, and Guangdong [8] 3. Data Overview - **Data Charts**: The report includes charts on the price trends of zinc in two markets, SHFE monthly spreads, SMM's weekly inventory of zinc ingots in seven regions, and LME zinc inventory [11][13]