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瑞达期货股指期货全景日报-20260121
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2026-01-21 09:14
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - A股 major indices closed generally higher with a retreat after an initial rise, small and mid - cap stocks outperformed large - cap blue - chip stocks, and among the four broad - based indices, CSI 500 was the strongest. The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets declined, and over 3,000 stocks rose. Most industry sectors advanced, with non - ferrous metals and electronics leading the gains and the banking sector leading the losses. [3] - Overseas, on January 17th, the US imposed tariffs on 8 European countries over the Greenland issue, increasing market distrust of US dollar assets and causing the US dollar index to weaken recently. Domestically, the Q4 GDP further declined, but the annual 5% economic growth target was achieved. In December, except for the added value of industrial enterprises above the designated size, fixed - asset investment, social retail sales, and exports all declined compared to November. [3] - Among the companies that have released their 2025 performance forecasts, only about one - third are expected to have positive results, and most profit - promising companies are concentrated in high - tech industries such as artificial intelligence. The A - share market still has many positive factors. Industrial production is growing steadily driven by industries representing new productive forces, weakening the negative impact of the decline of other economic indicators on the market. The annual report performance forecasts of listed companies also reflect this phenomenon. The CSI 500 index is significantly boosted as aerospace and artificial - intelligence - related listed companies have the largest weight in it. The RMB is in an appreciation channel, and the strong RMB exchange rate supports the expectation of loose monetary policy in Q1, and the stock market is gradually converging with the foreign exchange market. The spring market is still advancing. [3] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - **Futures Contract Prices**: IF (CSI 300) main contract (2603) was at 4722.8, up 19.4; IH (SSE 50) main contract (2603) was at 3073.6, down 0.4; IC (CSI 500) main contract (2603) was at 8371.0, up 155.4; IM (CSI 1000) main contract (2603) was at 8231.0, up 140.0. [2] - **Futures Contract Spreads**: IF - IH current - month contract spread was 1654.4, up 17.4; IC - IF current - month contract spread was 3649.0, up 101.8; IM - IC current - month contract spread was - 113.2, down 17.6. [2] - **Futures - Spot Seasonal Spreads**: IF current - season - to - current - month was - 36.4, up 0.2; IH current - season - to - current - month was 0.2, up 4.2; IC current - season - to - current - month was - 103.4, up 12.4; IM current - season - to - current - month was - 208.4, up 7.8. [2] - **Futures Net Positions of Top 20**: IF top 20 net positions were - 38,987.00, down 1188.0; IH top 20 net positions were - 19,109.00, up 164.0; IC top 20 net positions were - 41,493.00, up 4060.0; IM top 20 net positions were - 51,306.00, up 3816.0. [2] Spot Market - **Spot Index Prices**: CSI 300 was at 4723.07, up 4.2; SSE 50 was at 3,067.2, down 3.5; CSI 500 was at 8,340.1, up 92.3; CSI 1000 was at 8,247.7, up 64.9. [2] - **Futures - Spot Basis**: IF main contract basis was - 0.3, up 10.0; IH main contract basis was 6.4, up 1.7; IC main contract basis was 30.9, up 29.9; IM main contract basis was - 16.7, up 45.3. [2] Market Sentiment - A - share trading volume was 26,237.47 billion yuan, down 1804.88 billion yuan; margin trading balance (previous trading day) was 27,093.59 billion yuan, down 138.16 billion yuan; north - bound trading volume (previous trading day) was 3437.68 billion yuan, up 199.98 billion yuan; reverse repurchase (maturity amount, operation amount) was - 2408.0 billion yuan, up 3635.0 billion yuan; net inflow of main funds was - 1068.43 billion yuan, up 56.36 billion yuan; the proportion of rising stocks was 56.58%, up 15.79 percentage points; Shibor was 1.322%, down 0.052 percentage points. [2] Industry News - In 2025, GDP was 1401879 billion yuan, up 5.0% year - on - year. In Q4, GDP grew 1.2% quarter - on - quarter. In December 2025, the added value of industrial enterprises above the designated size increased 5.2% year - on - year and 0.49% month - on - month. In 2025, it increased 5.9% year - on - year. National fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) was 485186 billion yuan, down 3.8% year - on - year. National real estate development investment decreased 17.2% year - on - year. New commercial housing sales area decreased 8.7% year - on - year, and sales volume was 83937 billion yuan, down 12.6% year - on - year. In December, the real - estate climate index was 91.45. In December, social retail sales were 45136 billion yuan, up 0.9% year - on - year. In 2025, it was 501202 billion yuan, up 3.7% year - on - year. The average urban survey unemployment rate in 2025 was 5.2%, and in December it was 5.1%. [2] - In January 2026, the 1 - year LPR was 3.0%, and the over - 5 - year LPR was 3.5%, remaining stable for eight consecutive months since May 2025. [2] - As of January 21, 2026, 541 A - share listed companies disclosed their 2025 performance forecasts, with 189 (pre - increase: 130, slight increase: 22, turnaround from loss: 35, continued profit: 2) having positive forecasts, a positive forecast ratio of 34.93%, 351 with negative forecasts, and 1 with uncertain performance. [2]
瑞达期货焦煤焦炭产业日报-20260121
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2026-01-21 09:10
数据来源第三方,观点仅供参考。市场有风险,投资需谨慎! 研究员: 徐玉花 期货从业资格号F03132080 期货投资咨询从业证书号 Z0021386 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料,瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠,但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任何保证,据此投资,责任自负。本 以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发,需注明出处为瑞 达 研 究瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院,且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改 。 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | JM主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) | 1129.00 | +5.00↑ J主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) | 1683.50 | +10.00↑ | | 期货市场 | JM期货合约持仓量(日,手) | 649591.00 | -15352.00↓ J期货合约持仓量(日,手) | 40095.00 | -134.00↓ | | | 焦煤前20名合约净持仓(日,手) | -86396.00 | +23778.00↑ ...
铂钯金期货日报-20260121
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2026-01-21 09:10
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The industrial logic of platinum and palladium will continue to dominate trading in the medium to long term. Due to the uncertainty of power supply in South Africa and exports from Russia, as well as the implementation of new automobile emission policies, platinum is more resilient than palladium. The differentiation in the supply - demand pattern may continue to drive the "platinum - strong, palladium - weak" market trend. The London platinum price is expected to face resistance at $2600 per ounce and find support at $2400 per ounce, while the London palladium price may face resistance at $2000 per ounce and support at $1800 per ounce [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - Platinum's main - contract closing price was 619.35 yuan/gram, and palladium's was 490.00 yuan/gram, up 9.45 yuan. Platinum's main - contract open interest was 10387.00 hands, down 277.00 hands, and palladium's was 3179.00 hands, up 90.00 hands [2]. 3.2 Spot Market - The Shanghai Gold Exchange's platinum spot price (Pt9995) was 612.53 yuan/gram, and the Yangtze River's palladium spot average price was 438.00 yuan/gram, up 1.00 yuan. Platinum's main - contract basis was - 6.82 yuan/gram, and palladium's was - 52.00 yuan/gram, down 8.45 yuan [2]. 3.3 Supply - Demand Situation - In 2025, the estimated total supply of platinum was 220.40 tons, down 0.80 tons, and that of palladium was 293.00 tons, down 5.00 tons. The estimated total demand for platinum was 261.60 tons, up 25.60 tons, and that of palladium was 287.00 tons, down 27.00 tons. Platinum's CFTC non - commercial long positions were 9966.00 contracts, down 243.00 contracts, and palladium's were 3003.00 contracts, down 342.00 contracts [2]. 3.4 Macro Data - The US dollar index was 98.55, down 0.50. The 10 - year US Treasury real yield was 1.97%, up 0.06%. The VIX volatility index was 20.09, up 1.25 [2]. 3.5 Industry News - The Greenland crisis and fiscal pressure concerns triggered a global bond - market sell - off. The US Treasury Secretary revealed that Trump was close to nominating the next Fed Chair. The European Parliament froze the approval process of a trade agreement with the US. According to CME's "FedWatch", the probability of a 25 - basis - point rate cut by the Fed in January was 5%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged was 95%. The London platinum price rose above $2460 per ounce, and the platinum - palladium main contracts on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange fluctuated. The market's demand for safe - haven assets increased due to the Greenland situation, and the safe - haven premium in the precious - metals market rose. South Africa's power - supply stability improved, but long - term maintenance issues remained [2]. 3.6 Key Events to Watch - January 22, 21:30: US initial jobless claims for the week ended January 17; US November core PCE price index year - on - year/ month - on - month; US Q3 real GDP annualized quarterly rate final value. January 23, 07:30: Japan's December core CPI year - on - year. January 23, 22:45: US January S&P Global manufacturing/services PMI flash. January 23, 23:00: US January University of Michigan consumer sentiment index; US January one - year inflation rate expectation final value [2].
瑞达期货热轧卷板产业链日报-20260121
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2026-01-21 09:10
研究员: 蔡跃辉 期货从业资格号F0251444 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0013101 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料,瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠,但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任何保证,据此投资,责任 自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议,客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本报告版权仅为我公司所有,未经书面许可,任 何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发,需注明出处为瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院,且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引 用、删节和修改。 热轧卷板产业链日报 2026/1/21 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | HC 主力合约收盘价(元/吨) | 3,286 | +10↑ HC 主力合约持仓量(手) | 1449160 | -36985↓ | | | HC 合约前20名净持仓(手) | -12,725 | +1177↑ HC5-10合约价差(元/吨) | -19 | 0.00 | | | HC 上期所仓单日 ...
瑞达期货螺纹钢产业链日报-20260121
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2026-01-21 09:10
螺纹钢产业链日报 2026/1/21 研究员: 蔡跃辉 期货从业资格号F0251444 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0013101 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | RB主力合约收盘价(元/吨) 3,117.00 | +6↑ RB主力合约持仓量(手) | 1742258 | +1023↑ | | | RB合约前20名净持仓(手) -53983 | +3282↑ RB5-10合约价差(元/吨) | -45 | +3↑ | | | RB上期所仓单日报(日,吨) 49244 | 0.00 HC2605-RB2605合约价差(元/吨) | 169 | +4↑ | | 现货市场 | 杭州 HRB400E 20MM(理计,元/吨) 3,290.00 | -10↓ 杭州 HRB400E 20MM(过磅,元/吨) | 3,374 | -10↓ | | | 广州 HRB400E 20MM(理计,元/吨) 3,450.00 | 0.00 天津 HRB400E 20MM(理计,元/吨) | 3,160.00 | ...
瑞达期货铝类产业日报-20260121
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2026-01-21 09:10
免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料,瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠,但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任何保证,据此投资,责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议,客 为瑞 达研究瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院,且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 环比 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 沪铝主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) 主力-连二合约价差:沪铝(日,元/吨) 主力合约持仓量:沪铝(日,手) LME铝注销仓单(日,吨) | 24,155.00 -120.00 343,223.00 30,750.00 | +205.00↑ 氧化铝期货主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) -5.00↓ 主力-连二合约价差:氧化铝(日,元/吨) +10473.00↑ 主力合约持仓量:氧化铝(日,手) 0.00 库存:氧化铝:合计(周,万吨) | 2,672.00 -117.00 486,425.00 217,143.00 | +1.00↑ +11.00↑ -16569.00↓ +21062.00↑ | ...
瑞达期货甲醇产业日报-20260121
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2026-01-21 09:09
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content 2. Core View of the Report - The domestic methanol production decreased this week as the loss of production capacity due to maintenance and production cuts exceeded the output from restored capacity. The inventory of inland enterprises decreased slightly, while the port inventory increased slightly. The MTO device has been operating stably this week with no obvious change plans, and the weekly average operating rate is expected to decline. The MA2605 contract is expected to fluctuate in the range of 2170 - 2270 yuan/ton in the short term [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the main methanol contract is 2209 yuan/ton, up 3 yuan/ton; the 5 - 9 spread is -23 yuan/ton, down 4 yuan/ton. The main contract's open interest is 848,962 lots, an increase of 18,039 lots; the net long position of the top 20 futures holders is -169,532 lots. The number of warehouse receipts is 8,075, a decrease of 280 [2] 3.2 Spot Market - The price in Jiangsu Taicang is 2210 yuan/ton, up 25 yuan/ton; the price in Inner Mongolia is 1820 yuan/ton, down 12.5 yuan/ton. The price difference between East China and Northwest is 365 yuan/ton, down 2.5 yuan/ton; the basis of the main Zhengzhou methanol contract is 1 yuan/ton, up 22 yuan/ton. The CFR price at the main Chinese port is 261 US dollars/ton, unchanged; the CFR price in Southeast Asia is 322 US dollars/ton, unchanged. The FOB price in Rotterdam is 262 euros/ton, unchanged; the price difference between the main Chinese port and Southeast Asia is -61 US dollars/ton, unchanged [2] 3.3 Upstream Situation - The price of NYMEX natural gas is 3.89 US dollars/million British thermal units, up 0.78 US dollars [2] 3.4 Industry Situation - The inventory at East China ports is 103.89 tons, a decrease of 8.44 tons; the inventory at South China ports is 39.64 tons, a decrease of 1.75 tons. The import profit of methanol is -20.56 yuan/ton, a decrease of 6.89 yuan/ton; the monthly import volume is 141.76 tons, a decrease of 19.5 tons. The inventory of inland enterprises is 438,300 tons, a decrease of 12,600 tons; the operating rate of methanol enterprises is 91.11%, a decrease of 0.31% [2] 3.5 Downstream Situation - The operating rate of formaldehyde is 34.23%, an increase of 0.16%; the operating rate of dimethyl ether is 3.74%, an increase of 0.78%. The operating rate of acetic acid is 78.4%, an increase of 1.41%; the operating rate of MTBE is 67.57%, unchanged. The operating rate of olefins is 85.77%, a decrease of 2.29%; the on - paper profit of methanol - to - olefins is -942 yuan/ton, an increase of 15 yuan/ton [2] 3.6 Option Market - The 20 - day historical volatility of methanol is 20.77%, a decrease of 0.5%; the 40 - day historical volatility is 18.78%, a decrease of 0.08%. The implied volatility of at - the - money call options is 20.53%, a decrease of 1.56%; the implied volatility of at - the - money put options is 20.53%, a decrease of 1.66% [2] 3.7 Industry News - As of January 21st, the inventory of Chinese methanol sample production enterprises was 43.83 tons, a decrease of 1.25 tons from the previous period, a month - on - month decrease of 2.78%; the pending orders of sample enterprises were 23.83 tons, a slight increase of 0.05 tons from the previous period, a month - on - month increase of 0.21% - As of January 21st, the total inventory at Chinese methanol ports was 145.75 tons, an increase of 2.22 tons from the previous data. The inventory in East China decreased by 1.36 tons, while the inventory in South China increased by 3.58 tons - As of January 15th, the capacity utilization rate of domestic methanol - to - olefins plants was 86.93%, a month - on - month decrease of 2.38%. The MTO device of Zhejiang Xingxing has stopped, and some enterprises are still operating at a reduced load [2]
瑞达期货苯乙烯产业日报-20260121
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2026-01-21 09:09
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - EB2602 rose and then fell, closing at 7,308 yuan/ton. Last week, the operating loads of some domestic plants changed slightly, with styrene production and capacity utilization decreasing slightly and showing little change month-on-month. The downstream operating rates varied, with the consumption of EPS, PS, and ABS increasing month-on-month. The visible inventory continued to decline, falling back to a neutral level. The profitability of non-integrated plants expanded, while the profits of integrated plants remained stable and were considerable. This week, most large domestic styrene plants are expected to operate stably. Two large plants that recently restarted are expected to resume normal operation on January 25, and the short-term operating rate is expected to remain low. Some EPS plants will resume operation, and the operating load may increase slightly. There will be little change in the short-term supply of the PS and ABS industries. In terms of cost, the situation between the US and Iran remains uncertain, and international oil prices may be affected by geopolitical factors. The styrene market is still expected to be strong. Pay attention to the changes in production plants in the future. The styrene contract will soon switch to the 03 contract, and the daily range of EB2603 is expected to be around 7,200 - 7,500 yuan/ton [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the active styrene futures contract was 7,308 yuan/ton, with a previous value of 7,214 yuan/ton; the 3-month contract closing price of styrene was 7,340 yuan/ton, with a change of +92 yuan/ton. The trading volume of the active styrene futures contract was 342,939 lots, and the open interest was 183,190 lots. The long position volume of the top 20 holders in styrene futures was 398,724 lots, the short position volume was 434,650 lots, and the net long position volume was 331,077 lots, with a change of -35,926 lots. The total number of styrene warehouse receipts was 585 lots, with a change of -256 lots [2] Spot Market - The spot price of styrene was 7,202 yuan/ton, with a change of -11 yuan/ton. The FOB Korea intermediate price of styrene was 916.5 US dollars/ton, with a change of -11 US dollars/ton; the CFR China intermediate price of styrene was 926.5 US dollars/ton, with a change of +125 US dollars/ton. The mainstream prices in different regions were as follows: 7,150 yuan/ton in the Northeast region (+125 yuan/ton), 7,455 yuan/ton in the South China region (-20 yuan/ton), 7,225 yuan/ton in the North China region (-25 yuan/ton), and 7,345 yuan/ton in the East China region (-45 yuan/ton) [2] Upstream Situation - The CFR Northeast Asia intermediate price of ethylene was 711 US dollars/ton, with a change of -10 US dollars/ton; the CFR Southeast Asia intermediate price of ethylene was 691 US dollars/ton, with a change of 0 US dollars/ton; the CIF Northwest Europe intermediate price of ethylene was 785 US dollars/ton, with a change of +13.5 US dollars/ton; the FD US Gulf price of ethylene was 413 US dollars/ton. The FOB price of pure benzene in the US Gulf was 284 cents/gallon, with a change of -1 cent/gallon; the CIF price of pure benzene in Taiwan was 718.33 US dollars/ton, with a change of 0 US dollars/ton; the FOB price of pure benzene in Rotterdam was 851 US dollars/ton. The market prices of pure benzene in different regions were as follows: 5,600 yuan/ton in the South China market (0 yuan/ton), 5,690 yuan/ton in the East China market (+45 yuan/ton), and 5,580 yuan/ton in the North China market (+30 yuan/ton) [2] Industry Situation - The total styrene operating rate was 70.86%, with a change of -0.06%. The national styrene inventory was 161,160 tons, with a change of -1,180 tons; the total inventory at the main ports in East China was 93,500 tons, with a change of -7,100 tons [2] Downstream Situation - The operating rate of EPS was 54.05%, with a change of +7.33%; the operating rate of ABS was 69.8%, with a change of 0%; the operating rate of PS was -1.5%; the operating rate of UPR was 39%, with a change of 0%; the operating rate of styrene-butadiene rubber was 82.92%, with a change of +1.24% [2] Industry News - From January 9th to 15th, the output of Chinese styrene plants was 355,400 tons, a month-on-month decrease of 0.08%; the capacity utilization rate was 70.86%, a month-on-month decrease of 0.06%. From January 9th to 15th, the consumption of EPS, PS, and ABS downstream of styrene was 267,900 tons, a week-on-week increase of 3.16%. As of January 15th, the inventory of styrene plants was 161,200 tons, a week-on-week decrease of 0.73%. As of January 19th, the inventory at the East China ports of styrene was 93,500 tons, a week-on-week decrease of 7.06%; the inventory at the South China ports of styrene was 12,000 tons, a week-on-week decrease of 36.84%. On January 20th, the non-integrated profit of styrene was 386.05 yuan/ton, and the integrated profit was 955.13 yuan/ton [2]
瑞达期货菜籽系产业日报-20260121
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2026-01-21 09:09
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - For rapeseed meal, the current spot price is supported by the shutdown of oil mills, but the overall market is expected to remain weakly volatile due to the improved China - Canada trade relations, increased supply expectations from Canada and Australia, and the relatively loose global and Canadian rapeseed supply - demand pattern [2]. - For rapeseed oil, the current price is supported by the shutdown of oil mills and the de - stocking mode, with a high basis. However, the improved China - Canada trade relations and expected increase in future supply from Canada and Australia will bring pressure on the market [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - Futures prices: The closing price of the active contract of rapeseed oil was 8947 yuan/ton, down 1 yuan; that of rapeseed meal was 2228 yuan/ton, down 1 yuan. The closing price of the active ICE rapeseed contract was 636 Canadian dollars/ton, down 3 Canadian dollars, and that of the active rapeseed contract was 5537 yuan/ton, up 7 yuan [2]. - Spreads and positions: The rapeseed oil 5 - 9 monthly spread was 9 yuan/ton, up 36 yuan; the rapeseed meal 5 - 9 monthly spread was - 38 yuan/ton, up 15 yuan. The net long positions of the top 20 futures contracts for rapeseed oil were - 19038 lots, up 1080 lots; for rapeseed meal, they were - 262810 lots, up 430 lots [2]. - Warehouse receipts: The number of rapeseed oil warehouse receipts was 1864, down 71; that of rapeseed meal was 59, down 25 [2]. Spot Market - Spot prices: The spot price of rapeseed oil in Jiangsu was 9780 yuan/ton, up 30 yuan; that of rapeseed meal in Nantong was 2340 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan. The average price of rapeseed oil was 9886.25 yuan/ton, up 30 yuan [2]. - Price differences and ratios: The basis of the rapeseed oil main contract was 832 yuan/ton, down 16 yuan; that of the rapeseed meal main contract was 112 yuan/ton, up 11 yuan. The oil - meal ratio was 4.07, down 0.06 [2]. Upstream Situation - Production and imports: The global rapeseed production forecast was 95.27 million tons, up 3 million tons. The annual forecast production of rapeseed was 13446 thousand tons, unchanged. The total rapeseed import volume was 0.2 million tons, up 0.2 million tons [2]. - Profits and operations: The import rapeseed crushing profit was 329 yuan/ton, up 3 yuan. The weekly operating rate of imported rapeseed was 0%, unchanged [2]. Industry Situation - Inventory: The coastal rapeseed oil inventory was 0.2 million tons, unchanged; the coastal rapeseed meal inventory was 0 million tons, unchanged. The East China rapeseed oil inventory was 27.4 million tons, up 2.25 million tons; the East China rapeseed meal inventory was 14.1 million tons, down 1.6 million tons [2]. - Import volume: The import volume of rapeseed oil and mustard oil was 14 million tons, down 2 million tons; the import volume of rapeseed meal was 22.06 million tons, up 6.29 million tons [2]. Downstream Situation - Production: The monthly production of feed was 2977.9 million tons, up 20.9 million tons; the monthly production of edible vegetable oil was 427.6 million tons, down 67.4 million tons [2]. - Consumption: The monthly retail sales of social consumer goods in the catering industry was 5738 billion yuan, down 319 billion yuan [2]. Option Market - Volatility: The implied volatility of at - the - money call options for rapeseed meal was 19.22%, down 0.85%; the 20 - day historical volatility of rapeseed meal was 16.96%, and the 60 - day historical volatility was 13.35%, down 0.01% [2]. Industry News - ICE rapeseed futures fell slightly on January 20 due to selling after a recent price rebound. The South American soybean harvest is expected to be high, which restricts international soybean prices. US soybean crushing remains strong to meet bio - fuel demand [2]. Key Points to Watch - The rapeseed operating rate and rapeseed oil and meal inventories in various regions reported by Myagric on Monday [2]
瑞达期货贵金属期货日报-20260121
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2026-01-21 09:09
| 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 沪金主力合约收盘价(日,元/克) | 1092.300 | 32.1↑ 沪银主力合约收盘价(日,元/千 克) | 23131 | +69.00↑ | | 期货市场 | 主力合约持仓量:沪金(日,手) | 207,266.00 | +21302.00↑ 主力合约持仓量:沪银(日,手) | 46,814.00 | -3594.00↓ | | | 主力合约成交量:沪金 | | 350,273.00 +181809.00↑ 主力合约成交量:沪银 | 870,541.00 | +154609.00↑ | | | 仓单数量:沪金(日,千克) | 99990 | 0↑ 仓单数量:沪银(日,千克) | 600,779 | -17803↓ | | 现货市场 | 上金所黄金现货价 | 1087.81 | 31.38↑ 华通一号白银现货价 | 22,850.00 | -496.00↓ | | | 沪金主力合约基差(日,元/克) | -4.49 | -0.76↓ 沪银主 ...