截至2025年12月8日 13:30，国证证券龙头指数(399437)强势上涨3.56%，成分股兴业证券(601377)上涨 10.00%，华泰证券(601688)上涨4.95%，国泰海通(601211)上涨4.41%，中信证券(600030)，国信证券 (002736)等个股跟涨。证券ETF龙头(159993)上涨3.50%， 冲击3连涨。最新价报1.33元。 证券ETF龙头紧密跟踪国证证券龙头指数，为反映沪深市场证券主题优质上市公司的市场表现，并为投 资者提供更丰富的指数化投资工具，编制国证证券龙头指数。 政策催化下，金融板块持续走高，消息面上，证监会相关负责人表示，将着力强化分类监管、"扶优限 劣"。对优质机构适当"松绑"，进一步优化风控指标，适度打开资本空间和杠杆限制，提升资本利用效 率；对中小券商、外资券商在分类评价、业务准入等方面探索实施差异化监管，促进特色化发展；对于 少数问题券商要依法从严监管，违法的从严惩治。此外，今年以来，在资本市场向好走势带动下，券商 业绩表现亮眼。前三季度，43家A股上市券商合计净利润同比增长62.48%。 数据显示，截至2025年11月28日，国证证券龙头指数(399 ...

该行预计，阿里巴巴截至12月财季CMR增速将同比放缓至6%，同时预计季度亏损将显著收窄。另预计 集团中国商业整体收入在2026-2027财年分别增12%及9%，2026年经调整EBITDA分别年减37%，2026年 则年增35%。整体而言，该行将阿里巴巴2026-2027财年归母净利润预测上调1-3%，其中云业务收入上 调抵消了国际电商及其他板块的下调。该行继续维持集团为中国互联网首选，保持对其AI领导力、云 业务加速及核心商业稳健前景的积极判断。 智通财经APP获悉，招商证券国际发布研报称，阿里巴巴-W(09988)管理层表示，未来三年无AI泡沫， 并拟上调此前2026-2028财年总计3800亿元人民币的资本开支。该行对阿里云的持续加速保持乐观，预 计其2026-2027财年收入同比增34%及35%。暂维持港股目标价198港元及"增持"评级。 ...

招商证券国际发布研报称，阿里巴巴-W(09988)管理层表示，未来三年无AI泡沫，并拟上调此前2026- 2028财年总计3800亿元人民币的资本开支。该行对阿里云的持续加速保持乐观，预计其2026-2027财年 收入同比增34%及35%。暂维持港股目标价198港元及"增持"评级。 该行预计，阿里巴巴截至12月财季CMR增速将同比放缓至6%，同时预计季度亏损将显著收窄。另预计 集团中国商业整体收入在2026-2027财年分别增12%及9%，2026年经调整EBITDA分别年减37%，2026年 则年增35%。整体而言，该行将阿里巴巴2026-2027财年归母净利润预测上调1-3%，其中云业务收入上 调抵消了国际电商及其他板块的下调。该行继续维持集团为中国互联网首选，保持对其AI领导力、云 业务加速及核心商业稳健前景的积极判断。 ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 随着"十五五"规划蓝图绘就，中国资本市场高质量发展的路线图进一步清晰。证监会主席吴清日前指 出，未来五年是全面深化资本市场改革、加快打造一流投行和投资机构的战略机遇期。政策信号明确之 下，多家头部券商密集发布展望报告，拆解规划带来的投资新范式。 聚焦金融行业自身的改革与成长机遇 中信证券研究表示，"十五五"期间，证券行业格局有望深度重塑，推动行业实现错位发展，10家引领行 业发展的综合性机构将逐步成型。投行业务、衍生品业务、期货业务和资产证券化业务的监管周期有望 逐步回暖，证券公司有望通过内生增长和并购重组实现自身的长足发展，资产配置、综合服务和国际化 能力有望成为行业分化的决定因素。建议关注冲击国际一流投行的龙头证券公司以及具备跻身头部梯队 潜力的中大型证券公司。 国泰海通金融团队指出，保险业、券商业、银行业在 "十五五" 期间的发展目标与预期明确，将实现规 模与质量协同提升。1）保险业预计规模与质量双升，2030 年保费收入或达 8 万亿元、行业总资产有望 突破 60 万亿元，更加突出保险服务实体经济的 "减震器" 与保障民生的 " ...

Core Viewpoint - High dividend stocks are showing strong performance, particularly focusing on "high dividend + low valuation" large-cap blue-chip stocks, with the value ETF (510030) experiencing a price increase of nearly 1% during trading [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The value ETF (510030) rose by 0.37% as of the report, indicating a positive market sentiment towards high dividend stocks [1] - Key sectors leading the gains include brokerage and insurance, with notable increases in stocks such as Industrial Securities (up 8.33%) and Huatai Securities (up 4.63%) [1] Group 2: Valuation Insights - As of the last trading day (December 5), the value ETF's underlying index, the 180 Value Index, had a price-to-book ratio of 0.84, which is at a relatively low level compared to the past decade [3] - The current market risk appetite is near the rolling five-year average, suggesting that high dividend sectors, particularly banks and oil, are performing well [3] Group 3: Investment Strategy - The value ETF closely tracks the 180 Value Index, which selects the top 60 stocks based on value factor scores, primarily from the financial sector [4] - The index constituents are characterized by "low valuation + high dividend" attributes, providing defensive qualities in volatile markets [4]

Core Viewpoint - High dividend stocks are showing strong performance, particularly focusing on "high dividend + low valuation" large-cap blue-chip stocks, with the value ETF (510030) experiencing a price increase of 0.37% as of the report time [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The value ETF (510030) saw an intraday price increase of nearly 1%, closing up 0.37% [1]. - Key stocks in the ETF include securities and insurance companies, with notable gains from firms like Industrial Securities (up 8.33%) and Huatai Securities (up 4.63%) [1]. Group 2: Valuation Insights - As of the last trading day (December 5), the value ETF's underlying index, the 180 Value Index, had a price-to-book ratio of 0.84, which is at a relatively low level compared to the past decade, indicating strong medium to long-term investment value [3]. Group 3: Sector Analysis - The securities industry is expected to experience high-quality development during the 14th Five-Year Plan, playing a core role in serving the real economy and optimizing household wealth allocation [1]. - Policies from the China Securities Regulatory Commission are anticipated to create structural investment opportunities and long-term value reconstruction in the securities sector [1]. - The high dividend sector, particularly banks and oil companies, has shown strong performance, with expectations for market risk preferences to recover in December [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the recent regulatory adjustments by the National Financial Regulatory Administration are aimed at encouraging insurance capital to enter the market, which has led to a significant increase in the performance of the securities and insurance sector, as evidenced by the rise in the CSI 800 Securities and Insurance Index by 2.91% [1] - The adjustment of risk factors for insurance companies' long-term holdings in specific indices, including a 10% reduction in solvency risk factors, is expected to slightly improve solvency and reflects a supportive regulatory attitude towards long-term investments [1] - The emphasis on dividend stocks in the notification aligns with the current trend of insurance companies focusing on dividend stock investments, indicating a strategic direction for the insurance industry [1] Group 2 - The CSI 800 Securities and Insurance Index is designed to provide investors with a diversified investment target by selecting securities from the securities and insurance industry based on the CSI 800 Index [2] - As of November 28, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI 800 Securities and Insurance Index account for 63.12% of the index, with major companies including China Ping An, Dongfang Wealth, and CITIC Securities [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a strong performance in the securities sector, with the National Securities Leading Index rising by 3.86% and individual stocks like Industrial Securities and Huatai Securities showing significant gains [1] - The Securities ETF Leader has seen continuous net inflows over the past three days, totaling 25.27 million yuan, with a peak single-day inflow of 12.74 million yuan [1] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) plans to enhance classified regulation, easing restrictions for high-quality institutions to improve capital efficiency [1] Group 2 - The report indicates that 43 listed securities firms achieved a year-on-year net profit growth of 64% in the first three quarters of 2025, significantly outperforming the market [1] - The adjustment of margin financing limits by leading brokerages is expected to face leverage constraints, which may impact the expansion of capital intermediary businesses [2] - The CSRC's emphasis on a capital-saving, high-quality development path for securities firms has led to a near halt in equity financing, highlighting the need for flexible capital supply and leverage utilization [2] Group 3 - The National Securities Leading Index closely tracks the performance of quality listed companies in the securities theme, providing investors with diversified index investment tools [3] - As of November 28, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the National Securities Leading Index account for 79.05% of the index, with companies like Dongfang Wealth and CITIC Securities among the top [3]

Core Viewpoint - The current market valuation of the express delivery industry is considered relatively high compared to the performance expected in 2026, with a focus on growth drivers for performance recovery in 2026 [1] Express Delivery Industry Core Data - In October 2025, the national express delivery volume reached 17.6 billion pieces, showing a year-on-year growth of 7.9%, with a decline of 4.9 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] - The average revenue per delivery piece was 7.48 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.0%, with a narrowing decline of 1.9 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] - The total revenue from express delivery business amounted to 131.67 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.7%, with a decline of 2.5 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] Consumer Data - From January to October, the total retail sales reached 41.2 trillion yuan, growing by 4.3% year-on-year, with October retail sales at 4.6 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9% [2] - The cumulative online retail sales of physical goods from January to October reached 10.4 trillion yuan, growing by 6.3% year-on-year, with October online retail sales at 1.25 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.9% [2] - The e-commerce penetration rate for the first ten months was 25.2%, down by 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, while the October penetration rate was 26.9%, up by 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [2] Listed Express Delivery Companies Core Data - The growth rate of delivery volume varies among companies, with SF Express benefiting from proactive business development, achieving a year-on-year increase of 26.3% in October 2025, while Yunda, Shentong, and YTO experienced changes of +12.8%, -5.1%, and +4.0% respectively [3] - The average revenue per delivery piece for SF Express, YTO, Yunda, and Shentong in October was 13.18, 2.23, 2.11, and 2.18 yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -10.0%, -3.5%, +4.5%, and +7.4% [3] - In October, the express delivery revenues for SF Express, YTO, Yunda, and Shentong were 20.1 billion, 6.2 billion, 4.5 billion, and 5.0 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of +13.7%, +9.0%, -0.9%, and +11.8% [3] - The market share of Yunda and Shentong increased, with their respective market shares in October being 13.3%, reflecting a year-on-year change of -0.5% and -0.1 percentage points [3]

Core Viewpoints - The article emphasizes the expectation of a robust economic start in 2026 driven by proactive macro policies and structural reforms as part of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1][5] - The appreciation of the RMB is anticipated to improve, nearing the "7" mark against the USD [1][19] Focused Commentary - Wu Qing highlights the importance of enhancing the inclusivity and adaptability of capital market systems during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, focusing on public fund reforms and aligning investor interests [3] - The article discusses the need for a binding mechanism for public funds to ensure investor profit and loss are core to assessments, promoting the development of equity funds and index investments [3] Equity Market - CITIC Securities predicts a more proactive policy direction in the upcoming Central Economic Work Conference, with a focus on consumption expansion, technological innovation, and real estate risk mitigation [5] - Huaxia Fund suggests that the "spring rally" may start earlier due to key meetings, improved macro liquidity, and easing of funding pressures, recommending a focus on AI, domestic demand recovery, and resource sectors [6] -招商证券 notes that December's market will be influenced by the Federal Reserve's meetings and domestic conferences, with a preference for large-cap stocks and blue-chip dividends [7] Industry Research - Galaxy Securities indicates that the power industry will see opportunities for capacity upgrades during the "14th Five-Year Plan," with a focus on stable profitability in thermal power and growth in nuclear power [12] - Harvest Fund expresses optimism for the energy storage sector, highlighting its transition to a growth phase driven by policy and technological advancements [13] - CITIC Construction Investment Securities sees significant growth potential in the low-altitude economy, predicting a market size exceeding one trillion by 2030 [14] Macro and Fixed Income - Huatai Securities anticipates a gradual appreciation of the RMB, with a forecast of 6.82 against the USD by the end of 2026, driven by strong export growth and seasonal currency settlement peaks [19] - Bosera Fund notes a cautious sentiment in the bond market, with a need for clearer signals of policy easing to boost demand [20] - Guotai Fund believes that the bond market may see a recovery opportunity following recent volatility, suggesting it could be a good time for long-term positioning [21] Asset Allocation - CICC recommends maintaining a "barbell" strategy in asset allocation, combining dividend stocks with technology investments, while adjusting weights based on market conditions [23]