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安井食品(603345):2024年年报及25年一季报点评:经营韧性依旧,关注大单品表现
EBSCN· 2025-05-07 03:43
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return exceeding the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [6]. Core Views - The company demonstrated operational resilience in 2024, with total revenue reaching 15.127 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.7%, and a slight increase in net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.485 billion yuan, up 0.46% year-on-year [1]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.015 yuan per share for 2024, with a total dividend payout of 1.04 billion yuan, achieving a dividend rate of 70% [1]. - The company is focusing on its major product strategy and plans to actively launch new products and embrace new retail channels in 2025, anticipating positive results [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, revenue from frozen prepared foods, frozen dishes, frozen rice and noodle products, and agricultural products was 7.84 billion, 4.35 billion, 2.47 billion, and 0.45 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +11.4%, +10.8%, -3.1%, and -11.7% [2]. - For Q1 2025, total revenue was 3.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 4.13%, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 395 million yuan, down 10.0% year-on-year [1][3]. Profitability and Cost Management - The gross profit margin for 2024 and Q1 2025 was 23.3% and 23.32% respectively, with a notable decline in Q1 2025 due to increased promotional efforts amid intensified competition [4]. - The report indicates that the company has managed to control selling expenses, with selling expense ratios of 6.52% in 2024 and 6.73% in Q1 2025 [4]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders has been adjusted downwards for 2025 and 2026 to 1.604 billion and 1.769 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting a 13% reduction from previous estimates [4]. - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 14, 13, and 12 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4].
安井食品:稳守龙头地位,高基数下韧性强-20250506
China Post Securities· 2025-05-06 12:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within six months [9][15]. Core Insights - The company demonstrated resilience in maintaining its leading position despite high base effects, with a slight increase in revenue and net profit for 2024 [5]. - The company is focusing on a big product strategy, with significant contributions from key products like frozen fish and meat products, while facing challenges in certain categories due to competition [6]. - The management is prioritizing new product development and strategic partnerships with major retailers to enhance profitability and scale [6]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company reported revenue of 15.127 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.7%, and a net profit of 1.485 billion yuan, reflecting a slight increase of 0.46% [5][11]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a decline in revenue to 3.6 billion yuan, down 4.13% year-on-year, and a net profit of 395 million yuan, down 10.01% [5]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 23.3%, with a net profit margin of 9.82%, indicating stable profitability despite rising costs [7][11]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 16.192 billion yuan and 17.560 billion yuan, respectively, with expected growth rates of 7.04% and 8.45% [9][11]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is 1.622 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 9.25% compared to 2024 [9][11]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 5.53 yuan in 2025, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.79 [9][11].
中国消费品4月需求报告:多数行业增速小幅改善
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the Chinese consumer staples sector is generally positive, with multiple companies rated as "Outperform" [1]. Core Insights - In April 2025, five out of eight tracked industries maintained positive growth, two experienced negative growth, and one remained flat. The sectors with single-digit growth include dairy, food and beverage, soft drinks, condiments, and frozen foods. The declining sectors are mass and below liquor and sub-high-end and above liquor, while the beer industry remained flat. Compared to the previous month, six industries showed improved growth rates, while two saw a deterioration. Overall demand has not significantly increased or decreased [10][34]. Summary by Category Liquor Industry - **Sub-high-end and above liquor**: In April, revenue was 26.4 billion yuan, down 1.5% year-on-year. Cumulative revenue for January to April was 167 billion yuan, up 0.3% year-on-year. Inventory levels increased as demand entered a low season [4][14]. - **Mass and below liquor**: Revenue in April was 15 billion yuan, down 10.7% year-on-year, marking 15 consecutive months of negative growth. Cumulative revenue for January to April was 75.2 billion yuan, down 13.9% year-on-year [16]. Beer Industry - Revenue in April was 14 billion yuan, flat compared to the same period last year. Cumulative revenue for January to April was 60.6 billion yuan, down 0.2% year-on-year. The industry is preparing for the upcoming sales season with low inventory levels [5][19]. Condiments - Revenue in April was 36.3 billion yuan, up 2.3% year-on-year, with cumulative revenue for January to April at 155.4 billion yuan, growing 1.3% year-on-year. The industry is experiencing weak sales due to external consumption pressures [21]. Dairy Products - Revenue in April was 33.6 billion yuan, up 3.4% year-on-year, while cumulative revenue for January to April was 156 billion yuan, down 0.6% year-on-year. The industry showed positive growth due to a low base effect from the previous year [23]. Frozen Foods - Revenue in April was 6.7 billion yuan, up 1.5% year-on-year, with cumulative revenue for January to April at 43.1 billion yuan, up 1.3% year-on-year. The industry faces challenges due to lower consumer spending and increased competition [25]. Soft Drinks - Revenue in April was 50 billion yuan, up 2.7% year-on-year, with cumulative revenue for January to April at 235.6 billion yuan, up 2.3% year-on-year. The industry is entering its peak season with intensified competition [27]. Restaurant Sector - Revenue for listed restaurant companies in April was 13.4 billion yuan, up 3.1% year-on-year, with cumulative revenue for January to April at 57.1 billion yuan, up 2.6% year-on-year. The sector is seeing recovery, particularly in tea and Western fast food segments [29].
安井食品(603345):稳守龙头地位,高基数下韧性强
China Post Securities· 2025-05-06 11:03
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase in stock price of over 20% within the next six months [9][15]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated resilience in maintaining its leading position despite high base effects, with a slight increase in revenue and net profit for 2024 [5]. - The company is focusing on a big product strategy, with significant contributions from key products like frozen fish and meat products, while facing challenges in certain segments due to competition and market dynamics [6]. - The management is prioritizing new product development and strategic partnerships with major retailers to enhance profitability and scale [6][8]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company reported revenues of 15.127 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.7%, with net profit slightly up by 0.46% [5][11]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a decline in revenue and net profit, indicating a need for strategic adjustments [5]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 23.3%, with a net profit margin of 9.82%, reflecting stable profitability despite rising costs [7][11]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 16.192 billion yuan and 17.560 billion yuan, respectively, with expected growth rates of 7.04% and 8.45% [9][11]. - The forecast for net profit in 2025 is set at 1.622 billion yuan, representing a growth of 9.25% compared to the previous year [9][11]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase to 5.53 yuan in 2025, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.79 [9][11].
安井食品24年报&25Q1点评:稳中求进,静待新品发力
Huaan Securities· 2025-05-05 14:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [3] Core Views - The company is actively adjusting its operational strategy in response to weakened industry demand, focusing on high-quality mid-priced products for B-end and high-quality mid-to-high-priced products for C-end, while continuously optimizing its product matrix and expanding revenue growth points [11] - The company is pushing for deeper channel penetration and embracing new retail channels to enhance market share, indicating a positive long-term development trend [11] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.6 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 395 million yuan, down 10.0% [10] - In Q4 2024, revenue was 4.05 billion yuan, an increase of 7.3%, with a net profit of 438 million yuan, up 22.8% [10] - For the full year 2024, revenue reached 15.127 billion yuan, a growth of 7.7%, while net profit was 1.485 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.5% [10] - The company’s gross margin for Q1 2025 decreased by 3.2 percentage points to 23.3%, primarily due to increased promotional efforts and weakened scale effects [10] - The company’s long-term revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 16.266 billion yuan, 17.619 billion yuan, and 19.211 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 7.5%, 8.3%, and 9.0% respectively [11] Profitability Metrics - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is 1.593 billion yuan, 1.772 billion yuan, and 1.988 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 7.3%, 11.2%, and 12.2% [11] - The company’s price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is projected to be 14, 13, and 11 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [11]
安井食品(603345):稳中求进,静待新品发力
Huaan Securities· 2025-05-05 13:21
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [3] Core Views - The company is actively adjusting its business strategy in response to weakened industry demand, focusing on high-quality mid-priced products for B-end and high-quality mid-to-high-priced products for C-end, while continuously optimizing its product matrix and expanding revenue growth points [11] - The company is pushing for channel penetration and exploring channel potential, fully embracing large B and new retail channels to continuously increase market share [11] - The long-term development trend of the company remains positive despite current challenges [11] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.6 billion yuan (down 4.1%) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 395 million yuan (down 10.0%) [10] - In Q4 2024, revenue was 4.05 billion yuan (up 7.3%) with a net profit of 438 million yuan (up 22.8%) [10] - For the full year 2024, revenue reached 15.127 billion yuan (up 7.7%) and net profit was 1.485 billion yuan (up 0.5%) [10] - The company’s gross margin for Q1 2025 decreased by 3.2 percentage points to 23.3%, primarily due to increased promotional efforts and weakened scale effects [10] - The company’s net profit margin for Q1 2025 decreased by 0.7 percentage points to 11.0% [10] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 16.266 billion yuan, 17.619 billion yuan, and 19.211 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 7.5%, 8.3%, and 9.0% respectively [11] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 1.593 billion yuan, 1.772 billion yuan, and 1.988 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of 7.3%, 11.2%, and 12.2% respectively [11] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 14, 13, and 11 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [11]
安井食品(603345):收入端保持稳健 控费提效能力持续凸显
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-05 00:35
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 15.13 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.485 billion, up 0.46% year-on-year. However, in Q1 2025, revenue declined to 3.6 billion, down 4.13%, and net profit fell to 395 million, down 10.01% [1][2]. Revenue Performance - The revenue breakdown for 2024 shows mixed performance across product categories: - Noodle products: -3.14% - Frozen prepared foods: +11.41% - Dish products: +10.76% - Agricultural products: -11.74% - Snack foods: -80.44% - Other businesses: -0.96% [2] - In Q1 2025, revenue changes were as follows: - Frozen noodle products: +3.17% - Prepared dishes: -2.4% - Dish products: -12.48% - Agricultural products: -4.31% - Other businesses: -41.42% [2] Channel Performance - For 2024, revenue by channel showed: - Distribution: +8.91% - Supermarkets: -2.35% - Direct sales: -4.54% - E-commerce: -2.29% - New retail: +32.97% [2] - In Q1 2025, channel performance was: - Distribution: -3.94% - Supermarkets: -6.46% - Direct sales: -6.5% - E-commerce: -14.45% - New retail: +22.26% [2] Profitability Analysis - The net profit margin for 2024 decreased by 0.71 percentage points to 9.82%, with a gross margin increase of 0.09 percentage points to 23.3%. The operating expense ratio rose by 0.67 percentage points to 10.03% [3]. - In Q1 2025, the net profit margin fell by 0.72 percentage points to 10.96%, with a gross margin decline of 3.23 percentage points to 23.32%. The operating expense ratio decreased by 0.77 percentage points to 9.9% [3]. Future Outlook - The company is enhancing its supply chain management to mitigate cost fluctuations and expects improvements in revenue from new products and acquisitions. - Projected net profits for 2025 and 2026 are 1.53 billion and 1.71 billion, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 5.21 and 5.84, and PE ratios of 14 and 13 [4].
安井食品(603345):2024年报、2025年一季报点评:收入端保持稳健,控费提效能力持续凸显
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-04 23:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 15.13 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.7%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.485 billion yuan, up 0.46% year-on-year. However, in Q1 2025, the revenue decreased to 3.6 billion yuan, a decline of 4.13%, and the net profit dropped to 395 million yuan, down 10.01% year-on-year [2][6]. Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue reached 15.13 billion yuan, with various segments showing different growth rates: - Instant noodles and frozen prepared foods saw a decline of 3.14% - Prepared dishes increased by 10.76% - Agricultural products decreased by 11.74% - The overall revenue growth was supported by the recovery in the catering sector, particularly in traditional hot pot products [11]. - For Q1 2025, revenue from frozen noodles and prepared foods showed mixed results, with a 3.17% increase in frozen noodles but a 12.48% decline in prepared dishes [11]. Profitability and Cost Control - The net profit margin for 2024 decreased by 0.71 percentage points to 9.82%, while the gross margin increased by 0.09 percentage points to 23.3%. The company effectively managed costs, with the expense ratio rising by 0.67 percentage points to 10.03% [11]. - In Q1 2025, the net profit margin fell by 0.72 percentage points to 10.96%, with a gross margin decline of 3.23 percentage points to 23.32%. Despite the drop in gross margin, the company maintained effective cost control [11]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to enhance its upstream supply chain management to mitigate cost fluctuations. The introduction of new products and acquisitions is anticipated to improve revenue streams [11]. - Forecasts for 2025 and 2026 suggest net profits of 1.53 billion yuan and 1.71 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 5.21 yuan and 5.84 yuan [11].
安井食品:2024年净利润14.85亿元 同比增长0.46% 拟10派10.15元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-02 12:16
Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 15.127 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.70% [2][3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.485 billion yuan, reflecting a slight increase of 0.46% year-on-year [2][3] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 1.360 billion yuan, showing a decrease of 0.45% compared to the previous year [2][3] - The net cash flow from operating activities was 2.104 billion yuan, up by 7.58% year-on-year [2][3] - Basic earnings per share for the year were 5.08 yuan, with a weighted average return on equity of 11.48% [2][3][32] Dividend Distribution - The company proposed a dividend distribution plan of 10.15 yuan per 10 shares (including tax) for all shareholders [2] Asset and Liability Changes - As of the end of 2024, the company's trading financial assets increased by 221.44% compared to the previous year, while cash and cash equivalents decreased by 44.14% [48] - Contract liabilities decreased by 58.68%, while other payables increased by 67.04% [51] Research and Development - The total R&D expenditure for 2024 was 97.21 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 2.9% [58] - R&D expenditure accounted for 0.64% of total revenue, a slight decrease of 0.03 percentage points from the previous year [58] Shareholder Changes - New shareholders included Zhonggeng Value Pioneer Stock Fund and National Social Security Fund 110 Combination, replacing previous shareholders [67]
【2025-04-30】晨会纪要
Ping An Securities· 2025-05-01 01:00
Group 1: Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the companies analyzed, indicating a positive outlook for their future performance [10][19][33]. Group 2: Core Insights - The active bond fund market shows a slight increase in the number of funds and total assets, with 3,263 funds and a total scale of 7.90 trillion yuan, reflecting a 0.8% and 1.0% increase respectively [7][8]. - The performance of active bond funds in Q1 was influenced by rising government bond yields, with short-term pure bond funds performing particularly well [7][8]. - The report highlights a shift in asset allocation within mixed secondary bond funds, with increased holdings in sectors such as non-ferrous metals, pharmaceuticals, and steel [8][9]. - The medical device company Mindray achieved a revenue of 36.73 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 5.14%, while its international business grew by 21.28% [10][11]. - Haibo Technology reported a revenue of 8.27 billion yuan in 2024, marking an 18.44% increase, with a significant focus on energy storage systems [15][18]. - The refrigerant manufacturer Sanmei achieved a revenue of 4.04 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a 26.42% increase, driven by strong demand in the home appliance and automotive sectors [26][27]. Group 3: Summary by Sections Active Bond Funds - As of Q1 2025, the number of active bond funds reached 3,263, with a total scale of 7.90 trillion yuan, and 43 new funds were issued, totaling 783.7 billion yuan [7][8]. - The performance of short-term pure bond funds was notably strong due to rising yields, while mixed bond funds showed volatility [7][8]. Mindray Medical - Mindray's revenue for 2024 was 36.73 billion yuan, with a net profit of 11.67 billion yuan, and a proposed cash dividend of 5.6 yuan per 10 shares [10][11]. - The company anticipates a recovery in domestic business in 2025, with international revenue expected to continue growing [11][12]. Haibo Technology - Haibo's revenue for 2024 was 8.27 billion yuan, with a focus on energy storage systems, which accounted for a significant portion of its revenue [15][18]. - The company has established partnerships with international firms to explore new market opportunities [18]. Sanmei - Sanmei's revenue for 2024 was 4.04 billion yuan, with a significant increase in refrigerant prices due to supply constraints [26][27]. - The company is well-positioned in the market with a leading share in the production of third-generation refrigerants [29]. Huayu Automotive - Huayu reported a revenue of 168.85 billion yuan in 2024, with a slight decline in net profit due to cost pressures [31][32]. - The company is adjusting its customer structure to mitigate risks associated with its largest client, SAIC [32][33].