Quantitative Models and Construction Methods - **Model Name**: "Kaiyuan Quantitative Engineering Preferred Gold Stock Portfolio" **Model Construction Idea**: The model is based on the observation that newly introduced stocks outperform repeated stocks. It incorporates the "SUE factor" (Surprise Earnings Factor), which demonstrates superior stock selection ability within newly introduced stocks[25] **Model Construction Process**: 1. Select the top 30 newly introduced stocks with the highest earnings surprise (SUE factor) 2. Weight the portfolio based on the number of recommendations by brokers 3. Construct the portfolio using these weighted stocks[25] **Model Evaluation**: The model demonstrates better performance compared to the overall gold stock portfolio, with higher annualized returns and lower maximum drawdowns[25][27] Model Backtesting Results - **Kaiyuan Quantitative Engineering Preferred Gold Stock Portfolio**: - November return: -0.2% - 2025 YTD return: 45.1% - Annualized return: 22.5% - Annualized volatility: 25.3% - Return-to-volatility ratio: 0.89 - Maximum drawdown: 24.6%[27][28] - **Overall Gold Stock Portfolio**: - November return: -3.4% - 2025 YTD return: 32.2% - Annualized return: 13.2% - Annualized volatility: 23.5% - Return-to-volatility ratio: 0.56 - Maximum drawdown: 42.6%[23][27] - **CSI 300 Index**: - November return: -2.5% - 2025 YTD return: 15.0% - Annualized return: 3.3% - Annualized volatility: 21.1% - Return-to-volatility ratio: 0.16 - Maximum drawdown: 40.6%[23][27] - **CSI 500 Index**: - November return: -4.1% - 2025 YTD return: 22.8% - Annualized return: 1.2% - Annualized volatility: 23.8% - Return-to-volatility ratio: 0.05 - Maximum drawdown: 37.5%[23][27] Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods - **Factor Name**: Surprise Earnings Factor (SUE Factor) **Factor Construction Idea**: The factor captures stocks with earnings that significantly exceed market expectations, which are likely to outperform in the short term[25] **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Calculate the earnings surprise for each stock as the difference between reported earnings and consensus estimates 2. Rank stocks based on their earnings surprise values 3. Select the top-ranked stocks for portfolio inclusion[25] **Factor Evaluation**: The SUE factor demonstrates strong stock selection ability, particularly within newly introduced stocks, and contributes to the superior performance of the preferred gold stock portfolio[25] Factor Backtesting Results - **SUE Factor**: - Incorporated into the preferred gold stock portfolio, contributing to its annualized return of 22.5% and return-to-volatility ratio of 0.89[25][27]

Group 1: Chip ETF Performance - The Chip ETF Tianhong (159310) has seen a trading volume of 7.4652 million yuan as of December 1, 2025, with the underlying index, the CSI Chip Industry Index (H30007), rising by 1.33%, marking six consecutive days of gains [1] - Over the past week, the Chip ETF Tianhong (159310) has experienced a significant growth of 47.2038 million yuan, and in the last month, it has increased by 2.3 million units [1] - Notable constituent stocks include Beijing Junzheng (300223) up by 14.84%, Huazhong Microelectronics (688396) up by 8.40%, and Nanda Optoelectronics (300346) up by 6.92% [1] Group 2: Electronic ETF Performance - The Electronic ETF (159997) has recorded a trading volume of 28.8619 million yuan, with the CSI Electronic Index (930652) rising by 1.06% [2] - In the last 20 trading days, the Electronic ETF (159997) has attracted a total of 18.2196 million yuan in net inflows over six days [2] - Key stocks in this ETF include Beijing Junzheng (300223) up by 14.84%, Pengding Holdings (002938) up by 9.97%, and Transsion Holdings (688036) up by 8.42% [2] Group 3: Product Highlights - The Chip ETF Tianhong (159310) tracks the CSI Chip Industry Index, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in the chip industry, providing exposure to core assets in China's "chip" era [3] - The Electronic ETF (159997) passively tracks the CSI Electronic Index, focusing on semiconductor and consumer electronics sectors, including AI chips, automotive electronics, 5G, cloud computing, and printed circuit boards (PCB) [3] Group 4: Recent Events - ByteDance's Doubao team released a technical preview of the Doubao Mobile Assistant on December 1, which is an AI assistant software developed in collaboration with mobile manufacturers [6] - Tesla's CEO Elon Musk announced that the AI5 chip is entering the tape-out phase, with the AI6 chip's early development already underway, aiming for annual production of new AI chips [7] - Dongguan Securities highlighted that AI will continue to drive innovation in the tech sector, with opportunities in semiconductor hardware and domestic substitution processes in computing power, storage, and equipment [7]

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a significant adjustment in November 2025, with high valuation growth stocks undergoing notable corrections while value and dividend stocks showed relative resilience [2][17] - Economic data for November indicated a weak recovery in investment and consumption, with exports declining due to high base effects and holiday impacts. However, CPI growth turned positive, and PPI declines narrowed, suggesting a mild recovery in prices [2][17] - The central bank's report emphasized maintaining relatively loose social financing conditions to support "steady growth," alongside various policies aimed at stimulating domestic demand and private investment [2][17] Group 2 - For December 2025, a balanced investment strategy is recommended, focusing on high-dividend defensive assets like banks and power companies due to cautious investor sentiment, while also gradually positioning in high-growth sectors like TMT and industrial machinery as valuations have returned to reasonable levels [3][18] - The recommended stocks for December 2025 include: 002850.SZ Keda Li, 300037.SZ Xinzhou Bang, 601058.SH Sailun Tire, 603755.SH Richen Co., 300442.SZ Runze Technology, 002046.SZ Guoji Precision, 002714.SZ Muyuan Foods, 688041.SH Haiguang Information, 688498.SH Yuanjie Technology, and 688313.SH Shijia Photon [4][22] Group 3 - The monthly gold stock portfolio for November 2025 yielded a return of -2.16%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.21 percentage points and the ChiNext index by 1.82 percentage points [6][9] - The cumulative return of the monthly gold stock portfolio as of November 28, 2025, was 42.86%, surpassing the CSI 300 index by 27.73 percentage points, while slightly underperforming the ChiNext index by 0.01 percentage points [13]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a strategic shift towards large financial and consumer sectors, indicating a rebound opportunity following a period of panic due to tariff impacts [2] - The report highlights a positive performance in the A-share market, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising over 10% to above 3800 points since the mid-year strategy was introduced [2] Overall Assessment - The report suggests a cautious approach, recommending investors to wait for opportunities to buy on dips. It notes that liquidity-driven adjustments have stabilized, with certain asset classes like TMT and precious metals leading the rebound [3][7] - The report anticipates that the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate cuts will further bolster market confidence, despite short-term investor caution in domestic sectors like lithium batteries and storage [3][7] Configuration Direction - The report advises a gradual investment strategy based on economic expectations and valuation attractiveness, focusing on quality dividends and cyclical opportunities in sectors such as real estate, resource commodities, and consumer sentiment [4][9] - It identifies four key areas for medium-term investment: technology (AI trends), high-end manufacturing (global investment cycle), consumer (high-quality overseas profits), and resource commodities (supply-side dynamics) [4][9] Top Stock Picks - The report lists ten recommended stocks across various sectors, including TCL Electronics, Action Education, Anjuke Food, Petty Co., Chengda Pharmaceutical, Haiguang Information, Lixing Co., Jitu Express, Beibu Gulf Port, and China Resources Mixc Living [4][5]

Core Insights - The report suggests a high probability of an upward breakout in the market, leading to a cross-year rally, particularly due to anticipated positive economic policy adjustments from the upcoming political meetings [2][3] - The report emphasizes the importance of December as a strategic month for investment, with increased demand for equity funds expected due to the influx of new insurance premiums and favorable currency conditions [2][3] - The report identifies three main investment directions: infrastructure and real estate, service consumption, and self-sufficiency, with a focus on policy-driven adjustments [2][3] Investment Recommendations - The report lists a "golden stock" combination including companies such as Luxshare Precision, Shengyi Technology, Century Huatong, Zhongji Xuchuang, Haiguang Information, China Merchants Bank, Alibaba, Zijin Mining, Xingye Silver Tin, and XGIMI Technology [2][4] - Specific insights into Luxshare Precision highlight its strong position in the Apple supply chain and its potential for robust growth across various sectors, including automotive [8][9] - Shengyi Technology is noted for its leading position in the CCL market, with expectations for continued high-end product upgrades and significant growth potential [12][13] - Century Huatong is recognized for its innovative gaming strategies and strong market position, particularly with its successful game releases [17] - Zhongji Xuchuang is positioned to benefit from increasing overseas demand for optical modules, with a strong production capacity [17] - Haiguang Information is expected to see growth in its DCU chip business due to domestic project implementations [24] - China Merchants Bank is highlighted for its prudent management and strong asset quality, with expectations for recovery in performance as economic conditions improve [24] - Alibaba's cloud business is projected to grow significantly, driven by AI demand and a strong competitive position in the market [24] - Zijin Mining is anticipated to benefit from favorable commodity price trends, particularly in gold and copper [24] - Xingye Silver Tin is positioned as a leading silver producer with significant growth potential [20] - XGIMI Technology is expected to see revenue growth driven by market recovery and product innovation [20] Earnings Forecasts - Companies such as Luxshare Precision, Shengyi Technology, Century Huatong, Zhongji Xuchuang, Haiguang Information, Alibaba, Zijin Mining, Xingye Silver Tin, and XGIMI Technology are projected to achieve over 30% stable growth in earnings this year [5] Financial Metrics - Luxshare Precision is projected to have an EPS of 1.85 in 2024, with a net profit growth rate of 22.03% [6] - Shengyi Technology's EPS is expected to rise from 0.72 in 2024 to 2.03 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 49.37% in 2024 [7] - Century Huatong's EPS is forecasted to increase from 0.16 in 2024 to 1.11 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 131.51% in 2024 [7] - Zhongji Xuchuang is expected to see significant growth in EPS from 4.61 in 2024 to 17.24 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 137.93% in 2024 [7] - Haiguang Information's EPS is projected to grow from 0.83 in 2024 to 2.01 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 52.87% in 2024 [7] - Alibaba's EPS is expected to rise from 3.91 in 2024 to 5.82 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 9.93% in 2024 [7] - Zijin Mining's EPS is forecasted to increase from 1.21 in 2024 to 2.24 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 51.76% in 2024 [7] - Xingye Silver Tin's EPS is projected to grow from 0.86 in 2024 to 1.39 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 57.82% in 2024 [7] - XGIMI Technology's EPS is expected to rise from 1.72 in 2024 to 5.20 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of -0.3% in 2024 [7]

Core Viewpoint - The latest brokerage "golden stocks" for December highlight a focus on sectors such as electronics, power equipment, pharmaceuticals, and food and beverage, with themes like domestic computing power, robotics, and consumer recovery gaining traction [2][9]. Group 1: Market Performance - In November, the A-share market exhibited a volatile pattern, with the Shanghai Composite Index declining by 1.67%, while the ChiNext Index and STAR Market Index fell by 4.23% and 6.24%, respectively [5]. - The top-performing "golden stock" in November was Shanghai Port Bay, recommended by Huatai Securities, which saw a monthly increase of 60.15% [6]. - Other notable performers included BlueFocus Media with a 45.99% increase and Yaxing Integration with a 43.57% rise, both recommended by different brokerages [6]. Group 2: December Golden Stocks - The December golden stock list shows a diverse allocation strategy, with significant attention on electronics, power equipment, pharmaceuticals, and food and beverage sectors [2][9]. - The electronics sector remains the most favored, with companies like Haiguang Information and Huadian Heavy Industries receiving multiple recommendations from different brokerages [11][12]. - In the power equipment sector, companies like Goldwind Technology and Ningde Times are highlighted for their strong order growth and competitive advantages [12]. Group 3: Investment Themes - The focus on robotics is increasing, with companies like Hengli Hydraulic and Kaidi Co. being recommended for their growth potential in the robotics space [16]. - In the pharmaceuticals sector, innovative companies such as Innovent Biologics and Kangfang Biologics are emphasized for their competitive global products [15]. - The consumer sector is also gaining traction, with companies like Midea Group and Alibaba being included in the recommendations due to their attractive dividend yields and growth prospects [14]. Group 4: Market Outlook - Brokerages generally maintain a bullish outlook for the market, expecting it to remain in a bull phase, although short-term fluctuations may occur [3][18]. - Analysts suggest that the market's focus should be on growth sectors, particularly technology and advanced manufacturing, while also considering defensive and consumer stocks in the short term [20][21].

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Overweight," indicating a positive outlook for the sector's performance compared to the overall market [61]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of AI Infrastructure (AI Infra) as a foundational system for AI workloads, which includes computing power, storage, and networking [5][11]. - The AI Infra market in China is projected to grow significantly, reaching CNY 3.45 billion in 2024 and CNY 6.73 billion in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 95.1% [7][10]. - Key players in the AI Infra space include both domestic and international companies, with a focus on data layer software and models [4][36]. Summary by Sections AI Infra Overview - AI Infra is defined as the hardware and software systems designed to support AI workloads, aiming for efficient and large-scale AI model training and inference [5][11]. - The infrastructure consists of several layers, including computing, storage, and networking, with a focus on optimizing AI model performance [8][11]. Market Growth and Trends - The AI Infra market is expected to see rapid growth, with a significant increase in the number of AI applications anticipated in 2024 [29][32]. - The demand for private deployment and data integration solutions is rising, particularly in sectors with stringent data security requirements [29][36]. Key Players and Technologies - Major players in the AI Infra market include Alibaba Cloud, Huawei Cloud, and various startups focusing on Machine as a Service (MaaS) [12][13]. - Technologies such as virtualization and containerization are central to the computing management layer, enhancing resource utilization and efficiency [12][22]. Investment Opportunities - The report identifies several investment targets across different categories, including AIGC applications, digital economy leaders, and data infrastructure [52][53]. - Companies like Snowflake and MongoDB are highlighted as international benchmarks for data layer software, with strong revenue growth trends [36][38]. Future Outlook - AI infrastructure providers are expected to maintain high growth potential due to their critical role in supporting AI applications and the increasing integration of AI into traditional industries [51].

Core Investment Logic - The demand explosion for AI computing power is a certain trend, with global AI computing entering a new phase characterized by super-scale clusters, high energy consumption, and high investment. Major companies like Nvidia and OpenAI are investing heavily, with Nvidia and OpenAI committing $100 billion to build a 10 GW AI data center, while domestic companies like Alibaba and Tencent are also making significant investments [1] - The historical opportunity for domestic substitution is accelerating due to escalating U.S. export controls. By 2024, China's chip market is expected to exceed 2.7 million units, with domestic AI chip shipments surpassing 820,000 units, accounting for over 30% of the market [1] - Strong policy support is acting as a catalyst, with national initiatives promoting AI integration across key sectors and local governments providing financial incentives to support enterprise development [1] Leading Companies and Emerging Players - Cambricon Technologies (688256) is a leading domestic AI chip company, reporting a significant revenue increase of 4230% year-on-year in Q1, with a net profit turning positive for the first time. The company has also received approval for a stock issuance to raise up to 3.985 billion yuan [1] - Haiguang Information (688041) is experiencing steady growth with a 45% year-on-year revenue increase in Q1. The planned acquisition of Zhongke Shuguang will create a complete ecosystem from chips to servers [1] - Huawei's Ascend ecosystem presents hidden investment opportunities, with its CloudMatrix384 super node outperforming Nvidia's H100 in certain scenarios, indicating significant advancements in domestic computing power [1] Key Technological Breakthroughs - Domestic GPUs are becoming competitive, with Huawei's CloudMatrix384 achieving a paradigm shift in architecture, outperforming Nvidia's H100 in model inference efficiency [1] - Significant revenue growth is expected for domestic integrated circuit companies, with Muxi Integrated Circuit projecting a 1354% increase in 2024 [1] - The development of software ecosystems by domestic companies is reducing user migration costs, with platforms like Huawei CANN and Cambricon BANG gaining traction [1] Investment Strategy - The current market adjustment has brought valuations back to reasonable levels, making it an opportune time for long-term investments. A phased accumulation strategy is recommended [1] - It is advised to allocate no more than 20% of total portfolio to domestic computing stocks, with 10% in leading stocks, 5% in growth stocks, and 5% in supporting companies [1] - Awareness of challenges such as technological iteration and ecosystem development is crucial, with strict stop-loss measures recommended [1] Future Outlook - The AI wave is expected to be significantly larger than the mobile internet era, with domestic computing chips poised for historic growth opportunities. Continuous technological breakthroughs and expanding application scenarios are likely to create numerous high-growth stocks [1]

Core Insights - The average stock price on the STAR Market is 39.44 yuan, with 66 stocks priced over 100 yuan, and the highest priced stock is Cambrian-U at 1331.00 yuan, which increased by 1.04% today [1][2] - Among the stocks priced over 100 yuan, 469 stocks rose while 114 stocks fell, with an average increase of 1.02% for the hundred-yuan stocks today [1][2] - The average premium of the hundred-yuan stocks relative to their issue price is 504.84%, with the highest premiums seen in companies like Shunwei New Materials and Cambrian-U [1] Stock Performance - Cambrian-U closed at 1331.00 yuan, followed by Yuanjie Technology at 538.91 yuan and GuoDun Quantum at 457.88 yuan [1] - The stocks with the highest increase today include JiaoCheng Ultrasonic, JingZhiDa, and Baiwei Storage, while the largest declines were seen in DeKeLi, Tengjing Technology, and Huasheng Lithium Battery [1][2] Fund Flow - The net outflow of main funds from hundred-yuan stocks today was 1.80 billion yuan, with the largest net inflows in companies like Canxin Technology and Baiwei Storage [2] - The total margin financing balance for hundred-yuan stocks is 927.39 billion yuan, with Cambrian-U, SMIC, and Haiguang Information having the highest financing balances [2] Industry Distribution - The hundred-yuan stocks are primarily concentrated in the electronics, pharmaceutical, and computer industries, with 34, 9, and 8 stocks respectively [1]

Core Insights - The forum highlighted the launch of eight mother fund businesses by CITIC Investment Holdings and CITIC Construction Investment, focusing on sectors such as artificial intelligence, semiconductors, high-end manufacturing, new energy, new materials, and next-generation information technology, with a total scale of approximately 20 billion yuan [1][2] Group 1 - The CITIC Equity Investment Alliance aims to enhance the ecological framework of private equity investment, emphasizing a robust, efficient, professional, and responsible investment ecosystem [1] - The alliance has over 320 billion yuan in managed funds and has incubated more than 1,100 enterprises, successfully supporting leading companies in various industries [2] - The forum discussed the importance of improving professional capabilities in investment cooperation, sector analysis, and post-investment services to enhance investment precision and ecological synergy [2] Group 2 - The "14th Five-Year Plan" suggests a series of measures to support technological innovation and capital market development, guiding the growth of private equity investment [2] - CITIC Bank has developed specialized financial products such as point card loans and achievement transformation loans, with a technology enterprise loan balance reaching 982.77 billion yuan by the end of September 2025 [2] - The alliance's strategy includes early, small, long-term, and hard technology investments, aligning with national strategies for enhancing the technology financial service system [2]