Summary of the Conference Call for Zhongcai Technology Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses Zhongcai Technology's performance in the high-end materials market, particularly focusing on OPE (Optical Performance Enhancer) and carbon hydrogen resin sectors [2][3]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **OPE Orders and Delivery**: Zhongcai Technology has a robust order book for OPE, with expected deliveries of 30-35 tons this month. The company anticipates a significant increase in carbon hydrogen resin deliveries from 40 tons in July to 50-60 tons in Q4, indicating strong growth momentum [2][3]. 2. **AI Development Impact**: The advancement of AI necessitates improvements in both computing power and algorithms. Domestic large models are lagging in speed and performance compared to international counterparts, primarily due to hardware patent restrictions. This has led to increased capital market interest in computing power enhancements [2][4]. 3. **International Market Development**: The high-speed digital business has transitioned from materials like Ma 6 and Ma 7 to Ma 8, which is now mature in international markets. The company plans to start transitioning to Ma 9 in Q3, with expectations of a significant ramp-up in Q4 and a full-scale explosion in 2026, positioning Zhongcai as a mainstream supplier [2][5]. 4. **Material Composition Changes**: The Ma 9 numerical system reduces OPE components while increasing the use of carbon hydrogen resin. This change aims to optimize medium loss from 8/10,000 in Ma 8 to between 5/10,000 and 6/10,000, catering to lower-tier market demands [2][6][7]. 5. **Carbon Gold Product Production**: The production of carbon gold products is expected to reach 40 tons in July, increasing to 50-60 tons in Q4. Demand from major clients has doubled, with the company capturing 70-80% of the domestic market share in special carbon fiber quality [2][8][9]. 6. **Capacity and Demand**: Zhongcai Technology does not face capacity bottlenecks, with a monthly production capacity of 80 tons and an annual capacity of 3,500 tons at the Meishan plant. The increase in orders in the second half of the year is attributed to rising market demand rather than taking market share from other suppliers [2][11][12]. 7. **Pricing Trends**: The price of Ma 9 resin is expected to be five times that of Ma 8, with Ma 8 carbon fiber priced around 500,000 yuan per ton and Ma 9 projected to be between 2-4 million yuan per ton. Variations in carbon fiber structures among manufacturers may limit the potential for changes post-stabilization [2][19][20]. 8. **Market Dynamics**: There are currently no explicit price reduction demands from clients, and high-end products like gold paper have not seen price declines. The market remains stable, with companies focusing on their supplier situations [2][14][16]. 9. **Future Production Plans**: The Meishan base's capacity release is scheduled for 2026, with the potential to support production volumes of several hundred tons after upgrades [2][15]. 10. **Competition and Market Share**: The OPE market share is difficult to predict, but if demand doubles by the end of 2026 and existing suppliers cannot meet it, Zhongcai Technology may increase its market share [2][17]. Additional Important Insights - **Technical Barriers**: The chemical industry faces significant technical barriers due to the experience required for production. Many companies are interested in entering the field, but achieving stable mass production and customer certification remains challenging [2][24]. - **Client Preferences**: Domestic downstream clients currently prefer using carbon hydrogen materials over PTFE materials, indicating a shift in material preferences [2][21]. - **Future Projections**: The expected shipment volume for special carbon crystals in 2026 is projected to reach at least 10 tons, with a total annual volume of around 180 tons, which is substantial given the high price range [2][26].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is optimistic (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The rapid development of AI servers and high-frequency communication networks is driving the demand for large-size, high-layer PCBs and high-frequency copper-clad laminates (CCLs), leading to an accelerated iteration of PCB and CCL products [5][17] - The special glass fiber cloth market is expected to grow rapidly, with domestic manufacturers accelerating their penetration into the market [6] - Traditional glass fiber cloth prices are continuously rising, indicating a recovery in profits [7] Summary by Sections Special Glass Fiber Cloth: AI Catalyzes Demand, Domestic Manufacturers Rise - The development of AI is accelerating the upgrade of PCBs, resulting in a supply-demand imbalance for special glass fiber cloth [14] - The market for Low-Dk and Low-CTE glass fiber cloth is currently dominated by Japanese and Taiwanese manufacturers, but domestic companies are increasing their production capacity [6][31] - The demand for special glass fiber cloth is expected to significantly increase during 2025 and 2026, with several domestic manufacturers planning to expand production [6][34] Traditional Glass Fiber Cloth: In a Price Increase Cycle, Profits Continue to Recover - The average price of traditional glass fiber cloth has risen by approximately 8% from the beginning of 2025, with further upward potential [7][35] - The profitability of special glass fiber cloth is higher than that of traditional glass fiber cloth, which is expected to drive profit margins for related manufacturers [35] Investment Recommendations - With the acceleration of chip iterations and the increasing penetration of 800G switches, the demand for PCB and CCL products is expected to grow, benefiting from the performance improvements of glass fiber cloth materials [45] - Key beneficiaries in the glass fiber cloth sector include Honghe Technology and China National Materials Technology, while beneficiaries in the quartz cloth sector include Feilihua [45][46]

Industry Overview - Since the beginning of 2024, the PCB industry has seen a recovery in overall market conditions due to easing inventory pressures and improved demand from downstream sectors such as consumer electronics and AI servers [2] - The growth in high-end segments like HDI, high-speed high-frequency, and packaging substrates has been particularly strong, driving demand for upstream high-performance electronic fabrics [2] Company Insights - Zhongcai Technology (002080.SZ) has reported that the first generation of low dielectric electronic fabrics is currently in short supply [4] - The company has long focused on the high-end electronic fabric sector and has successfully broken the international monopoly in this field [5]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [11] Core Viewpoints - The report discusses three potential paths for the construction materials industry to counteract "involution," aiming to alleviate deflation and stabilize employment. These paths include limiting capital expenditure, clearing existing production capacity, and constraining current output [6][7] - The report highlights the ongoing decline in cement prices and a decrease in glass inventory, indicating a weak demand environment [8] - Recommendations include focusing on special glass fiber and the African supply chain, with leading companies in existing markets being the main investment focus for the year [9] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report emphasizes the need for the construction materials industry to adapt to economic pressures through various strategies to manage supply and demand effectively [6][7] Market Performance - Cement prices have continued to decline, with the national average price dropping by 1.2% due to weak market demand and production issues [8][25] - The average cement price is reported at 353.39 yuan per ton, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 41.13% [25] Recommendations - Special glass fiber is highlighted as a key area for investment, particularly in companies like China National Materials Technology, which is positioned to benefit from domestic substitution trends [9] - The African supply chain is also recommended, with companies like Keda Manufacturing showing strong performance in niche markets [9] Demand Trends - The report notes a significant decline in real estate transaction volumes, with a 17% year-on-year decrease in new home sales across 30 major cities [8] - The construction materials sector is expected to see a shift towards existing inventory products, driven by improved demand in the second-hand housing market and urban renovation policies [9]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [3][50]. Core Insights - Breakthroughs in electrolyzer technology have been observed, and the hydrogen heavy-duty truck sector is gradually maturing. The newly awarded electrolyzer projects are still primarily alkaline, but both PEM and AEM electrolyzer technologies have made significant advancements. It is recommended to pay attention to companies at the forefront of electrolyzer technology [2][40]. - The midstream sector is accelerating the development of hydrogen transportation and utilization, promoting the construction of hydrogen refueling stations. Companies with hydrogen transportation capabilities are recommended for attention [2][40]. - Transportation applications are leading the gradual maturation of the hydrogen fuel cell industry ecosystem, with a recommendation to focus on hydrogen vehicle companies related to heavy-duty trucks [2][40]. Industry Performance - As of July 4, 2025, the hydrogen energy index closed at 2135.09 points, with a weekly change of 1.03% and a year-to-date change of 20.16%. The hydrogen energy index ranked 53rd among the Shenwan secondary industry rankings this week, showing a significant decline [8][14]. - The TTM price-to-earnings ratio of the hydrogen energy index is 24.66 times, and the MRQ price-to-book ratio is 1.60 times as of July 4, 2025 [11][13]. Company Dynamics - The top five companies in the hydrogen energy sector by weekly increase are Xuedilong (31.74%), Kaimeteqi (27.46%), Shengdexintai (22.40%), Zhongcai Technology (20.71%), and Huaguang Huaneng (20.06%). The top three companies by weekly decrease are Guangzhi Technology (-15.82%), Taihe Technology (-9.40%), and Xinxunda (-9.13%) [14][16]. - This week, there were 9 awarded projects in the hydrogen energy sector, with 3 electrolyzer bidding projects totaling 520 MW and a total hydrogen production capacity of 104,000 Nm³/h [17][18]. Industry Dynamics - Significant developments include the approval of the first cross-province green hydrogen pipeline in Inner Mongolia and the launch of hydrogen two-wheelers in Dongguan. These initiatives are part of broader efforts to promote hydrogen energy as a strategic industry [35][36]. - Internationally, Morocco's large-scale green hydrogen project is making progress, and Uzbekistan's Tashkent green hydrogen project has successfully achieved hydrogen production [36][37].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The "anti-involution" trend may drive the cement industry's supply and demand to bottom out earlier. The Central Financial Committee emphasized the need to regulate low-price competition and improve product quality, which may lead to a reduction in actual cement production capacity from over 2.1 billion tons in 2023 to 1.7 billion tons, potentially restoring capacity utilization rates to over 70% [5][18] - The demand for high-end electronic fabrics is underestimated due to the surge in computing power driven by AI. The need for advanced materials is increasing, with domestic companies achieving breakthroughs in Low-DK and Low-CTE electronic fabrics, indicating a significant growth opportunity in this sector [5] Summary by Sections 1. Sector Tracking - The construction materials index rose by 4.0%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which increased by 1.4% [9] - Key stocks with significant gains include Zaiseng Technology (+37.1%), Honghe Technology (+23.9%), and Zhongcai Technology (+20.7%) [9] 2. Data Tracking 2.1 Cement - The average price of 42.5 cement nationwide is 348.5 RMB/ton, down 4.5 RMB/ton month-on-month and down 40.8 RMB/ton year-on-year [18] - The cement inventory ratio is 65.7%, down 0.4 percentage points month-on-month and down 2.0 percentage points year-on-year [18] 2.2 Float Glass - The average price of 5mm float glass is 1274.3 RMB/ton, down 4.6 RMB/ton month-on-month and down 438.8 RMB/ton year-on-year [39] - The total inventory of key production enterprises in 13 provinces is 59 million heavy boxes, down 2.5% month-on-month and up 7.7% year-on-year [39] 2.3 Photovoltaic Glass - The average price of 2.0mm coated photovoltaic glass is 10.7 RMB/sqm, down 0.6 RMB/sqm month-on-month and down 4.6 RMB/sqm year-on-year [44] - The number of production lines for photovoltaic glass is 435, with a total daily melting capacity of 94,390 tons, down 4.0% month-on-month and down 17.0% year-on-year [44] 2.4 Glass Fiber - The average price of alkali-free glass fiber yarn is 4680.0 RMB/ton, unchanged month-on-month and up 15.0 RMB/ton year-on-year [52] - The average price of electronic yarn is 9100.0 RMB/ton, unchanged month-on-month and down 50.0 RMB/ton year-on-year [52] 2.5 Carbon Fiber - The average price of large tow carbon fiber is 72.5 RMB/kg, unchanged month-on-month and down 5.0 RMB/kg year-on-year [56] - The average operating rate of carbon fiber enterprises is 59.94%, down 0.19 percentage points month-on-month and up 13.54 percentage points year-on-year [56] 3. Investment Analysis - The investment strategy suggests that 2025 will be a turning point for listed companies, while 2026 will be a turning point for the industry. The report recommends focusing on companies in the high-growth sectors and those benefiting from the Belt and Road Initiative [5]

Group 1: Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the building materials industry is expected to return to historical high demand levels due to the emergence of stock demand, with a significant shift towards consumption characteristics of building materials [4][7][22] - The residential renovation demand currently accounts for nearly 50% and is projected to reach around 70% by 2030, indicating a qualitative change in consumption demand for building materials [7][22][23] - The report highlights the potential of African markets for capacity expansion, identifying undervalued local leaders such as Keda Manufacturing, Huaxin Cement, and Western Cement [4][9][10] Group 2: Stock Chain Insights - The stock category is seen as a cyclical demand segment that can emerge positively, with a significant supply exit in consumer building materials due to the deep adjustment in the real estate sector [7][47] - The report predicts that by 2024, production levels for various building materials will be at approximately 90% for plastic pipes, 82% for gypsum board, and 62% for waterproofing materials compared to their peak levels [7][47][50] - The report suggests that the supply exit in consumer building materials is thorough, driven by the expansion of leading enterprises' advantages and changes in demand structure [7][47][50] Group 3: African Chain Insights - Africa is identified as a fertile ground for the export of building materials, driven by population growth and urbanization, with local leaders like Keda Manufacturing benefiting from market share advantages [9][10] - Keda Manufacturing holds a 20% market share in the ceramic tile market in Central Africa, with a net profit margin recovering to over 20% in Q1 2025 [9][10] Group 4: Domestic Substitution Chain Insights - The report highlights the opportunities for domestic substitution in building materials, particularly in specialty fiberglass and industrial coatings, driven by the transformation goals of becoming a manufacturing powerhouse [10][10] - Key players in specialty fiberglass, such as China National Building Material, are expected to benefit from the growing demand for AI computing power [10][10]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The scarcity of orbital spectrum drives competition, and the construction of domestic low - orbit constellations has entered an accelerated phase. With limited low - orbit space and spectrum resources and strict deployment time requirements from the ITU, competition for resource locking is intensifying. China is expected to see an accelerated launch of low - orbit satellites from 2025 - 2030. Representative constellations include "Guowang", "Qianfan", and "Honghu - 3". Shanghai Harbor, with its satellite energy system products, is expected to benefit from the accelerated development of low - orbit satellites [5]. - Leading waterproofing companies such as Yuhong, Beixin, and Keshu have raised prices on both civil construction and engineering products. In the context of the industry's "anti - involution", the collective price increase by leading enterprises may promote price recovery, but the degree of price repair remains to be seen due to weak demand [5]. - Investment suggestions include paying attention to companies like Honglu Steel Structure, China Jushi, Punan Co., Ltd., Hainan Huatie, Beixin Building Materials, China National Chemical Engineering, China State Construction, Shanghai Harbor, Sinoma Science & Technology, and Keda Manufacturing [5]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Week - Specific Topic: Orbital Spectrum Scarcity Drives Competition, and Domestic Low - Orbit Constellation Construction Enters an Accelerated Phase - **Satellite Orbit Types**: Communication satellite orbits are mainly divided into GEO, MEO, and LEO. LEO can reduce power attenuation and communication delay, simplify terminal design, and is suitable for multi - satellite networking. Compared with GEO, LEO/MEO has smaller delay, and satellites are smaller and lighter, facilitating multi - satellite launches and reducing constellation construction costs and cycles [5][7]. - **Resource Scarcity and Competition**: Low - orbit space and frequency spectrum resources are scarce. The total capacity of low - orbit satellites is about 60,000, and Starlink plans to send 42,000 satellites into low - orbit by 2027, accounting for about 70%. The L, S, C frequency bands are almost exhausted, and the Ku, Ka bands are difficult to coordinate. According to ITU rules, operators need to complete satellite deployment within a specified time to lock resources, intensifying competition [5][11]. - **Policy Support**: Since 2014, China has successively introduced policies to encourage private capital to participate in commercial space activities. In 2023, commercial space was included in strategic emerging industries, and it has been mentioned in the government work reports of 2024 and 2025, indicating strong policy support [16]. - **Global and Domestic Constellation Construction Status**: Globally, SpaceX leads in low - orbit constellation construction, with other countries' enterprises following. In China, constellations like "Guowang", "Qianfan", and "Honghu - 3" have formulated phased launch plans. Although the number of launches in 2024 did not meet expectations, the launch rhythm is expected to accelerate from the second half of 2025 [5][17][23]. 3.2 Profit Forecast and Valuation of Main Covered Companies The report provides profit forecasts, valuations, and investment ratings for multiple companies, including Hainan Huatie, Punan Co., Ltd., China Jushi, etc. EPS, P/E, P/B, and other indicators for 2024 - 2027 are presented, and most investment ratings are maintained [33]. 3.3 Weekly Market Review - **Industry Index Performance**: In the week from June 28th to July 4th, 2025, the building and building materials industries showed certain fluctuations. Among building sub - sectors, the garden engineering index had the highest increase at 2.20%, while among various industries, the steel index had a relatively large decline [38][40]. - **Infrastructure Public REITs Performance**: The report lists the closing prices, 52 - week highs and lows, weekly, monthly, year - to - date, 250 - day, and IPO - since price changes of multiple infrastructure public REITs. The average weekly increase was 1.07%, the average monthly increase was 1.31%, and the average year - to - date increase was 20.99% [46][47]. 3.4 Aggregate Data Tracking - **Real Estate Data**: The report presents data on real estate new construction, construction, completion, sales area cumulative year - on - year growth, land transaction area, and real estate transaction data from 2022 - 2025 [49][58][68]. - **Social Financing Data**: Data on monthly new social financing, new RMB loans, new corporate bond financing, etc., from 2022 - 2025 are provided [78]. - **Infrastructure Investment Data**: The cumulative year - on - year growth rates of narrow - sense and broad - sense infrastructure investment, as well as investment in power, transportation, and water conservancy industries from 2022 - 2025, are shown. The new contract signing data of eight major construction central enterprises from 2022Q1 - 2025Q1 are also presented [88][94]. - **Special Bond Issuance Data**: Data on monthly and cumulative new and replacement special bond issuance from 2022 - 2025 are provided [96]. 3.5 High - Frequency Data Tracking - **Cement Data**: Information on national PO42.5 cement average price, East China regional cement price, cement - coal price difference index, cement capacity utilization rate, and cement production monthly year - on - year growth rate is presented [107][114]. - **Float Glass Data**: Data on glass spot price, futures price, inventory, and daily melting volume are provided [115][117][119][122]. - **Photovoltaic Glass Data**: Information on soda ash price, 2mm photovoltaic glass price, inventory, and daily melting volume is presented [122][123][125]. - **Glass Fiber Data**: Prices of SMC roving, winding direct roving, injection roving, G75 electronic yarn, and glass fiber inventory are shown [128][129][132][134][138]. - **Carbon Fiber Data**: Data on carbon fiber average price, raw silk price, inventory, production, capacity utilization rate, gross profit margin, cost, and gross profit are provided [135][139][142][146][148][151][152]. - **Magnesia and Alumina Price Data**: Prices of large - crystal fused magnesia and alumina are presented [153][156]. - **Upstream Raw Material Price Data**: Prices of asphalt, waste paper, PVC, and HDPE are shown [159][160][162][163]. - **Physical Workload Data**: Prices of titanium dioxide and acrylic acid, high - machine rental rate, excavator working hours, and asphalt average capacity utilization rate are presented [167][168][170][173].

Investment Rating - Industry rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Viewpoints - The cement industry is expected to benefit from the improvement in infrastructure and real estate demand, with a long-term view of continuous optimization in supply structure. Recommended companies include Shengfeng Cement, Tapai Group, Huaxin Cement, Western Cement, and Tibet Tianlu [20][21] - The report highlights a significant drop in the sales area of commercial housing in 30 major cities, with a year-on-year decrease of 18.92% [2][15] - The cement price has recently hit a low, with the average price in East China down by 17 CNY/ton year-on-year, indicating potential for price rebound due to the implementation of price coordination mechanisms [3][14] Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index rose by 1.54%, while the construction materials sector (CITIC) increased by 3.63%. Notable stock performances include Yamaton (+34.9%), Zhongcai Technology (+20.7%), and Kaisheng New Energy (+19.6%) [12][14] Recent Tracking of Key Sub-sectors - Cement: The national cement market price fell by 1.3% week-on-week, with average shipment rates around 42% due to weak demand [17] - Glass: The photovoltaic glass market saw a general decline in new orders, with prices for 2.0mm coated panels down by 2.27% [18] - Fiberglass: The market for non-alkali yarn remains stable, with prices holding steady at around 3669 CNY/ton [19] Long-term Value of Traditional Building Materials - The report emphasizes that traditional building materials are nearing a cyclical bottom, while new materials like carbon fiber are expected to see sustained growth due to high downstream demand and domestic substitution opportunities [20][21]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share PCB concept continues to rise, with several companies showing significant stock performance, indicating a positive trend in the industry [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Jin'an Guoji has achieved a three-day consecutive increase in stock price [1] - Honghe Technology has seen its stock rise three times in five days [1] - Defu Technology and Tongguan Copper Foil have both increased by over 10% [1] - Pengding Holdings, Lianrui New Materials, Zhongying Technology, and International Composite Materials are among the top gainers in the market [1]