Core Viewpoint - The agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry in the Shenzhen Stock Exchange shows a robust development trend, with significant profit growth expected for major companies in the sector in the first half of 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance - A total of 35 companies in the agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector have disclosed their performance forecasts, expecting a combined net profit of between 15.4 billion to 16.8 billion yuan [1]. - The leading companies, including Muyuan Foods, New Hope Liuhe, and Fujian Shengnong Development, are key contributors to the industry's growth [1]. Group 2: Company Highlights - Muyuan Foods is projected to achieve a net profit of 10.2 billion to 10.7 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 1129.97% to 1190.26% [2]. - New Hope Liuhe expects a net profit of 680 million to 780 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 155.85% to 164.07% [2]. - Fujian Shengnong Development anticipates a net profit of 850 million to 950 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 732.89% to 830.88% [2]. Group 3: Growth Drivers - Muyuan Foods attributes its profit increase to a rise in pig sales and a decrease in breeding costs, with the cost per kilogram dropping from 13.1 yuan to below 12.1 yuan [2]. - New Hope Liuhe's recovery is linked to successful biosecurity upgrades and improved production management, leading to reduced breeding costs despite lower average pig prices [3]. - Shengnong Development's growth is driven by a multi-channel strategy, cost advantages, and significant investment income from acquisitions [3][4]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts are optimistic about the livestock industry's recovery, citing improved profitability and cost control among leading companies [5]. - The outlook for the domestic beef cycle is expected to turn positive in 2025, with a slight increase in pig output and stable prices anticipated [6]. - Companies are focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvements to align with industry trends and support sustained growth [6].

Group 1 - The third China International Supply Chain Promotion Expo opened in Beijing, where Yum China showcased its "Yum and Harmony Development Plan" aimed at enhancing supply chain collaboration and quality sourcing [1] - Since its first restaurant opened in 1987, Yum China has expanded to over 16,000 restaurants across more than 2,300 towns in China, operating brands such as KFC, Pizza Hut, Little Sheep, Huang Ji Huang, and Taco Bell [1] - Yum China's Vice President of Supply Chain Management emphasized the importance of a robust supply chain ecosystem in delivering quality and innovative food experiences to consumers [1] Group 2 - Fujian Shengnong Development Co., Ltd. highlighted its collaboration with Yum China to enhance the poultry supply chain through standardization, technology sharing, and data interconnectivity [2] - Charoen Pokphand Group's Vice Chairman noted that product innovation demands from the restaurant sector drive continuous upgrades in supply chain capabilities [2] - Xuechuan Agricultural Group reported improvements in quality through collaboration with Yum China, contributing to local farmers' income while promoting sustainable practices [2] Group 3 - Yum China signed a procurement cooperation agreement with Guolian Aquatic Products to develop innovative products that will enhance the application of local aquatic specialties, benefiting local fish farmers [3]

Core Viewpoint - The domestic white feather chicken market is experiencing a significant downturn in prices due to an oversupply situation, leading to a clear performance divergence among companies in the industry [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The average market price for white feather chicken in the first half of the year is estimated at 3.52 yuan per pound, a decrease of 6.96% compared to the same period last year [1]. - The estimated output of white feather chickens in the first half of the year is 4.412 billion birds, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.7%, while demand remains weak [1]. - Companies like Shandong Minhe Livestock and Poultry Co., Ltd. and Shandong Yisheng Livestock and Poultry Co., Ltd. are expected to report increased losses and significant declines in net profits due to low chicken and chick prices [1]. Group 2: Company Strategies - Fujian Shengnong Development Co., Ltd. is countering cyclical impacts by extending its industrial chain and focusing on high-value retail channels, which has supported revenue growth [2]. - Shandong Xiantan Co., Ltd. has achieved significant profit growth by optimizing production processes and reducing costs, with an expected net profit of 130 million to 143 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 325.91% to 364.93% [2]. - Companies are encouraged to explore non-cyclical revenue sources and deepen cooperation with food processing firms to stabilize income [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts predict that while the output of white feather chickens will continue to increase in the second half of the year, the growth rate will slow down, and there may be seasonal demand recovery leading to a potential price rebound [2]. - The performance divergence among companies is likely to persist unless supply-side adjustments and demand recovery, particularly in the restaurant and catering sectors, occur [3]. - Companies are advised to innovate product offerings and consider mergers and acquisitions to enhance competitiveness in the evolving market landscape [3].

Investment Ratings - The report provides investment ratings for several companies in the agriculture sector, with "Buy-A" for Haida Group (002311.SZ), "Buy-B" for Shennong Development (002299.SZ) and Wens Foodstuff Group (300498.SZ), and "Hold-A" for Guai Bao Pet (301498.SZ) and Zhongchong Co., Ltd. (002891.SZ) [2] Core Insights - The agriculture sector has shown resilience, with the agricultural index outperforming the broader market, indicating potential investment opportunities [3][4] - The report highlights the cyclical nature of the pig farming industry, emphasizing that the current downturn may not necessarily lead to prolonged losses due to potential recovery in raw material costs and macro demand in 2025 [5][6] - Haida Group is identified as a key investment opportunity due to its strong fundamentals and potential growth in overseas feed business [4][5] Industry Performance - The agriculture sector's performance for the week of July 7-13 shows a 1.09% increase, with top-performing sub-industries including fruit and vegetable processing, meat chicken farming, and feed production [3][22] - The average price of live pigs in key provinces has decreased, with prices in Sichuan, Guangdong, and Henan at 14.35, 16.39, and 14.78 CNY/kg respectively, reflecting a decline of 3.37%, 6.56%, and 2.31% week-on-week [4][31] - The average pork price has slightly increased to 20.60 CNY/kg, while the average wholesale price of piglets has decreased to 26.00 CNY/kg, indicating mixed trends in the market [4][31] Company-Specific Analysis - Haida Group is expected to benefit from a recovery in the feed industry as raw material prices stabilize and the breeding sector improves [4][5] - Wens Foodstuff Group, Shennong Group, and Juxing Agriculture are recommended for their potential to outperform market expectations as the pig farming industry enters a profitability cycle [5] - Guai Bao Pet and Zhongchong Co., Ltd. are highlighted for their strong brand positioning and growth potential in the pet food market, particularly in 2025 [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Shengnong Development, is expected to achieve a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by cost reduction, market expansion, and non-recurring gains from the consolidation of Sun Valley [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - Shengnong Development forecasts a net profit attributable to shareholders of 850 million to 950 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 732.89% to 830.88% compared to 102 million yuan in the same period last year [2]. - The company's net profit excluding non-recurring items is projected to be between 330 million and 420 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 256% to 353.35% from 92.64 million yuan [2]. Market Strategy - The company is implementing a full-channel strategy to expand market share, with a focus on retail channels, which have shown rapid growth, alongside steady performance in export and catering sectors [2][3]. - Shengnong Development aims to increase its breeding capacity to 1 billion birds by 2025, up from 500 million in 2020, as part of its "14th Five-Year Plan" [4]. Operational Efficiency - The company has achieved significant reductions in comprehensive meat production costs compared to the previous year, which helps mitigate market price pressures and solidifies profit foundations [3]. - The successful development of the new self-researched chicken breed "Shengze 901 Plus" has contributed to improved production performance and disease resistance, enhancing the company's competitive edge in the breeding sector [4][5]. Research and Development - Shengnong Development has increased its investment in research and development across the entire industry chain, with total R&D expenses amounting to 484 million yuan over the past five years [5]. - The company is focusing on technological upgrades and innovations in breeding, slaughtering, and processing to improve efficiency and product quality [5].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained as "Increase" [4] Core Views - In the second quarter of 2025, the average price of live pigs is expected to be 14.5 CNY/kg, a decrease of 4.6% from the previous quarter and 11.4% year-on-year. However, due to the decline in raw material prices and improved breeding performance, listed companies are optimizing costs [15][16] - The poultry sector is facing challenges, with yellow feathered chicken prices remaining low at an average of 11.3 CNY/kg, down 2.4% quarter-on-quarter and 15.5% year-on-year. The profitability of leading companies like Wen's Group may be under pressure due to these price declines [15][16] - The feed sector is benefiting from stable pig prices and rising aquatic product prices, with Haida Group expected to achieve a feed sales volume of approximately 13.65 million tons in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 26% [15][16] Summary by Sections Livestock Farming - The national price of lean meat pigs is 14.54 CNY/kg, down 2% from last week. The current valuation remains relatively low, with a focus on leading companies and low-cost high-growth targets such as Muyuan Foods and Wen's Group [2][16] - The average price of white feathered chickens is 6.24 CNY/kg, down 7.6% from last week, while chicken product prices average 8.38 CNY/kg, down 0.9% [16][30] - The price of parent stock chicken chicks is 47.2 CNY/set, up 1% week-on-week, while the price of meat chicken chicks is 0.99 CNY each, down 27.2% [26][28] Feed Sector - Haida Group is expected to achieve a net profit of 1.218-1.518 billion CNY in the second quarter, with a year-on-year change of -3.64% to +20.1% [15][16] - The pet feed industry continues to maintain high growth, with expectations for Zhongchong Group to achieve a net profit of approximately 120 million CNY in the second quarter, a year-on-year increase of about 40% [15][16] Agricultural Products - The approval of genetically modified varieties is expected to lead to commercial sales, with potential growth for industry companies as actual transaction prices and profit distribution are confirmed [16] - The fluctuation of agricultural product prices is increasing, and leading feed companies are expected to replace smaller companies due to their advantages in procurement, scale, and capital [16]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the agricultural sector, particularly emphasizing the pig farming industry as a key area for investment opportunities [2][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing "anti-involution" trend in the pig farming industry, suggesting that this will lead to improved profitability and stability for leading pig farming companies. It recommends focusing on high-quality pig farming enterprises with excellent cost management [3][4]. - The report notes a 1.1% increase in the Shenwan Agricultural, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Index, outperforming the 0.8% rise in the CSI 300 Index during the week [3][4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the mid-year performance of the pet food industry, which is expected to show growth despite potential impacts from U.S.-China trade tensions [3][4]. Summary by Sections Pig Farming - The average weight of pigs sold by listed companies decreased in June, with a national average of 128.6 kg, down 0.9 kg from May. The report indicates that the industry is responding positively to policies aimed at stabilizing production and reducing inventory [3][4]. - The average price of live pigs as of July 13 was 14.69 yuan/kg, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 1.7% [3][4]. Poultry Farming - The report notes a seasonal decline in chick prices, with the average price of white feather broiler chicks at 0.81 yuan/chick, down 29.0% week-on-week. The average price of broiler chickens was 3.05 yuan/kg, down 9.5% [3][4]. - It anticipates a rebound in chick prices as the market adjusts to avoid overproduction during the hottest months [3][4]. Pet Food Industry - The pet food sector saw online sales reach 12.26 billion yuan from January to May 2025, a year-on-year increase of 17%. Despite challenges from trade tensions, the long-term growth potential of domestic brands remains strong [3][4]. Animal Health - The report indicates a 15.8% year-on-year increase in vaccine approvals, with 9,128 batches approved from January to May 2025. This reflects a recovery in demand for animal health products as profitability in livestock farming stabilizes [3][4]. Stock Performance - The report lists the top-performing stocks in the agricultural sector, with Guotou Zhonglu leading at a 61.1% increase, followed by Zhenghong Technology at 15.1% and Jinhai Biological at 11.1% [3][4]. Conversely, the worst performers included Guobao Pet at -15.9% and Zhongchong Co. at -7.4% [3][4].

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [12] Core Views - The report emphasizes the importance of the pig sector, noting a slowdown in the growth rate of breeding sows in June, and highlights the expectation gap in the pig market [1][2] - The pet sector is witnessing a rise in domestic brands and a positive trend in pet food exports, indicating a robust growth potential [3][4] - The poultry sector is focusing on the breeding gap for white chickens and the marginal improvement in demand for yellow chickens, with investment recommendations based on supply and demand dynamics [5][6][7] - The planting sector is prioritizing food security and the strategic importance of biological breeding, with recommendations for key seed and agricultural companies [9][10] - The feed sector is recommended for companies with increasing market share and consistent performance, while the animal health sector is advised to focus on new demands and innovative products [24][25] Summary by Sections Pig Sector - As of July 12, the average price of pigs in China is 14.91 CNY/kg, down 2.42% from the previous week, with self-breeding profits around 177 CNY per head [1][16] - The report highlights the low valuation and expectation gap in the pig sector, recommending leading companies such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs [2][16] Pet Sector - In June 2025, pet sales on Douyin reached 964 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 73.97%, indicating strong growth for domestic brands [3][17] - Pet food exports from China increased by 10.89% year-on-year in the first five months of 2025, reaching 41.75 billion CNY [4][17] Poultry Sector - The report notes a 33.46% year-on-year decline in the breeding stock of grandparent chickens due to import restrictions, with a total of 529,300 sets updated in the first half of 2025 [5][19] - Investment recommendations include focusing on companies like Shengnong Development and Yisheng Livestock [6][20] Planting Sector - The report stresses the need for high yield production to ensure food security, with a focus on integrating advanced agricultural technologies [9][23] - Key recommendations include leading seed companies such as Longping High-Tech and Dabeinong [10][23] Feed and Animal Health Sectors - The feed sector is highlighted for companies like Haida Group, which is expected to benefit from market share growth and performance consistency [24][26] - The animal health sector is advised to focus on new product development and market expansion, particularly in the pet health segment [25][26]

Group 1 - The company achieved a sales revenue of 1.639 billion yuan in June 2025, representing an 8.61% increase year-on-year and a 6.44% increase month-on-month [2] - In the poultry breeding and processing segment, chicken sales revenue was 1.164 billion yuan, a 4.28% increase year-on-year and a 1.06% increase month-on-month [2] - The deep processing meat products segment saw sales revenue of 821 million yuan, a significant 29.77% increase year-on-year and a 17.27% increase month-on-month [2] Group 2 - For the first half of 2025, the company experienced steady growth across all segments, with an increasing proportion of deep processing products [3] - The company’s all-channel strategy has been effective, with retail C-end and export channels maintaining rapid growth, leading to an optimized sales structure [3] - The cost advantages have been further solidified, with the new self-developed breeding chicken "Shengze 901Plus" fully replaced, contributing to a decrease in comprehensive meat production costs compared to the same period in 2024 [3]

证券代码：002299 证券简称：圣农发展 公告编号：2025-037 福建圣农发展股份有限公司 2、上述财务数据均未经审计，可能与公司定期报告披露的数据存在一定差 异，仅作为阶段性财务数据供投资者参考，敬请广大投资者注意投资风险。 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容真实、准确和完整，不存在虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏。 一、2025 年 6 月份销售情况 福建圣农发展股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）2025 年 6 月实现销售收入 16.39 亿元，较去年同期增长 8.61%，较上月环比增长 6.44%。其中，家禽饲养加 工板块鸡肉销售收入为 11.64 亿元，较去年同期增长 4.28%，较上月环比增长 1.06%；深加工肉制品板块销售收入为 8.21 亿元，较去年同期增长 29.77%，较 上月环比增长 17.27%。 销量方面，6 月份家禽饲养加工板块鸡肉销售数量为 12.32 万吨，较去年同 期增长 3.17%，较上月环比增长 3.36%；深加工肉制品板块产品销售数量为 4.17 万吨，较去年同期增长 42.76%，较上月环比增长 11.48%。 二、说明 2025 年 1-6 月，公司各板块销 ...