Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The food and beverage industry experienced a decline of 2.53% from September 14 to September 19, 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.09 percentage points [5][10] - The overall valuation of the food and beverage industry is at a relatively low level, with a PE ratio of 22X, ranking 22nd among Shenwan's primary industries [5][15] - In August 2025, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 3.4% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in consumer demand [6][7] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The food and beverage industry underperformed the market, with a relative return of -5.3% over one month, -12.5% over three months, and -20.0% over twelve months [4] - The industry saw an absolute return of 1.3% over one month, 4.6% over three months, and 20.8% over twelve months [4] Valuation Analysis - As of September 19, 2025, the food and beverage industry's PE ratio is 22X, with sub-industries like other alcoholic beverages at 57X, health products at 44X, and snacks at 35X, while white liquor is at 19X, pre-processed foods at 21X, and beer at 24X [5][15] Consumer Demand - The retail sales of beverages increased by 2.8% year-on-year in August, while tobacco and alcohol sales decreased by 2.3% [6] - The Ministry of Commerce and other departments have introduced measures to expand service consumption, which may positively impact the food and beverage sector [7] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with stable demand and strong risk resistance, as well as those actively innovating in new products, channels, and consumption scenarios [8][43] - Key companies to watch include New Dairy, Shanxi Fenjiu, Guizhou Moutai, Andeli, Yanjinpuzi, and Qingdao Beer [8][43]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" investment rating to the company with a target price of 86.09 CNY over the next six months, corresponding to a valuation of 28.62x for the year 2025 [4][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.941 billion CNY for the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 19.58%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 373 million CNY, up 16.70% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items reached 334 million CNY, reflecting a growth of 22.50% [1]. - The strong growth in konjac products and effective cost management have driven significant profit increases. The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 30.97%, slightly down by 1.98 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin improved by 0.93 percentage points to 13.86% [3]. Revenue Breakdown - In terms of product categories, the revenue for the first half of 2025 was as follows: spicy snacks (1.32 billion CNY, +47.1%), baked potato products (460 million CNY, -18.4%), dried fruits and jellies (430 million CNY, +9.0%), deep-sea snacks (360 million CNY, +11.9%), egg snacks (310 million CNY, +29.6%), and other products (60 million CNY, +42.6%). The spicy snacks category, particularly the konjac products, showed the highest growth [2]. - Regionally, the revenue distribution was as follows: Central China (920 million CNY, +7.9%), East China (550 million CNY, +76.1%), Southwest and Northwest (430 million CNY, +32.5%), South China (280 million CNY, -17.2%), North China and Northeast (90 million CNY, +68.5%), overseas (10 million CNY, +67873.1%), and online e-commerce (570 million CNY, -1.0%) [2]. - By sales channels, the revenue from distributors was 2.30 billion CNY (+30.1%), direct sales in supermarkets was 60 million CNY (-42.0%), and e-commerce sales were 570 million CNY (-1.0%). The number of distributors increased to 3,713, while the number of large chain supermarket stores rose to 13 [2]. Profitability and Cost Management - The company has effectively managed costs, with a reduction in sales and management expense ratios by 3.70 percentage points and 1.12 percentage points year-on-year, respectively. The decrease in share-based payment expenses contributed to a significant reduction of 31.04 million CNY compared to the same period last year [3]. - The focus on core products has enhanced profitability, with a net profit growth forecast of 28.2%, 23.6%, and 19.2% for the years 2025 to 2027 [4].

Group 1 - The stock price of Yanjinpuzi fell by 2.01% on September 18, reaching 70.23 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 19.157 billion CNY [1] - The company has seen a year-to-date stock price increase of 14.01%, but a decline of 2.90% over the past 20 days and 11.39% over the past 60 days [1] - Yanjinpuzi's main business includes research, production, and sales of leisure food and deep processing of agricultural products, with revenue composition as follows: spicy snacks 44.91%, baked potato products 15.61%, dried fruits and jellies 14.56%, deep-sea snacks 12.33%, egg snacks 10.52%, and others 2.06% [1] Group 2 - As of June 30, the number of shareholders for Yanjinpuzi increased by 21.92% to 10,900, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 17.65% to 22,561 shares [2] - For the first half of 2025, Yanjinpuzi reported a revenue of 2.941 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 19.58%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 373 million CNY, up 16.70% year-on-year [2] Group 3 - Since its A-share listing, Yanjinpuzi has distributed a total of 1.318 billion CNY in dividends, with 923 million CNY distributed over the past three years [3] - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited as the third-largest shareholder, increasing its holdings by 1.0793 million shares, while several new shareholders entered the top ten list [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the retail sales growth rate in August 2025 has slowed down, primarily due to the diminishing effects of the "old-for-new" policy and a gradual recovery in consumer demand. However, with economic stimulus policies being implemented, the macroeconomic environment is expected to improve in the medium to long term, leading to an increase in household income and consumer willingness, which will benefit the food and beverage sector [4] - The liquor industry is approaching the peak demand season around the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day, showing signs of improvement in demand. The fundamentals of the liquor market are expected to stabilize and trend upwards as consumption scenarios recover. The current bottoming out presents long-term investment value [4] - The report recommends focusing on new channels, new products, and new markets to identify new consumption targets that align with industry development trends. Specific recommended stocks include Weilian Meishi, Yanjinpuzi, Ximai Food, Dongpeng Beverage, Youfu Food, Wancheng Group, and Bairun Co., Ltd. [4] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The food and beverage sector is experiencing a retail sales growth rate of 3.4% year-on-year in August 2025, with a month-on-month decline of 0.3 percentage points [5] - The growth rates for food, beverages, and tobacco and alcohol categories in August 2025 are 5.8%, 2.8%, and -2.3% respectively, indicating a month-on-month decline in the tobacco and alcohol category due to high base effects and lack of consumption scenarios [5][6] Subsector Observations - The liquor industry is currently in a bottom recovery phase, with sales under pressure but showing signs of improvement due to the upcoming festive season. The fundamentals are gradually stabilizing [7] - Ximai Food is accelerating its health business by launching new products in the health food segment, focusing on traditional Chinese medicine ingredients and weight loss products, which are expected to become significant growth drivers for the company [7]

Core Viewpoint - Salted Fish has shown a mixed performance in stock price and trading volume, with a year-to-date increase of 16.62% but a recent decline in the last five days [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of September 16, Salted Fish's stock price increased by 2.00% to 71.84 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.60 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 0.91%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 19.596 billion CNY [1] - Year-to-date, Salted Fish's stock has risen by 16.62%, but it has experienced a decline of 0.64% over the last five trading days and a drop of 10.33% over the last 60 days [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Salted Fish achieved a revenue of 2.941 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.58%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 373 million CNY, up 16.70% year-on-year [2] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Salted Fish increased by 21.92% to 10,900, while the average number of circulating shares per person decreased by 17.65% to 22,561 shares [2] - The company has distributed a total of 1.318 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 923 million CNY distributed over the last three years [3] - Notable changes in institutional holdings include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited becoming the third-largest shareholder with 9.0528 million shares, an increase of 1.0793 million shares, while several new funds entered the top ten shareholders [3]

Core Viewpoint - Tianfeng Securities report indicates that Yanjinpuzi's revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders for H1 2025 are projected to be 2.941 billion and 373 million yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 19.58% and 16.70% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For Q2 2025, the revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders are expected to be 1.403 billion and 195 million yuan, with year-on-year increases of 13.54% and 21.75% respectively, and a 32% increase in non-recurring net profit [1] - The company is adjusting its earnings forecast due to ongoing adjustments in direct sales and e-commerce channels [1] Group 2: Strategic Outlook - The company is expected to continue its high growth in performance, driven by its dual-driven growth model of "products + channels" and its long-term strategy of "multi-brand, multi-category, all-channel, full industry chain, and future globalization" [1] - The revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 6.3 billion, 7.5 billion, and 8.9 billion yuan respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [7]. Core Views - The company has shown robust revenue growth with a year-on-year increase of 19.58% in revenue and 16.70% in net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 [1]. - The company is expected to continue its high growth trajectory, driven by its dual growth model of "products + channels" and a long-term strategy focused on "multi-brand, multi-category, all-channel, full industry chain, and future globalization" [3]. - Adjustments have been made to profit forecasts due to ongoing adjustments in direct sales and e-commerce channels, with expected revenues of 63 billion, 75 billion, and 89 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting a growth rate of 19% for each year [3]. Revenue and Profit Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenues of 29.41 billion yuan and a net profit of 3.73 billion yuan, with significant contributions from products like konjac and eggs, which saw revenue increases of approximately 155% and 43% respectively [1][2]. - The company’s gross margin has faced some pressure, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 1.98% to 30.97% in Q2 2025, while the net profit margin improved by 0.79 percentage points to 13.79% [2]. Channel Performance - The company has experienced high growth in various regions, particularly in East China and overseas markets, with revenue increases exceeding 60% year-on-year in these areas [2]. - The number of distributors has increased by 533 to a total of 3,713, with average revenue per distributor rising by 11% to 620,000 yuan [2]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 63 billion, 75 billion, and 89 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 8.1 billion, 9.9 billion, and 11.9 billion yuan [3]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 2.96 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.75 [5].

Group 1 - The rising price of konjac is putting pressure on the profit margins of related snack products, with the average price stabilizing around 5 yuan per jin, nearly tripling compared to 2023 [1] - The supply-demand imbalance is a key factor behind the price surge, with a decrease in planting area and adverse weather conditions affecting supply, while demand from downstream snack products and other industries continues to grow [1][3] - Major snack companies are responding to high konjac prices by stockpiling and adjusting product strategies to mitigate the impact on their profit margins [1][3] Group 2 - The financial report of Wei Long shows a 2.6 percentage point decline in gross margin to 47.2% due to rising raw material costs, with the gross margin for vegetable products, including konjac, dropping by 6.02 percentage points to 46.56% [2] - Looking ahead, the konjac price is expected to remain high in the short term due to ongoing demand and limited supply expansion, while a gradual return to rational pricing is anticipated in the long term [3] - Salted Fish Company is leveraging its upstream layout and cost advantages through stockpiling and efficiency improvements to cope with high konjac prices, while also noting that the price direction will be determined by supply-demand dynamics [3] Group 3 - Cha Cha Food has entered the konjac snack market, with products launched in both domestic and international markets, and is monitoring raw material price trends to assess cost impacts [4]

Group 1: Industry Overview - Konjac, known as "human cat strips," is becoming a phenomenon in the snack food market, attracting significant attention from various companies [1][5] - The konjac food industry has experienced a compound annual growth rate of 20% over the past decade, with the market size expected to reach 26.9 billion yuan in 2024 [5] - Major snack companies are increasingly entering the konjac segment, including Salted Fish Pouch, Wei Long, and Qiaqia Food, among others [1][6][7] Group 2: Company Performance - Salted Fish Pouch reported a revenue of 29.41 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 19.58%, with konjac snacks contributing 7.91 billion yuan, up 155.10% [6][7] - Wei Long's revenue reached 34.83 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, growing 18.5%, with konjac products driving a 44.3% increase in the vegetable product segment [5][6] - Qiaqia Food's revenue declined by 5.05% to 27.52 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, despite launching new konjac products [8] Group 3: Market Competition - The competition among snack companies is intensifying, with the number of stores for the "Ming Ming Very Busy" group surpassing 20,000 nationwide [3][10] - Companies are focusing on expanding their presence in snack retail channels, with Salted Fish Pouch emphasizing a strategy shift towards channel dominance [11][12] - Three Squirrels is also exploring opportunities in the konjac segment while investing in community snack stores to enhance competition [8][12][13]

Core Viewpoint - The emergence of konjac as a phenomenon-level snack product is driving significant revenue growth for various snack companies, with notable contributions from brands like Salted Fish Pouch and Wei Long [1][4][5]. Group 1: Company Performance - Salted Fish Pouch's konjac snack brand "Da Mo Wang" generated revenue of 791 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 155.10%, accounting for 26.90% of total revenue [1][6]. - Wei Long's konjac products "Mo Yu Shuang" and "Xiao Mo Nu" significantly boosted its vegetable product segment revenue by 44.3% to 2.109 billion yuan, representing 60.5% of total revenue in the first half of 2025 [5][6]. - The overall revenue for Wei Long reached 3.483 billion yuan, with a net profit of 736 million yuan, both reflecting an 18.5% year-on-year growth [2][5]. Group 2: Market Trends - The konjac food industry has experienced a compound annual growth rate of 20% over the past decade, with a projected market size of 26.9 billion yuan by 2024 [4]. - More than 30 companies, including Qiaqia Food, Three Squirrels, and Liangpinpuzi, are entering the konjac snack market, indicating a competitive landscape [6][8]. Group 3: Channel Expansion - The snack industry is witnessing intense competition in the retail channel, with the Mingming Hen Mang Group surpassing 20,000 stores nationwide, prompting companies to focus on snack retail channels [10][12]. - Salted Fish Pouch has shifted its strategy to prioritize channel development, with over 70% of its revenue coming from distribution channels, including snack retail and community group buying [10][12]. - Qiaqia Food reported a significant increase in revenue from snack retail channels, growing from approximately 5 million yuan in January 2023 to around 45 million yuan in April 2024 [11][12].