招商证券认为，9月市场风格可能相对偏大盘，成长风格有望继续占优，建议重点关注受益于PPI触底、 美联储降息的领域，以及业绩增速较高且有望迎来拐点的领域，包括电子（半导体、消费电子）、计算 机（计算机设备、软件开发）、电力设备（电池、光伏设备、风电设备）、机械设备（自动化设备、工 程机械）、美容护理等细分行业。 编辑：罗浩 转自：中国证券报 新华财经北京9月1日电 8月A股行情向好，各类投资机构调研上市公司热情高涨。记者梳理发现，不少 上半年业绩优异的标的，成为机构调研中的"香饽饽"。 以德赛西威为例，公司2025年上半年实现归母净利润12.23亿元，同比增长逾45%，其8月以来累计接待 351家机构调研，在同期接待调研的上市公司中高居第二位。调研纪要显示，公司智能化产品全栈的能 力布局、政策对公司智能驾驶业务未来发展影响等问题被机构关注。 德赛西威表示，公司具备领先且灵活的硬件货架快速开发能力、深度软件设计与开发能力、软件算法的 顶层布局等，通过多个维度着力打造先进的智驾系统解决方案以及无人配送物流车解决方案。 包括德赛西威在内，三花智控、天孚通信、新易盛、九号公司-WD等2025年上半年归母净利润均较上年 ...

Core Viewpoint - The automotive industry is on the brink of a revolution driven by smart technology, with 2025 expected to be a pivotal year for the adoption of Level 3 (L3) automation, particularly in urban environments [1][2]. Group 1: Automotive Smart Technology - L3 automation is anticipated to significantly influence consumer purchasing decisions, becoming one of the top three considerations when buying a car [1]. - The penetration rate of L3 automation is projected to increase from 10% in 2025 to over 80% by 2027, indicating a rapid adoption phase [1]. - The future automotive landscape is expected to be categorized into three types of companies: B-end Robotaxi operators, C-end personalized brands, and high-end vehicle manufacturers [2]. Group 2: Market Trends and Developments - In August, the penetration rate of urban NOA (Navigation on Autopilot) reached 23.2%, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 0.9 percentage points [3]. - Companies like Li Auto and XPeng are leading in smart technology adoption, with XPeng's smart technology penetration exceeding 70% and Li Auto's at 59.4%, despite a slight decline [3]. - The introduction of next-generation driving architectures, such as VLA, is being implemented in new models, enhancing the capabilities of smart driving systems [3]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a focus on smart vehicles and related components, highlighting companies in both Hong Kong and A-share markets, such as XPeng Motors, Li Auto, BYD, and SAIC Motor [4]. - Investment opportunities are identified in AI chips, domain controllers, and electronic components, with specific companies recommended for each category [4].

Core Viewpoint - Desay SV's stock has shown significant growth in 2023, with a year-to-date increase of 20.65% and a notable rise in recent trading days, indicating strong market interest and performance in the automotive electronics sector [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Desay SV reported a revenue of 14.644 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 25.25%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.223 billion yuan, reflecting a 45.82% increase compared to the previous year [2]. - Cumulatively, Desay SV has distributed 2.237 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.438 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3]. Shareholder and Market Activity - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 20.92% to 59,000, while the average number of circulating shares per person decreased by 17.30% to 9,374 shares [2]. - On August 29, 2023, Desay SV's stock price reached 131.40 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 639 million yuan and a market capitalization of 72.92 billion yuan [1]. Business Overview - Desay SV, established on July 24, 1986, specializes in the research, design, production, and sales of automotive electronic products. Its main revenue sources are smart cockpits (64.59%), intelligent driving (28.32%), and connected services and others (7.09%) [1]. - The company operates within the software development sector, focusing on vertical application software, and is involved in various concept sectors including smart cockpits, Chery Automobile concepts, sensors, autonomous driving, and millimeter-wave radar [1].

Macroeconomic Insights - The average import tax rate in the U.S. increased by 6.6 percentage points compared to the end of 2024, which is lower than market expectations[5] - If the average import tax rate rises by 10% this year, it could push the PCE year-on-year growth rate to 3.1% and the core PCE to 3.4% under stable demand conditions[7] Consumer and Business Impact - As of June, U.S. businesses bore approximately 63% of the tariff costs, while consumers accounted for less than 40%[6] - The consumer price sensitivity may lead businesses to absorb a significant portion of tariff costs, affecting pricing strategies[6] Durable Goods and Construction Sector - Domestic demand for construction remains weak, with steel and glass prices declining, while cement prices have rebounded due to enhanced production management[9] - Retail sales of passenger vehicles increased, with a year-on-year growth of 8% in daily sales from August 11 to August 17[10] Insurance Sector Performance - The insurance industry reported a total premium income of CNY 420.85 billion from January to July 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.8%[14] - Life insurance premiums reached CNY 258.61 billion in July, marking a significant year-on-year increase of 33.5%[15] Steel Industry Outlook - China's crude steel production from January to July 2025 was 594 million tons, a decrease of 3.1% year-on-year, indicating a contraction in production capacity[25] - The steel industry is expected to stabilize in 2025 due to a combination of demand recovery and supply-side reductions[27]

Core Insights - The rapid development of "integrated cockpit and driving" in the Chinese market is driven by the fusion of independent smart cockpit and smart driving functions, creating a powerful "central brain" for managing all intelligent features of vehicles [1][2] - The evolution of automotive architecture is becoming the core of transformation in the automotive industry, with a shift from distributed systems to centralized systems [2][3] Industry Trends - The automotive architecture is transitioning from a distributed system with multiple independent "brains" to a centralized system, leading to the emergence of three main forms: integrated driving and parking, integrated cockpit and parking, and integrated cockpit and driving [2] - The trend towards centralized computing is exemplified by the adoption of a single universal SoC (System on Chip) as the core of central computing, with Qualcomm's Snapdragon Ride Flex SoC being a key player in this new phenomenon [2][3] Technological Advancements - The advantages of "computing power sharing" and cost reduction are prompting more automakers to consider the "integrated cockpit and driving" solution, as the computing power of cockpit SoCs and driving SoCs continues to increase [3][4] - NIO's central computing platform, ADAM, can share up to 256 TOPS of computing power between driving and cockpit functions, enhancing operational efficiency [3] Challenges - The challenge of "system multi-domain parallelism" remains a significant hurdle for the "integrated cockpit and driving" approach, as the differing focuses of smart cockpit and smart driving systems complicate their integration [4][5] - The increasing number of display interfaces and the need for advanced human-machine interaction (HMI) further elevate the computing power requirements for AI technologies in vehicles [5][6] Future Outlook - Many players in the automotive industry are actively launching products related to "integrated cockpit and driving," with over ten Chinese automakers and ecosystem partners planning to adopt the new Snapdragon automotive platform [6][7] - While "integrated cockpit and driving" is currently a leading solution, it may not be the ultimate answer for future smart driving technologies, indicating a need for ongoing evaluation as advancements occur [7]

Group 1: Investment Banking and Brokerage Industry - As of August 25, 2025, the Wind All A index has increased by 16% and the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 index has risen by 28% since Q3 2025, indicating significant market activity[5] - The self-operated equity business is a key source of performance elasticity for brokerages, with a focus on self-operated business complemented by investment banking and private equity investments[6] - From 2015 to 2024, the scale of fixed income self-operated assets increased from CNY 908.1 billion to CNY 4.5 trillion, while equity self-operated assets decreased from CNY 449.7 billion to CNY 399.2 billion, indicating a shift in focus[6] Group 2: Solid-State Battery Investment Opportunities - Solid-state batteries are expected to become a key development direction due to their advantages in safety and energy density, with significant market potential in consumer batteries and electric vehicles[8] - The core materials for solid-state electrolytes include oxides, polymers, halides, and sulfides, with sulfides being a promising choice for future all-solid-state batteries[9] - The industrialization of semi-solid-state batteries has progressed rapidly, with several automakers achieving mass production since 2022, while all-solid-state batteries are expected to achieve mass production around 2027[10] Group 3: Solar Energy Industry - The solar energy sector is currently at a bottoming phase, with a recent meeting involving six departments aimed at regulating competition and promoting fair practices in the industry[17] - The average price of various solar components, including N-type silicon wafers and TOPCon batteries, has remained stable, indicating a steady market environment[18] - The solar sector's valuation as of August 22, 2025, is at 20.93 times TTM, which is relatively low compared to other sectors, suggesting potential investment opportunities[20]

Core Viewpoint - Desay SV's stock price has shown significant growth in 2023, with a year-to-date increase of 18.54% and a notable rise of 27.08% over the past 20 trading days, indicating strong market performance and investor interest [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Desay SV reported a revenue of 14.644 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 25.25% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 1.223 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 45.82% [2]. Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Desay SV reached 59,000, an increase of 20.92% compared to the previous period [2]. - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder decreased by 17.30% to 9,374 shares [2]. Dividend Distribution - Since its A-share listing, Desay SV has distributed a total of 2.237 billion yuan in dividends, with 1.438 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3]. Institutional Holdings - As of June 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited was the eighth largest circulating shareholder, holding 7.8128 million shares, a decrease of 5.5106 million shares from the previous period [3]. - Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF ranked as the tenth largest circulating shareholder, with a holding of 5.0757 million shares, an increase of 372,000 shares compared to the previous period [3].

Group 1 - The consumer sector has recently seen significant inflows, with over 3.4 billion yuan into consumer-themed ETFs since August, contrasting sharply with earlier in the year when technology stocks were favored [1] - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of the major consumer index is 19.88, which is below the three-year average of 30%, suggesting a perceived valuation advantage [4] - The experience of the past indicates that low valuation does not guarantee price increases, as market consensus and large capital movements are more decisive factors [4] Group 2 - Institutional behavior is crucial in understanding market dynamics, as evidenced by the sustained investment in bank stocks since 2022 despite high valuation concerns [5][7] - The lack of institutional participation in the liquor sector has led to continuous price declines, highlighting the importance of large capital involvement for price recovery [10] - The consumer sector's recent activity may indicate a strategic reallocation of funds, similar to past movements in bank stocks, suggesting that large investors are quietly positioning themselves [11] Group 3 - The current fluctuations in the consumer sector raise questions about whether this is a valuation correction or the beginning of a new market trend, with institutional inflows being a critical signal to monitor [13]

- The report does not contain any quantitative models or factors for analysis

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 138.61 CNY [5][12]. Core Insights - The company reported strong performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 14.64 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 25%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.22 billion CNY, up 46% year-on-year [12]. - The company is accelerating its overseas expansion and product iteration in smart cockpit and smart driving domains, aiming to replicate its domestic electric and intelligent products in global markets [2][12]. - The company launched its fifth-generation smart cockpit platform, which has garnered attention from top global OEMs and secured new project orders from Li Auto [12]. - The establishment of overseas branches in key regions such as Germany, France, Spain, Japan, and Singapore has been completed, enhancing supply chain resilience and delivery capabilities [12]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 21.91 billion CNY in 2023 to 50.09 billion CNY by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.2% [4]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 1.55 billion CNY in 2023 to 4.43 billion CNY in 2027, with a CAGR of 25.9% [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 2.79 CNY in 2023 to 7.97 CNY in 2027 [4]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 19.5% in 2023 to 27.2% in 2027 [4]. Market Data - The company's market capitalization is approximately 69.31 billion CNY, with a 52-week stock price range of 85.30 to 140.19 CNY [6]. - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 44.81, expected to decrease to 15.67 by 2027 [4][6].