行业研究丨点评报告丨软件与服务 [Table_Title] 国内首个太空计算实验室成立，关注我国太空算 力产业进展 报告要点 丨证券研究报告丨 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Summary] 12 月 12 日，上海交通大学与国星宇航举行签约仪式，共同建设国内首个太空计算联合实验室。 此次合作将充分发挥上海交通大学在人工智能等前沿领域的创新优势，以及国星宇航率先完成 AI 智算星座组网的探索优势，致力于打造技术领先、自主可控的太空计算网络，推动形成具有 全球影响力的太空计算产业集群。建议关注：1）卫星制造商以及发射服务提供商；2）耐空间 环境的算力硬件供应商；3）太空算力运营商。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 宗建树 陈耀文 SAC：S0490520030004 SAC：S0490525070002 SFC：BUX668 软件与服务 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 国内首个太空计算实验室成立，关注我国太空 2] 算力产业进展 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 12 月 12 日，上海交通 ...

Group 1 - The report indicates that the manufacturing sector is expected to stabilize, with overseas retail remaining robust and inventory levels in the industry and brand sectors returning to health. A shift in inventory cycles is anticipated, which could lead to either proactive replenishment or passive destocking phases, depending on demand changes [4][7][8] - Domestic retail sales have shown signs of recovery since August, supported by favorable policies such as tariff reductions and measures to boost domestic demand. This trend is expected to continue into next year, increasing the likelihood of a transition to proactive replenishment or passive destocking phases [4][9] - The report suggests focusing on high-elasticity profit recovery stocks in the A-share market, while emphasizing the need for certainty in brand retail, particularly in the Hong Kong market where short-term pressures persist [4][10] Group 2 - The analysis reveals that the textile and apparel industry has slightly underperformed the broader market this year, with the textile manufacturing index rising by 13.3% compared to a 5.3% increase in the brand apparel index as of December 12, 2025 [23][32] - The report highlights that the retail sector has shown steady recovery, with a year-on-year increase of 6.3% in retail sales for clothing and textiles in October 2025, although export figures have been weak, reflecting a decline of 9.1% in textile exports [21][23] - The report emphasizes the importance of understanding the inventory cycle and the potential for significant catalysts in head sports manufacturing orders and stock prices as demand shifts [7][8][9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [5]. Core Views - The company has been officially included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect, which accelerates its overseas expansion [3]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 11.975 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.84% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.67%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 380 million yuan, down 17.33% year-on-year and down 10.65% quarter-on-quarter [3][8]. - The company completed its H-share issuance and was listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on November 17, 2025, marking a key step in its strategy for technological diversification and global development [8]. Financial Performance - The company’s Q3 2025 financial data shows a gross profit margin of 12%, with total revenue projected to reach 40.223 billion yuan in 2027, increasing to 66.928 billion yuan by 2027 [13]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 2.2 billion yuan in 2026 and 2.775 billion yuan in 2027 [13]. - The company’s financial expenses in Q3 2025 were 345 million yuan, reflecting an increase due to exchange rate impacts [8]. Market Position and Outlook - The company’s three-element precursor materials and cobalt oxide materials are expected to continue growing, with growth rates anticipated to exceed industry levels [8]. - The utilization rate of phosphate iron has significantly improved, and profitability is expected to show improvement, contributing to incremental performance [8]. - Nickel resource production is expected to remain stable, with potential for improved profitability if nickel prices recover [8].

[Table_Title] 谁来接棒托底内需？ 丨证券研究报告丨 中国经济丨点评报告 ——11 月经济数据点评 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 从 11 月经济和政策信号来看，一方面是过去经济增长的结构性支撑在持续转弱，但另一方面， 政策对短期波动的定力不减反增：2025 年中央经济工作会议首次提出（将）"存量政策和增量 政策纳入宏观政策取向一致性评估。"12 月政治局会议首次提出"坚持内需主导"，均体现出在 政策端对于加速培育新业态发展的决心进一步增强。我们认为，在人口老龄化、地方化债的背 景下，地产基建投资或难有显著改善，"反内卷"则抑制着制造业投资的弹性，这意味着投资的 上行空间较为有限，叠加耐用品消费明显承压，服务消费料将成为 2026 托底内需的主要抓手。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 于博 SAC：S0490520090001 SFC：BUX667 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com ——11 月经济数据点评 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 2025 年 12 月 15 日，国家统计局公布 11 月经济数 ...

Overall Insights - The report emphasizes that the core driver of the electric new industry is "demand," while "price" contributes additional elasticity. The year 2026 marks the beginning of a new demand cycle due to changes in underlying demand drivers [4][7][26]. - Macro-level trends indicate that the direction of renewable energy development remains unchanged, with clear trends in artificial intelligence and embodied intelligence industries [4][7]. - At the mid-level, the focus shifts to high-quality development of renewable energy, with consumption becoming central, and AI expected to drive global electricity demand growth [4][7]. - Micro-level analysis shows that various segments within the electric new industry will benefit to varying degrees [4][7]. Energy Storage - The energy storage sector is positioned as the main line for renewable energy consumption, with North American AI contributing elasticity. The global energy storage installation growth rate is expected to reach 60%-80% by 2026, with the energy storage industry chain benefiting significantly [8]. - The demand for lithium batteries is projected to grow by 30% in 2026, supported by high domestic registration volumes and stable production schedules [8]. - The supply side is expected to maintain a tight balance in the second half of 2026, with recommendations for investments in lithium carbonate and companies like CATL and Putailai [8]. Power Equipment - The power equipment sector is expected to be driven by exports and global economic recovery, with AI development enhancing overseas demand expectations [9]. - Key recommendations include focusing on transformers for export and AI power supply solutions, as domestic companies are likely to capture more global market share [9]. Wind and Solar - The wind power sector is anticipated to experience high demand growth, particularly in offshore and domestic markets. The supply-demand dynamics and product structure are expected to positively impact profitability across different segments [10]. - The solar power sector faces short-term uncertainties but is expected to recover as energy storage installation ratios increase, with a return to reasonable supply-demand levels anticipated by 2027 [10]. New Directions - The humanoid robotics industry is highlighted as a significant future direction, akin to the electric vehicle boom from 2015-2019, with a focus on key suppliers and domestic manufacturers [11]. - Solid-state battery technology is also emphasized, with ongoing developments expected to enhance sustainability and certainty in the sector [11].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core View of the Report From December 8 - 12, 2025, the central bank's 7 - day reverse repurchase had a small net capital injection, and the 6M repurchase in December had a net injection of 20 billion yuan. The government bond net payment scale decreased, the inter - bank bond market leverage ratio increased on average, and the median duration of medium - long - term and short - term interest - style pure bond funds changed. Tax - period disturbances may hinder the decline of overnight funding rates [2][7]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Funds - **Central Bank Operations**: From December 8 - 12, 2025, the central bank's 7 - day reverse repurchase had a net injection of 470 million yuan. In December, the 6M repurchase had a net injection of 20 billion yuan. From December 15 - 19, 7 - day reverse repurchases worth 66.85 billion yuan will mature, 40 billion yuan of 6M repurchases will mature, and 60 billion yuan will be issued. The decrease in net repurchase injection in December may be due to banks' preference for 1 - year policy tools [6]. - **Funding Rates**: From December 8 - 12, 2025, the average values of DR001 and R001 decreased by 1.2 and 0.7 basis points respectively compared to December 1 - 5. The average values of DR007 and R007 increased by 1.1 and 0.6 basis points respectively. The overnight rate DR001 dropped below 1.30%. However, due to the tax - period payment disturbance after December 15, overnight funding rates may face volatility [7]. - **Government Bond Net Financing**: From December 8 - 14, 2025, the government bond net payment scale was about 1.48 billion yuan, 17.18 billion yuan less than December 1 - 7. From December 15 - 21, the expected net payment scale is - 8.394 billion yuan [7]. 3.2 Inter - bank Certificates of Deposit - **Yield and Curve**: As of December 12, 2025, the 1M and 3M inter - bank certificate of deposit yields were 1.6150%, up 3.6 and 0.0 basis points respectively from December 5. The 1Y yield was 1.6600%, up 0.5 basis points from November 28. The decline in certificate of deposit rates was hindered by weak bond market sentiment and limited impact of marginal changes in funding on pricing [8]. - **Net Financing**: From December 8 - 14, 2025, the net financing of inter - bank certificates of deposit was about - 12.06 billion yuan. From December 15 - 21, the expected maturity repayment amount is 106.29 billion yuan, with high roll - over pressure [8]. 3.3 Institutional Behavior - **Leverage Ratio**: From December 8 - 12, 2025, the average leverage ratio of the inter - bank bond market was 107.63%, up from 107.56% in December 1 - 5 [9]. - **Bond Fund Duration**: On December 12, 2025, the median duration of medium - long - term interest - style pure bond funds increased by 0.44 years week - on - week, reaching the 92.6% quantile since early 2022. The median duration of short - term interest - style pure bond funds decreased by 0.30 years week - on - week, at the 18.2% quantile [9].

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨运输 [Table_Title] 2026 年投资展望：星途跨海，价值新章 ——交运周专题 2025W50 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 展望 2026 年，我们梳理了航空、海运、物流细分板块的投资机会：1）航空：供需错配箭在弦 上：需求趋势确定向上，实际供给走向下滑，价格弹性逐年释放，盈利拾级而上。2）海运：中 国出海由产品、产业向资本转变，产能释放将重塑全球贸易格局，干散货海运供需拐点将至， 油轮板块景气持续兑现，区域内集运供需结构较优。3）物流：中国优势产业正加速出海，驱动 新兴市场跨境物流景气向好。国内市场竞争秩序重构，从内卷式竞争走向高质量发展，快递物 流格局有望改善，龙头公司估值有望重估；大宗物流价格具备向上弹性，底部布局周期反转。 分析师及联系人 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Author] SFC：BQK468 SFC：BWN875 SAC：S0490512020001 SAC：S0490520020001 SAC：S0490519060002 SAC：S04905 ...

行业研究丨深度报告丨零售业 [Table_Title] 细分需求企稳，甄选供给优化 ——商贸零售行业 2026 年度投资策略 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 我们认为，内需有望逐步企稳，出口需求仍存在较多结构性看点。在此背景下，我们着重供给 逻辑、甄选供给端格局优化的子行业。出口方向，需求端看好一带一路的相对景气和北美结构 性需求，供给侧看好合规性提升过程中龙头出口企业的优势增强机遇；美容护理板块，看好高 端和极致性价比两个价格带进入门槛较高、格局相对稳定的细分方向；实体零售板块，龙头企 业门店供给调整相对彻底，伴随供应链改革逐步展开，有望迎来盈利优化；黄金珠宝板块，持 续看好具备强饰品化能力的珠宝品牌，在当前阶段更加迎合消费者需求的增长机遇。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 李锦 罗祎 秦意昂 SAC：S0490514080004 SAC：S0490520080019 SAC：S0490524110002 SFC：BUV258 张彦淳 曾维朵 SAC：S0490525080008 请阅读最后评级说明和 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨钢铁 [Table_Title] 钢铁实施出口许可证管理，影响几何？ 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 12 月 12 日，外贸司公告 2025 年第 79 号文，公布对部分钢铁产品实施出口许可证管理，将部 分钢铁产品纳入出口许可证管理的目录，对外贸易经营者出口上述货物，应凭货物出口合同、 生产商开具的产品质量检验合格证明申领出口许可证，公告自 2026 年 1 月 1 日起执行。强化 钢铁出口的管理，目的或是遏制以"买单出口"为代表的低端出口。买单出口本质是皮包贸易 公司和钢企虚构合同（即买单），以逃避增值税的方式出口。通过严控出口许可证的手段，使得 皮包贸易公司难以存续，也就切断了买单出口的关键环节。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 王鹤涛 赵超 易轰 吕士诚 SAC：S0490512070002 SAC：S0490519030001 SAC：S0490520080012 SAC：S0490525080005 SFC：BQT626 SFC：BUY139 SFC：BUZ394 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research. ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [11] Core Insights - The sales of sanitation equipment from January to October 2025 increased by 7.3% year-on-year, with new energy sanitation equipment sales growing by 66.6%. The penetration rate of new energy sanitation equipment reached 25.9% in October [2][6] - The competitive landscape for leading companies like Yingfeng Environment remains strong, although competition among top players is showing signs of marginal slowdown in the second half of 2025 [7][26] - The penetration rate of electric sanitation equipment in pilot cities reached approximately 27.7% from January to October 2025, indicating rapid progress in electrification [8][32] - The report highlights the growth opportunities for new energy sanitation equipment driven by carbon reduction policies and local government debt management strategies [9][37] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - From January to October 2025, sanitation equipment sales totaled 62,763 units, with a notable recovery in demand after years of decline. The sales in October alone reached 5,098 units, marking an 11.6% increase year-on-year [6][18] - New energy sanitation vehicle sales reached 11,605 units during the same period, with a cumulative penetration rate of approximately 18.5% [20][22] Competitive Landscape - The market concentration (CR10) for sanitation equipment was 55.3% in 2025, down from 58.6% in 2024, indicating increased competition from long-tail brands [7][26] - Yingfeng Environment leads the new energy sanitation equipment market with a 28.9% market share, followed by Yutong and Fulongma at 13.7% and 6.8%, respectively [30][31] Electrification Progress - The report notes that pilot cities for electric sanitation vehicles achieved a penetration rate of 27.7%, significantly higher than the national average of 18.5%. Cities like Zhengzhou and Shenzhen showed particularly high rates of 53.1% and 51.1% [8][32] Policy and Market Outlook - The report emphasizes that the growth of the sanitation equipment industry is closely tied to government policies and local fiscal conditions. The upcoming "14th Five-Year Plan" phase will focus on carbon emission control, which is expected to further drive the adoption of new energy sanitation equipment [9][37]