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汽车行业点评:车企一季报有挑战,建议关注三条主线机会
Ping An Securities· 2026-01-24 15:31
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" which indicates that the industry index is expected to perform better than the market by more than 5% over the next six months [3]. Core Insights - The automotive market in the first quarter faces uncertainties, with upstream cost pressures challenging the performance of automakers' quarterly reports. The retail sales of passenger vehicles in China are projected to reach 23.744 million units in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.8% [1]. - The domestic automotive market is transitioning with policy changes, including a shift in the new energy vehicle purchase tax from full exemption to a 50% reduction, which may lead to consumer hesitation. The first quarter of 2026 is expected to experience pressure on automotive consumption due to these factors [1]. - The focus for 2026 is on "quality improvement" in the automotive sector, with policies favoring mid-to-high-end market models to alleviate low-level price competition. The total automotive market growth is expected to slow down, with a projected increase of only 1% year-on-year [1]. - Overseas markets are anticipated to stabilize automakers' sales and profits in 2026, with companies like BYD and Geely planning significant growth in international sales. BYD expects to sell 1.5 million units overseas, while Geely aims for a 50%-80% increase in its overseas sales [1]. - The automotive industry is witnessing a transformation in business models due to advancements in technology, particularly in intelligent driving and robotics. The commercial viability of L3 autonomous driving is expected to progress significantly by 2026, with companies like Tesla and Xpeng leading the charge [2]. Summary by Sections Market Outlook - The retail sales of narrow passenger vehicles are expected to be around 1.8 million units in January 2026, a decrease of 20.4% month-on-month, with new energy vehicle sales reaching approximately 800,000 units, achieving a penetration rate of 44.4% [1]. - The total automotive sales in China for 2026 are projected to be 34.75 million units, including 7.4 million for export, reflecting a slight year-on-year increase of 1% [1]. Policy and Market Dynamics - The automotive market is currently in a transitional phase with policy adjustments, particularly regarding the "old-for-new" vehicle replacement program, which is expected to support consumption in 2026 [1]. - The focus on "quality improvement" in 2026 aims to shift consumer demand towards higher-end models, reducing the prevalence of price wars in the industry [1]. Investment Opportunities - Three main investment opportunities are identified for 2026: 1. Overseas expansion, focusing on companies with strong international market foundations such as Chery, Great Wall, BYD, SAIC, and Geely [2]. 2. The commercialization of intelligent driving and AI business models, with recommendations for companies like Xpeng, Seres, Li Auto, and Horizon Robotics [2]. 3. High-end market positioning, with a focus on companies like Seres, Xiaomi, Li Auto, and Chery, while also suggesting attention to Jianghuai Automobile [2].
2026年地产板块开门红,优质企业配置窗口或已到来
Ping An Securities· 2026-01-23 08:28
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform" [1] Core Viewpoints - The real estate sector has shown a strong start in 2026, with stock price rebounds attributed to overall market risk appetite and valuation increases, recent policy optimizations in Beijing, and a decline in personal housing sales tax rates [3] - The report suggests three main investment lines: companies with light historical burdens and strong product capabilities, Hong Kong real estate benefiting from market stabilization, and firms with stable cash flow and dividends [3] - The policy outlook for 2026 remains optimistic, with expectations for further adjustments in housing loan rates and other supportive measures [4][6] Policy Summary - Recent policies include a reduction in the personal housing sales tax for properties held for over two years, the introduction of commercial real estate REITs, and tax refunds for individuals selling their homes and purchasing new ones within a year [5][6] - The central bank has lowered various structural monetary policy tool rates by 0.25 percentage points, which is expected to reduce housing purchase costs [6][7] Market Conditions - January 2026 saw improved transaction volumes compared to December 2025, with second-hand housing performing better than new homes [17][20] - The average daily transaction volume for new homes in 50 key cities decreased by 27.9% year-on-year in January, while second-hand homes saw a 2.1% increase [20] Land Market - Land transaction volumes increased significantly in December 2025, with a 152.7% rise in transaction area compared to the previous month, although the average land supply decreased by 60.1% [30] Company Performance - The top 100 real estate companies saw a 3.9% increase in land acquisition amounts in 2025, with notable companies like Greentown China and China Jinmao leading in land acquisition intensity [38][42] - The report highlights that the real estate sector's PE ratio is currently at 62.47, significantly higher than the broader market's 14.17, indicating a high valuation level [46]
中国香港地产系列研究之四:香港商业地产逐步触底,标杆商业开发运营商梳理-20260123
Ping An Securities· 2026-01-23 07:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the Hong Kong real estate sector [1]. Core Insights - The Hong Kong commercial real estate market is showing signs of bottoming out, with potential benefits for Hong Kong-based real estate companies. Since 2018-2019, the market has undergone significant adjustments, but there are indications of marginal improvements in office rental rates and vacancy rates in core areas, as well as a narrowing decline in retail property rents. The macroeconomic and property market recovery may lead to a gradual exit from the low point, positively impacting rental income and property value reassessment for developers [3][6][21]. Summary by Sections Hong Kong Commercial Real Estate - The report indicates that Hong Kong's commercial real estate is currently at a bottoming signal, with core area office rents and vacancy rates showing marginal improvements. Retail property rent declines are also narrowing, suggesting a potential recovery in the market [3][6]. Swire Properties - Swire Properties is highlighted as a leading comprehensive commercial project developer and operator, with 2024 revenue from Hong Kong and mainland China accounting for 60% and 37% respectively. The company has a high proportion of rental income from properties, with 93% of its income derived from property investments. The tenant structure is favorable, and the company has committed to a significant investment plan of HKD 670 billion by 2025 [3][39][81]. Hang Lung Properties - Hang Lung Properties focuses on high-end properties, with a diversified portfolio across nine cities in Hong Kong and mainland China. In 2024, rental income from mainland properties accounted for 57.5%, while Hong Kong's rental income was 27.1%. The company aims to stabilize rental income through project expansions and asset optimization [3][97][98]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on developers with a high proportion of rental income, such as Swire Properties and Hang Lung Properties, as they are likely to benefit from the recovery in the commercial real estate market driven by financial activity and retail sector recovery [3][21].
2026年1月托管月报:保险抢配、资管户配债力量偏弱-20260122
Ping An Securities· 2026-01-22 09:28
Group 1: Report's Industry Investment Rating - There is no information provided about the industry investment rating in the report. Group 2: Report's Core View - In December 2025, the bond supply scale was at a relatively low level, with the bond custody balance's year - on - year growth rate dropping by 1.8 percentage points compared to November, and the monthly new custody scale being 819.2 billion yuan, a low level in 2025. The supply of credit bonds increased while that of inter - bank certificates of deposit decreased. In terms of institutions, asset management accounts had insufficient bond - allocation power, while insurance institutions increased their holdings. Looking ahead, the government bond issuance in Q1 may be fast, and banks are expected to be the main force in absorbing government bond supply. Insurance institutions' bond - allocation scale may be supported by high yields and supply, while the non - bank bond - allocation power of asset management accounts may be weak [3]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Bond Supply in December 2025 - The bond custody balance's year - on - year growth rate in December 2025 was 11.6%, 1.8 percentage points lower than in November. The new custody scale was 819.2 billion yuan, a low level in 2025 [3][4]. 2. Bond Supply by Type - Treasury bonds, local government bonds, and inter - bank certificates of deposit had less - than - seasonal increases of 42.4 billion yuan, 175.9 billion yuan, and 1.3 trillion yuan respectively. Credit bonds and ABS had more - than - seasonal increases of 596.8 billion yuan and 165.5 billion yuan respectively. In December 2025, the new supply of treasury bonds was 358.2 billion yuan, and that of local bonds was 431 billion yuan, both at relatively low levels. The net supply of inter - bank certificates of deposit was - 622.4 billion yuan, at a low level in 2025, while the net supply of corporate credit bonds was 377.1 billion yuan, rising against the season [3][8][11]. 3. Bond - Allocation by Institutions in December 2025 - **Banks**: After adjustment for repurchase, the actual bond - buying scale was 385.6 billion yuan, in line with the season. They mainly increased their holdings of policy - financial bonds and treasury bonds. The adjusted government - bond - buying scale was 432.5 billion yuan, accounting for 55% of the new government - bond custody scale, indicating a seasonal weakening of bond - allocation power [23]. - **Insurance institutions**: They increased their holdings by 304.7 billion yuan, 204.6 billion yuan more than the season, mainly increasing their holdings of credit bonds and local government bonds, possibly due to low bond - allocation in November and year - end bond - grabbing [26]. - **Asset management accounts**: They increased their holdings by 221.3 billion yuan, 358.5 billion yuan less than the season, mainly reducing their holdings of inter - bank certificates of deposit and increasing their holdings of credit bonds, possibly due to the stock - bond seesaw effect and low issuance of debt - biased funds [29]. - **Foreign investors**: They reduced their holdings by 115.5 billion yuan, 147.3 billion yuan less than the season, mainly reducing their holdings of inter - bank certificates of deposit, possibly due to the unsustainability of risk - free carry - trade and insufficient new supply of inter - bank certificates of deposit [35]. - **Securities firms**: They reduced their holdings by 504 million yuan, 178.5 billion yuan less than the season, mainly reducing their holdings of credit bonds, possibly for year - end profit - taking [35]. 4. Outlook - **Bond supply**: With the front - loaded fiscal policy, the government bond issuance in Q1 may be fast, and the supply of local government bonds is expected to be higher than last year [38]. - **Banks**: They are expected to be the main force in absorbing government bond supply. With stable deposit growth and slowing loan growth, banks still have large bond - allocation space, but attention should be paid to the structural restrictions on bond - allocation caused by deposit transfer and activation [41]. - **Insurance institutions**: High yields and supply may support their bond - allocation scale. In January, they continued to have strong bond - allocation power, possibly affected by the premium "good start" effect. The wide spread between ultra - long - term local government bonds and insurance's predetermined interest rate is still attractive [44]. - **Asset management accounts**: Under the pressure of stock - market diversion, the non - bank bond - allocation power is expected to be weak. The bond - allocation power of wealth management products and debt funds has not increased significantly, possibly due to funds flowing into bank deposits, the equity market, and insufficient issuance of inter - bank certificates of deposit [46].
大宗商品框架系列(三):解构石化化工链:传统产业中的新机遇
Ping An Securities· 2026-01-21 10:27
Core Insights - The petrochemical industry in China is transitioning from a price cycle bottom to the beginning of a new price cycle, with expectations of a gradual recovery in market conditions as inventory cycles shift from passive destocking to active restocking [3][11] - The demand for traditional refined products like gasoline and diesel has peaked earlier due to the accelerated penetration of new energy sources, leading to a slowdown in refining capacity growth and a shift towards supply integration and optimization [3][13] - The global petrochemical supply landscape is being reshaped, with a significant shift of the industry focus towards China as European and Korean producers reduce capacity due to high costs and low demand [3][18] Group 1: Industry Overview and Future Outlook - The petrochemical industry is expected to enter a new phase of price and inventory cycles, with policies promoting domestic demand and supply-side reforms supporting this transition [3][11] - The refining sector is moving towards high-quality development, with smaller, outdated refineries being phased out in favor of larger, more efficient operations [3][13] - The supply of petrochemical products is tightening due to geopolitical tensions, particularly the ongoing conflict in Ukraine affecting Russian production and exports [3][30] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Key investment themes include the "anti-involution" policy that aims to control capacity and improve supply conditions, the transition of traditional petrochemical products towards high-end applications, and the rise of new materials driven by technological advancements [4][6] - Specific sectors to watch include the PX/MEG-PTA-PET polyester chain, polyurethane raw materials, and organic silicon, which are positioned to benefit from supply-side reforms and improved pricing dynamics [4][6] - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong integration in refining and petrochemical operations, such as China National Petroleum Corporation and Hengli Petrochemical, which are expected to show resilience and potential for valuation increases as market conditions improve [4][6]
生物医药行业:JPM大会中国市场有6款顶级候选药物值得关注
Ping An Securities· 2026-01-21 00:27
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the industry index is expected to perform better than the market by more than 5% over the next six months [31]. Core Insights - The JPMorgan Healthcare Conference highlighted six top candidate drugs in the Chinese market for 2026, with four originating from local innovative companies, showcasing their R&D capabilities that can compete with multinational brands [4]. - The report anticipates continued active merger and acquisition (M&A) transactions in the biopharmaceutical sector, with a projected global M&A transaction volume reaching $5.1 trillion in 2025, led by a 44% increase in the healthcare sector [4]. - Investment strategies suggest focusing on innovative Chinese pharmaceutical companies that are enhancing their global competitiveness, particularly in therapeutic areas like metabolism, chronic diseases, and central nervous system disorders, as well as potential technology platforms such as small nucleic acid drugs and CAR-T therapies [5]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The JPMorgan Healthcare Conference showcased 24 Chinese innovative pharmaceutical companies, including BeiGene and Legend Biotech, presenting their latest R&D and commercialization achievements [4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of the Chinese market, identifying six candidate drugs that are expected to make significant impacts in 2026 [4]. Investment Strategy - The report recommends focusing on innovative therapeutic areas beyond traditional oncology and immunology, such as metabolic disorders and chronic diseases [5]. - It also highlights the potential of emerging technology platforms, suggesting investment in companies that are advancing in areas like peptide drugs and small nucleic acids [5]. Market Performance - The pharmaceutical sector experienced a decline of 0.68% last week, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index fell by 0.57%, ranking the pharmaceutical industry 17th among 27 sectors [20]. - In contrast, the Hong Kong pharmaceutical sector saw an increase of 2.38%, outperforming the Hang Seng Index, which rose by 2.56%, ranking 6th among 11 sectors [30].
老铺黄金(06181):中国古法手工金器第一品牌
Ping An Securities· 2026-01-20 07:57
Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for Laopu Gold (6181.HK) for the first time [1][6]. Core Views - Laopu Gold has established a significant brand advantage in the ancient gold industry over the past decade, maintaining a high-end brand positioning and building a differentiated competitive advantage through "brand, product, channel, and customer service" [3][9]. - The company aims for "brand internationalization and market globalization," actively expanding its market presence and creating a world-class gold brand with cultural heritage value [6][62]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Laopu Gold is recognized as the first brand of ancient hand-crafted gold in China, leveraging its first-mover advantage to build a strong brand influence since its establishment in 2009 [9]. - The company's major shareholder is Beijing Hongqiao Jinji Consulting Co., Ltd., holding 32.49% of shares, with a total market capitalization of 108.68 billion yuan [1][14]. Product Positioning - The company focuses on high-end gold products, with a loyal membership base of approximately 480,000 as of June 30, 2025, reflecting a growth of 130,000 members from December 31, 2024 [5][16]. - Gold products account for over 99.5% of total revenue, with significant growth in sales of both pure gold and gold-inlaid products [5][17]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The projected revenue for Laopu Gold from 2025 to 2027 is 26.2 billion yuan, 35.4 billion yuan, and 43.5 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 208.0%, 35.0%, and 23.0% respectively [4][58]. - The forecasted net profit for the same period is 3.82 billion yuan, 5.09 billion yuan, and 6.28 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of 159.1%, 33.3%, and 23.3% respectively [4][58]. Channel Structure - Laopu Gold employs an integrated online and offline retail channel strategy, with a strong focus on high-end shopping centers in major cities [36][42]. - As of June 30, 2025, the company operates 41 self-owned stores across 16 cities, primarily located in prestigious commercial centers [37][39]. Product Technology - The company emphasizes the use of ancient craftsmanship and innovation in product development, maintaining a rigorous quality control system to ensure product competitiveness [28][32]. - Laopu Gold has created over 2,100 original designs and holds more than 1,500 copyrights, showcasing its commitment to continuous innovation [23][32]. Investment Recommendation - The report highlights Laopu Gold's commitment to brand positioning and market expansion, projecting strong revenue and profit growth driven by product innovation and market strategies [6][62].
国家统计局公布2025年房地产投资销售数据:2025年楼市降幅收窄,2026年曙光渐行渐近
Ping An Securities· 2026-01-19 09:47
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1][9] Core Insights - The real estate market is expected to see a narrowing decline in 2025, with signs of recovery becoming more apparent in 2026 [1][5] - The report highlights that the sales area and sales amount of new commercial housing in 2025 are projected to decline by 8.7% and 12.6% year-on-year, respectively, which is a smaller decline compared to 2024 [6] - The report emphasizes that the recovery chain in the real estate market will follow the sequence of "volume stabilization - price stabilization - cash flow recovery for real estate companies - investment rhythm recovery" [6] Summary by Sections Market Performance - In 2025, the real estate investment is expected to decline by 17.2% year-on-year, with new construction area down by 20.4% [6] - The report anticipates that the sales area will continue to face slight pressure in 2026, maintaining a year-on-year decline of 6% [6] Positive Factors - Despite the ongoing pressure in the real estate market, positive factors are accumulating, including a stabilization in transaction volumes and prices, particularly in core urban areas [6] - The report notes that the easing of down payment ratios and mortgage rates is reducing the financial burden on homebuyers, enhancing the attractiveness of purchasing homes [6] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main lines for investment: 1. Real estate companies with light historical burdens and optimized inventory structures, such as China Resources Land and China Overseas Development [5] 2. Hong Kong real estate companies benefiting from the stabilization of the Hong Kong market, such as Sun Hung Kai Properties [5] 3. High-quality companies with stable cash flow and dividends, including China Resources Mixc Lifestyle and Poly Property [5]
《衍生品交易监督管理办法(试行)(征求意见稿)》解读:完善多层次资本市场,稳慎有序发展衍生品
Ping An Securities· 2026-01-19 09:27
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no mention of the specific industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The "Draft for Comments" aims to promote the standardized and healthy development of the derivatives market, which is an implementation of measures to drive high - quality capital market development in the derivatives field [3][4]. - It will regulate derivatives trading, improve the multi - level capital market system, enhance market transparency, and boost the professional capabilities of financial institutions to better serve the real economy [3][33][34]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Core Content Breakdown - **Define the regulatory scope and the functional positioning of derivatives**: The "Draft for Comments" defines "derivatives trading" as the trading of swap contracts, forward contracts, non - standardized option contracts, and their combinations. It also clarifies that derivatives should serve the real economy by managing risks, allocating resources [6][9]. - **Prevent regulatory arbitrage and excessive speculation, and clarify various prohibited actions and quantify penalty standards**: It restricts excessive speculation, prohibits illegal activities such as market manipulation and insider trading, and blocks the path of "stealthy reduction" or "circumventing reduction" [11]. It also quantifies penalty standards compared with the 2023 versions [12]. - **Strengthen institutional access and continuous compliance, and strictly manage investor suitability**: It sets higher access and operation requirements for derivatives business institutions and raises the bar for investor suitability management [13][14]. - **Improve trading and settlement infrastructure and establish a derivatives trading repository**: It improves trading and settlement infrastructure to address information opacity and counterparty risks. It also proposes the construction of a derivatives trading repository for data sharing and cross - market monitoring [15][16]. Derivatives Trading Development Situation - **Securities companies' derivatives trading**: As of September 27, 2022, there were 45 over - the - counter (OTC) options dealers in the securities industry. As of the end of July 2023, the nominal principal of securities firms' OTC derivatives reached 2.31 trillion yuan. The main participants in the OTC derivatives market are commercial banks, securities companies, and private funds [17][19][25]. - **Futures companies' derivatives trading**: As of November 2025, the total nominal principal of off - exchange derivatives held by futures companies' risk management subsidiaries was 375.438 billion yuan, a 11.5% increase from the end of 2024. Commodity - based derivatives are the main type, and options are the most common contract type [27]. Impact and Significance on Industry Development - **Regulate derivatives trading and improve the multi - level capital market system**: It provides clear rules for market participants and reduces systemic risks [33]. - **Promote the establishment of a trading repository and improve market transparency**: It helps regulators monitor potential risks and provides data support for counter - cyclical regulation [34]. - **Enhance the professional capabilities of financial institutions and strengthen the ability to serve the real economy**: Financial institutions will improve their competitiveness, and the market's ability to serve the real economy will be enhanced [35].
基金双周报:ETF市场跟踪报告-20260119
Ping An Securities· 2026-01-19 08:47
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - As of January 16, recent two - week ETF products performed well. Among domestic major broad - based ETFs, Science and Technology Innovation 100 had the largest increase, and among industry and thematic products, technology - themed ETFs had the largest increase. The Science and Technology Innovation 100ETF had net capital inflows, while the CSI 300ETF had significant net capital outflows. Also, in the past two weeks, cyclical and pharmaceutical ETFs had accelerated capital inflows, technology, consumer, military, and financial real - estate ETFs turned to net capital inflows, dividend and other large - manufacturing ETFs turned to net capital outflows, and new - energy ETFs had accelerated capital outflows. For bond ETFs, credit - bond, treasury - bond, and local - bond ETFs turned from net inflows to net outflows, convertible - bond ETFs turned to net inflows, and policy - financial - bond and short - term - financing ETFs had accelerated net outflows [2][9][16] 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 ETF Market Review - **Performance and Capital Flow**: As of January 16, in the past two weeks, among domestic major broad - based ETFs, Science and Technology Innovation 100 had the largest increase, and among industry and thematic products, technology - themed ETFs had the largest increase. The Science and Technology Innovation 100ETF had net capital inflows, while the CSI 300ETF had significant net capital outflows. Cyclical and pharmaceutical ETFs had accelerated capital inflows, technology, consumer, military, and financial real - estate ETFs turned to net capital inflows, dividend and other large - manufacturing ETFs turned to net capital outflows, and new - energy ETFs had accelerated capital outflows. For bond ETFs, credit - bond, treasury - bond, and local - bond ETFs turned from net inflows to net outflows, convertible - bond ETFs turned to net inflows, and policy - financial - bond and short - term - financing ETFs had accelerated net outflows [2][9][16] - **Product Structure Distribution**: As of January 16, in the past two weeks, 9 new ETFs were established, with a total issuance of 5607 million shares, all being stock ETFs. Compared with the end of 2025, the scales of industry + dividend ETFs, commodity ETFs, and QDII - ETFs increased by 14.33%, 9.87%, and 6.05% respectively, while the scales of bond ETFs and broad - based ETFs decreased by 9.78% and 3.98% respectively [2][23] - **Fund Manager Scale Distribution**: As of January 16, China Asset Management had the largest on - exchange ETF scale of 96.4259 billion yuan. The ETF management scales of China Asset Management and E Fund expanded by over 26 billion yuan compared with a year ago [24] 3.2 Classification of ETF Tracking - **Technology - Themed ETF**: Products tracking semiconductor materials and equipment had the highest net capital inflows in the past two weeks, while products tracking the National Securities Chip index had net capital outflows [28] - **Dividend - Themed ETF**: Products tracking the low - volatility dividend had the highest net capital inflows in the past two weeks, while products tracking the CSI Dividend index had net capital outflows [31] - **Consumer - Themed ETF**: Products tracking the S&P 500 Consumer Select Index had a relatively high premium rate. ETFs tracking the CSI 800 Consumer index had the highest net capital inflows in the past two weeks, while products tracking the CSI Liquor index had net capital outflows [34] - **Pharmaceutical - Themed ETF**: ETFs tracking medical devices had the highest net capital inflows in the past two weeks, while products tracking the CSI Medical index had net capital outflows [37] - **Large - Manufacturing - Themed ETF**: Products tracking the satellite industry had the highest net capital inflows in the past two weeks, while products tracking robots had net capital outflows [40] - **QDII ETF**: Products tracking the Hang Seng Technology index had the highest net capital inflows in the past two weeks, while ETF products tracking the Hang Seng Healthcare index had net capital outflows [43] 3.3 Popular Themed ETF Tracking - **AI - Themed ETF**: AI - themed products mostly rose in the past two weeks, with an average return of 10.88%. Products tracking cloud computing had the largest increase. Since 2025, there has been an overall net capital inflow, with a large inflow from mid - February to April, a continuous outflow from May to August, and a large inflow since mid - August. In the past two weeks, there was a significant net capital inflow of 18.301 billion yuan [55] - **Robot - Themed ETF**: Robot - themed products performed well in the past two weeks, with an average return of 7.17%. Products tracking the robot index had the largest increase. After February 2025, capital showed a rapid inflow trend as a whole, and there was a net capital outflow of 3.909 billion yuan in the past two weeks [59] - **New - Energy - Themed ETF**: New - energy - themed products mostly rose in the past two weeks, with an average return of 4.10%. Products tracking the CSI New Energy index had the largest increase. There was a continuous outflow before August 2025, a large inflow from August to October, and a large outflow since late October. In the past two weeks, there was a net capital outflow of 3.111 billion yuan [65] - **Satellite and Commercial Space - Themed ETF**: Satellite and commercial space - themed products mostly rose in the past two weeks, with an average return of 14.38%. Products tracking the satellite industry had the largest increase. There was a small inflow in late August 2025 and a large inflow since mid - December. In the past two weeks, there was a significant net capital inflow of 17.542 billion yuan [70] - **Central Huijin, Guoxin, and Chengtong - Held ETF**: As of June 30, 2025, the scale of ETFs held by Central Huijin, Guoxin, and Chengtong totaled 39.1336 billion shares. In the past two weeks, there was a net capital outflow of 172.9 billion yuan. In the past two weeks, China AMC CSI 500 ETF, Harvest CSI 500 ETF, and Guotai SSE 180 Financial ETF had the highest capital inflows [74]