证券研究报告 医疗设备招投标数据跟踪 设备招投标景气度持续，高端化+反内卷趋 势利好头部企业 医药生物行业 强于大市（维持） 证券分析师 叶 寅 投资咨询资格编号：S1060514100001 倪亦道 投资咨询资格编号：S1060518070001 裴晓鹏 投资咨询资格编号：S1060523090002 2025年12月12日 请务必阅读正文后免责条款 设备招投标景气度持续，产品高端化趋势显著。 2025年以来设备更新政策红利持续释放，市场需求持续增长，设备招投标保持高景气状态。根据众成数科统计，从月度趋势来看，各月招投标规模保持高位，进入 下半年以后，随着24年需求积压释放导致的基数上移，增速有所减缓，其中25年7月/8月/9月/10月/11月采购规模分别为134亿元/146亿元/164亿元/164亿元/209亿 元，同比分别+24%/+31%/+2%/+14%/+0%，9月开始增速有所放缓、主要由于24年9月设备更新项目开始集中释放、基数变高，但整体招采规模仍处于高位水平。 根据众成数科统计，11月份国内医疗设备市场继续保持强劲活力，省级采购数据显示，海南、河南、贵州等多省份项目集中释放，总中标金额突破7 ...

Overview - The report highlights that the energy storage lithium battery industry is entering a new profit cycle, driven by strong demand and improved supply dynamics [1][17]. Energy Storage - The energy storage sector is experiencing a global high prosperity, with significant policy and market support leading to rapid development [5][19]. - As of September 2025, China's wind and solar power accounted for 46% of installed power capacity, while new energy storage only represented 3% and 6% of total installed capacity and new energy capacity, respectively, indicating substantial growth potential [5][28]. - The exit of mandatory storage policies has allowed independent storage to emerge as a profitable asset, with improved pricing mechanisms and market conditions [5][36]. - Domestic energy storage projects have seen a significant increase, with new installations reaching 43.7 GW in 2024, a year-on-year growth of 103% [20][24]. Lithium Batteries - The lithium battery sector is benefiting from the growth in energy storage demand, with the industry moving out of a price decline cycle and entering a phase of volume and profit recovery [15][17]. - The demand for energy storage batteries is rising, and the sales of power batteries remain robust, contributing to a healthy growth outlook [15][17]. - The supply side is improving, with many companies still operating at a loss or minimal profit, leading to a strong desire to increase prices amid high demand [5][15]. Solid-State Batteries - Solid-state batteries are seen as a key technology to overcome the performance limitations of lithium batteries, with ongoing industrialization efforts supported by policy and market participants [5][17]. - The demand for solid-state batteries is expected to grow in applications requiring high energy density and safety, such as low-altitude flying vehicles and humanoid robots [5][17]. - Key materials and equipment for solid-state battery production are making progress, with significant technological barriers that favor advanced participants in the industry [5][17]. Investment Recommendations - The report maintains a "stronger than market" rating for the energy storage and lithium battery sectors, recommending investments in leading companies such as Sungrow Power Supply, Haimo Technologies, and CATL [8][12]. - The solid-state battery sector is also highlighted for its growth potential, with recommendations to focus on companies involved in key materials and equipment [8][12].

Group 1: Economic Confidence and International Trade - The central government shows increased confidence in international trade, with China's trade surplus exceeding $1 trillion for the first time in 2025[6] - China's export share reached 15.1% in the 12 months leading up to July 2025, up from 14.9% in 2024, indicating a recovery in global competitiveness[6] Group 2: Domestic Demand and Consumption - The focus remains on expanding domestic demand, with a shift towards service consumption and innovative products in subsidy policies for 2026[8] - The meeting emphasized the need to optimize the implementation of "two new" policies, indicating a potential shift in consumption subsidies towards sectors like elderly products and smart vehicles[9] Group 3: Investment and Infrastructure - The meeting highlighted the need to stabilize investment, with measures including increasing central budget investments and optimizing local government bond usage[9] - New policy financial tools are expected to be introduced to stimulate private investment, with a focus on digital economy and urban renewal projects[10] Group 4: Macro Policy Adjustments - The macro policy direction has shifted to "quality improvement and efficiency enhancement," indicating a more cautious approach compared to last year's focus on stability[12] - The fiscal deficit rate is projected to remain at 4% for 2026, with an increase in special bonds to support key projects[12] Group 5: Real Estate Market Stability - The government aims to stabilize the real estate market by controlling supply and encouraging the purchase of existing homes for affordable housing[16] - Reforms to the housing provident fund are proposed to broaden its usage and improve access for first-time buyers[17] Group 6: Supply-Side Optimization - The meeting acknowledged the prominent contradiction of strong supply versus weak demand, emphasizing the need for supply-side reforms[19] - The focus on "anti-involution" aims to stabilize market expectations and prevent rapid price declines in key industries[20]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating an expected performance that exceeds the market by more than 5% over the next six months [7]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the need to stabilize the real estate market, focusing on inventory reduction and quality supply. The central economic work conference highlighted the importance of controlling new supply, reducing existing inventory, and encouraging the acquisition of existing residential properties for affordable housing [3][6]. - The construction of "good houses" is a continuing trend, with a push for high-quality development in the real estate sector. The report anticipates that companies with strong land acquisition capabilities and product quality will benefit from this trend [6]. - The reform of the housing provident fund system is a new focus, aiming to enhance the efficiency and flexibility of fund usage, which includes optimizing loan application conditions and supporting the purchase of affordable housing [6]. Summary by Sections Market Stability - The report notes that despite a decline in the inventory of unsold properties since March 2025, the absolute scale remains high at 760 million square meters as of October. This high inventory level and weak consumer sentiment are significant barriers to market recovery [6]. - The acquisition of existing properties is seen as an effective measure for inventory reduction, with expectations for continued progress in this area [6]. "Good House" Construction - The report outlines a commitment to promoting the construction of "good houses," which aligns with the 14th Five-Year Plan's goals for high-quality real estate development. This initiative is expected to be a medium-term trend benefiting companies with strong inventory structures and product capabilities [6]. Housing Provident Fund Reform - The report discusses the deepening of housing provident fund reforms, which aim to improve the conditions for converting commercial loans to public loans and enhance the withdrawal policies for housing provident funds. These reforms are expected to increase the efficiency of fund usage [6].

非银行金融 2025 年 12 月 12 日 【平安证券】行业点评-非银行金融-下调保险投资股 票风险因子，培育壮大耐心资本-强于大市 20251207 证券分析师 相关研究报告 【平安证券】行业半年度策略报告-非银行金融-高质 量发展引领价值重估，头部公司更具韧性——非银金 融行业 2025 年中期策略报告-强于大市 20250701 【平安证券】行业点评-非银行金融-人身险预定利率 再下调，分红险具备比较优势-强于大市 20250727 【平安证券】行业点评-非银行金融-中金拟吸收合并 东兴+信达，证券业供给侧改革加速-强于大市 20251120 保险业 2026 年度策略报告 攻守兼备，乘势而上 强于大市（维持） 行情走势图 | 李冰婷 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | --- | --- | | | S1060520040002 | | | LIBINGTING419@pingan.com.cn | | 许 淼 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | | S1060525020001 | | | XUMIAO533@pingan.com.cn | 平安观点： 行 业 报 告 行 业 年 度 策 略 报 证 券 研 ...

Overview - The renewable energy sector saw a 42% increase in 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 24.78 percentage points, driven by strong demand for energy storage and the gradual implementation of anti-involution policies [11][14]. Solar Energy - The domestic solar market is expected to face pressure in 2026, with new installations projected to decline to 200-250 GW, down from an estimated 300 GW in 2025, which represents an 8% year-on-year growth [5][28]. - In 2025, China added 252.9 GW of new solar capacity from January to October, a year-on-year increase of 71.8 GW, with a significant portion of installations occurring in the first half of the year due to policy influences [5][18]. - Global solar installations are expected to reach 655 GW in 2025, a 10% increase year-on-year, but demand is anticipated to stabilize or slightly decline in 2026 due to various market challenges [36][37]. - The supply side is undergoing restructuring due to anti-involution policies, with significant reductions in production and inventory pressures observed in the polysilicon market [40][45]. - The BC battery technology is gaining traction, with expected rapid increases in penetration rates, potentially becoming the mainstream technology by 2030 [48][53]. Wind Energy - The domestic wind power market is projected to maintain stable growth, with onshore wind installations expected to remain flat in 2026, while offshore wind installations are forecasted to increase by over 40% to approximately 11.2 GW [5][16]. - The wind turbine market is experiencing a recovery in profitability, supported by stable pricing and expansion into overseas markets, creating new growth opportunities [16][18]. - The development of hydrogen and ammonia markets is expected to provide additional growth avenues for wind turbine manufacturers [5][16]. Investment Recommendations - The report maintains a "stronger than market" rating for the renewable energy sector, highlighting key companies to watch in wind energy, such as Goldwind Technology, Mingyang Smart Energy, and Yunda Co., and in solar energy, including LONGi Green Energy and Aiko Solar [5][7].

债券 2025 年 12 月 11 日 美联储那些事儿 美联储议息会议：政策利率处于"有利位置" 证券分析师 图表1 鲍威尔发布会表态要点 资料来源： FED ，平安证券研究所 9月以来的降息使当前利率整体处于中性的区间(within a broad range o f estimates o f neutral)和有利的位置 （well positioned t o wait too see how the economy evolved），可以等待观察经济的演变，美联储将谨慎评 估即将到来的数据。 在评估家庭调查数据时必须谨慎，因为劳动力市场数据收集方式可能存在一些问题，导致数据出现偏差， 不仅波动性更大，还会出现扭曲的情况；同时1 0月和1 1月部分数据可能未能收集齐全，美联储需要以谨慎 和怀疑的态度来审视这些数据。 不认为当前存在加息的预期。 就储备管理购买（reserve management purchase），因为4月15日是纳税日，居民和企业缴税可能导致准备金季节 性回落，所以未来几个月将保持较高的购债规模；此外，准备金规模需要跟随银行体系和经济规模增长，这可能 导致准备金需要每月增加200- ...

海外小核酸行业动态跟踪 Alnylam：业绩增长势头强劲，研发管线布局丰富 生物医药行业 强于大市（维持） 2025年12月11日 证券分析师 证券研究报告 叶寅投资咨询资格编号：S1060514100001邮箱：YEYIN757@PINGAN.COM.CN 韩盟盟投资咨询资格编号：S1060519060002邮箱：HANMENGMENG005@PINGAN.COM.CN 曹艳凯投资咨询资格编号:S1060524120001邮箱：CAOYANKAI947@PINGAN.COM.CN 请务必阅读正文后免责条款 投资建议 投资建议：Alnylam为siRNA疗法的先驱者，公司在TTR领域自主的商业化产品AMVUTTRA已迎来快速放量周期，2025Q3单季度销售收入实现6.85亿美 金（YOY+135%，QoQ+39.23%），后续在高血压等慢病领域有望迎来近一步突破。建议关注在小核酸领域有布局的相关企业，如悦康药业、福元医 药、前沿生物、石药集团、瑞博医药、舶望生物、靖因药业、圣因医药等公司。 风险提示：政策风险：医药行业受政策影响较大，后续可能医保控费政策影响等超预期。2）研发风险：医药行业研发投入大，周期长， ...

石油石化 2025 年 12 月 10 日 传统能源行业 2026 年年度策略报告 周期新启，攻守兼备 强于大市（维持） 行情走势图 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 25-01 25-02 25-03 25-04 25-05 25-06 25-07 25-08 25-09 25-10 25-11 25-12 沪深300 石油石化 煤炭 证券分析师 | 陈潇榕 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | --- | --- | | | S1060523110001 | | | chenxiaorong186@pingan.com.cn | 马书蕾 投资咨询资格编号 S1060524070002 mashulei362@pingan.com.cn 平安观点： 行 业 报 告 行 业 年 度 策 略 报 告 证 券 研 究 报 告 图表1 主要大宗商品和金融资产价格涨跌幅 图表2 原油、天然气、煤炭价格走势(美元/百万英热) 资料来源： wind ，钢联数据，平安证券研究所，注：数据截至 2025.11.20 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 10 11 12 13 ...

Group 1 - The banking industry in 2026 will face a mixed external environment with strong macroeconomic resilience but insufficient effective demand, leading to continued moderate monetary policy and challenges in asset allocation due to a low interest rate environment [4][10] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the construction of a financial powerhouse, urging banks to leverage their resource endowments and deepen their strategic initiatives over the next five years [4][10][22] - The overall financial performance of listed banks is expected to improve in 2026, driven by the recovery of net interest income and non-interest income, with a projected net profit growth of 2.4% year-on-year [4][27] Group 2 - The net interest margin is expected to narrow by 6 basis points in 2026, with net interest income growth projected to rise to 4% compared to 0.3% in 2025 [4][27] - Non-interest income is anticipated to continue improving due to the recovery of wealth management opportunities and the fading impact of fee reductions from previous years [4][27] - The overall asset quality of the banking sector is expected to remain stable, with a focus on monitoring risks in the retail sector [4][27] Group 3 - The investment strategy emphasizes high dividend yields as a protective measure, with the banking sector's average dividend yield at 3.94%, providing a significant premium over ten-year government bonds [4][27] - Specific banks such as Chengdu Bank, Jiangsu Bank, and Shanghai Bank are highlighted for their strong regional advantages and potential for continued dividend growth [4][27][34] - The report suggests that the active capital market will provide a potential boost to quality retail banks, enhancing their recovery prospects [4][27]