汽车 2025 年 06 月 12 日 比较研究系列 从财报看三类车企有何新变化趋势 强于大市（维持） 行情走势图 证券分析师 王德安 投资咨询资格编号 S1060511010006 BQV509 WANGDEAN002@pingan.com.cn 王跟海 投资咨询资格编号 S1060523080001 BVG944 WANGGENHAI964@pingan.com.cn 平安观点： 行 业 报 告 行 业 深 度 报 告 证 券 研 究 报 告 民营车企：盈利韧性强，2025 年加速辅助驾驶平权。高端化突破、出口 占比提升、新能源车规模效应凸显使得主要民营车企体现较强盈利韧性。 高端化战略成效显著，盈利能力持续提升，赛力斯依托问界系列热销，长 城汽车凭借坦克、皮卡等核心品牌。海外市场贡献可观利润。新能源车领 域，比亚迪凭借规模优势及产业链优势，保持较高单车盈利，吉利汽车凭 业务聚焦与新能源车业务迈入规模效应期实现盈利回暖。2025 年以比亚 迪、吉利为代表的民营车企成为推动高速辅助驾驶下沉并普及的主力军。 新势力车企：自我造血迫切性提升，新一轮产品验证成长性。理想汽车盈 利能力依然稳健，零跑、小鹏毛利率改善 ...

证券研究报告 白银:工业属性渐显，静待价值重估 有色金属强于大市（维持） 平安证券研究所 分析师：陈潇榕S1060523110001（证券投资咨询） 邮箱：chenxiaorong186@pingan.com.cn 分析师：马书蕾S1060524070002（证券投资咨询） 邮箱：mashulei362@pingan.com.cn 2025年6月12日 请务必阅读正文后免责条款 核心摘要 供给端：供应刚性逐步凸显，成本中枢趋势抬升。全球白银2016-2024年供应总量CAGR达-0.5%。2024年全球矿产银总供给中伴生矿产量 占比约72.2%，供给结构决定了白银供给对银价的正相关性较弱，白银供给影响因素相对外生，银价中枢的走高难以直接刺激出白银产 量的增量释放。2018-2024年全球白银平均现金成本CAGR达14.6%。2024年矿产银成本下降，副产品收益为成本变动的核心因素。 需求端：工业需求增长持续，短缺格局或仍延续。2024年全球白银工业需求占比约58.5%，2024年白银工业需求同比增长3.6%，光伏需 求为近年来工业需求第一大增长极。光伏银浆单耗现边际下降趋势，但受益于新增装机规模持续提升以及组 ...

银行 2025 年 6 月 12 日 行业深度报告 险资银行板块配置研究：风格匹配，正当其时 强于大市（维持） 行情走势图 相关研究报告 【平安证券】行业年度策略报告*银行*盈利磨底， 固本培元*强于大市 20241213 证券分析师 | 袁喆奇 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | --- | --- | | | S1060520080003 | | | YUANZHEQI052@pingan.com.cn | | 许淼 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | | S1060525020001 | | | XUMIAO533@pingan.com.cn | 研究助理 李灵琇 一般证券从业资格编号 S1060124070021 LILINGXIU785@pingan.com.cn 平安观点： 行 业 报 告 行 业 深 度 报 告 证 券 研 究 报 告 请通过合法途径获取本公司研究报告，如经由未经许可的渠道获得研究报告，请慎重使用并注意阅读研究报告尾页的声明内容。 险资投资银行股复盘：温故知新，高股息投资趋势正当时。纵观险资投资 银行股脉络，历史上总共有 2015 年、2020 年和 2024 年开始的三次险资 举牌潮，驱动 ...

证券研究报告 白银:工业属性渐显，静待价值重估 有色金属强于大市（维持） 平安证券研究所 分析师：陈潇榕S1060523110001（证券投资咨询） 邮箱：chenxiaorong186@pingan.com.cn 分析师：马书蕾S1060524070002（证券投资咨询） 邮箱：mashulei362@pingan.com.cn 2025年6月12日 请务必阅读正文后免责条款 核心摘要 供给端：供应刚性逐步凸显，成本中枢趋势抬升。全球白银2016-2024年供应总量CAGR达-0.5%。2024年全球矿产银总供给中伴生矿产量 占比约72.2%，供给结构决定了白银供给对银价的正相关性较弱，白银供给影响因素相对外生，银价中枢的走高难以直接刺激出白银产 量的增量释放。2018-2024年全球白银平均现金成本CAGR达14.6%。2024年矿产银成本下降，副产品收益为成本变动的核心因素。 需求端：工业需求增长持续，短缺格局或仍延续。2024年全球白银工业需求占比约58.5%，2024年白银工业需求同比增长3.6%，光伏需 求为近年来工业需求第一大增长极。光伏银浆单耗现边际下降趋势，但受益于新增装机规模持续提升以及组 ...

其 他 报 告 2025年06月12日 晨会纪要 | 国内市场 | | 涨跌幅（%） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数 | 收盘 | 1日 | 上周 | | 上证综合指数 | 3402 | 0.52 | 1.13 | | 深证成份指数 | 10246 | 0.83 | 1.42 | | 沪深300指数 | 3895 | 0.75 | 0.88 | | 创业板指数 | 2062 | 1.21 | 2.32 | | 上证国债指数 | 225 | 0.01 | 0.08 | | 上证基金指数 | 6920 | 0.09 | 0.17 | | | | 资料来源:同花顺iFinD | | 今日重点推荐： 【平安证券】基金深度报告*量化行业比较系列报告之二：基于资 本开支周期的行业比较与轮动策略*20250611 研究分析师 : 任书康 投资咨询资格编号 : S1060525050001 研究分析师 : 郭子睿 投资咨询资格编号 : S1060520070003 研究分析师 : 陈瑶 投资咨询资格编号 : S1060524120003 研究助理 : 高越 一般证券从业资格编号 : S1 ...

相关研究报告 【平安证券】量化行业比较系列报告之一：基于 资本开支周期的 PB-ROE 模型在行业比较运用 *20241105 证券分析师 | 郭子睿 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | --- | --- | | | S1060520070003 | | | GUOZIRUI807@pingan.com.cn | | 任书康 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | | S1060525050001 | | | RENSHUKANG722@pingan.com.cn | | 陈瑶 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | | S1060524120003 | | | CHENYAO370@pingan.com.cn | 研究助理 胡心怡 一般证券从业资格编号 S1060124030069 HUXINYI184@pingan.com.cn 高越 一般证券从业资格编号 S1060124070014 GAOYUE384@pingan.com.cn 基金 2025 年 6 月 11 日 量化行业比较系列报告之二： 基于资本开支周期的行业比较与轮动策略 金 报 告 资本开支周期：供给侧视角下的行业比较。资本开支周期是中国行业周期的 主导驱动力，资 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not mention the industry investment rating [1] Core Viewpoints - Overseas uncertainties have marginally eased, and the domestic bond market yield curve has steepened. The launch of policy - based financial tools may impact the bond market, and in the current situation of balanced and loose liquidity and narrow - range bond market fluctuations, attention should be paid to factors that may break the balance of long - and short - term forces and some structural opportunities [2][3][4] Summary by Directory PART1: Overseas Uncertainties Marginally Eased, Domestic Yield Curve Steepened 1.1 Overseas - Policy uncertainties have marginally eased, and market risk appetite has recovered. In May, the US made partial progress in trade negotiations, risk assets outperformed safe - haven assets, the US dollar index stopped falling but was weak, and the market focus shifted to fiscal and tax policies. The Trump tax - cut bill passed in the House, which may increase a deficit of $2.3 - 3 trillion in the next decade, and Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating, causing the 30Y US Treasury yield to exceed 5%. Japanese and European long - term bond yields generally rose, with Japanese bond yields rising due to concerns about fiscal sustainability, and the eurozone pricing in fiscal leverage and risk - appetite recovery [7][10][13] 1.2 Domestic - The asset performance was stable, with the equity market rising first and then moving sideways, and the commodity market fluctuating at a low level. In May, the central bank cut interest rates and the reserve - requirement ratio, the liquidity was loose, and the yield curve steepened. Credit bonds outperformed interest - rate bonds, with credit spreads narrowing by 7 - 19BP. In terms of institutional behavior, the bond - market leverage ratio was stable at a low level. Large banks' bond - buying scale may have increased, rural commercial banks actively bet on duration, funds reduced duration and positions and shifted to credit bonds, insurance companies' bond - allocation rhythm returned to normal, and wealth management products' liabilities became abundant again and continued to overweight inter - bank certificates of deposit [15][22][28] PART2: Policy - based Financial Tools Review 2.1 Politburo Meeting Mentioned "Establishing New Policy - based Financial Tools" - In April 2025, the Politburo meeting mentioned "establishing new policy - based financial tools". Historically, there were two rounds of policy - based tools led by policy banks: the 2 - trillion special construction funds from 2015 - 2017 and the policy - based and development financial tools in 2022. Both used policy - bank - established funds as project capital with fiscal subsidies to boost infrastructure investment [44] 2.2 Policy - based Tools' Effects and Bond - Market Pricing - Both rounds of policy - based tools were accompanied by a package of policies, supporting specific areas of investment. The 2015 - 2017 tools mainly supported the shantytown renovation and real - estate investment, while the 2022 tools mainly supported transportation infrastructure and infrastructure investment. In the bond market, short - term pricing was based on policy expectations, with the 10Y Treasury yield rising by 2 - 7BP within 3 trading days after policy announcements. Medium - term pricing depended on the rhythm of policy announcements and fundamental data improvement, with the 10Y Treasury yield rising by 18 - 30BP over 2 - 5 months [3][46][48] PART3: Bond - Market Strategy 3.1 Since April, the Bond - Market Trading Mainline Entered a Sideways State after Several Switches - Since April, the bond - market trading mainline has entered a state of balanced long - and short - term forces after several switches, and the 10Y Treasury yield has been fluctuating around 1.67% [53] 3.2 Mid - term Impact of Deposit - Rate Cuts - On May 20, large banks initiated a new round of deposit - rate cuts. Since 2024, deposit - rate cuts have effectively reduced deposit costs, with different impacts on large and small banks [57] 3.3 Mid - term Impact and Market Structure - Deposit - rate cuts may have two structural impacts: if the central bank does not cooperate, the flow of large - bank deposits to non - banks or small banks may tighten liquidity; in the medium term, small banks and non - banks have abundant funds, which support the bond market. However, trading funds are scattered among different assets, making it difficult to form a unified force [61][64] 3.4 Central Bank's Concerns - The probability of further decline or increase in the funding rate is low. Recently, external pressure has eased, the net - interest - margin pressure has decreased, capital - market prices have basically recovered, and the risk of capital idling is controllable [70] 3.5 Cost - effective Structural Points - The 10Y Treasury yield is still fluctuating around 1.65 - 1.70%, and positions can be established at the upper limit of the range. Factors that may drive the yield curve down include deposit - rate cuts, slow adjustment following fundamental data announcements, and the central bank's restart of Treasury trading. Possible resistances are the flat yield curve and the non - implementation of "new policy - based financial tools". Currently, cost - effective structural points include medium - and long - term credit bonds, 1 - 5Y Treasuries, 7Y Agricultural Development Bank bonds, and 15Y local bonds [75]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the power equipment and new energy sector [1]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights strong performance in emerging markets, with a recovery in Q1 earnings for household storage companies. Key players in the household storage and string inverter segments have similar business compositions, including photovoltaic inverters, energy storage inverters, and energy storage batteries. The report analyzes five representative companies: DeYee, Jinlang Technology, GoodWe, Shouhang Energy, and Airo Energy, noting that DeYee and Jinlang Technology achieved revenue growth in 2024 due to increased demand in emerging markets [2][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Household Storage Companies' Fundamentals - Emerging markets show robust growth, with Q1 performance rebounding. DeYee and Jinlang Technology reported positive revenue growth in 2024, driven by demand in Asia. DeYee leads in the emerging market household storage sector, achieving a 65% increase in net profit. In contrast, companies focused on the European market experienced revenue declines due to slowing demand [2][6][12]. 2. Business Layout - The five companies have varying focuses within the energy storage sector, with DeYee and Airo Energy emphasizing energy storage, while Jinlang Technology and GoodWe focus more on photovoltaic string inverters. The report notes that energy storage products have higher and more stable gross margins compared to photovoltaic inverters, indicating less price competition in the household storage segment [2][19][25]. 3. Regional Layout - The report identifies promising demand in emerging markets and significant potential in the European commercial storage sector. The distributed photovoltaic storage market is expanding globally, with emerging markets in Asia, Africa, and Latin America showing rapid growth since early 2024. DeYee has a broad market presence, while Jinlang Technology and GoodWe are expanding their overseas operations [2][49][50]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook for household storage and commercial storage markets in emerging regions and Europe. It recommends focusing on DeYee for its strong market position and effective channel development, while also suggesting attention to Airo Energy and Jinlang Technology for their strong profitability and growth potential in emerging markets [2][48].

汽车 比较研究系列 以长板优势推进品牌进阶，智驾强监管筑牢安全底座 强于大市（维持） 行情走势图 证券分析师 王德安 投资咨询资格编号 S1060511010006 BQV509 WANGDEAN002@pingan.com.cn 王跟海 投资咨询资格编号 S1060523080001 BVG944 WANGGENHAI964@pingan.com.cn 平安观点： 行 业 报 告 行 业 深 度 报 告 证 券 研 究 报 告 请通过合法途径获取本公司研究报告，如经由未经许可的渠道获得研究报告，请慎重使用并注意阅读研究报告尾页的声明内容。 2025 年 06 月 11 日 发挥长板以实现品牌进阶。当前车企的高端化策略大致分为两类：一是具 有明显长板的车企深耕自身优势领域，并持续扩大领先，产品策略以及技 术路线不盲从，典型代表理想汽车、长城汽车、小米汽车。理想 MEGA 坚持品牌旗舰定位，通过推出家庭特别版将家庭用户体验发挥得更加极 致；长城汽车深耕越野品类，推出大功率发动机，高端化突破方式不走寻 常路；小米汽车推出 SU7 Ultra，进一步强化用户对 SU7 的运动属性认知； 二是对标思路，2025 年上 ...

公 司 报 告 电子 海光信息(688041.SH) 海光信息吸收合并中科曙光，实现算力产业链闭环布局 推荐 ( 维持) 股价:141.98元 主要数据 | 行业 | 电子 | | --- | --- | | 公司网址 | www.hygon.cn | | 大股东/持股 | 曙光信息产业股份有限公司/27.96% | | 实际控制人 | | | 总股本(百万股) | 2,324 | | 流通A股(百万股) | 887 | | 流通B/H股(百万股) | | | 总市值(亿元) | 3,300 | | 流通A股市值(亿元) | 1,259 | | 每股净资产(元) | 8.94 | | 资产负债率(%) | 24.6 | 行情走势图 证券分析师 事项： 海光信息&中科曙光发布公告，海光信息将换股吸收合并中科曙光，并募集配 套资金。 平安观点： 证 券 研 究 报 告 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 6,012 | 9,162 | 13,757 | 19, ...