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吉电股份(000875):业绩简评经营分析盈利预测、估值与评级风险提示
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 01:52
业绩简评 4 月 28 日晚间公司披露 24 年报及 25 年一季报,24 年公司实 现营收 137.4 亿元,同比-4.9%;实现归母净利润 10.99 亿元, 同比+21%。1Q25 实现营收 37.6 亿元,同比-1.4%;实现归母 净利润 6.2 亿元,同比+0.7%。 经营分析 盈利预测、估值与评级 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 240429 240729 241029 250129 人民币(元) 成交金额(百万元) 成交金额 吉电股份 沪深300 | 公司基本情况(人民币) | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 项目 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 营业收入(百万元) | 14,443 | 13,740 | 14,289 | 15,464 | 16,217 | | 营业收入增长率 | -3.42% | -4.87% | 4.00% | 8.22% | 4.87% | | 归母净利润(百万元) ...
三一重能(688349):整机制造筑底,“两海”持续突破有望驱动盈利回升
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 01:48
业绩简评 2025 年 4 月 28 日公司披露 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报,2024 年全年公司实现营收 178 亿元,同比增长 19.1%;实现归母净利润 18.1 亿元,同比下降 9.7%,实现扣非归母净利 15.9 亿元,同比 下降 1.8%。2025 年一季度公司实现营收 21.9 亿元,同比增长 26.6%;实现归母净利润-1.91 亿元,同比下降 172%。 经营分析 制造业务盈利筑底,"两海"突破有望带动盈利回升:2024 年公司 风机制造板块实现收入 136 亿元,同比增长 13.8%,实现毛利率 10.99%,同比下降 0.19pct。2024 年以来公司"两海"业务取得多 项重大突破:海外方面,公司深耕中亚、南亚、东南亚等类中国市 场,突破欧洲高端市场,在印度、哈萨克斯坦、菲律宾、德国等地 区实现订单获取,全年新签项目合同近 2GW;海上方面,公司中标 揭阳石碑山 200MW 风电项目及河北建投祥云岛 250MW 海风项目, 海上机型进入批量化交付阶段。2024 年公司海外毛利率约 21.7%, 较国内风机业务毛利率高 10pct 以上,预计随着公司"两海"持续 突破,交付占 ...
伊力特(600197):产品结构明显提升,关注改革成效
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 01:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price indicating a potential upside of 5% to 15% over the next 6 to 12 months [5][13]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.2 billion RMB in 2024, a decrease of 1.3% year-on-year, and a net profit of 290 million RMB, down 15.9% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, revenue was 800 million RMB, a decline of 4.3%, with a net profit of 140 million RMB, down 9.3% year-on-year. The performance aligns with expectations despite external pressures [2][5]. - The revenue structure shows a significant improvement in product mix, with high-end products achieving a revenue of 1.53 billion RMB in 2024, up 4.3% year-on-year, while mid-range and low-end products saw declines of 8.2% and 20.5% respectively. In Q1 2025, high-end products generated 620 million RMB, an increase of 8.8% year-on-year [3][4]. - The company aims for a revenue target of 2.3 billion RMB in 2025, representing a 4% increase, and a net profit target of 405 million RMB, remaining flat compared to 2024 [4][5]. Revenue Structure Summary - **Product Segment**: In 2024, high-end products generated 1.53 billion RMB, mid-range products 510 million RMB, and low-end products 130 million RMB. For Q1 2025, high-end products saw revenue of 620 million RMB, while mid-range and low-end products dropped significantly [3]. - **Regional Performance**: In 2024, revenue from within the region was 1.6 billion RMB, down 5.8%, while revenue from outside the region increased by 16.7% to 570 million RMB. In Q1 2025, regional revenue was 700 million RMB, up 3.5%, while outside revenue fell by 37.9% to 90 million RMB [3]. - **Channel Performance**: Direct sales in 2024 reached 490 million RMB, up 90.9%, while online and wholesale channels saw declines. In Q1 2025, direct sales were 200 million RMB, an increase of 69.9% [3]. Financial Metrics Summary - The company's net profit margin decreased by 2.3 percentage points to 13.0% in 2024, with a gross margin increase of 4.1 percentage points. For Q1 2025, the net profit margin was 18.1%, down 1.0 percentage point year-on-year [4]. - The cash dividend payout ratio significantly increased to 74.5% in 2024, indicating a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders [4]. - The forecast for net profit in 2025 is 320 million RMB, with an expected growth of 10.6% in 2026 and 13.9% in 2027 [5][10].
迎驾贡酒(603198):省外节奏拖累,产品结构持续优化
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 01:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5][13]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 7.34 billion RMB for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.59 billion RMB, up 13.4% year-on-year [2]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.05 billion RMB, down 12.3% year-on-year, with a net profit of 830 million RMB, down 9.5% year-on-year, indicating a decline in performance compared to market expectations [2]. - The revenue structure shows that the underperformance is mainly due to low-priced products and challenges in expanding outside the province [3]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 73.4 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 8.5%, and a net profit of 25.9 billion RMB, reflecting a growth of 13.4% [2]. - In Q1 2025, the revenue was 20.5 billion RMB, a decrease of 12.3% year-on-year, and the net profit was 8.3 billion RMB, down 9.5% year-on-year [2]. Operational Analysis - By product, the revenue for mid-to-high-end and regular liquor in 2024 was 57.1 billion RMB and 12.9 billion RMB, respectively, with year-on-year changes of +13.8% and -6.5% [3]. - The revenue from mid-to-high-end liquor in Q1 2025 was 17.2 billion RMB, down 8.6% year-on-year, while regular liquor revenue fell by 32.1% [3]. - Regionally, the company reported revenues of 50.9 billion RMB from within the province and 19.1 billion RMB from outside the province in 2024, with year-on-year growth of 12.8% and 1.3%, respectively [3]. Financial Quality - The net profit margin for 2024 increased by 1.5 percentage points to 35.3%, with a gross margin increase of 2.9 percentage points [4]. - In Q1 2025, the net profit margin was 40.5%, up 1.3 percentage points year-on-year, with a gross margin increase of 1.5 percentage points [4]. - The company is focusing on marketing for its cave-aged series, indicating a sustained upward potential in product structure [4]. Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - The report adjusts the net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 down by 10% and 14%, respectively, with expected revenues growing by 3.4% in 2025 and 5.1% in 2026 [5]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.72 billion RMB, 2.90 billion RMB, and 3.26 billion RMB, respectively [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 3.40 RMB, 3.62 RMB, and 4.07 RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 14.4, 13.5, and 12.0 [5].
三诺生物(300298):销售费用投入增加,CGM产品有望快速放量
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 01:34
业绩简述 2025 年 4 月 28 日,公司发布 2025 年一季度报告,25Q1 公司实现 收入 10.42 亿元,同比+2.76%;归母净利润 7212 万元,同比- 10.90%;扣非归母净利润 6684 万元,同比-13.84%。 经营分析 一季度销售费用投入增加,CGM 产品有望快速放量。一季度公司收 入端保持稳健增长,以血糖监测产品为核心的慢性病快速检测业 务经营平稳。Q1 公司销售费用投入 2.89 亿元,同比+19.57%,预 计针对新产品 CGM 的国内外推广投入仍在持续,短期利润端增速 有一定压力,但 CGM 产品保持快速增长趋势,份额有望持续提升。 重视创新研发投入,第二代 CGM 产品顺利获批。2024 年 12 月公司 公告新一代 CGM 产品国内获批,CGM 二代新产品在设计、工艺上进 一步改进。相较于一代产品,公司持续葡萄糖监测系统二代产品采 用一体式植入,无需组装,用户佩戴更简单;此外公司进一步优化 了产品尺寸,能够带给用户更好的佩戴体验。 签订欧洲 CGM 合作协议,海外市场有望逐步放量。2024 年 12 月公 司披露了关于签订日常经营重要合同的公告,公司与 A. MEN ...
浙能电力(600023):公司点评:1Q25电价下降盈利承压, 24年维持高分红
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 01:28
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected earnings per share (EPS) of 0.50, 0.59, and 0.61 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 12x, 10x, and 10x [4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 88.0 billion yuan for 2024, a decrease of 8.3% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 7.75 billion yuan, an increase of 18.9% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, revenue was 17.6 billion yuan, down 12.1% year-on-year, and net profit was 1.07 billion yuan, down 40.8% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company achieved a significant improvement in thermal power profitability in 2024, with a total electricity generation of 164.7 billion kWh, up 6.6% year-on-year, primarily due to the full operation of the Six Horizontal Power Plant Phase II project and increased electricity demand in Zhejiang Province [2]. - The company plans a cash dividend of 0.29 yuan per share for 2024, representing a 50.2% payout ratio, with a current dividend yield of approximately 5.0% [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company experienced a revenue decline of 8.3% to 88.0 billion yuan, while net profit increased by 18.9% to 7.75 billion yuan. The projected revenues for 2025 and 2026 are 81.78 billion yuan and 83.14 billion yuan, respectively, with expected growth rates of -7.1% and 1.7% [8][10]. - The company’s operating cash flow remains healthy, covering capital expenditures, and reducing the debt-to-asset ratio from 45.7% at the end of 2023 to 42.3% in Q1 2025 [4]. Market Conditions - The decline in electricity prices in Q1 2025 was greater than the reduction in costs, leading to pressure on profitability. The average purchase price for industrial and commercial electricity in Zhejiang Province fell by 72 yuan/MWh year-on-year [3]. - The company’s coal inventory was high at the end of 2024, which has not yet reflected in the financial statements, contributing to the pressure on Q1 2025 earnings [3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see marginal improvements in profitability as high-cost inventory is consumed, with anticipated net profits of 6.63 billion yuan, 7.91 billion yuan, and 8.14 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4][8].
普瑞眼科(301239):25Q1业绩亮眼,盈利能力改善显著
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 01:26
业绩简评 2025 年 4 月 28 日,公司发布 2024 年年度报告,24 年公司实现收 入 26.78 亿元(同比-1.46%),实现归母净利润-1.02 亿元,扣非 归母净利润-0.85 亿元。 同时公司发布 2025 年一季报,25Q1 公司实现营业收入 7.42 亿元 (同比+9.82%),归母净利润 0.27 亿元(同比+61.18%),扣非归母 净利润 0.28 亿元(同比+48.37%)。 经营分析 盈利能力改善显著,成本控制成效初显。25Q1 公司毛利率约为 39.34%,毛利率相对稳健。费用端,25Q1 公司管理费用率为 12.44%(同比下降 2.61pct),销售费用率为 16.52%,同比基本持 平。整体来看,公司成本管控措施逐步显效,新院对整体利润的拖 累可能有所减轻,未来盈利能力有望逐步改善。 扩张步伐稳健,新院逐步产生贡献。公司坚持"全国连锁化+同城 一体化"战略,聚焦中心城市并进行同城加密布局。随着新院逐渐 成熟,有望为未来增长提供动力,并逐步改善盈利能力。 盈利预测、估值与评级 我们预计 2025-2027 年公司分别实现归母净利润 1.30/1.61/2.02 亿元,同 ...
迎驾贡酒:省外节奏拖累,产品结构持续优化-20250429
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 01:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5][13]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 7.34 billion RMB for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.59 billion RMB, up 13.4% year-on-year [2]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.05 billion RMB, down 12.3% year-on-year, with a net profit of 830 million RMB, a decrease of 9.5% year-on-year [2]. - The overall performance for Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 shows a revenue decline of 9% and a net profit decline of 8% compared to the previous year, which was below market expectations [2]. Revenue Analysis - In terms of product revenue, mid-to-high-end and regular liquor generated 5.71 billion RMB and 1.29 billion RMB in 2024, with year-on-year growth of 13.8% and a decline of 6.5% respectively [3]. - For Q1 2025, mid-to-high-end and regular liquor revenues were 1.72 billion RMB and 240 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 8.6% and 32.1% respectively [3]. - The revenue from provincial and out-of-province sales in 2024 was 5.09 billion RMB and 1.91 billion RMB, with year-on-year growth of 12.8% and 1.3% respectively [3]. Profitability and Financial Metrics - The net profit margin for 2024 increased by 1.5 percentage points to 35.3%, with a gross margin increase of 2.9 percentage points [4]. - In Q1 2025, the net profit margin rose by 1.3 percentage points to 40.5%, with a gross margin increase of 1.5 percentage points [4]. - The report forecasts net profits of 2.72 billion RMB, 2.90 billion RMB, and 3.26 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 4.9%, 6.6%, and 12.3% [5]. Valuation Metrics - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 3.40 RMB, 3.62 RMB, and 4.07 RMB respectively [5]. - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 14.4, 13.5, and 12.0 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [5].
酒鬼酒:业绩仍承压,静待内外理顺-20250429
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 01:23
2025 年 4 月 28 日,公司披露 24 年年报及 25 年一季报。1)24 年实现营收 14.2 亿元,同比-49.7%;实现归母净利 0.1 亿元, 同比-97.7%。2)25Q1 实现营收 3.4 亿元,同比-30.3%;实现归 母净利 0.3 亿元,同比-56.8%。业绩仍处于承压阶段。 分产品来看,24 年内参/酒鬼/湘泉/其他系列分别实现营收 2.4/8.3/0.8/2.7 亿元,同比-67%/-49%/+8%/-31%,其中销量分 别-56%/-46%/+19%/-20%,吨价分别-25%/-6%/-10%/-13%,吨价 下行致使内参/酒鬼/其他系列毛利率分别-2.4/-2.9/-10.1pct。 期内公司仍着手去化渠道遗留库存问题,聚焦消费者扫码、宴席 活动,期内宴席、消费者扫码有明显增长。公司也阶段性开始梳 理产品架构,酒鬼酒 SKU 压减 50%,构建"2+2+2"战略单品体 系,即 2 个战略单品(内参、红坛)、2 个重点单品(妙品、透明 装)、2 个馥郁香基础单品(内品、湘泉)。 分渠道来看,24 年线上/线下分别实现营收 1.9/12.3 亿元,同比 -34%/-51%。此外 ...
伊力特:产品结构明显提升,关注改革成效-20250429
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 01:23
2025 年 4 月 28 日,公司披露 24 年年报及 25 年一季报。1)24 年 实现营收 22.0 亿元,同比-1.3%;归母净利 2.9 亿元,同比-15.9%。 2)25Q1 实现营收 8.0 亿元,同比-4.3%;归母净利 1.4 亿元,同 比-9.3%。业绩表现符合预期,外部环境扰动下仍有承压。 从营收结构来看:1)产品端,24 年高档/中档/低档分别实现营收 15.3/5.1/1.3 亿元,同比+4.3%/-8.2%/-20.5%,其中销量分别- 13.6%/-6.5%/-27.1%,吨价分别+20.7%/-1.8%/+9.0%。25Q1 高档 /中档/低档分别实现营收6.2/1.3/0.3亿元,同比+8.8%/-30.7%/- 41.0%。公司产品结构提升明显,伊力王等自营产品有不错增长。 2)区域端,24 年疆内/疆外分别实现营收 16.0/5.7 亿元,同比- 5.8%/+16.7%;25Q1 疆内/疆外分别实现营收 7.0/0.9 亿元,同比 +3.5%/-37.9%。3)渠道端,24 年直销/线上/批发分别实现营收 4.9/1.3/15.4 亿元,同比+90.9%/-1.7%/-1 ...