房地产行业 持有（维持） 保利发展（600048）2024 年年报点评 行业周期性下行导致业绩承压，龙头地位仍稳固 2025 年 4 月 30 日 投资要点： 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 公 司 点 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340513040001 电话：0769-22177163 邮箱：hmy@dgzq.com.cn | 分析师：何敏仪 SAC 执业证书编号： | | | --- | --- | | S0340513040001 | | | 电话：0769-22177163 | 公 | | 邮箱：hmy@dgzq.com.cn | 司 研 | | 主要数据 2025 年 4 | 究 月 29 日 | | 收盘价(元) | 8.33 | | 总市值（亿元） | 997.14 | | 总股本(百万股) | 11970.44 | | 流通股本(百万股) | 11970.44 | | ROE（TTM） | 3.23 | | 12 月最高价(元) | 9.32 | | 12 月最低价(元) 7. ...

事件：公司发布2025年一季报。 点评 公 司 研 究 买入（维持） 顺利实现开门红，增长势能延续 贵州茅台（600519）2025 年一季报点评 2025 年 4 月 30 日 投资要点： SAC 执业证书编号： S0340523020001 电话：0769-22119410 邮箱： huangdongyi@dgzq.com.cn | 主要数据 | | | --- | --- | | 2025 年 4 月 29 | 日 | | 收盘价(元) | 1544.00 | | 总市值（亿元） | 19395.69 | | 总股本(亿股) | 12.56 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 12.56 | | ROE（TTM） | 36.99% | | 12 月最高价(元) | 1880.59 | | 12 月最低价(元) | 1226.64 | 股价走势 资料来源：同花顺，东莞证券研究所 相关报告 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 公 司 点 评 食品饮料行业 分析师：黄冬祎 证 券 研 究 报 告 ◼ 公司 ...

基础化工行业 买入（维持） 制冷剂价格持续上涨，公司业绩大增 公 司 点 评 三美股份（603379）2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评 2025 年 4 月 30 日 投资要点： 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 公司发布2024年年报及2025年一季报，公司2024年实现营收40.40亿元， 同比+21.17%；实现归母净利润7.79亿元，同比+178.40%；实现扣非归 母净利润7.48亿元，同比+257.74%。2025Q1，公司实现营收12.12亿元， 同比+26.42%，环比+21.20%；实现归母净利润4.01亿元，同比+159.59%， 环比83.94%；实现扣非归母净利润3.96亿元，同比+156.46%，环比+98%。 主要数据 2025 年 4 月 29 日 2024年公司制冷剂产品价格、盈利同比明显提升，推动业绩大涨。公司 去年业绩增长主要受氟制冷剂业务增长所驱动。2024年，国家对第二、 三代氟制冷剂均实行生产配额管理，行业的 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for Huaxin Cement, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock performance in the near term [1]. Core Views - Huaxin Cement is actively expanding its overseas operations, which opens up significant growth opportunities. The company aims to double its overseas cement production capacity from 25 million tons to approximately 50 million tons by 2025 [6][31]. - Despite a decline in cement sales, the company has seen notable growth in its non-cement businesses, such as aggregates and concrete, which have become important contributors to overall profitability [6][24]. - The company's revenue has shown a consistent upward trend, with a record high of 34.217 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting resilience in a challenging industry environment [36]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Huaxin Cement, founded in 1907, is one of China's oldest cement companies and has evolved into a global building materials group with operations in 17 provinces and 16 countries [13][14]. 2. Integrated Development - The company has achieved vertical integration by developing a full industry chain that includes cement, concrete, aggregates, and new building materials, enhancing its competitive advantage [15][17]. 3. Sales and Profitability - Cement sales declined by 22% in 2022 but showed a slight recovery in 2023. In 2024, the decline was limited to about 2%, outperforming the industry average [6][24]. - Non-cement business revenues, particularly from concrete and aggregates, have increased significantly, contributing to overall profitability [24][26]. 4. Overseas Expansion - The company has established a presence in 12 countries and aims to enhance its international footprint, particularly in Central Asia and Africa, where demand for cement is expected to grow [6][31]. - In 2024, overseas revenue reached 7.984 billion yuan, a 47% increase year-on-year, with cement sales growing by 37% [31][34]. 5. Financial Performance - The company achieved a net profit of 2.953 billion yuan in 2024, despite a decline from the previous year, showcasing its ability to maintain profitability amid industry challenges [36][39]. - The weighted average return on equity (ROE) for 2024 was 8.16%, positioning the company favorably within the industry [39]. 6. Investment Recommendations - The report forecasts EPS for 2025-2027 to be 1.24 yuan, 1.43 yuan, and 1.52 yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios indicating an attractive valuation [46][51]. - The company maintains a stable dividend payout ratio of around 40%, providing a reliable return for shareholders [43][44].

超配（维持） 基本盘稳中有进，云数业务快速发展 深 度 研 运营商行业专题报告 2025 年 4 月 30 日 罗炜斌 S0340521020001 电话：0769-22110619 邮箱： luoweibin@dgzq.com.cn 陈伟光 S0340520060001 电话：0769-22119430 邮箱： chenweiguang@dgzq.com.cn SAC 执业证书编号： S0340524070002 电话：0769-22119302 邮箱： chenzhanqian@dgzq.com.cn 资料来源：iFind，东莞证券研究所 相关报告 投资要点： 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 通信行业 SAC 执业证书编号： 通信运营商用户基本盘持续增长。根据工信部数据披露，截至2025年3 月末，包括中国移动、中国电信、中国联通在内的三家基础电信企业及 中国广电的移动电话用户总数达18亿户，比上年末净增994.5万户。其 中5G移动电话用户达10.68亿户，比上年末净增5445万户，移固电 ...

机械设备行业 买入（维持） 2025Q1 盈利能力提升，PLC 产品营收高增 雷赛智能（002979）2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评 2025 年 4 月 30 日 投资要点： 事件：雷赛智能发布2024年报及2025年一季报。 点评： 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 分析师：谢少威 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340523010003 电话：0769-23320059 邮箱： xieshaowei@dgzq.com.cn | 主要数据 2025 年 | 4 月 | 29 | 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元) | | 46.49 | | | 总市值（亿元） | | 143.02 | | | 总股本(亿股) | 3.08 | | | | 流通股本(亿股) | 2.18 | | | | ROE（TTM） | | 13.04% | | | 12 月最高价(元) | | 57.40 | | | 12 月最低价(元) | | 17.34 | | 公 司 ...

超配（维持） 快充已成大势所趋，产业链迎发展机遇 深 度 报 告 快充产业链专题报告 锂电池产业链 2025 年 4 月 30 日 S0340512090001 电话：0769-22119455 邮箱：hxy3@dgzq.com.cn 锂电池指数走势 资料来源：Wind，东莞证券研究所 证 券 研 究 投资要点： 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 分析师：黄秀瑜 SAC 执业证书编号： 充电桩仍存较大缺口，快速补能需求凸显。截至2024年底，国内新能源 汽车保有量达3140万辆，同比增长53.85%，车桩比为2.4:1，充电桩供 需缺口仍较大。提高电池能量密度和缩短充电时间是解决新能源汽车里 程焦虑和补能焦虑的两大关键途径。随着电池技术不断进步，新能源汽 车的电池容量不断突破。与此同时，充电时长成为另一个亟待解决的痛 点。大功率快充是解决补能焦虑的最重要方式。当前公共充电桩仍以低 功率为主，快充渗透不足。为了缓解潜在消费者的补能焦虑，更大释放 新能源汽车消费市场潜力，大力发展快充桩已成大势所趋。 ...

超配（维持） 交运板块新思 交通运输行业 交通运输行业深度报告 2025 年 4 月 30 日 分析师：邓升亮 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340523050001 电话：0769-22119410 邮箱： dengshengliang@dgzq.com.cn 申万交通运输指数走势 资料来源：iFind，东莞证券研究所 相关报告 投资要点： 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 深 度 研 究 行 业 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 ◼ 全球冲突新形势下交运板块的新篇章。近期全球冲突进入新形势，我们 认为，当前全球地缘政治关系的影响在交通运输板块的影响可能会表现 出以下两个主要方向：（1）全球不确定性上升可能加剧市场的避险情绪 需求；（2）全球需求下降的预期与OPEC+意外增产相叠加，可能导致原 油成本下降，从而刺激对油价敏感的运输行业。基于2025年全球经济新 形势的变化，我们在战略层面明确了稳健与进攻两大投资方向：（1）全 球不确定性提升或放大避险需求，强化公路等基础设施板块类债属性的 投资需求， ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced narrow fluctuations with slight declines in major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3286.65, down 0.05% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index also saw minor declines of 0.05% and 0.13% respectively, while the North Exchange 50 Index increased by 1.24% [1] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Beauty Care (+2.60%), Machinery Equipment (+1.44%), and Media (+1.27%), while the worst-performing sectors were Utilities (-1.78%) and Oil & Petrochemicals (-0.55%) [2] - Concept sectors showed strong performance in PEEK materials (+5.60%) and dyes (+3.85%), while sectors like supercritical power generation and controlled nuclear fusion faced declines [2] Future Outlook - The market is expected to stabilize after a brief adjustment, supported by positive economic data from Q1, including better-than-expected export figures and credit data indicating total expansion [5] - The report suggests focusing on sectors such as Finance, Food & Beverage, Utilities, Retail, Non-ferrous Metals, and TMT for potential investment opportunities [5] - The National Development and Reform Commission has announced strong demand for the consumer goods replacement market, with plans to allocate an additional 81 billion yuan in special bonds to support this initiative [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation that the stock will outperform the market index by more than 15% over the next six months [5][7]. Core Insights - The company, Guodian NARI (国电南瑞), has shown steady performance with a revenue of 57.42 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.15%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 7.61 billion yuan, up 6.06% year-on-year [4][5]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 8.89 billion yuan, a 14.76% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 680 million yuan, up 14.14% [4]. - The smart grid segment generated 28.47 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, growing by 10.70% with a gross margin of 29.52% [4]. - The company signed new contracts worth 66.32 billion yuan in 2024, marking a 13.78% increase from the previous year [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 57,417.25 million yuan and a net profit of 8,146.60 million yuan. The projected EPS for 2025 is 1.09 yuan, with a PE ratio of approximately 21 times [6]. - The company’s gross margin and net margin for 2024 were 26.66% and 14.19%, respectively, indicating stable profitability [4]. Business Development - The company is enhancing its competitive edge through the integration of business units and focusing on new energy, industrial control, and international markets. New business segments grew by 36.24% [4]. - The company is actively participating in high-voltage and pumped storage projects, securing significant contracts in 2024 [4]. Research and Innovation - R&D investment reached 4.03 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 7.02% of total revenue, which is an increase of 0.31 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - The company is committed to strengthening its technological innovation capabilities, which is expected to enhance its core competitiveness [5].