Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the computer industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [36]. Core Insights - The approval of NVIDIA's H200 chip sales to China is expected to enhance domestic AI computing power supply, alleviating bottlenecks in model training and AI application deployment. However, the 25% revenue share to the U.S. government may increase procurement costs for domestic users, pushing for rapid development of domestic computing capabilities [31][22]. - The SW computer sector has seen a cumulative decline of 3.01% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.82 percentage points, ranking 25th among 31 first-level industries [11][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The SW computer sector has experienced a cumulative decline of 3.01% from November 28 to December 11, 2025, and a 3.79% decline in December, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.82 and 4.35 percentage points respectively. Year-to-date, the sector has risen by 14.05%, lagging behind the CSI 300 index by 1.64 percentage points [11][4]. 2. Valuation Situation - As of December 11, 2025, the SW computer sector's PE TTM (excluding negative values) stands at 52.80 times, positioned at the 84.54th percentile over the past five years and the 70.80th percentile over the past ten years [21][23]. 3. Industry News - The U.S. government has allowed NVIDIA to sell its H200 AI chips to China, imposing a 25% fee per chip. Other companies like AMD and Intel are also included in this arrangement [22]. - DeepSeek has released version 3.2 of its software, enhancing its reasoning capabilities [22]. - Alibaba has established a new C-end business group, aiming to create a super app for AI services [22]. - OpenAI has launched the GPT-5.2 series, significantly improving its capabilities in various tasks [22]. - Microsoft plans to invest $17.5 billion in India over the next four years to expand its AI and cloud computing operations [22]. 4. Company Announcements - Various companies have made announcements regarding asset transfers, capital increases, and strategic investments aimed at enhancing operational efficiency and market competitiveness [24][25][26][27][28][29][30]. 5. Weekly Perspective - The approval of H200 chip exports is expected to boost domestic AI computing capabilities in the short term, while the associated costs and performance limitations may drive the rapid development of domestic computing solutions in the long term [31]. 6. Recommended Focus Stocks - The report suggests focusing on companies like GuoDianYunTong, ShenZhouDigital, Inspur Information, and TaxFriend for their strong growth potential in the financial technology and AI sectors [32].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the power equipment and new energy industry [2][48]. Core Viewpoints - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized the need to deepen the rectification of "involution" competition, particularly in the photovoltaic industry, which is expected to accelerate the exit of backward production capacity and promote the recovery of industry profit margins [4][43]. - The report suggests focusing on leading new energy companies that excel in technology and scale [4][43]. Market Review - As of December 11, 2025, the Shenwan Power Equipment industry rose by 1.32% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.51 percentage points, ranking 12th among 31 industries [11]. - Year-to-date, the Shenwan Power Equipment sector has increased by 40.05%, surpassing the CSI 300 index by 24.36 percentage points, ranking 5th among 31 industries [11]. - The wind power equipment sector increased by 5.79%, while the photovoltaic equipment sector decreased by 0.82% in the last two weeks [16]. Valuation and Industry Data - As of December 11, 2025, the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for the power equipment sector is 32.90 times [24]. - The PE ratios for sub-sectors are as follows: Electric Motor II at 56.45 times, Other Power Equipment II at 51.83 times, Photovoltaic Equipment at 30.06 times, Wind Power Equipment at 33.63 times, Battery at 32.83 times, and Grid Equipment at 28.49 times [24]. Company Announcements - The report highlights significant projects and developments, including the approval of the Zhejiang UHV AC Ring Network Project with a total investment of 29.3 billion yuan, which is the highest for a single UHV AC project in China [38][39]. - The report also notes various company announcements regarding share repurchases and changes in control, indicating active corporate governance within the sector [42][43]. Weekly Perspective - The report reiterates the importance of adhering to the "dual carbon" goals and promoting a comprehensive green transition, with a focus on energy efficiency and carbon reduction in key industries [4][43]. - It emphasizes the need for technological innovation and quality improvement in the photovoltaic sector, moving away from mere scale expansion [4][43].

Investment Rating - The mechanical equipment industry is rated as "Standard Configuration" [46] Core Insights - The mechanical equipment sector has shown a strong performance, with a bi-weekly increase of 4.38%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.57 percentage points, ranking 4th among 31 industries [12] - The engineering machinery segment has the highest bi-weekly growth at 5.80%, while the automation equipment segment has the lowest at 3.42% [15] - The report highlights the acceleration of robot industrialization driven by government policies, particularly in humanoid robots, which is expected to enhance technology updates and application scenarios [41] - The report suggests focusing on companies like Huichuan Technology (300124) and Green's Harmonic (688017) due to their strong market positions and growth potential [41][43] Summary by Sections Market Review - As of December 11, 2025, the mechanical equipment industry has increased by 34.31% year-to-date, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 18.62 percentage points [12] - The engineering machinery segment has shown a significant increase in sales, with domestic excavator sales rising by 9.11% year-on-year in November [42] Valuation Situation - The current PE ratio for the mechanical equipment sector is 31.76 times, with the general equipment segment at 43.68 times and the engineering machinery segment at 23.28 times [21] - The report indicates that the valuation of the general equipment segment is 19.28% above its one-year average [21] Data Updates - The report provides updated statistics on excavator sales, indicating a total of 21,216 excavators sold in November, a year-on-year increase of 13.85% [40] - The average working hours for major engineering machinery products in November were 84.20 hours, showing a month-on-month increase of 4.08% [40] Industry News - The U.S. government is focusing on humanoid robot development, which may lead to accelerated policy implementation and industry growth [40] - A new robot innovation park is planned in Beijing, aiming to become a global hub for robot innovation by 2035 [40] Company Announcements - Companies like SANY Heavy Industry (600031) and Hengli Hydraulic (601100) are highlighted for their strong market positions and expected demand growth due to infrastructure investments [43][45]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a turbulent adjustment with all three major indices closing lower, including the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.70% to 3873.32 points, the Shenzhen Component down by 1.27% to 13147.39 points, and the ChiNext Index down by 1.41% to 3163.67 points [2][4]. Sector Performance - The banking sector showed a slight increase of 0.17%, while the defense and military industry decreased by 0.24%. The power equipment sector fell by 0.25%, and the food and beverage sector decreased by 0.42%. The public utilities sector also saw a decline of 0.50% [3]. - Among the concept sectors, the commercial aerospace concept rose by 0.29%, while the horse racing concept fell by 4.70%. The new and secondary stock concept increased by 1.18%, while the Xiaohongshu concept decreased by 3.33% [3]. Future Outlook - The market is expected to continue experiencing fluctuations, with the indices showing collective declines. The commercial aerospace concept is noted for its resilience, while the retail sector shows some localized activity. The semiconductor equipment sector also demonstrated strength in certain areas [4]. - The World Bank has raised its forecast for China's economic growth in 2025 by 0.4 percentage points, attributing this to more proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies supporting domestic consumption and investment [6]. - The Federal Reserve's recent decision to lower interest rates by 25 basis points is expected to influence market dynamics, with potential implications for asset price volatility and liquidity in the domestic market [7].

宏观研究 美联储如期降息并重启购债，未来降息步伐或将 事 件 点 评 放缓 12 月美联储议息会议点评 2025 年 12 月 11 日 投资要点： S0340518010002 电话：0769-22111089 邮箱：fxp@dgzq.com.cn S0340522120001 电话：0769-22118627 邮箱： yinweiqi@dgzq.com.cn 分析师：曾浩 S0340523110001 电话：0769-22119276 邮箱： zenghao@dgzq.com.cn S0340524080001 电话：0769-22118627 邮箱： xiongyue@dgzq.com.cn S0340525070001 电话：0769-22119276 邮箱： yezipei@dgzq.com.cn 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 事件：北京时间周四（12 月 11 日）凌晨，美国联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC） 公布最新利率决议。 分析师：费小平 SAC 执业证书编号： 分析师：尹炜祺 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Weight" rating for the engineering machinery industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to perform within ±10% of the market index over the next six months [36]. Core Insights - In November 2025, excavator sales reached 20,027 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.85% and a month-on-month increase of 10.67%. Domestic sales accounted for 9,842 units, with a year-on-year growth of 9.11% and a month-on-month growth of 16.23% [3]. - Loader sales in November 2025 totaled 11,419 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 32.07% and a month-on-month increase of 6.99%. Domestic sales were 5,671 units, with a year-on-year growth of 29.39% [4]. - The report highlights a significant recovery in demand for excavators in Europe and North America, with both domestic and export sales showing positive trends [5]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing transition towards electric machinery, driven by stricter environmental regulations in Europe and North America, with a projected market for electric construction machinery expected to grow significantly [6]. Summary by Sections Excavator Sales - In November 2025, excavator sales were 20,027 units, with domestic sales at 9,842 units and export sales at 10,185 units, the latter accounting for 50.86% of total sales. Year-to-date sales from January to November reached 212,162 units, a 16.73% increase year-on-year [3]. Loader Sales - Loader sales in November 2025 were 11,419 units, with domestic sales of 5,671 units and export sales of 5,748 units. Year-to-date loader sales reached 115,831 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17.24% [4]. Market Trends - The report notes that while domestic demand in real estate remains weak, there are signs of recovery in the mining sector and infrastructure investments, which could lead to a new growth cycle for the engineering machinery industry [5]. - The report also mentions that the export trade value of engineering machinery products was $4.668 billion in October, with a year-on-year growth of 1.30% [5]. Technological Development - The report stresses the importance of electric and intelligent machinery in the industry, with significant growth potential in the electric machinery market, particularly in light of upcoming regulations in Europe [6].

Market Overview - The A-share market is experiencing fluctuations, with the ChiNext index showing a positive trend while the Shanghai Composite and Shenzhen Component indices are declining [1] - The overall market sentiment is mixed, with a significant number of stocks declining compared to those that are rising [4] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3909.52, down by 0.37% or 14.56 points - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13277.36, down by 0.39% or 52.63 points - The CSI 300 Index closed at 4598.22, down by 0.51% or 23.53 points - The ChiNext Index closed at 3209.60, up by 0.61% or 19.33 points [2] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors include Comprehensive (+3.45%), Communication (+2.23%), and Electronics (+0.78%) - The underperforming sectors include Non-ferrous Metals (-3.03%), Steel (-2.47%), and Real Estate (-2.10%) [3] Future Outlook - The market is expected to remain in a recovery phase, driven by improving economic resilience and corporate profitability - The dual drivers of fundamentals and liquidity are likely to dominate market trends, with a focus on low-valuation sectors with strong dividend yields and growth certainty [6] - The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting is anticipated to influence market expectations regarding interest rates and economic policies [6] News Highlights - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has indicated a potential easing of capital and leverage restrictions for high-quality securities institutions, which has sparked market discussions [5] - The global semiconductor equipment market is projected to grow, with a reported 11% year-on-year increase in shipments for Q3 2025, reaching $33.66 billion [5] - Domestic retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 1.321 million units in November, marking a 4.2% year-on-year increase, while total sales for the first 11 months reached 11.472 million units, up by 19.6% [5]

银行业 超配（维持） 股息铸盾，资金化矛 投 资 银行业 2026 年上半年投资策略 2025 年 12 月 9 日 S0340525040001 电话：0769-23320072 邮箱： lijiajun@dgzq.com.cn 行 业 研 究 资料来源：IFinD，东莞证券研究所 投资要点： 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 推荐 分析师：李嘉俊 SAC 执业证书编号： 复盘：ROE 彰显盈利韧性，增量资金追逐确定性价值。2025 年前三 季度，行业年化平均 ROE 维持在 10.73%，尽管受宏观环境影响有所 下行，但横向比较仍处于中上游水平，盈利韧性凸显。市场表现方 面，截至 11 月末，申万银行板块上涨 9.16%，各子板块实现普涨。 板块走出逆周期行情，主要得益于险资等增量资金的持续流入，以 及低利率环境下银行股高股息、盈利确定性的配置吸引力。 策 略 银行指数走势 基本面展望：政策协同稳增长，息差压力与结构分化并存。（1）量： 财政与货币政策协同发力，全方位扩大国内需求，有望为银行信 ...

基 金 研 究 ETF 基金周报（20251201-20251205）： 中证 A500 类 ETF 基金获资金青睐 2025 年 12 月 9 日 投资要点 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 S0340521010001 基金从业资格证书编号： F4520000001431 电话：0769-26628039 邮箱：lirong@dgzq.com.cn 证 券 研 究 报 告 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，Wind 资讯 ETF 基金周报 1.各类 ETF 基金平均收益及资金流动概览 各类ETF基金周度平均收益及资金流动概览：本周全球权益市场整体偏 强，美国三大股指全线收涨，港股市场整体亦表现较好，而欧洲市场相 对疲弱。国内市场方面，权益市场整体震荡上行，多数宽基金指数录得 上涨。映射在ETF基金上，各类型EF基金中仅债券型ETF基金周度平均收 益为负。本周ETF基金资金净流入209.88亿元，各类型ETF基金均出现不 同程度净流入。12月是今年金融机构业绩考核、收益排名的最后一个月， 也是明年开门 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market opened high and continued to rise, with a trading volume exceeding 2 trillion yuan, marking a significant increase of 310.9 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [3][5] - Major indices closed in the green, with the ChiNext Index leading the gains, up by 2.60% [3][5] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Communication (up 4.79%), Comprehensive (up 3.03%), and Electronics (up 2.60%), while the weakest sectors were Coal (down 1.43%) and Oil & Petrochemicals (down 0.84%) [2][3] - Concept indices such as Co-packaged Optical (CPO) and F5G Concept showed strong performance, while sectors like Tianjin Free Trade Zone and Glyphosate lagged behind [2][3] Future Outlook - The market is expected to continue its upward trend, supported by favorable policies from the Central Political Bureau, which emphasized a proactive fiscal policy and moderate monetary policy for 2026 [4][5] - The report anticipates that the demand for mechanical and high-tech products will remain strong, contributing to resilient export growth [5]