传媒 分析师：乔琪 登记编码：S0730520090001 政策有望提振文化消费需求，关注 GDC 2025 游戏产业最新方向 ——传媒行业月报 证券研究报告-行业月报 同步大市(维持) 发布日期：2025 年 03 月 17 日 qiaoqi@ccnew.com 021-50586985 传媒相对沪深 300 指数表现 相关报告 《传媒行业专题研究：游戏行业专题：市场景 气 ， 产 品 突 破 ， AI 赋 能 ， 政 策 回 暖 》 2025-03-07 《传媒行业月报：DeepSeek R1 引强烈关注， 《哪吒 2》大幅抬高票房天花板》2025-02-13 《传媒行业分析报告：春节档量价齐升刷新纪 录 ，《 哪 吒 2 》 抬 高 国 内 票 房 天 花 板 》 2025-02-09 联系人：李智 11770 投资要点： ⚫ 行情回顾与估值表现：2025 年 2 月 13 日-3 月 13 日之间，传媒板 块下跌 2.94%，同期上证指数上涨 0.37%，沪深 300 以及创业板指 分别下跌 0.21%和 1.18%，传媒板块分别跑输 3.31pct、2.73pct 和 1.77pct。在同期全行业涨 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Perform" rating for the media sector, in line with the overall market performance [1]. Core Insights - The recent "Consumption Promotion Special Action Plan" by the central government is expected to boost cultural consumption demand, particularly in the advertising and gaming sectors [3][10]. - The gaming industry is highlighted for its dual attributes of consumption and technology, with potential improvements in supply-side policies [11]. - The film "Nezha 2" has achieved a global box office of over 15 billion yuan, significantly impacting the domestic box office and audience numbers [12]. Summary by Sections 1. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with a high proportion of consumer goods clients and stable channel growth, such as Focus Media [3][10]. 2. Market Review - From February 13 to March 13, 2025, the media sector declined by 2.94%, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 0.37% [3][13]. - The media sector's PE ratio as of March 13, 2025, is 25.64 times, with a historical percentile of 67.50% [3][20]. 3. Industry News - The report discusses various industry developments, including the approval of 110 domestic game licenses in February 2025, indicating a stable trend in license issuance [22][42]. - The government emphasizes the importance of boosting consumption and enhancing the quality of supply in emerging sectors [22]. 4. Monthly Industry Data Film Market - In February 2025, the domestic film market generated a box office of 16.09 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 44.80% [25][29]. - The average ticket price was 47.47 yuan, with a total of 3.39 billion audience visits [24][25]. Game Market - The domestic game market's actual sales revenue in January 2025 was 31.08 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 27.65% [41][42]. - The mobile game market generated 21.99 billion yuan in January 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 29.87% [41]. TV and Variety Show Market - The top five TV dramas in February 2025 included "Six Sisters" and "Five Blessings," while the top five online variety shows included "Detective Season" [38][39].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Market Perform" for the basic chemical industry [5][7]. Core Insights - The basic chemical industry index rose by 5.23% in February 2025, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 3.07 percentage points and the CSI 300 Index by 3.32 percentage points, ranking 11th among 30 major industries [7][10]. - The report suggests focusing on potassium fertilizer and organic silicon sectors due to tightening supply and improving demand dynamics [5][7]. Market Review - The basic chemical industry index increased by 13.49% over the past year, ranking 15th among 30 major industries [10]. - In January 2025, 26 out of 33 sub-industries saw price increases, with carbon fiber, modified plastics, and inorganic salts leading the gains at 42.31%, 21.02%, and 17.47% respectively [11]. - In February 2025, 394 out of 514 stocks in the basic chemical sector rose, with the top gainers including Dawi Technology (111.71%) and Hangjin Technology (87.31%) [11][15]. Product Price Tracking - In February 2025, international oil prices fell, and among 318 tracked products, 133 saw price increases while 134 experienced declines, indicating an overall price drop in basic chemical products [7][10]. Industry and Company News - The potassium fertilizer sector is expected to see a tightening supply situation, which has been driving prices upward since 2024, influenced by trade tensions between the U.S. and Canada [7][10]. - The organic silicon industry is experiencing a shift in production capacity to China, which is now the world's largest producer, with supply pressures expected to ease as new projects come online [7][10].

11750 基础化工 分析师：顾敏豪 《基础化工行业深度分析：化工新材料产业 链分析及河南省概况》 2025-02-28 《基础化工行业月报：化工品价格整体回 暖，关注景气回升的钾肥、涤纶长丝行业》 2025-02-13 登记编码：S0730512100001 化工品价格整体回落，关注景气回升的 钾肥和供需格局好转的有机硅行业 ——基础化工行业月报 发布日期：2025 年 03 月 14 日 gumh00@ccnew.com 021-50586308 相关报告 《基础化工行业月报：油价持续上行，丙烯 酸产业链整体表现靓丽 》 2025-01-13 证券研究报告-行业月报 同步大市(维持) 基础化工相对沪深 300 指数表现 资料来源：中原证券、聚源数据 -16% -11% -6% -1% 4% 9% 14% 19% 2024.03 2024.07 2024.11 2025.03 基础化工 沪深300 | 1. 市场回顾 | 4 | | --- | --- | | 1.1. 板块行情回顾 4 | | | 1.2. 子行业及个股行情回顾 4 | | | 2. 行业与公司要闻回顾 | 5 | | 3. 河南上市公司 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market opened high and experienced a strong upward trend on March 14, 2025, with the Shanghai Composite Index facing resistance around 3420 points during the day [3][4][8] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3419.56 points, up 1.81%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 2.26% to 10,978.30 points [8][9] - Over 80% of stocks in the two markets rose, with notable performances in the insurance, food and beverage, gaming, and liquor sectors, while aerospace, power equipment, and electricity sectors showed weaker performance [8][11] Future Market Outlook and Investment Recommendations - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index are 14.24 times and 38.63 times, respectively, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments [4][16] - The total trading volume on March 14 was 18,413 billion, above the median of the past three years, suggesting robust market activity [4][16] - The report emphasizes the importance of policy support, particularly in technology innovation, consumer stimulation, and green economy sectors, as well as the anticipated return of foreign capital due to the central bank's accommodative stance and expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts [4][16] - Short-term investment preferences are shifting towards defensive sectors, with high-dividend assets performing steadily, while technology growth sectors face valuation pressures [4][16] - Investors are advised to focus on structural opportunities while balancing defensive and growth strategies, with particular attention to software development, internet services, finance, and liquor industries for short-term investment opportunities [4][16]

11750 分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 权重行业领涨 沪指突破 3400 点 ——市场分析 相关报告 电话： 0371-65585629 《市场分析：成长行业领涨 A 股小幅震荡》 2025-03-13 《市场分析：成长行业领涨 A 股小幅震荡》 2025-03-12 《市场分析：军工消费行业领涨 A 股低开高 走》 2025-03-11 联系人： 李智 地址： 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10 号18 楼 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道 1788 号 T1 座 22 楼 证券研究报告-市场分析 发布日期：2025 年 03 月 14 日 投资要点： ◼ A 股市场综述 周五（03 月 14 日）A 股市场高开高走、震荡上行，早盘股指高开后 震荡上行，盘中股指在 3420 点附近遭遇阻力，午后股指强势震荡， 盘中保险、食品饮料、游戏以及酿酒等行业表现较好；航天航空、 电源设备、电力以及电网设备等行业表现较弱，沪指全天基本呈现 震荡上扬的运行特征。创业板市场周五震荡上涨，创业板成分指数 全天表现强于主板市场。 ◼ 后市研判及投资 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights a positive outlook for the domestic gaming industry, with a steady increase in market size and player engagement, driven by high-quality game development and supportive government policies [33][34] - The AI sector is experiencing rapid growth, with significant investments in AI infrastructure and applications, particularly in enterprise-level deployments, which are expected to drive demand for computing power [30][32][20] - The semiconductor industry is on an upward trajectory, with strong performance in the domestic market and a forecasted increase in global semiconductor sales, particularly in memory products [27][28] Domestic Market Performance - The A-share market has shown slight fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index maintaining average P/E ratios that suggest a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments [9][12] - Key sectors such as coal, electricity, and banking have performed well, while technology and automotive sectors have faced challenges [8][10] International Market Performance - International indices such as the Dow Jones and S&P 500 have shown declines, indicating a cautious global market environment [4] Industry Developments - The software industry in China is projected to grow at a slower pace, with revenue expected to reach 13.73 trillion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 10% year-on-year increase [16] - The RISC-V ecosystem is rapidly developing, with significant investments and advancements in open-source architecture, which is expected to enhance domestic semiconductor capabilities [29] Government Policies and Economic Outlook - The 2025 Government Work Report emphasizes expanding domestic demand and implementing proactive fiscal and monetary policies to support economic growth [13][14] - The report outlines ten key tasks for 2025, focusing on enhancing the modern industrial system and promoting technological innovation [15] Sector-Specific Insights - The gaming industry is expected to benefit from a growing player base and increased consumer spending, with a focus on high-quality game development and international market competitiveness [33][34] - The AI and cloud computing sectors are poised for growth, driven by increased demand for AI applications and infrastructure investments from major tech companies [20][21][30]

计算机 分析师：唐月 登记编码：S0730512030001 tangyue@ccnew.com 021-50586737 证券研究报告-行业月报 强于大市(维持) 计算机相对沪深 300 指数表现 -28% -18% -7% 3% 13% 23% 33% 44% 2024.03 2024.07 2024.11 2025.03 计算机 沪深300 资料来源：中原证券研究所，聚源 重点关注子行业的主要数据和动态包括： 相关报告 （1）国产化：随着 Q4 美国对华制裁政策的进一步收紧，2024 年我国集成电路在进口依赖度比例为 78%，较 1-11 月回落 2 PCT，英伟达来自新加坡和中国区域收入占比都出现了下滑。 《计算机行业深度分析：三大要素齐发力， AI 应用步入全面加速期》 2025-03-07 《计算机行业月报：DeepSeek-R1 带来 AI 技术突破，持续关注 GPT-5 的推出进程》 2025-02-13 （2）AI：2025 年 2 月以来，xAI 和 Anthropic 分别发布了推理模 型来对标 DeepSeek-R1，两大闭源模型在产品能力并未显示出显 著差异，同时结合训练成本来看，也 ...

登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 资料来源：聚源，中原证券研究所 -17% -12% -6% -1% 4% 9% 14% 20% 2024.03 2024.07 2024.11 2025.03 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | 上证指数 | | 3,358.73 | -0.39 | | 深证成指 | | 10,736.19 | -0.99 | | 创业板指 | | 2,022.77 | -0.47 | | 沪深 | 300 | 3,911.58 | -0.40 | | 上证 | 50 | 2,443.97 | -0.52 | | 科创 | 50 | 891.46 | 0.14 | | 创业板 | 50 | 1,924.26 | -0.67 | | 中证 | 100 | 3,748.91 | -0.38 | | 中证 | 500 | 5,993.97 | -0.77 | | 中证 | 1000 | 6 ...

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 资料来源：聚源，中原证券研究所 -17% -12% -7% -1% 4% 9% 14% 19% 2024.03 2024.07 2024.11 2025.03 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | 指数名称 | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3,371.92 | -0.23 | 深证成指 | 10,843.23 | -0.17 | | | | 创业板指 | 2,022.77 | -0.47 | 沪深 | 300 | 3,927.23 | -0.36 | | | 上证 | 50 | 2,443.97 | -0.52 | 科创 | 50 | 891.46 | 0.14 | | 创业板 | 50 | 1,924.26 | -0.67 | 中证 | 100 | 3,763.39 | -0.44 | | 中证 | 500 | 6,040.50 | -0 ...