Group 1 - The report highlights that all six sub-sectors of the pharmaceutical index recorded positive returns, indicating strong performance in the market [1][10]. - AI medical companies in the US have shown robust performance, with Hims&Hers Health reporting a first-quarter revenue of $586 million, a significant year-on-year increase of 111% [7][8]. - The market for medical large models is experiencing rapid growth, with an average annual compound growth rate exceeding 100% from 2019 to 2023, and is expected to reach 11.16 billion by 2028 [2][8]. Group 2 - The penetration rate of medical large models is currently low, with projections indicating it could exceed 40% by 2030, up from approximately 1% in 2020 [2][8]. - The report notes that the current market size of medical large models is close to 2 billion, with expectations of a high average growth rate of 140% during the industry explosion period [8]. - The report identifies a lack of clear safety, efficacy validation, and regulatory frameworks as significant limiting factors for the commercialization of medical large models [9].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The state and local governments are actively promoting the construction of "science and technology innovation high - grounds" and accelerating the issuance of science and technology innovation bonds (Sci - tech bonds). It is expected that Sci - tech bonds will bring significant benefits to the cultivation of science and technology enterprises and the layout of emerging industries in various regions [10][34]. - In the bond market, different investment strategies are proposed for different types of bonds such as Sci - tech bonds, industrial bonds, and financial bonds, based on policy trends, market liquidity, and economic fundamentals [2][43][62]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 From a Micro - and Meso - perspective on Sci - tech Bonds 3.1.1 Local Governments Actively Build "Sci - tech High - grounds" and Accelerate the Issuance of Sci - tech Bonds - National ministries and local governments are promoting the layout and investment in the science and technology innovation industry, aiming to integrate science and technology innovation with industrial innovation. Multiple departments are jointly launching the "technology version" of the bond market to support the issuance of Sci - tech bonds [10]. - Since the beginning of this year, the issuance of Sci - tech bonds has advanced rapidly, with large - scale investors participating. The issued Sci - tech bonds have features such as low coupon rates and high subscription multiples [33]. 3.1.2 Investment Recommendations - Three types of Sci - tech bond issuers are recommended:城投 and产投 platforms in regions with strong economic and innovation potential; provincial, municipal, and some district - level equity - investment state - owned enterprises; local industrial state - owned enterprises and private enterprises with strong industrial operation capabilities and involvement in science and technology innovation fields [35]. - In general investment, focus on economic provinces with good development momentum and debt control, regions with favorable debt - resolution policies, and prefecture - level cities with strong industrial bases and financial support, and adjust the bond duration according to different regions [44]. 3.2 Weekly Views on Industrial Bonds and Financial Bonds 3.2.1 Industrial Bonds - Pay attention to 2 - 3 - year industrial bonds with good liquidity, such as those in the public utilities, transportation, state - owned real estate, and cultural tourism industries. Also, focus on relevant issuers of Sci - tech bonds in high - quality enterprises [62]. - In the coal industry, Inner Mongolia has 13 coal production capacity reserve projects approved, with a total reserve capacity of 23.6 million tons per year [62]. - Policies are being implemented to speed up the repayment of accounts receivable for enterprises in construction, real estate, and urban investment, especially those with more cooperation with central enterprises [65]. 3.2.2 Financial Bonds - This week, the yields of some financial bond varieties declined, and credit spreads narrowed passively. Brokerage bonds performed better, with larger credit spread narrowing [67]. - For Tier 2 and perpetual bonds (Two - tier and Perpetual Bonds, or "Two - Yong Bonds"), if the liquidity does not further loosen in the short term, the compression space of credit spreads is limited. It is recommended to manage liquidity well. 3 - 5 - year high - grade Two - Yong Bonds are suitable defensive varieties. Institutions with stable liability ends and high return requirements can appropriately pay attention to long - term high - grade Two - Yong Bonds [4][67]. 3.3 Primary Market Tracking - Relevant charts show the issuance, net financing, subscription, issuance cost, review and approval, and registration of credit bonds, financial bonds, urban investment bonds, and industrial bonds in the primary market [74][77][83]. 3.4 Secondary Market Observation 3.4.1 "Volume" of Secondary Transactions - Charts display the trading volume, number of transactions, trading volume by province, and trading volume by implicit rating of credit bonds, urban investment bonds, and industrial bonds in the secondary market [88][90][92]. 3.4.2 "Price" of Secondary Transactions - Charts show the weighted trading duration of urban investment bonds and the yield of various types of bonds in the secondary market [99].

Group 1 - The report emphasizes that the investment themes from the Two Sessions are not just one-time opportunities but have long-term implications for industry development and sustained excess returns [2][20]. - Short-term characteristics highlight that low valuation themes are more likely to experience valuation increases shortly after the Two Sessions [3][26]. - The correlation between market capitalization distribution and cumulative excess returns weakens over time, indicating that smaller market cap stocks (<100 billion) tend to outperform in the short term [3][30]. Group 2 - Cumulative excess returns and performance growth are significant in the long term, with themes often generating excess returns over a 360-day period post-Two Sessions [4][36]. - Historical analysis shows that only a few years (2017, 2019, 2023) underperformed, suggesting the importance of new proposals in the government work report [4][36]. - The average cumulative excess returns may not be realized in the same year as the Two Sessions, indicating a longer-term guidance effect [4][38]. Group 3 - Seasonal timing indicates that the best periods for investing in Two Sessions themes are February-March and October [5][55]. - The report suggests that themes failing to pass the first-quarter report test may see their momentum stall in spring [5][56]. Group 4 - The evolution of "blockbuster" themes shows a clear pattern: national policy setting, local follow-up, highlighting key enterprises/events, expanding networks, and standardized industry development [6][10]. - Common characteristics of successful themes include alignment with current trends, broad market potential, high recognizability, and performance support [6][10]. - Themes first introduced in the Two Sessions tend to have better long-term excess returns [6][12]. Group 5 - The report identifies investment opportunities in 2025, particularly in deep-sea technology and embodied intelligence (humanoid robots) [7][18]. - Deep-sea technology is positioned as a strategic area with strong performance support, while humanoid robots are seen as potential blockbuster themes due to their alignment with market trends [7][18]. - The report suggests that deep-sea technology has already shown significant gains since the Two Sessions, with a maximum increase of 16.91% and an excess return of 18.16% relative to the Wind All A index [12][16].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [8] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the importance of urban renewal actions initiated by the government, emphasizing the need for existing building renovations and infrastructure improvements, with significant progress expected by 2030 [3][13] - Short-term factors include the pressure for stable growth, the emphasis on stabilizing the real estate market, and the gradual alleviation of risks associated with major real estate companies, which is beneficial for the building materials sector [3][13] - Long-term perspectives suggest that the opening of the interest rate reduction channel in Europe and the U.S. will provide more room for monetary and fiscal policies in China, with expectations for policies to stabilize the real estate market and improve housing loan conditions [3][13] Summary by Sections Recent Developments - The report discusses various local government initiatives aimed at improving housing quality and supporting home purchases, including policies in Shenzhen, Nanjing, Wuhan, and other cities [3][13] - The report notes a 28.7% year-on-year increase in residential transactions in Shenzhen in April, indicating a potential recovery in the housing market [3][13] High-Frequency Data - As of May 16, 2025, the average price of bulk P.O 42.5 cement in China is 386.2 CNY/ton, showing a 0.8% decrease from the previous week but a 10.2% increase year-on-year [4][14] - The average price of glass (5.00mm) is 1260.0 CNY/ton, reflecting a 0.8% decrease from the previous week and a 25.6% decrease year-on-year [4][21] Sector Review - The report indicates that the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.76%, while the building materials sector index fell by 0.24% [5][53] - Among sub-sectors, fiberglass manufacturing saw a 3.07% increase, while cement manufacturing experienced a 1.21% decline [5][53] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main investment lines: high-quality companies benefiting from stock renovations, undervalued stocks with long-term potential, and leading cyclical building material companies showing signs of bottoming out [6][68]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [6] Core Views - The report highlights that the easing of US-China tariffs has led to a short-term suppression of gold prices, but the long-term investment value of gold remains unchanged [10][11] - The industrial metals sector is characterized by a tight supply-demand balance, making prices more likely to rise than fall [12][13] - In the renewable energy metals sector, lithium prices are expected to remain stable, with strategic investment opportunities still available [16][17] - The report notes a potential easing of rare earth controls, creating a bullish sentiment in the market [18][20] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - The easing of tariffs between the US and China has created a short-term pressure on gold prices, but the long-term investment value remains intact. The report suggests focusing on companies like Zhongjin Gold, Shandong Gold, and Chifeng Jilong Gold [10][11][12] Industrial Metals - The supply-demand dynamics for copper remain tight, supporting price stability. The report anticipates that the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts will further bolster copper prices in the medium to long term. Companies to watch include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Jincheng Mining [12][13][14] Renewable Energy Metals - The report indicates that while there may be a slight increase in export orders due to eased tariffs, the overall supply-demand balance for lithium remains weak in the short term. Strategic investment opportunities are highlighted for companies like Salt Lake Potash and Ganfeng Lithium [16][17] Other Minor Metals - The report suggests that the potential easing of rare earth controls could lead to increased prices, with companies like China Rare Earth and Northern Rare Earth being of interest [18][20]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Views - The report highlights that CATL is set to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with 90% of the raised funds directed towards projects in Hungary [9] - The CIBF2025 event concluded successfully, showcasing advancements in solid-state battery technology [10] - April saw record high wholesale volumes for passenger vehicles, with significant growth in exports of new energy passenger vehicles [11][12] Summary by Sections New Energy Vehicles and Lithium Battery Sector - CATL's upcoming Hong Kong listing aims to enhance local supply capabilities through significant investment in Hungary [9] - The CIBF2025 event featured the launch of new battery technologies, including a third-generation battery with energy density exceeding 500Wh/kg [10] - April's wholesale volume for passenger vehicles reached 2.19 million units, marking a year-on-year increase of 10.7% and a penetration rate of over 50% for new energy vehicles [11] Photovoltaic Sector - The silicon material segment is undergoing a "production reduction to support prices" strategy, with a decrease in production across the industry [19] - Major silicon manufacturers are reportedly planning to consolidate remaining production capacities, which could positively impact market expectations [21][22] - The report notes a slight decline in silicon wafer prices and a stable market for solar glass, with some companies adjusting their production schedules [23][24] Energy Storage Sector - The report discusses a surge in energy storage demand in South Asia due to geopolitical tensions, particularly between India and Pakistan [32] - Shanghai is exploring a capacity compensation mechanism to encourage independent energy storage projects [36] - The demand for energy storage is expected to grow significantly, with various initiatives being launched to support this sector [35] Power Equipment and Industrial Control Sector - The Xinjiang to Sichuan ultra-high voltage project is expected to commence construction in December 2025, enhancing power transmission capabilities [42][44] - The State Grid has released a white paper on "Artificial Intelligence + Power," indicating ongoing digital transformation in the industry [45] - The manufacturing PMI has slightly declined, but new automation technologies are being introduced to improve efficiency [46] Hydrogen Energy Sector - Various regions are implementing supportive policies for hydrogen energy production, including fee exemptions for hydrogen fuel cell vehicles [53][55] - Technological breakthroughs in flexible hydrogen liquefaction systems and offshore wind power hydrogen storage systems have been achieved [56] - The report suggests a growing focus on green hydrogen and fuel cell technologies, with several companies positioned to benefit from these trends [57]

轻工制造 GLO 日本试销推进，新型烟草趋势向上 投资要点： 【周观点】5 月 12 日日本 GLO 官网公布新品 HILO 信息，新品预期将于 6 月 9 日在日本宫城县试销限定发售，若日本市场试销良好，产品力进一 步验证，思摩尔 HNB 业务成长空间有望进一步打开；本周中美贸易冲突暂 缓，优质低估出口链、以及前期受外销业务担忧的包装龙头迎来布局窗口； 出口情绪好转带动包装纸企涨价潮，玖龙、山鹰、理文等集体发布提价函。 强于大市（维持评级） 一年内行业相对大盘走势 -0.30 -0.20 -0.10 0.00 0.10 0.20 5/20 7/31 10/11 12/22 3/4 5/15 轻工制造 沪深300 团队成员 | 分析师： | 李宏鹏(S0210524050017) | | --- | --- | | lhp30568@hfzq.com.cn | | | 分析师： | 汪浚哲(S0210524050024) | | wjz30579@hfzq.com.cn | | | 分析师： | 李含稚(S0210524060005) | | lhz30597@hfzq.com.cn | | 华福证券 轻工制 ...

Group 1 - The report emphasizes that the recent public fund regulations are a necessary result of long-term changes in China's capital market structure and economic structure [3] - The market style is shifting from low-volatility strategies to core assets, indicating a potential long-term decline in China's capital intensity [3][24] - In the short to medium term, the core asset style needs to recover, while in the long term, it reflects the cyclical bottoming of the economy [3][24] Group 2 - The report notes that the resilience of the US economy is weakening, with inflation structures continuing to adjust; April's CPI inflation year-on-year was 2.3%, while core CPI remained at 2.8% [8][11] - The US PPI inflation showed a month-on-month decline of -0.47% in April, with service PPI contributing significantly to this decline [9][12] - Retail sales in the US also showed weak growth, with a month-on-month increase of only 0.058% in April, indicating a drag on consumption [11][12] Group 3 - The report highlights the mutual reduction of trade barriers between China and the US, with both countries agreeing to cancel 91% of tariffs and establish a mechanism for ongoing economic negotiations [13][15] - The Hong Kong stock market saw a general increase, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 2.09% [16] - The report indicates a lack of clear main lines in the Hong Kong market, with sectors like security, NFT concepts, and building energy efficiency leading the gains [19][24] Group 4 - The report suggests that the growth style may continue to adjust due to a lack of event catalysts [3][24] - In terms of industry performance, financial and real estate sectors led the gains, while technology sectors faced declines [32][24] - The report also notes a divergence in foreign capital index futures holdings, with net short positions expanding in some indices [44]

分析师： 周浦寒(S0210524040007) zph30515@hfzq.com.cn 研究助理： 杨逸帆(S0210124110046) yyf30689@hfzq.com.cn 策 略 研 究 华福证券 29 只医药生物主题走出见底形态 团队成员 投资要点： 策 略 定 期 报 告 主题投资数据库旨在筛选优秀量价形态的主题机会，把握热门主题的 见顶节奏、龙头股的调整程度。在 3/9 发布的《主题投资的下半场决胜法 则》中，我们构建了主题投资的数据追踪体系。我们专注于 2 方面：1）4 种形态量化筛选，高赔率的主题机会；2）构建交易热度指标，把握热门主 题的见顶节奏，并最新增加了龙头股的调整程度观察。后续，我们将定期 更新主题投资数据体系。我们希望通过这种偏量化的方式，给予投资者更 客观的参考，把握住主题投资的行情节奏。 29 只医药生物主题走出见底形态。本期走出见底、突破、主升、加速 的主题指数数量分别有 79、38、9、0 只。其中，79 只见底形态的主题指 数多为医药生物行业（29 只）；而 38 只突破形态的主题指数中，行业多 为国防军工（7 只）、通信（5 只）和有色金属（5 只）。9 只主升 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 to 12 months [56]. Core Insights - The Wind New Materials Index closed at 3636.37 points, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.57%. Among the six sub-industries, the semiconductor materials index decreased by 1.1%, while the carbon fiber index increased by 3.51% [3][11]. - Jilin Chemical Fiber announced a price increase of 10,000 yuan per ton for its wet-process 3K carbon fiber products, driven by rising demand from the low-altitude economy and drones, leading to a supply shortage [4][34]. - The U.S. Department of Commerce announced the withdrawal of the "AI Diffusion Rule" and plans to globally ban the use of Huawei AI chips, which may impact the semiconductor industry [4][34][36]. Market Overview - The semiconductor materials index reported a decrease to 6016.16 points, while the organic silicon materials index rose to 6017.89 points, reflecting a 2.75% increase. The carbon fiber index reached 1258.11 points, up 3.51% [3][11]. - The top five gainers in the week included companies like Stik (10.77%) and Kaisheng Technology (7.81%), while the top five losers included Huate Gas (-6.9%) and Aladdin (-6.88%) [25][27]. Recent Industry Trends - The recent U.S.-China trade talks resulted in the cancellation of 91% of tariffs imposed by the U.S. on Chinese goods, which is expected to positively influence bilateral trade relations [29][31]. - BYD is making significant moves into the electric two-wheeler market, indicating a growing trend in electric vehicle adoption [34]. Key Companies to Watch - The report highlights several companies with strong growth potential, including Tongcheng New Materials in the photoresist sector, Huate Gas in specialty gases, and Guocera Materials in the new materials sector [4][34].