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赞宇科技:levy税率上调至12.5%,杜库达改扩建项目持续爬坡-20260122
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-22 10:45
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][9]. Core Insights - The increase in Indonesia's crude palm oil export levy from 10% to 12.5% is expected to enhance the profitability per ton for the company's operations in Indonesia [3][4]. - The company is positioned as a leading enterprise in domestic oil chemical, surfactants, and personal care processing, with significant production capacities exceeding 1 million tons per year for oil chemical products and over 1.2 million tons for surfactants [3][9]. - The company anticipates revenue growth of 39% in 2025, followed by 16% in 2026 and 8% in 2027, with net profit projections of 3.0 billion, 4.1 billion, and 5.1 billion yuan respectively during the same period [3][9]. Summary by Relevant Sections Tax Rate Impact - The increase in the export levy is expected to boost the absolute tax amount paid, thereby enhancing the profitability of the company's Indonesian subsidiary, Dukuda [4][6]. Production Capacity and Profitability - Dukuda's new production capacity is being released in an orderly manner, and the combination of increased tax revenue and production capacity is expected to lead to simultaneous volume and price increases, enhancing overall profitability [6][9]. - The utilization rates for surfactants and OEM/ODM processing are steadily improving, which is anticipated to drive profitability upward [7]. Future Growth Potential - The company is focusing on the gradual ramp-up of OPO structured fat production, which is projected to achieve sales in the kiloton range within the year [8]. - The company has secured contracts with major clients such as White Cat and Unilever, which will help improve the operational rates of its processing capacity [7].
兴业银行:2025 年业绩快报点评:营收增速由负转正-20260122
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-22 10:45
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Neutral" [4][2] Core Views - The company's revenue growth has turned positive, with a total revenue of 212.7 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.24%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 77.5 billion yuan, up 0.34% year-on-year [1][2] - The revenue growth improvement is attributed to two main factors: a narrowing decline in net interest margin leading to an increase in net interest income, and a reduction in the decline of non-interest income, with net commission income turning positive [1][2] - The company's total assets at the end of the period were 11.09 trillion yuan, with total loans amounting to 5.95 trillion yuan, showing growth of 5.57% and 3.70% respectively compared to the beginning of the year [1] Financial Performance Summary - The company reported a net bad loan balance of 64.25 billion yuan at the end of the period, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.08%, unchanged from the end of September [2] - The provision coverage ratio stood at 228.41%, showing a slight increase from the end of September but a decrease of 9.4 percentage points from the beginning of the year [2] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 77.6 billion, 80.3 billion, and 84.6 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 0.5%, 3.5%, and 5.4% [2][3]
赞宇科技(002637):levy税率上调至12.5%,杜库达改扩建项目持续爬坡
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-22 09:56
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][9]. Core Views - The increase in Indonesia's crude palm oil export levy from 10% to 12.5% is expected to enhance the profitability per ton for the company's Dukuda operations in Indonesia [3][4]. - The Dukuda project is progressing steadily, with new capacity expected to be released in an orderly manner, which, combined with the increased tax, is anticipated to achieve both volume and price growth [3][6]. - The utilization rates for surfactants and OEM/ODM processing are continuously improving, which is expected to drive profitability upward [3][7]. - The company is poised to gradually ramp up its OPO structured fat production, with expectations of achieving significant sales within the year [3][8]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to generate revenues of 14.9 billion, 17.3 billion, and 18.8 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 39%, 16%, and 8% [3][9]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 300 million, 410 million, and 510 million yuan for the same years, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 119%, 37%, and 24% [3][9]. - The diluted EPS is forecasted to be 0.63, 0.87, and 1.08 yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 19.6, 14.2, and 11.4 times [3][9].
兴业银行(601166):2025 年业绩快报点评:营收增速由负转正
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-22 09:28
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Neutral" [4][7]. Core Views - The company's revenue growth has turned positive, with a total revenue of 212.7 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.24%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 77.5 billion yuan, up 0.34% year-on-year [1][2]. - The revenue growth improvement is attributed to two main factors: a narrowing decline in net interest margin leading to an increase in net interest income, and a reduction in the decline of non-interest income, with net commission income turning positive [1][2]. - The total assets at the end of the period were 11.09 trillion yuan, with total loans amounting to 5.95 trillion yuan, showing growth of 5.57% and 3.70% respectively compared to the beginning of the year [1]. Financial Performance Summary - The company reported a quarterly revenue growth of 7.3% in Q4, significantly improving from a 1.82% decline in the first three quarters [1]. - The non-performing loan balance was 64.25 billion yuan, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.08%, remaining stable compared to the previous quarter [2]. - The provision coverage ratio stood at 228.41%, showing a slight increase from the previous quarter [2]. Earnings Forecast and Financial Metrics - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 77.6 billion, 80.3 billion, and 84.6 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 0.5%, 3.5%, and 5.4% [2][3]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2025-2027 is projected to be 5.7x, 5.5x, and 5.2x, while the price-to-book (PB) ratio is expected to be 0.51x, 0.48x, and 0.45x [2][3].
立高食品(300973):商超渠道节奏良好,新品积极布局
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-22 07:35
事项: 公司公告:立高食品发布业绩预告,2025 年全年实现营业总收入 42.6-44.2 亿元,同比增长 11.07%-15.24%; 扣非归母净利润 3.06-3.26 亿元,同比增长 20.61%-28.49%。 国信食饮观点:1)商超渠道节奏良好,成本回落叠加费效提升,利润有望平稳回升;2)资源聚焦高潜渠 道,新品积极布局 2026;3)我们预计 2025-2027 年公司实现营业总收入 43.5/49.3/53.9 亿元(前预测值 为 43.9/48.7/53.2 亿元),同比 13.5%/13.2%/9.3%;2025-2027 年公司实现归母净利润 3.2/3.9/4.4 亿 元(前预测值为 3.2/3.9/4.3 亿元),同比 19.8%/20.9%/14.2%;实现 EPS1.90/2.29/2.62 元;当前股价 对应 PE 分别为 24.4/20.2/17.7 倍,维持"优于大市"评级。 评论: 证券研究报告 | 2026年01月21日 2026年01月22日 立高食品(300973.SZ) 商超渠道节奏良好,新品积极布局 |  公司研究·公司快评 | | |  | 食品饮料·食品加 ...
传媒互联网周报:千问APP发布,持续看好AI应用机会-20260122
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-22 07:06
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the media industry [4][38]. Core Insights - The media industry has shown a 3.44% increase, outperforming both the CSI 300 (-0.57%) and the ChiNext Index (1.00%) during the week of January 12-16 [11][12]. - Key companies that performed well include Yidian Tianxia, Liou Shares, People’s Daily, and Visual China, while companies like ST Fanli, Liansheng Technology, Beitou Technology, and Diguang Media faced declines [11][12]. - Bilibili launched a one-stop AI marketing tool, "Bilibili Bid," aimed at enhancing advertising efficiency for brands [15][16]. - Google’s Veo 3.1 received a significant upgrade, improving its video generation capabilities [15][16]. - OpenAI released the GPT-5.2 Codex programming model, enhancing its performance for complex software development tasks [15][16]. - The Qianwen App introduced over 400 new features, covering various services from food delivery to AI tutoring [17]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The media sector's performance ranked third among all sectors, with a notable increase of 3.44% [11][12][13]. Key Company Updates - The report highlights the strong performance of companies like Yidian Tianxia and Liou Shares, with significant weekly gains [11][12]. - The report provides earnings forecasts for key companies, indicating a positive outlook for firms like Kayi Network and Jibite [4][38]. Market Trends - The film box office for the week was 259 million yuan, with top films including "Nishan" (58 million yuan), "Zootopia 2" (53 million yuan), and "Avatar 3" (45 million yuan) [17][19]. - In the gaming sector, the top-grossing mobile games in December 2025 were "Whiteout Survival," "Gossip Harbor: Merge & Story," and "Kingshot" [26][27]. AI and Technology Developments - The report emphasizes the acceleration of AI applications in the media industry, particularly in marketing and content creation [3][36]. - Companies are encouraged to explore investment opportunities in AI-driven sectors, including AI marketing and content services [3][36].
传媒互联网周报:千问 APP 发布,持续看好 AI 应用机会-20260122
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-22 07:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the media industry [4][36]. Core Insights - The media industry has shown a 3.44% increase, outperforming both the CSI 300 (-0.57%) and the ChiNext Index (1.00%) during the week of January 12-16 [11][12]. - Key companies that performed well include Yidian Tianxia, Liou Co., People's Daily, and Vision China, while companies like ST Fanli and Liansheng Technology saw declines [11][12]. - Bilibili launched a one-stop AI marketing tool, "Bilibili Bid," aimed at enhancing advertising efficiency [15][16]. - Google released a significant upgrade to its AI video generation model, Veo 3.1, enhancing its practical applications [15][16]. - OpenAI introduced the GPT-5.2 Codex programming model, which significantly improves performance and reliability for long-term tasks [15][16]. - The Qianwen App launched over 400 new features, marking a significant advancement in AI capabilities [15][17]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The media sector's performance ranked third among all sectors, with a notable increase of 3.44% [11][12][13]. Key Company Updates - The report highlights the strong performance of companies like Yidian Tianxia, which saw a 54% increase, and Liou Co., which increased by 39% [12]. - The report also provides earnings forecasts for key companies, indicating a positive outlook for firms like Kayi Network and Jibite [4]. Market Data - The total box office for the week was 259 million yuan, with the top three films being "Nishan" (58 million yuan), "Zootopia 2" (53 million yuan), and "Avatar 3" (45 million yuan) [2][19]. - In the gaming sector, the top three mobile games in December 2025 were "Whiteout Survival," "Gossip Harbor: Merge & Story," and "Kingshot" [26][27]. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the potential of AI applications in the media sector, particularly in marketing and content creation, suggesting investment opportunities in companies like Zhejiang Wenlian and Huimai Technology [36]. - It also notes the expected growth in the gaming sector driven by new product cycles and AI integration, recommending companies such as Giant Network and JiBit [36].
立高食品:商超渠道节奏良好,新品积极布局-20260122
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-22 05:45
证券研究报告 | 2026年01月21日 2026年01月22日 立高食品(300973.SZ) 商超渠道节奏良好,新品积极布局 |  公司研究·公司快评 | | |  | 食品饮料·食品加工 |  投资评级:优于大市(维持) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师: | 张向伟 | | | zhangxiangwei@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码:S0980523090001 | | 联系人: | 王新雨 | 021-60875135 | | wangxinyu8@guosen.com.cn | | 事项: 公司公告:立高食品发布业绩预告,2025 年全年实现营业总收入 42.6-44.2 亿元,同比增长 11.07%-15.24%; 扣非归母净利润 3.06-3.26 亿元,同比增长 20.61%-28.49%。 国信食饮观点:1)商超渠道节奏良好,成本回落叠加费效提升,利润有望平稳回升;2)资源聚焦高潜渠 道,新品积极布局 2026;3)我们预计 2025-2027 年公司实现营业总收入 43.5/49.3/53.9 亿元(前预测 ...
苏农银行(603323):营收利润增速平稳,资产质量稳健
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-22 05:22
证券研究报告 | 2026年01月21日 2026年01月22日 苏农银行(603323.SH)2025 年度业绩快报点评 中性 营收利润增速平稳,资产质量稳健 苏农银行披露 2025 年度业绩快报。公司 2025 年实现营业收入 41.91 亿元, 同比增长 0.41%,实现归母净利润 20.43 亿元,同比增长 5.04%,加权平均 净资产收益率 10.84%,同比下降 0.83 个百分点。 资产规模增长平稳。公司 2025 年末资产总额 2311.03 亿元,较年初增长 8.00%,扩张速度保持平稳。其中年末贷款总额 1394.32 亿元,较年初增长 7.81%;存款总额 1829.59 亿元,较年初增长 7.47%,其中储蓄存款 1125.12 亿元,较年初增长11.03%。公司2025 年末归属于普通股股东的净资产189.75 亿元,较年初增长 5.17%。 营收利润增速平稳,ROE 同比略微回落。公司 2025 年实现营业收入 41.91 亿元,同比增长 0.41%,增速较前三季度上升 0.33 个百分点;2025 年实现 归母净利润 20.43 亿元,同比增长 5.04%,增速较前三季度略升 0 ...
2025Q4股市外资季度向跟踪:长线稳定型外资加仓 AH 高景气板块
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-22 02:50
Group 1: A-Share Market Insights - In Q4 2025, northbound funds saw a slight inflow of 6.3 billion CNY, with long-term foreign capital outflow of approximately 14 billion CNY and short-term inflow of about 26.2 billion CNY[1] - The proportion of northbound funds in A-share free float market value decreased from 5.2% to 5.1%[2] - Long-term foreign capital's share fell from 67% to 65%, while short-term capital's share increased from 30% to 32%[2] - Key sectors for long-term foreign capital included non-ferrous metals, electronics, and power equipment, while short-term capital favored communications and dividends[2] Group 2: Hong Kong Market Insights - In Q4 2025, foreign capital continued to flow out of Hong Kong stocks, totaling approximately 170 billion HKD, with long-term and short-term outflows of about 70 billion HKD and 100 billion HKD respectively[3] - Foreign capital's total holding in Hong Kong stocks was around 18.9 trillion HKD, accounting for about 59% of the total market, down from 60% in Q3[3] - Long-term foreign capital primarily flowed into pharmaceuticals and non-ferrous metals, while short-term capital focused on semiconductors and certain consumer sectors[3] - Despite a decline in foreign capital's share across most industries, it still holds significant pricing power in major financial, internet, and consumer sectors[3]