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小米集团-W:2025年一季度业绩点评:各业务表现亮眼,看好IoT与汽车持续增厚业绩
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-30 04:43
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group-W (01810.HK) [1] Core Views - The report highlights strong performance across various business segments, particularly in IoT and automotive sectors, which are expected to continue enhancing earnings [9] - The company achieved record high revenue and net profit in Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 111.29 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 47.4%, and adjusted net profit of 10.68 billion yuan, up 64.5% year-on-year [9] - The automotive segment shows promising growth with revenue of 18.58 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.5%, and a narrowing loss of 500 million yuan [9] - Xiaomi's smartphone market share has returned to first place in China, with a year-on-year increase of 4.7% to 18.8% [9] - The IoT segment reported revenue of 32.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 58.7%, driven by strong sales in home appliances and tablets [9] Financial Projections - The report provides financial forecasts for Xiaomi Group, projecting total revenue to grow from 365.91 billion yuan in 2024 to 726.72 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.64% [1][10] - Net profit is expected to increase significantly from 23.66 billion yuan in 2024 to 65.94 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [1][10] - The report anticipates a steady improvement in earnings per share (EPS), projected to rise from 0.91 yuan in 2024 to 2.54 yuan in 2027 [1][10]
金山软件:【勘误版】2025Q1业绩报点评:关注《解限机》上线进展,办公聚焦AI、协作和国际化-20250530
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-30 03:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Kingsoft Corporation (03888.HK) [1] Core Views - The report highlights the importance of the upcoming launch of the game "Limitless Machine" and the company's focus on AI, collaboration, and internationalization in its office software segment [1][8] - Kingsoft's revenue for Q1 2025 was 2.338 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 9.41% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 16.28% [8] - The gaming segment's revenue was 1.037 billion yuan, contributing 44.33% to total revenue, with expectations for continued performance from existing titles and the upcoming launch of "Limitless Machine" [8] - The office software segment generated 1.301 billion yuan, accounting for 55.67% of total revenue, driven by growth in WPS personal and WPS 365 services [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue projections for Kingsoft are as follows: 10.318 billion yuan in 2024, 11.669 billion yuan in 2025, 13.149 billion yuan in 2026, and 14.721 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 20.91%, 13.09%, 12.68%, and 11.96% respectively [1] - Net profit projections are 1.552 billion yuan in 2024, 1.867 billion yuan in 2025, 2.304 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.735 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 220.94%, 20.32%, 23.41%, and 18.70% respectively [1] - The report forecasts EPS of 1.33 yuan for 2025, 1.65 yuan for 2026, and 1.95 yuan for 2027, corresponding to P/E ratios of 24, 20, and 17 times respectively [1][8]
金山软件(03888):2020Q1业绩报点评:关注《解限机》上线进展,办公聚焦AI、协作和国际化
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-30 02:59
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report emphasizes the importance of the upcoming launch of the game "解限机" and the company's focus on AI, collaboration, and internationalization in its office software segment [1][8] - The company is expected to maintain steady growth in its dual business segments, with a positive outlook on new game categories and the continued development of AI capabilities in office software [8] Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, total revenue is projected at 8,547 million, with a year-on-year growth of 11.74% - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 483.46 million, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 107.99% - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is estimated at 0.35 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 93.52 [1] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts total revenue of 10,318 million for 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 20.91% - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to reach 1,551.61 million in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 220.94% - EPS is expected to rise to 1.11 yuan in 2024, with a P/E ratio of 29.14 [1][9] Business Segments Overview - The gaming segment reported revenue of 10.37 billion in Q1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 13.71% - The office software segment generated revenue of 13.01 billion in Q1 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 6.21% [8] - The report highlights the company's strategy to enhance AI user engagement and expand its international presence through localized operations [8] Research and Development Investment - The company has increased its R&D expenses to support AI and new game category development, with R&D costs rising by 16.14% year-on-year [8][9] - The report indicates a commitment to continuous investment in R&D to drive innovation and growth in both gaming and office software sectors [8]
美团-W:业绩超预期,竞争干扰短期业绩但长期影响有限-20250530
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-30 02:50
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Meituan-W (03690.HK) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report indicates that Meituan's Q1 2025 performance exceeded expectations, with total revenue reaching 86.557 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18%. Adjusted net profit was 10.949 billion yuan, outperforming Bloomberg consensus estimates [8] - Core local business profits were better than expected, and the trend of reduced losses in new businesses continued. The core local business revenue for Q1 was 64.3 billion yuan (yoy +17.8%), with an operating profit of 13.5 billion yuan (yoy +39.1%), and the operating profit margin increased by 3 percentage points to 21.0% [8] - The report highlights that while competition may impact Q2 profits, the long-term outlook remains positive due to the company's advantages in fulfillment, supply, and operational efficiency [8] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue projections for Meituan are as follows: - 2023: 276.85 billion yuan - 2024: 337.59 billion yuan (yoy +21.94%) - 2025: 389.69 billion yuan (yoy +15.43%) - 2026: 442.51 billion yuan (yoy +13.55%) - 2027: 494.21 billion yuan (yoy +11.68%) [1] - Adjusted net profit forecasts are: - 2023: 13.86 billion yuan - 2024: 35.81 billion yuan (yoy +158.43%) - 2025: 35.91 billion yuan (yoy +0.28%) - 2026: 46.21 billion yuan (yoy +28.70%) - 2027: 60.46 billion yuan (yoy +30.82%) [1] - The report adjusts the 2025-2027 adjusted profit estimates down to 43.4 billion, 54.1 billion, and 68.4 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding adjusted P/E ratios of 18, 15, and 12 times [8] Business Segments - The core local business is expected to maintain healthy growth, particularly in the food delivery segment, with user engagement and purchase frequency improving. The company plans to invest 100 billion yuan over the next three years to promote high-quality industry development [8] - Instant retail business showed strong growth, with transaction users exceeding 500 million and daily active users peaking at nearly 6.5 million. Non-food category orders grew over 60% year-on-year [8] - The travel and hotel segment is also expected to grow rapidly, especially in lower-tier cities, supported by enhanced membership benefits [8] - The new business segment, particularly the overseas expansion through Keeta, is showing significant progress, with plans to invest 1 billion USD in the Brazilian market over the next five years [8]
东吴证券晨会纪要-20250530
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-30 00:03
证券研究报告 东吴证券晨会纪要 东吴证券晨会纪要 2025-05-30 宏观策略 [Table_MacroStrategy] 宏观量化经济指数周报 20250525:存款"降息"或加剧银行负债端压力 若 MLF 连续加量投放,对冲"负债荒"压力,那么同业存单利率的上行 空间或有限。 海外周报 20250525:流动性与财政可持续性担忧推动 10 年期美债利率 上破 4.5% 核心观点:本周美日长债拍卖结果显示需求疲软,对美债流动性和美国财 政状况可持续性的担忧令市场一度遭遇"股债汇"三杀,10 年期美债利 率上至 4.51%,美元指数再度下破 100,美股大跌;黄金在特朗普威胁对 欧盟加征 50%关税的推动下大涨 4.8%。在中美超预期的关税谈判结果出 炉后,本周海外分析师集体上修全年美国 GDP 增长预期,下修 CPI 通胀 预期,但维持美联储 Q3 首次降息,全年降息 2 次的预期不变。向前看, 特朗普《大美丽法案》本周已于众议院获得通过,后续在参议院通过的阻 力预计较小,而法案中的减税与提高债务上限相关条款或进一步加剧市 场对美国财政状况的担忧程度。 风险提示:特朗普政策超预期;美联储 降息幅度过大引发 ...
北交所定期报告:商务部,中方敦促美方彻底取消单边加征关税
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-29 15:19
证券研究报告 ·北交所报告 · 北交所定期报告 北交所定期报告 20250529 商务部:中方敦促美方彻底取消单边加征关 税 】 乐吴叶芬 2025年05月29日 证券分析师 朱洁羽 执业证书:S0600520090004 zhujieyu@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 易申申 执业证书:S0600522100003 vishsh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 余慧勇 执业证书:S0600524080003 yuhy@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 薛路熹 执业证书:S0600123070027 xuelx(@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 武阿兰 执业证书:S0600124070018 wual@dwzq.com.cn ■ 今日新股:暂无。 风险提示:个股盈利不及预期,行业竞争加剧,贸易摩擦加剧,政策不及 预期等。 相关研究 《A 股三大指数震荡整理,9.44 亿净 流入商业百货》 2025-05-28 《商务部:支持符合条件的经开区上 市融资》 2025-05-27 1/8 东吴证券研究所 制度建立健全,节能市场化机制更加健全。4)浙江:到 2027年 以公 共云方式提供服务的智算规模达到 ...
禾赛科技(A20721):2025年一季报点评:产品切换顺利上量,看好智驾与泛机器人双擎增长
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-29 13:36
证券研究报告·海外公司点评·光学光电子 禾赛科技(HSAI) 2025 年一季报点评:产品切换顺利上量,看 好智驾与泛机器人双擎增长 买入(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万美元) | 265.01 | 288.96 | 474.27 | 643.77 | 847.83 | | 同比(%) | 53.47 | 9.04 | 64.13 | 35.74 | 31.70 | | 归母净利润(百万美元) | (67.20) | (14.24) | 33.91 | 73.86 | 121.53 | | 同比(%) | (55.61) | 78.81 | 338.10 | 117.80 | 64.55 | | EPS-最新摊薄(美元/股) | (0.51) | (0.11) | 0.26 | 0.56 | 0.93 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | (40.64) | (191.74) | 80.53 | 36.97 | ...
金山软件:2025Q1业绩报点评:关注《解限机》上线进展,办公聚焦<font color='#2C8CE7'>AI、协作和国际化-20250529
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-29 09:40
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights the focus on the upcoming launch of the game "解限机" and the company's emphasis on AI, collaboration, and internationalization in its office software business [1][8] - The company achieved a total revenue of 2.338 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.41% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 16.28% [8] - The gaming segment showed stable operations with expectations for the performance of "解限机" upon its launch, while the office software segment is seeing growth driven by WPS personal and WPS 365 services [8] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 8.547 billion yuan - 2024: 10.318 billion yuan (up 20.91% YoY) - 2025: 11.669 billion yuan (up 13.09% YoY) - 2026: 13.149 billion yuan (up 12.68% YoY) - 2027: 14.721 billion yuan (up 11.96% YoY) [1] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected as follows: - 2023: 483.46 million yuan - 2024: 1,551.61 million yuan (up 220.94% YoY) - 2025: 1,866.88 million yuan (up 20.32% YoY) - 2026: 2,303.83 million yuan (up 23.41% YoY) - 2027: 2,734.62 million yuan (up 18.70% YoY) [1] - The report maintains previous earnings forecasts, with expected EPS for 2025-2027 being 1.33, 1.65, and 1.95 yuan respectively, corresponding to current P/E ratios of 25, 20, and 17 times [1][8]
金山软件:关注《解限机》上线进展,办公聚焦AI、协作和国际化-20250529
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-29 07:45
证券研究报告·海外公司点评·软件服务(HS) 金山软件(03888.HK) 2025Q1 业绩报点评:关注《解限机》上线进 展,办公聚焦 AI、协作和国际化 买入(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 8,547 | 10,318 | 11,669 | 13,149 | 14,721 | | 同比(%) | 11.74 | 20.91 | 13.09 | 12.68 | 11.96 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 483.46 | 1,551.61 | 1,866.88 | 2,303.83 | 2,734.62 | | 同比(%) | 107.99 | 220.94 | 20.32 | 23.41 | 18.70 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 0.35 | 1.11 | 1.33 | 1.65 | 1.95 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 95.92 | 29.89 | 24.84 | 2 ...
金山软件(03888):关注《解限机》上线进展,办公聚焦AI、协作和国际化
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-29 07:00
金山软件(03888.HK) 2025Q1 业绩报点评:关注《解限机》上线进 展,办公聚焦 AI、协作和国际化 证券研究报告·海外公司点评·软件服务(HS) 买入(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 8,547 | 10,318 | 11,669 | 13,149 | 14,721 | | 同比(%) | 11.74 | 20.91 | 13.09 | 12.68 | 11.96 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 483.46 | 1,551.61 | 1,866.88 | 2,303.83 | 2,734.62 | | 同比(%) | 107.99 | 220.94 | 20.32 | 23.41 | 18.70 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 0.35 | 1.11 | 1.33 | 1.65 | 1.95 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 95.92 | 29.89 | 24.84 | 2 ...