证券研究报告·北交所报告·北交所定期报告 北交所定期报告 20260130 执业证书：S0600520090004 zhujieyu@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 易申申 执业证书：S0600522100003 yishsh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 余慧勇 执业证书：S0600524080003 yuhy@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 武阿兰 执业证书：S0600124070018 wual@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 陈哲晓 执业证书：S0600124080015 sh_chenzhx@dwzq.com.cn 上海涉外经济创新高，北证 50 下跌 1.69% 2026 年 01 月 30 日 证券分析师 朱洁羽 相关研究： 《沪深北交易所提高融资保证金最低 比例，北证 50 上涨 0.98%》 2026-01-14 《工信部印发<推动工业互联网平台 高质量发展行动方案（2026—2028 年）>，北证 50 下跌 2.50%》 2026-01-13 东吴证券研究所 1 / 8 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] ◼ 资本市场新 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the machinery equipment industry [1] Core Insights - The mining machinery market has significant potential, with a high-margin aftermarket accounting for 50% of the market. The global mining machinery market size is expected to reach approximately $135 billion in 2024, comparable to the traditional construction machinery market. Key categories include excavators, mining trucks, loaders, bulldozers, rock drills, and grinders, with their respective market shares being approximately 40%, 25%, 15%, 10%, and 5% [1] - Rising metal prices are driving capital expenditures upward, with a lag of about 1-2 years from metal prices to mining investments. By 2026, prices for gold, silver, and copper are expected to reach historical highs, leading to a significant increase in mining capital expenditures. Additionally, declining ore grades are increasing the intensity of capital expenditures, creating a synergistic effect with rising metal prices [2] - Chinese manufacturers are gradually increasing their participation in the global mining market, driven by domestic mining companies expanding overseas. While foreign companies like Caterpillar and Komatsu dominate the market, Chinese brands are making significant advancements in large-tonnage products and are leading in electrification and automation technologies. This positions them favorably in the mid-to-low-end market and allows them to accelerate their presence in the high-end market [3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, SANY International, Naipu Mining Machinery, Tongli Co., and Northern Heavy Industries [4]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·风电设备 明阳智能（601615） 2025 年业绩预告点评：Q4 同比转正，收购德 华芯片进军国内卫星电源 Tier1【勘误版】 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 28,124 | 27,158 | 41,215 | 38,616 | 43,200 | | 同比（%） | (8.53) | (3.43) | 51.76 | (6.31) | 11.87 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 376.72 | 346.11 | 897.66 | 2,113.61 | 3,173.78 | | 同比（%） | (89.06) | (8.12) | 159.35 | 135.46 | 50.16 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.17 | 0.15 | 0.40 | 0.93 | 1.40 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 142.69 | 155.31 | 59. ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·风电设备 明阳智能（601615） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 28,124 | 27,158 | 41,215 | 38,616 | 43,200 | | 同比（%） | (8.53) | (3.43) | 51.76 | (6.31) | 11.87 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 376.72 | 346.11 | 897.66 | 2,113.61 | 3,173.78 | | 同比（%） | (89.06) | (8.12) | 159.35 | 135.46 | 50.16 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.17 | 0.15 | 0.40 | 0.93 | 1.40 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 142.69 | 155.31 | 59.88 | 25.43 | 16.94 | [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 执 ...

证券研究报告·海外公司研究简报·专业零售(HS) 周大福（01929.HK） 黄金珠宝百年龙头品牌，战略转型+产品升级 开启成长新篇章 买入（首次） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | FY2024A | FY2025A | FY2026E | FY2027E | FY2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万港元） | 108,713 | 89,656 | 94,265 | 99,234 | 105,213 | | 同比(%) | 14.82 | (17.53) | 5.14 | 5.27 | 6.03 | | 归母净利润（百万港元） | 6,499 | 5,916 | 8,873 | 9,958 | 11,058 | | 同比(%) | 20.71 | (8.98) | 50.00 | 12.23 | 11.04 | | EPS-最新摊薄（港元/股） | 0.66 | 0.60 | 0.90 | 1.01 | 1.12 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 20.43 | 22.44 | 14.96 | 13.33 | 12 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·风电设备 大金重工（002487） 2025 年业绩预告点评：业绩符合预期，向全 套解决方案服务商进发！ 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 4,325 | 3,780 | 6,752 | 9,092 | 11,867 | | 同比（%） | (15.30) | (12.61) | 78.63 | 34.66 | 30.53 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 425.16 | 473.87 | 1,125.70 | 1,786.97 | 2,570.93 | | 同比（%） | (5.58) | 11.46 | 137.55 | 58.74 | 43.87 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.67 | 0.74 | 1.77 | 2.80 | 4.03 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 94.49 | 84.77 | 35.69 | 22.48 | 15.63 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company's performance exceeded market expectations, with a projected net profit of 3.5 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 56.93% [8] - The company is expected to benefit significantly from the high demand in the downstream power and energy storage sectors, with a notable increase in overseas orders and revenue [8] - The company is positioned as a leader in module/pack equipment and structural components, which are expected to benefit from the growth in lithium battery and solid-state battery markets [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from 2,448 million yuan in 2023 to 4,370 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 19.86% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 39.95 million yuan in 2023 to 521.29 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 16.27% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.32 yuan in 2023 to 4.12 yuan in 2027, indicating strong growth potential [1] Market Data - The closing price of the stock is 87.09 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 11,011.31 million yuan [6] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 275.60 in 2023 to 21.12 in 2027, suggesting an improving valuation as earnings grow [1][9] Business Strategy - The company is focusing on expanding its overseas business, with overseas orders accounting for 68% of total orders by the end of 2024 [8] - Collaboration with Qingtao Energy for the development of solid-state battery equipment is a key strategic initiative, enhancing the company's technological capabilities [8]

证券研究报告·海外公司研究简报·专业零售(HS) [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 [Table_Summary] 投资要点 2026 年 01 月 29 日 证券分析师 吴劲草 执业证书：S0600520090006 wujc@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 郗越 执业证书：S0600524080008 周大福（01929.HK） 黄金珠宝百年龙头品牌，战略转型+产品升级 开启成长新篇章 买入（首次） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | FY2024A | FY2025A | FY2026E | FY2027E | FY2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万港元） | 108,713 | 89,656 | 94,265 | 99,234 | 105,213 | | 同比(%) | 14.82 | (17.53) | 5.14 | 5.27 | 6.03 | | 归母净利润（百万港元） | 6,499 | 5,916 | 8,873 | 9,958 | 11,058 | | 同比(%) | ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·风电设备 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 2026 年 01 月 29 日 证券分析师 曾朵红 执业证书：S0600516080001 021-60199793 zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 郭亚男 执业证书：S0600523070003 guoyn@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 胡隽颖 大金重工（002487） 2025 年业绩预告点评：业绩符合预期，向全 套解决方案服务商进发！ 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 4,325 | 3,780 | 6,752 | 9,092 | 11,867 | | 同比（%） | (15.30) | (12.61) | 78.63 | 34.66 | 30.53 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 425.16 | 473.87 | 1,125.70 | 1,786.97 | 2 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [1]. Core Insights - Chow Tai Fook is a leading brand in the gold and jewelry industry with a rich history, established in 1929 and listed in Hong Kong in 2011. The company is the largest gold jewelry brand in China, with a total of 5,813 stores as of the end of FY26Q3 [7][8]. - The company has shown significant improvement in overall performance, with a retail revenue growth of 18% year-on-year in FY26Q3, driven by strong sales in mainland China and Hong Kong/Macau [14][18]. - The company is undergoing a strategic transformation, focusing on product upgrades and enhancing brand value, which has led to a notable increase in the proportion of fixed-price products in sales [9][24]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For FY2025, the company achieved total revenue of HKD 89.66 billion and a net profit of HKD 5.92 billion, with projections for FY2026-2028 showing revenue growth of 5.14%, 5.27%, and 6.03% respectively [1][24]. - The gross profit margin has been steadily increasing, reaching 30.5% in FY26H1, while the net profit margin remains stable at around 6.5% [20][24]. Store Operations - The company is in a store closure cycle, having reduced its total number of stores by 228 in FY26Q3, while still maintaining strong same-store sales growth, particularly in mainland China [7][18]. - The same-store sales growth in mainland China for FY26Q1, Q2, and Q3 were -3.3%, +7.6%, and +21.4% respectively, indicating a positive trend [18]. Product Strategy - The proportion of fixed-price products has significantly increased, with retail value growth of 59.6% year-on-year for these products in FY26Q3, contributing to 40.1% of total sales [9][24]. - The company is focusing on high-end positioning by closing underperforming stores in lower-tier markets and opening new concept stores in higher-tier cities [14][24].