[Table_FixedGain] 固收周报 20250825：转债市场分歧正在累积 1）在维持整体仓位稳健的基础上，降低部分高价标的风险敞口，增量及 回笼资金可增配 ETF 以平衡踏空风险；2）关注前期回撤较大的银行及基 建板块，和涨幅较小的地产及公用、化工板块中低价标的；3）目前我们 仍维持权益市场"慢牛"的基本判断，供需错配叠加震荡市下，转债高估 值磨顶期拐点远近或依赖于权益市场破位上行势能强弱。 固收周报 20250824：周观："股债跷跷板"的极致演绎 （2025 年第 33 期） 本周（2025.8.18-2025.8.22），10 年期国债活跃券收益率从上周五的 1.745% 上行 4bp 至 1.785%。 证券研究报告 东吴证券晨会纪要 东吴证券晨会纪要 2025-08-29 宏观策略 [Table_MacroStrategy] 宏观深度报告 20250828：投资于人：今年中央财政支持的重点 在中央本级一般公共预算支出方面，2025 年中央财政预算向国防支出、 科学技术支出倾斜，同时国债存量规模持续走高导致付息支出同步增长。 2025 年，中央本级一般公共预算支出预期将同比增长 2825 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company's main business shows stabilization in customer spending, and the effectiveness of the "Red Pomegranate" initiative is notable [1] - Revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to reflect uncertainties in the dining environment, with expected net profits of 4.228 billion, 4.712 billion, and 5.113 billion respectively [1] - The company has experienced a decline in same-store sales, but growth in takeaway and other restaurant operations has been significant [1] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 41.622 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 33.66% [1] - The diluted EPS for 2025 is estimated at 0.76, with a corresponding P/E ratio of 17.55 [1] - The company reported a total of 1,322 restaurants as of the first half of 2025, with a net decrease of 33 restaurants during that period [1][7] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from restaurant operations, takeaway, and other segments for the first half of 2025 was 185.80 million, 9.28 million, and 5.97 million respectively, with significant year-on-year growth in takeaway and other operations [1] - The average customer spending in the first half of 2025 was 97.9 yuan, reflecting a slight increase of 0.51% year-on-year [1] Cost Structure - The cost structure for the first half of 2025 shows that raw material costs accounted for 39.82% of total expenses, with employee costs at 33.75% [1]

2025 年 08 月 29 日 证券研究报告·公司点评报告·证券Ⅱ 中信证券（600030） 2025 年中报点评：净利润增长 30%，各业务 板块稳健增长 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 60,068 | 63,789 | 64,752 | 75,033 | 81,387 | | 同比（%） | -7.74% | 6.20% | 1.51% | 15.88% | 8.47% | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 19,721 | 21,704 | 27,390 | 27,870 | 31,208 | | 同比（%） | -7.49% | 10.06% | 26.20% | 1.75% | 11.98% | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.30 | 1.41 | 1.85 | 1.88 | 2.11 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 20.75 | 19.13 | 17.04 | 16. ...

永安期货（600927） 2025 年中报点评： Q2 净利润环比改善，基 金销售与资管业务盈利向好 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 23823 | 21735 | 19945 | 21056 | 22659 | | 同比（%） | -31.5% | -8.8% | -8.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 729 | 575 | 470 | 590 | 658 | | 同比（%） | 8.3% | -21.1% | -18.2% | 25.5% | 11.5% | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.32 | 0.41 | 0.45 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 31.27 | 39.61 | 48.42 | 38.59 | 34.60 | 证券研究报告·公司点评报告·多元金融 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 ...

开发科技（920029） 2025 中报点评：境外新签西班牙&波兰智能 电表项目，25H1 境内收入同比高增 133% 增持（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 2,550 | 2,933 | 3,378 | 3,801 | 4,212 | | 同比 | 42.39 | 15.02 | 15.19 | 12.53 | 10.80 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 486.32 | 588.99 | 729.24 | 856.56 | 976.27 | | 同比 | 165.67 | 21.11 | 23.81 | 17.46 | 13.98 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 3.50 | 4.24 | 5.25 | 6.17 | 7.03 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 28.70 | 23.69 | 19.14 | 16.29 | 14.29 | [Table_Tag] [Table_Summ ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·航天装备Ⅱ [Table_Tag] [事件： Table_Summary] 公司发布 2025 年中报。公司 2025 年上半年实现营业收入 58.22 亿 元，同比去年-24.51%；归母净利润 1.74 亿元，同比去年-30.37%。 投资要点 航天电子（600879） 2025 年中报点评：航天业务收缩、无人系统 扩张 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 18,727 | 14,280 | 14,810 | 16,185 | 18,043 | | 同比 | 7.16 | (23.75) | 3.71 | 9.28 | 11.48 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 524.85 | 548.02 | 582.40 | 789.37 | 897.61 | | 同比 | (14.35) | 4.42 | 6.27 | 35.54 | 13.71 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has demonstrated better-than-expected growth through both organic and acquisition strategies, with the first interim dividend being distributed [1] - The integration of the acquired company, Yuefeng, has shown significant contributions to revenue and profit, indicating strong synergy effects [1] - The company's financial performance is projected to improve, with net profit estimates for 2025-2027 being raised due to better-than-expected growth [1] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 12,541 million, with a decline of 2.59% year-on-year, while 2024 is expected to see a further decline of 5.22% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 1,430 million in 2023, with a year-on-year growth of 25.23% [1] - The latest diluted EPS is expected to be 1.75 in 2023, with a P/E ratio of 14.85 [1] - The company’s operating cash flow for the first half of 2025 is reported at 12.21 billion, showing a year-on-year increase of 2.80 billion [1] - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of 0.25 per share, totaling 2.04 billion, which is 21.08% of the net profit for the first half of 2025 [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's revenue for Q2 2025 was 7.74 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 28%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 260 million, down 83% year-on-year [8] - The decline in performance was primarily due to asset impairment losses of approximately 240 million caused by product inventory and kiln maintenance [8] - Despite a slight decrease in shipments, price increases have led to a recovery in profitability, with an estimated gross margin increase of about 5 percentage points to around 16.7% [8] - The company has reduced its production capacity due to kiln maintenance, with a total production capacity of 16,400 tons/day as of the end of August 2025 [8] - The company maintains a leading position in the market, with a combined market share with Xinyi exceeding 50% [8] Financial Summary - The total revenue forecast for 2025 is 15.899 billion, with a year-on-year decrease of 14.90% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected to be 616.08 million, a year-on-year decrease of 38.80% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.26 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 62.90 [1] - The company expects a gradual recovery in profitability in 2026 and 2027, with net profits projected at 1.161 billion and 1.488 billion respectively [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's H1 2025 revenue was 220 million, a decrease of 16% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 110 million, an increase of 157% year-on-year [7] - The company is expanding its production capacity in the lithium sulfide sector, positioning itself as a leading manufacturer in this field [7] - The report highlights a significant increase in non-operating income, contributing 88.97 million from two main events [7] - The company is expected to achieve substantial profit growth in the coming years, with net profits projected at 141.52 million in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 229% [1][7] Financial Summary - Total revenue is forecasted to reach 543.43 million in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 6.55% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 141.52 million in 2025, with a projected growth rate of 229% [1] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is estimated to be 0.81 yuan in 2025, with a significant increase in subsequent years [1] - The company maintains a low expense ratio, with operating cash flow showing a significant improvement [7] - The report anticipates a substantial increase in production capacity, with expectations of reaching a hundred tons in 2025 and a thousand tons in 2026 [7]

Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of the company to "Buy" [5] Core Views - The company is experiencing rapid growth in performance, driven by its 3C equipment and battery swapping station businesses [5] - The company has established strong partnerships with high-quality clients in the new energy and 3C sectors, leading to a significant increase in orders and revenue [2][5] - The company is actively expanding its presence in the humanoid robot sector, providing essential production equipment to well-known international robotics companies [5] Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.876 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.34%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 163 million yuan, up 69.69% year-on-year [2] - The 3C business accounted for 62.75% of total revenue, while the new energy business contributed 30.35% [2] - The company's gross profit margin was 32.6%, a decrease of 3.6 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin improved by 2.8 percentage points [3] - The company's contract liabilities increased by 483.3% year-on-year, indicating a substantial rise in order volume [4] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts total revenue of 6.027 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.65% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to reach 554.96 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 39.30% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 1.24 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 28.73 based on the current market price [1]