证券研究报告·行业点评报告·非银金融 非银金融行业点评报告 基金绩效管理办法下发，引导基金员工激励 与长期业绩挂钩 增持（维持） heting@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -18% -14% -10% -6% -2% 2% 6% 10% 14% 18% 2024/12/9 2025/4/8 2025/8/6 2025/12/4 非银金融 沪深300 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 2025 年 12 月 07 日 证券分析师 孙婷 执业证书：S0600524120001 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 何婷 执业证书：S0600524120009 《适度提升优质券商的资本空间，聚 焦券商高质量发展》 2025-12-06 《优化长期股票持仓风险因子要求， 引导险资发挥耐心资本优势》 相关研究 2025-12-06 东吴证券研究所 1 / 2 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 事件：《基金管理公司绩效考核管理指引（征求意见稿）》下发，旨在进 一步规范基金公司绩效考核与薪酬管理行为，健全长效激励约束机制， 推动基金行业实现稳健经营和可持续发展。 ◼ 主要内 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Longking Environmental [1] Core Views - The Ministry of Finance has accelerated the allocation of environmental special funds for 2026, with a significant increase in the proportion of funds for air pollution control, benefiting leading companies in the air pollution sector [8] - Longking Environmental is expected to benefit from the robust demand in the air pollution control market, driven by both fiscal support and ongoing needs for new and upgraded projects in the power and non-power sectors [8] - The report forecasts a substantial increase in net profit for Longking Environmental, with projected net profits of 1.23 billion, 1.53 billion, and 1.75 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to reach 12.1 billion yuan in 2025, 13.3 billion yuan in 2026, and 14.3 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 20.74%, 9.82%, and 7.64% respectively [1] - The report anticipates a significant recovery in net profit margins, with a forecasted net profit growth of 63.15% in 2024, followed by 48.33% in 2025, and continuing growth in subsequent years [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to increase from 0.65 yuan in 2024 to 1.37 yuan in 2027, indicating a strong upward trend in profitability [1]

Group 1: Market Performance - As of December 5, 2025, the North Exchange A-share index consists of 286 stocks with an average market capitalization of 2.905 billion [18] - The North Exchange 50 index increased by 1.49% during the week of December 1 to December 5, closing at 1,408.34 points [18] - The average daily trading volume for the North Exchange A-shares reached 13.883 billion, a 4.24% increase from the previous week, with a daily turnover rate of 16.10% [18][19] Group 2: New Listings - Jingchuang Electric (stock code: 920035.BJ) was listed on December 2, 2025, focusing on the research, production, and sales of intelligent controllers for cold chain equipment, with 86.69% of its revenue coming from cold chain intelligent control products [2][27] - The company reported a gross margin of 45.55% for its core products, indicating strong profitability [2][27] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The valuation gap between the North Exchange and the ChiNext is narrowing, suggesting increasing investment value, with PE ratios for North Exchange A-shares at 44.24 and ChiNext at 42.34 as of December 5, 2025 [28] - Short-term investment opportunities are recommended in sectors such as aerospace, humanoid robots, AI, and intelligent driving, while long-term focus should be on high-growth stocks with specialized attributes and strong earnings expectations [28]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the machinery equipment industry, particularly emphasizing the resonance of domestic and foreign demand in engineering machinery [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights strong performance in the excavator market, with November 2025 sales reaching 20,027 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.9%, exceeding market expectations [1]. - The report anticipates a rebound in overseas demand for machinery in 2026, following a four-year decline, driven by a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve [1]. - The gas turbine market is expected to benefit from the expansion of AI data centers in the U.S., which will increase demand for reliable power solutions [2]. - The semiconductor equipment sector is projected to see growth due to financing for storage expansion and increasing domestic equipment localization rates [3]. Summary by Sections Engineering Machinery - November 2025 excavator sales reached 20,027 units, with domestic sales at 9,842 units (up 9.11%) and exports at 10,185 units (up 18.8%) [1]. - The report notes that despite weak fundamentals in real estate and infrastructure, factors like machine replacement and water conservancy funding are supporting small excavators [1]. - The report identifies key companies in this sector, including Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, and LiuGong, as potential beneficiaries of the expected demand rebound [1]. Gas Turbines - The expansion of AI data centers is driving significant electricity demand, with gas turbines being favored for their quick construction and stable output [2]. - Companies like Jereh and Haomai Technology are highlighted for their potential to benefit from this trend, with Jereh securing a $200 million order from a leading AI firm [2]. Semiconductor Equipment - The report emphasizes the importance of storage expansion financing and the increasing localization of equipment in the semiconductor sector [3]. - Key companies to watch include Northern Huachuang and Zhongwei Technology, which are expected to benefit from these trends [3].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The coal mining industry is experiencing weak supply and demand, leading to a downward trend in coal prices. The current port coal price is at 785 RMB/ton, down 31 RMB/ton from the previous week. The average daily coal inflow to the four ports in the Bohai Rim is 1.95 million tons, a decrease of 105,100 tons or 5.11% week-on-week. The average daily coal outflow is 1.73 million tons, down 260,000 tons or 13.05% week-on-week. The inventory at the ports has increased by 1 million tons to 27.614 million tons, an increase of 3.77% [1][2][31] Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,902.81 points, down 0.29% week-on-week. The coal sector index closed at 2,887.25 points, up 0.37% week-on-week, with a trading volume of 55.814 billion RMB, an increase of 25.76% [10] 2. Coal Prices - The price of thermal coal at the production site has shown a slight decline. As of December 5, the price of 5500 kcal thermal coal in Datong is 635 RMB/ton, down 19 RMB/ton. The price of 6000 kcal thermal coal in Yanzhou is 1,010 RMB/ton, down 140 RMB/ton. The port price of thermal coal is 785 RMB/ton, down 31 RMB/ton [16][19] 3. Inventory and Shipping - The average daily coal inflow and outflow at the Bohai Rim ports have both decreased. The average daily inflow is 1.95 million tons, and the outflow is 1.73 million tons. The number of anchored vessels has decreased to 75, down 24 vessels or 24% week-on-week. The coal inventory at the ports has increased to 27.614 million tons [26][31] 4. Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on insurance capital inflows and recommends resource stocks, particularly thermal coal stocks like Haohua Energy and Guanghui Energy, which are considered undervalued [2][36]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - Overseas markets are pricing in Fed rate cuts, with risk assets recovering. The US major stock indices are approaching their pre - November rate - cut - speculation levels, and industrial policies and catalysts are regaining pricing power. The potential December 19th rate hike by the BoJ is the next focus for overseas liquidity. A narrowing of the US - Japan policy interest rate spread may lead to a partial unwinding of carry - trade leveraged funds, impacting global liquidity [1][43] - The domestic equity market has shifted its focus to the policy guidance for the "14th Five - Year Plan" from the year - end important meetings. The technology sector shows signs of recovery, with Moore Threads surging over 4 times on its first trading day. Convertible bonds are generally volatile, with small - and medium - cap stocks outperforming. In 2026, the "diffusion" trend will be prominent. The continuous release of edge - side AI software and hardware will create a business loop for upstream high - capex spending and boost the edge - side, especially consumer electronics - related targets [1][44] - For existing convertible bond targets, it is recommended to focus on Chaosheng Convertible Bonds (SLP), Luxshare Convertible Bonds (ODM+), Guanyu Convertible Bonds (battery pack), and Lihe Convertible Bonds (PLC). For upcoming targets, pay attention to Awinic Electronics (thermal management chips), Tonglian Precision (MIM for Apple and Tesla's dexterous hands), Jingyan Technology (Android MIM + NVIDIA DCC), and Suzhou Tianmai (VC vapor chambers) [1][44] - The top ten convertible bonds with the highest probability of downward revision next week are Ziyin Convertible Bonds, Lanfan Convertible Bonds, Longda Convertible Bonds, Wanqing Convertible Bonds, Baolai Convertible Bonds, Jidong Convertible Bonds, Kehua Convertible Bonds, Honglu Convertible Bonds, Shanlu Convertible Bonds, and Qiaqia Convertible Bonds [1][44] - The top ten high - rated, medium - low - price convertible bonds with the greatest potential for par - premium ratio repair next week are Lizhong Convertible Bonds, Chutian Convertible Bonds, Jiangong Convertible Bonds, Ying 19 Convertible Bonds, Liqun Convertible Bonds, Hope Convertible Bonds, Liuyao Convertible Bonds, Jiayue Convertible Bonds, Wentai Convertible Bonds, and Lutai Convertible Bonds [1][45] Group 3: Summary According to the Table of Contents 1. Weekly Market Review 1.1 Equity Market Overall Rise - From December 1st to 5th, the equity market rose overall. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.37% to 3902.81 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.26% to 13147.68 points, the ChiNext Index rose 1.86% to 3109.30 points, and the CSI 300 rose 1.28% to 4584.54 points. The average daily trading volume of the two markets decreased by about 41.146 billion yuan to 1684.284 billion yuan, with a weekly - on - weekly decline of 2.38% [6][9] - On different trading days, the market showed different trends. For example, on December 1st, most stocks rose, and sectors like consumer electronics and non - ferrous metals led the gains; on December 2nd, most stocks fell, and sectors like energy metals and non - ferrous metals declined [10] - Among the 31 Shenwan primary industries, 17 industries rose, with 5 industries rising over 2%. Non - ferrous metals, communication, national defense and military industry, machinery equipment, and non - bank finance led the gains, while media, beauty care, food and beverage, computer, and textile and apparel led the losses [14] 1.2 Convertible Bond Market Overall Rise - From December 1st to 5th, the CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 0.08% to 482.00 points. Among the 29 Shenwan primary industries, 20 industries rose, with 2 industries rising over 2%. National defense and military industry, non - ferrous metals, machinery equipment, petroleum and petrochemical, and commercial retail led the gains, while computer, power equipment, beauty care, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, and food and beverage led the losses [17] - The average daily trading volume of the convertible bond market was 53.801 billion yuan, a significant decrease of 7.77 billion yuan, with a month - on - month change of - 12.62%. The top ten convertible bonds in terms of trading volume were Furong Convertible Bonds, Dongshi Convertible Bonds, Dazhong Convertible Bonds, Zhongneng Convertible Bonds, Weidao Convertible Bonds, Guanzhong Convertible Bonds, Huicheng Convertible Bonds, Zhenhua Convertible Bonds, Nenghui Convertible Bonds, and Zhongqi Convertible Bonds [17] - Approximately 51.24% of convertible bond issues rose, with about 29.60% rising between 0 - 1% and 11.44% rising over 2% [17] - The overall market conversion premium rate declined, with a daily average of 40.85%, a decrease of 0.70 pct from last week. Different price and parity intervals showed different trends, and 8 industries saw an expansion in the conversion premium rate, while some industries saw a narrowing [23][32] - In terms of conversion parity, 22 industries saw an increase, with 11 industries rising over 2%. Textile and apparel, non - ferrous metals, communication, petroleum and petrochemical, and automobile led the gains, while environmental protection, media, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, computer, and social services led the losses [36] 1.3 Comparison of Stock and Bond Market Sentiments - From December 1st to 5th, the weighted average and median price changes of convertible bonds and underlying stocks were positive, and the underlying stocks had a larger weekly increase. The trading volume of the convertible bond market decreased by 12.62% month - on - month, at the 37.70% quantile level since 2022; the corresponding underlying stock market trading volume decreased by 5.86% month - on - month, at the 63.70% quantile level since 2022. The underlying stock market had a better trading sentiment overall [40] - On different trading days, the trading sentiment of the stock and bond markets varied. For example, on December 1st, the underlying stock market had a better trading sentiment; on December 3rd, the convertible bond market had a better trading sentiment [41] 2. Outlook and Investment Strategy - Overseas markets are pricing in Fed rate cuts, and the potential BoJ rate hike is a focus. A narrowing of the US - Japan policy interest rate spread may impact global liquidity [1][43] - The domestic equity market is focused on policy guidance, and the technology sector shows recovery signs. Convertible bonds are volatile, and in 2026, the "diffusion" trend will be important. Recommendations for convertible bond targets are provided, and the top ten convertible bonds with high downward - revision probability and par - premium ratio repair potential are listed [1][44]

证券研究报告·宏观报告·宏观周报 金融产品周报 20251206 权益 ETF 系列：持续磨底，大级别反攻行情 仍需要保持耐心 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 事件 ◼ 观点：持续磨底，大级别反攻行情仍需要保持耐心。 ◼ 基金配置建议： 2025 年 12 月 06 日 证券分析师 芦哲 执业证书：S0600524110003 luzhe@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 唐遥衎 执业证书：S0600524120016 tangyk@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 《六部委"供需适配政策"精准发力 "新消费"》 2025-12-05 《恒生科技 ETF， 2025 年 11 月复盘 及 12 月展望》 2025-12-02 ◼ A 股市场行情概述：（2025.12.01-2025.12.05） ◼ 主要宽基指数涨跌幅：排名前三名的宽基指数分别为：深证红利 （0.79%），创业板指（0.54%），上证 50（0.28%）；排名后三名的宽 基指数分别为：万得微盘股日频等权指数（-1.20%），科创 50（-0.80%）， 科创综指（-0.75%）。 ◼ 风格指数涨跌幅：排名前三名的风格 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Add" [1] Core Insights - Insurance funds' equity investments have significantly increased by 1.5 trillion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reaching a total of 5.59 trillion yuan, which is the highest proportion since 2014 at 15.5% [2] - The long-term outlook suggests that as the proportion of participating insurance and other floating income products increases, the risk appetite and equity allocation of insurance funds will also rise [2] - The valuation of the insurance sector remains low, with expected PEV ratios between 0.60-0.95 and PB ratios between 1.15-2.06 as of December 5, 2025, indicating significant upside potential [2] Summary by Sections Investment Strategy - The report emphasizes the need for insurance companies to enhance their long-term investment management capabilities, as guided by the new regulations from the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission [5] - The new regulations aim to lower risk factors for long-term holdings, encouraging insurance companies to invest more in the stock market and support technology innovation [5][6] Market Conditions - The demand in the market remains strong, with expectations of continued optimization in liability costs due to the transformation of participating insurance products [2] - The ten-year government bond yield has risen to approximately 1.85%, which may alleviate pressure on the investment returns of fixed-income assets for insurance companies [2] Regulatory Changes - The new regulations include a reduction in risk factors for stocks held longer than three years, which is expected to encourage insurance companies to adopt a long-term holding strategy [5][6] - The adjustments in risk factors are designed to stabilize the market and promote the growth of patient capital [5]

证券研究报告·固定收益·固收点评 固收点评 20251206 二级资本债周度数据跟踪 （20251201-20251205） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 观点 ◼ 一级市场发行情况： 本周（20251201-20251205）银行间市场及交易所市场共新发行二级资本 债 3 只，发行规模为 500.00 亿元。发行年限为 10Y；发行人性质为地方 国有企业、中央金融企业；主体评级为 AAA；发行人地域为安徽省、北 京市、四川省。 ◼ 二级市场成交情况： 本周（20251201-20251205）二级资本债周成交量合计约 1949 亿元，较 上周增加 164 亿元，成交量前三个券分别为 25 中行二级资本债 02BC （118.26 亿元）、25 工行二级资本债 02BC（87.73 亿元）和 25 长沙银 行二级资本债 01（85.56 亿元）。 分发行主体地域来看，成交量前三为北京市、上海市和湖南省，分别约 为 1410 亿元、100 亿元和 88 亿元。 从到期收益率角度来看，截至 12 月 5 日，5Y 二级资本债中评级 AAA-、 AA+、AA 级到期收益率较上周涨跌幅分别为 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company is transitioning from automotive manufacturing to AI technology, with significant growth expected in revenue and profit margins by 2026 [1][8] - The company plans to launch seven new models in 2026, focusing on both pure electric and extended-range vehicles, while expanding its global presence [8][41] - The Robotaxi segment is anticipated to reshape the Chinese transportation market, with commercial operations expected to accelerate in 2026 [8][50] Summary by Sections C-end Smart Vehicles - The company aims to build a "mass production capability" for multiple successful vehicle models, leveraging a platform-based technology approach [14][15] - The introduction of the X9 EREV model highlights the company's focus on long-range capabilities and efficient energy consumption [23][30] - The company has achieved significant growth in monthly deliveries, indicating a successful product strategy [20][41] B-end Robotaxi - The company is positioned to benefit from favorable policies and technological advancements in the Robotaxi market, with expectations for commercial operations to begin in 2026 [50] - The Robotaxi project is expected to leverage the company's AI capabilities and innovative business models to capture market share [8][50] Collaboration with Volkswagen - The partnership with Volkswagen has evolved from joint vehicle development to deeper collaboration on electronic architecture and AI technology [8][24] - The collaboration is expected to enhance the company's market position as a provider of intelligent technology solutions [8][24] Robotics and Flying Cars - The company is advancing its robotics initiatives, with plans for commercial applications of its IRON robot in various service scenarios by 2026 [8][24] - The flying car project is nearing production, with successful test flights and significant pre-orders indicating strong market interest [8][24]