证 券 研 究 报 告 博源化工（000683）2025 年三季报点评 强推（维持） 拟收购银根矿业股权，巩固纯碱龙头地位 [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 13,264 | 12,260 | 15,354 | 16,260 | | 同比增速(%) | 10.1% | -7.6% | 25.2% | 5.9% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 1,811 | 1,468 | 2,218 | 2,688 | | 同比增速(%) | 28.5% | -18.9% | 51.1% | 21.2% | | 每股盈利(元) | 0.49 | 0.39 | 0.60 | 0.72 | | 市盈率(倍) | 15 | 18 | 12 | 10 | | 市净率(倍) | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 资料来源：公司公告，华创证券预测 注：股价为 2025 年 11 月 21 日收盘价 公司研究 纯碱 2025 年 11 月 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company with a target price of 16.0 CNY per share [2][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a turnaround in Q3 2025, achieving a non-GAAP net profit of 0.01 billion CNY, compared to a loss in the previous year. However, the overall revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 decreased by 37.27% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company is strategically reducing its exposure to high-risk bulk business, focusing instead on enhancing cash flow and improving operational quality. The net cash flow from operating activities turned positive at 0.1689 billion CNY, a significant improvement from a negative cash flow of 0.6334 billion CNY in the previous year [2][7]. - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in profitability, projecting net profits of -0.02 billion CNY, 0.67 billion CNY, and 1.00 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [2][7]. Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is expected to generate total revenue of 6.27 billion CNY, a decrease of 29.2% compared to 2024. The net profit is projected to be -0.02 billion CNY, showing a significant recovery in subsequent years [3][8]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 26.9%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.7 percentage points. The overall gross margin for the first three quarters was 24.7%, up by 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [7][8]. - The company’s total assets are projected to be 14.08 billion CNY in 2025, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.1% [8].

证 券 研 究 报 告 欧派家居（603833）2025 年三季报点评 强推（维持） Q3 业绩短期承压，大家居战略持续深化 目标价：64.86 元 事项： ❖ 公司公布 2025 年三季报。前三季度，公司实现营业收入/归母净利润/扣非归母 净利润 132.14/18.32/17.12 亿元，同比-4.79%/-9.77%/-2.90%。25Q3，公司实现 营业收入/归母净利润/扣非归母净利润 49.73/8.14/7.69 亿元，同比-6.10%/- 21.79%/-22.03%。 评论： ❖ 风险提示：宏观经济影响需求；原材料价格波动风险；渠道拓展不及预期等。 [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 18,925 | 18,293 | 19,267 | 20,428 | | 同比增速(%) | -16.9% | -3.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 2,599 | 2,430 | 2,634 ...

Investment Rating - Maintain Outperform rating; target price set at 149.21 RMB based on a 43x PE for 2026 [4][9][10] Core Insights - Overall performance meets expectations, with revenue slightly below forecasts; Q3 2025 revenue at 1.21 billion RMB, up 32.58% YoY; net profit attributable to shareholders at 0.26 billion RMB, up 78.55% YoY [10][11] - Revenue changes attributed to seasonal order fluctuations, while overall profitability remains stable with a Q3 gross profit margin of 36.15% and a net profit margin of 22.83% [10][11] - Strong industry demand noted, with a focus on the progress of the MDC business, which has potential for better development in high-density optical connections [11][12] Financial Summary - Projected total revenue for 2025-2027 is 1.39 billion RMB, 2.79 billion RMB, and 4.05 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding net profits of 0.39 billion RMB, 0.79 billion RMB, and 1.18 billion RMB [3][4] - EPS forecasted to be 1.72 RMB, 3.47 RMB, and 5.19 RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][6] - The company maintains a stable profitability outlook with a projected ROE of 22.0% in 2025, increasing to 41.8% by 2027 [3][4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, with a target price of 62.4 yuan [2]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 3.977 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 15.05%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 4.704 billion yuan, up 210.74% year-over-year [2]. - The company has shown continuous quarter-over-quarter growth in both revenue and profit, indicating a positive trend in its delivery and deployment [2][7]. - The company has a robust resource reserve, having successfully listed its REIT project, which enhances its financing capabilities [2][7]. - The company is expanding its liquid cooling deployment, with new centers exceeding the power capacity of conventional data centers [2][7]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for intelligent computing centers driven by AI development [2][7]. Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to generate total revenue of 5.886 billion yuan, with a net profit of 5.217 billion yuan, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [2][8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 3.19 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15 [2][8]. - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 39.052 billion yuan by 2025, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 111.2% [8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Xun'an Technology (920950.BJ) is "Outperform" (maintained) [1][3] Core Views - The company has officially launched its smart factory and is undergoing a brand renewal, aiming to deepen its development in personal protective equipment [1][4] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 141 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 16.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 31.03 million yuan, down 29.4% year-on-year [3] - The company is optimistic about the performance contributions from its fundraising projects and has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [3] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company invested 8.1652 million yuan in R&D, accounting for 5.79% of revenue [4] - The sales expenses for the same period were 4.7917 million yuan, representing 3.40% of revenue [4] - Management expenses increased by 31.52% year-on-year to 11.7584 million yuan, accounting for 8.34% of revenue due to depreciation and amortization costs from the new factory [4] Industry Insights - The personal protective equipment industry in China is growing at an annual rate of approximately 15%, supported by new national standards and increasing safety awareness among workers [5] - The implementation of mandatory national standards for personal protective equipment is expected to further support and regulate the development of the labor protection equipment industry [5]

Investment Rating - Maintain Outperform rating with a target price of 99.0 RMB based on a 43.8x PE for 2026 [4][8] Core Insights - Significant growth in performance with Q3 2025 revenue of 8.53 billion RMB, up 58.65% YoY, and net profit of 719 million RMB, up 54.95% YoY [9] - The increase in 800G product proportion is expected to enhance profitability, with domestic demand for 800G anticipated to rise rapidly in 2026 [9][10] - Positive outlook for domestic computing power chips and cloud providers, with major companies planning to expand data center capacities significantly [10] Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2023A to 2027E are 6,061 million RMB, 8,272 million RMB, 11,718 million RMB, 17,362 million RMB, and 21,522 million RMB respectively, with growth rates of -12.3%, 36.5%, 41.7%, 48.2%, and 24.0% [3] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to grow from 619 million RMB in 2023A to 2,331 million RMB in 2027E, with corresponding EPS increasing from 0.77 RMB to 2.89 RMB [3][4] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 24.14%, reflecting a 4 percentage point increase QoQ [9] Industry Outlook - The domestic data center construction is expected to benefit from localization efforts, with optimism surrounding the growth of domestic chip manufacturers [10] - The overall industry is projected to experience high growth driven by increasing demand for advanced data communication technologies [9][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company, indicating a strong expectation for price appreciation relative to the benchmark index [1][9]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated significant revenue growth, with a 44.4% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 25 billion yuan, and a 90.1% increase in net profit, totaling 7.13 billion yuan [2][3]. - The company is preparing for an H-share listing to enhance its international strategy and financing capabilities, which is expected to attract overseas investors and potentially lead to a revaluation of the company's worth [2][3]. - The gross margin and net margin have shown continuous improvement, reaching 42.8% and 32.6% respectively in Q3 2025, indicating a shift towards higher-end product offerings and increased scale advantages [3][4]. Financial Performance - The company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 10.56 billion, 26.80 billion, and 34.44 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a strong upward trend in profitability [9][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise significantly, with projections of 9.51 yuan in 2025 and 30.99 yuan in 2027, indicating robust growth potential [11][13]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 35.9% in 2025 and 41.3% in 2027, showcasing strong profitability relative to shareholder equity [11][13]. Market Dynamics - There is a notable increase in capital expenditures from major cloud service providers, with a year-on-year growth exceeding 50% for the top five North American CSPs in Q3 2025, indicating a strong demand for the company’s 1.6T silicon photonics solutions [4][8]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the anticipated large-scale deployment of 1.6T solutions by key clients in the upcoming quarters, which is expected to drive further revenue growth [4][9]. Valuation Metrics - The report indicates that the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 51.8 in 2025 to 15.9 in 2027, suggesting an attractive valuation as earnings grow [9][11]. - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is also expected to decline from 18.8 in 2025 to 6.6 in 2027, further indicating potential for value appreciation [11][13].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock performance relative to the market [4][8]. Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery in performance driven by fair value net gains, with a sequential improvement in profits for the third quarter. The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in domestic demand and further supply clearance in the CRO sector, which may lead to an increase in order prices [4][8]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 6.51 billion RMB, 7.07 billion RMB, and 7.82 billion RMB, with growth rates of -1.4%, 8.5%, and 10.7% respectively. Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.26 billion RMB, 1.55 billion RMB, and 1.81 billion RMB, reflecting growth rates of 209.8%, 23.4%, and 17.0% [4][8]. Financial Summary - For Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.78 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 3.86% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.29%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 637 million RMB, showing a year-on-year increase of 98.73% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 192.42% [4][8]. - The report notes that profit recovery was primarily due to investment income and net gains from fair value changes, contributing 207 million RMB and 413 million RMB respectively [4][8]. Business Segments - The overseas clinical operations segment is experiencing rapid growth, with expectations for significant new order contributions in the second half of 2025. However, domestic clinical operations are facing challenges due to competitive pricing and order cancellations, although a gradual recovery is anticipated as low-price orders clear [4][8]. - The SMO business has shown good year-on-year growth, driven by demand from multinational pharmaceutical companies. Other segments, such as data management and statistical analysis, remain stable, while laboratory services have seen a slight decline due to intensified competition [4][8].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [1]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in precision casting, benefiting from the dual drivers of AI computing power in cooling and power supply sectors. It has established long-term partnerships with global giants and is poised for significant growth due to expanding demand in the AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) market [8][14]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company is recognized as a global leader in commercial air conditioning compressor castings and a prominent player in engineering machinery castings, with strong ties to major clients like Johnson Controls and Caterpillar [8][14]. - The company has a high degree of customer binding, with over 10 years of collaboration with top-tier clients, which enhances its competitive edge [14][21]. 2. Financial Performance - The company has shown a stable growth trend, with a CAGR of 12.7% in revenue and 13.3% in net profit from 2016 to 2024. However, a decline was noted in 2024 due to reduced demand in the commercial air conditioning sector [23][24]. - The revenue forecast for 2023A is 1,211 million yuan, with a projected increase to 2,164 million yuan by 2027E, reflecting a growth rate of 33.80% [1]. 3. Business Segments - The primary revenue source is from compressor components, accounting for over 60% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 38% in 2024. Engineering machinery components are also growing, with their revenue share increasing from 2% in 2016 to 31% in 2024 [25][26]. - The company is expanding its footprint in the AIDC sector, particularly in cooling and power supply, which is expected to drive future growth [8][36]. 4. Market Opportunities - The AIDC market is projected to grow significantly, with the U.S. AIDC cooling component market expected to exceed 10 billion yuan by 2028. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend [8][37]. - The engineering machinery sector is anticipated to recover starting in 2025, benefiting the company due to its strong relationship with Caterpillar [8][36]. 5. Competitive Advantages - The company's integrated "casting + machining" capabilities provide a competitive edge, allowing for high product customization and superior profit margins compared to peers [8][36]. - The company has initiated a stock incentive plan to align the interests of key personnel with the company's long-term growth objectives [8][36].