Workflow
三一重能深度报告:风机新锐,双海持续突破
中国银河· 2025-01-03 11:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for Sany Renewable Energy (688349 SH) [1] Core Views - Sany Renewable Energy has rapidly grown its market share in the wind turbine sector, ranking 4th in the domestic onshore wind market with a 10 1% share in 2023 [2] - The company's "Dual Sea" strategy (offshore and overseas markets) is expected to drive future growth, with overseas revenue reaching 310 million yuan in 2023, a 38,836% YoY increase [2] - Sany Renewable Energy's cost advantages stem from its dual-fed technology, transformer-on-tower design, and self-developed core components [2] - The company's power station development business is becoming a second growth curve, with a gross margin consistently above 70% [2] Company Development and Performance - Sany Renewable Energy's wind turbine sales capacity grew from 3 2GW in 2021 to 7 24GW in 2023, with a CAGR of 33 6% [2] - In 2024H1, the company achieved 3 3GW of domestic onshore wind turbine sales, a 121% YoY increase [2] - The company's revenue and net profit for 2024Q1-3 were 9 07 billion yuan and 690 million yuan, respectively, with a 21% YoY increase in revenue [2] - Sany Renewable Energy's gross margin for 2024Q1-3 was 15 5%, higher than industry average [2] Wind Power Industry Outlook - Domestic onshore and offshore wind installations are expected to reach 90-100GW and 15-18GW respectively in 2025, with YoY growth of 18 8% and 83 3% [2] - The wind power industry is expected to maintain rapid growth during the 15th Five-Year Plan period, driven by new energy installation demand and structural improvements [2] - The industry's concentration is high, with CR5 reaching 73 6% in 2023 [86] - Wind turbine prices are expected to stabilize, with limited room for further declines in offshore wind turbine prices [89] Cost Advantages - Sany Renewable Energy's cost advantages come from its dual-fed technology, transformer-on-tower design, and self-developed core components [2] - The company's gross margin for 2024Q1-3 was 15 5%, higher than industry average [2] - Sany Renewable Energy's production, operation, and supply chain are fully digitalized, further enhancing cost efficiency [140] Dual Sea Strategy - Overseas revenue reached 310 million yuan in 2023, with a gross margin of 22 07%, 5 25 percentage points higher than domestic business [2] - The company has won multiple projects in India, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East, and is accelerating overseas capacity construction [2] - Sany Renewable Energy has launched 8 5-16MW offshore wind products and is expected to secure orders in northern China [2] Power Station Development - Sany Renewable Energy's power station business has a gross margin consistently above 70%, contributing significantly to profits [2] - As of 2024H1, the company's under-construction scale exceeded 2GW, with power generation revenue reaching 128 million yuan and investment income of 442 million yuan [2] - The company adopts a "rolling development" strategy for power station operations, continuously developing new projects while selling mature ones [155] Financial Projections - The report forecasts net profits of 2 051 billion yuan, 2 195 billion yuan, and 2 738 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [2] - EPS is projected to be 1 67 yuan, 1 79 yuan, and 2 23 yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [2] - The PE ratio is expected to be 17 7x, 16 5x, and 13 2x for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [2]
福莱新材:深耕涂布打印材料,进军柔性传感未来市场
申万宏源· 2025-01-03 09:54
上 市 公 司 基础化工 投资要点: | | 2023 | 2024Q1-3 | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 2,131 | 1,776 | 2,518 | 3,253 | 3,755 | | 同比增长率(%) | 12.1 | 14.2 | 18.2 | 29.2 | 15.4 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 70 | 70 | 85 | 120 | 141 | | 同比增长率(%) | -7.1 | 22.1 | 20.5 | 41.9 | 17.8 | | 每股收益(元/股) | 0.40 | 0.39 | 0.43 | 0.62 | 0.73 | | 毛利率(%) | 13.4 | 15.0 | 14.6 | 13.5 | 13.5 | | ROE(%) | 5.5 | 5.3 | 6.6 | 8.7 | 9.4 | | 市盈率 | 58 | | 48 | 34 | 29 | 注: "净资产收益率"是指摊薄后归属于母公司所有者的 ROE 公 司 研 究 / 公 司 深 度 证 ...
天合光能:光伏一体化龙头,多元化布局助力穿越周期
国开证券· 2025-01-03 09:54
公 司 研 究 和 天合光能(688599.SH): 光伏一体化龙头,多元化布局助力穿越周期 2024 年 12 月 25 日 分析师 梁晨 执业证书编号:S1380518120001 联系电话:010-88300853 邮箱:liangchen@gkzq.com.cn 公司评级 | 当前价格(元): | 21.15 | | --- | --- | | 本次评级: | 推荐(首次覆盖) | 公司基本数据 | 总股本(亿股): | 21.79 | | --- | --- | | 流通股本(亿股): | 21.79 | | 流通 A 股市值(亿元): | 460.86 | | 每股净资产(元): | 13.03 | | 资产负债率(%): | 74.57 | 天合光能与沪深 300 指数涨跌幅比较 -43.00% -23.00% -3.00% 17.00% 天合光能 沪深300 资料来源:Wind,国开证券研究与发展部 内容提要: | | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 6260 | 100 ...
永辉超市:穿越零售风暴,打造顾客至上的新体验
华福证券· 2025-01-03 09:17
公 华福证券 司 研 究 永辉超市(601933.SH) 穿越零售风暴,打造顾客至上的新体验 投资要点: 国内生鲜龙头超市,实现全渠道布局 公 司 首 次 覆 盖 永辉超市是一家全国性的生鲜龙头超市,现已逐渐实现线上线下全渠道融 合。公司成立于 2001 年,2010 年在 A 股上市,其主营业务为通过线下门 店端+线上出售精选商品,主要产品为生鲜及加工、食品用品等。以"绿色、 人文、科技"为经营理念,为满足用户需求,提供安全、健康、高性价比 的生鲜产品。永辉超市拥有丰富的线下门店资源,是公司的核心经营壁垒 之一。永辉超市门店覆盖了全国主要省份和地区。截至 2024 年 6 月 30 日, 永辉超市进入全国 29 个省份,已开业的门店数量达 943 家,已签约未开业 门店达 86 家,储备面积 65.53 万平方米。 逆境中探索出路,战略转型取得阶段性进展 2024 年以来,业绩下滑、陷入经营困境的永辉超市通过胖东来帮扶和自身 学习胖东来两种模式,在全国多地对门店进行调改,包括调整商品结构、 卖场布局、提升服务及员工待遇等,调改后的门店在品质、销售额和客流 上均有较大提高。2024 年 9 月 23 日,名创 ...
贵州茅台:顺利收官,2025着力“供需适配”
中邮证券· 2025-01-03 09:17
证券研究报告:食品饮料 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 资料来源:聚源,中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价(元) | 1,488.00 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本(亿股)12.56 | / 12.56 | | 总市值/流通市值(亿元)18,692 | / 18,692 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 1,770.00 / 1,261.00 | | 资产负债率(%) | 18.0% | | 市盈率 25.01 | | | 第一大股东 | 中国贵州茅台酒厂(集 | | 团)有限责任公司 | | 研究所 分析师:蔡雪昱 SAC 登记编号:S1340522070001 Email:caixueyu@cnpsec.com 分析师:张子健 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050001 Email:zhangzijian@cnpsec.com 贵州茅台(600519) 根据公司初步核算,2024 年度预计实现营业总收入约 1738 亿 元,同比增长约 15.44%;归母净利润约 857 亿元,同比增长约 14.67%;其中茅台酒营收约 1458 亿元,同比增长约 15.18%,系列 ...
上海港湾:卫星钙钛矿领域布局有望贡献新成长性
华源证券· 2025-01-03 08:49
建筑装饰 | 专业工程 非金融|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 01 月 03 日 证券研究报告 源引金融活水 润泽中华大地 投资评级: 增持(维持) 戴铭余 SAC:S1350524060003 daimingyu@huayuanstock.com 王彬鹏 SAC:S1350524090001 wangbinpeng@huayuanstock.com 郦悦轩 SAC:S1350524080001 liyuexuan@huayuanstock.com 唐志玮 tangzhiwei@huayuanstock.com | 基本数据 | | | | 2025 | 年 | 01 | 月 | 02 | 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元) | | | | | | | | 23.08 | | | 一 年 内 / | 最 | 高 | 最 | 低 | | | | | | | (元) | | | | | | | 25.59/13.82 | | | | 总市值(百万元) | | | | | | | ...
格力电器:2024年中期分红点评:中期分红率较高,年度分红仍可期待
中国银河· 2025-01-03 08:35
公司点评报告 · 家电行业 年度分红仍可期待 中期分红率较高。 2024 年中期分红点评 2025 年 1 月 1 日 | 主要财务指标预测 | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 205018.12 | 235525.00 | 252015.00 | 266313.00 | | 收入增长率% | 7.82 | 14.88 | 7.00 | 5.67 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 29017.39 | 32779.41 | 36146.92 | 38787.66 | | 利润增速% | 18.41 | 12.96 | 10.27 | 7.31 | | 摊薄 EPS(元) | રે 18 | રે જિર | 6.45 | 6.92 | | PE | 8.77 | 7.77 | 7.04 | 6.56 | 资料来源:公司公告,中国银河证券研究院 格力电器(股票代码:000651) 推荐 维持 分析师 杨策 ☎: 010-80927615 网: yangce_yj@chinastock.co ...
汇川技术:联合动力IPO获得受理,第三方电驱动龙头释放盈利弹性【勘误版】
东吴证券· 2025-01-03 08:12
证券研究报告·公司点评报告·自动化设备 汇川技术(300124) [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 2025 年 01 月 03 日 证券分析师 曾朵红 执业证书:S0600516080001 021-60199793 zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 谢哲栋 联合动力 IPO 获得受理,第三方电驱动龙头 释放盈利弹性【勘误版】 买入(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 23008 | 30420 | 37561 | 46066 | 54585 | | 同比(%) | 28.23 | 32.21 | 23.47 | 22.64 | 18.49 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 4320 | 4742 | 5028 | 6012 | 7177 | | 同比(%) | 20.89 | 9.77 | 6.04 | 19.56 | 19.39 | | EPS-最新摊薄 ...
君亭酒店事件点评:从零到一开放加盟,自深耕模型到品牌管理转型,重述成长故事
信达证券· 2025-01-03 07:37
证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 君亭酒店(301073.SZ) 投资评级 上次评级 [Table_A 宿一赫 uthor 社服分析师 ] 执业编号:S1500524080004 联系电话:15721449682 邮 箱:suyihe@cindasc.com 张洪滨 社服行业研究助理 联系电话:18916616659 邮 箱:zhanghongbin@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦B 座 邮编:100031 [Table_Title] 君亭酒店事件点评:从零到一开放加盟,自深 耕模型到品牌管理转型,重述成长故事 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 1 月 3 日 [Table_S 事件:君亭酒店开启加盟市场。 ummary] 君亭酒店成立合资公司君行酒店管理(深圳) 有限公司,标志着君亭二十多年来首次全面进军加盟市场。君行酒店总经理 莫鑫亨先生系前锦江酒店中国区希岸联合创始人,有多年的品牌酒店开发、 品牌 ...