Group 1 - Industry investment rating: Buy [2] - Previous rating: Buy [2] - Report date: February 9, 2026 [2] Group 2 - The core viewpoint is that the game "异环" is expected to reshape the experience of the two-dimensional open world by enhancing player agency, allowing players to transition from being mere observers to active participants in the narrative [6][34] - The two-dimensional game market is showing signs of recovery, with significant sales growth driven by key product launches, such as "明日方舟：终末地," which achieved over 1.2 billion yuan in revenue within two weeks of launch [6][16][34] - The report emphasizes that the success of "异环" is attributed to its innovative gameplay mechanics, including first-person perspective and multi-branch storylines that significantly enhance player immersion and engagement [19][20][34] Group 3 - The two-dimensional game market has experienced a typical "supply creates demand" characteristic over the past five years, with notable growth in market size during years of key product launches [13][16] - The report highlights that "明日方舟：终末地" has a strong user base, with over 20 million pre-registrations and significant engagement metrics, indicating robust market demand for high-quality two-dimensional products [33][34] - "异环" has introduced a rich interaction experience, evolving from simple dialogue options to deeper relationship-building mechanics, enhancing the emotional and social value of character interactions [27][33]

Group 1 - The report indicates that the Hong Kong stock market experienced its worst weekly performance since November 2025, with the Hang Seng Technology Index falling by 6.5% and the Hang Seng Index down by 3.0% due to concerns over global tech stock capital expenditure and changes in tax cost expectations in China [1][2] - The report highlights that despite a significant inflow of southbound funds amounting to 56 billion HKD, the overall trading volume decreased, indicating a prevailing cautious sentiment in the market [1][2] - The report notes that the inflow of funds into ETFs targeting the Hong Kong market accelerated, reaching a total scale of 423.24 billion HKD, with a net inflow of 46.7 billion HKD into Hong Kong Stock Connect ETFs [2] Group 2 - The report emphasizes that the short-term challenges for the Hong Kong stock market are not yet fully resolved, and ongoing observation of overseas risks and domestic AI developments is necessary [2][4] - It is suggested that if domestic AI developments exceed expectations around the Chinese New Year, the Hong Kong stock market may experience a rally alongside the A-share market [2][4] - The report warns that the high volatility risks for the Hang Seng Technology Index remain, and a defensive strategy is recommended in the short term while monitoring potential offensive opportunities [4]

证券研究报告·策略报告·策略点评 策略点评 20260209 科技"祛魅"VS 道指 50000 点时代 ——美 股周观点 [Table_Summary] ◼ 本周（2026 年 2 月 2 日-2026 年 2 月 6 日）市场回顾：发达市场全周累计涨 跌幅归零，新兴市场转跌。从涨幅来看，新兴市场下跌 1.4%。 美股：本周道指领涨，上涨 2.5%，纳指领跌，下跌 1.8%，标普下跌 0.1%。 行业上，材料、工业领涨，信息技术领跌。标普 500 成份股上涨占比 67%。 其中达维塔保健、泰瑞达、泰佩思琦、好时、康宁等领涨。 ◼ 美股因科技股巨额资本开支加深焦虑，且美伊对峙的地缘威胁持续，美股整 体收跌。具体来看： 一是，Capex 从信心的锚转变为利润的黑洞。AI 焦虑席卷科技板块，Capex 支出的逻辑反转，从"增长引擎"到"盈利枷锁"。此前，市场将巨额的资 本开支视为增长的确定性。而现在叙事出现明显转变，Capex 支出变成了投 资回报的焦虑。资本开支依然在以双位数增长，但自由现金却因巨大摊销压 力受损，且 AI 带来的直接收入比如云服务、广告优化并未展现出与之匹配 的爆发性。考虑到英伟达月底财产财报 ...

Core Insights - The gaming industry is experiencing a significant surge in activity during the Chinese New Year, with various companies launching promotional events and new game versions to attract players [1][3][14] - Online and offline marketing strategies are being employed simultaneously, with a focus on creating immersive experiences and leveraging celebrity endorsements to enhance brand visibility [3][14][25] Online Activities - Online events are central to the gaming industry's strategy, featuring celebrity collaborations, esports tournaments, and live streaming to engage a broad audience [3][5][11] - Major games like "Peacekeeper Elite" and "League of Legends" are hosting live events with celebrity appearances to draw in viewers and enhance user engagement [3][7][9] - The trend of integrating live streaming with promotional sales is evident, as seen in "DNF Mobile" and "League of Legends Mobile," which combine entertainment with shopping experiences [13][14] Offline Activities - Offline events are designed to create immersive experiences that connect players with the game’s IP, enhancing brand recognition and emotional engagement [14][16][20] - Games like "Peacekeeper Elite" and "Reverse Water Cold" are organizing large-scale offline events in various cities, incorporating local culture and attractions to deepen player connections [16][18][22] - The strategy includes targeting high-traffic consumer locations to integrate game IP into everyday life, creating memorable interactions for players [24] Cultural Integration - The gaming industry is increasingly collaborating with traditional cultural events, such as local Spring Festival galas, to showcase the cultural significance of games [28][30] - Games are being featured in major cultural events, indicating a growing recognition of their role as cultural carriers and their importance in mainstream media [28][31] - The shift from mere entertainment to becoming a bridge between virtual and real-life experiences reflects the evolving landscape of the gaming industry [31]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, there are numerous significant events in the global market. Domestically, China's January CPI, PPI, and credit data such as new loans and social financing are to be released, and the results of the Q4 2025 Hang Seng Index series review will be announced. Internationally, the delayed US January non - farm payrolls and inflation data are coming, and the US and Iran plan to hold a new round of negotiations. Many companies will disclose their latest financial reports [7]. - The A - share ETF market at the beginning of 2026 shows a "polarized" situation. Mainstream broad - based ETFs have suffered nearly 100 billion yuan in redemptions, while theme ETFs such as those in the chemical, non - ferrous metals, and power grid equipment sectors have attracted funds, indicating a strategic shift of funds from large - cap blue - chips to specific high - growth tracks [8]. - Since the beginning of 2026, southbound funds have continuously increased their investment in the Hong Kong stock market. As of February 8, southbound funds have had net inflows for seven consecutive trading days, with net purchases exceeding 10 billion yuan in the last three trading days [8]. - The A - share market is currently adjusting around the 4100 - point mark, but active equity funds have shown strong performance resilience, with 135 funds hitting new highs in their reinvested unit net values since February [9]. - The prices of various futures products show different trends. For example, in the chemical sector, natural rubber and 20 - number rubber have risen, while asphalt and fuel oil have fallen; in the agricultural products sector, yellow soybean No.2 and soybean meal have risen, while palm oil and yellow corn have fallen [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Chemical Industry | Product | Price on 2026/2/9 (8:00) | Price on 2026/2/6 (15:00) | Change | Change Rate | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Coking Coal | 1,134.50 | 1,138.50 | - 4.0 | - 0.351% | | Coke | 1,688.00 | 1,698.50 | - 10.50 | - 0.618% | | Natural Rubber | 16,205.00 | 16,080.00 | 125.0 | 0.777% | | 20 - number Rubber | 13,115.00 | 13,050.00 | 65.0 | 0.498% | | Plastic | 6,769.00 | 6,812.00 | - 43.0 | - 0.631% | | Polypropylene PP | 6,668.00 | 6,691.00 | - 23.0 | - 0.344% | | (PTA) | 5,188.00 | 5,166.00 | 22.0 | 0.426% | | PVC | 4,989.00 | 4,981.00 | 8.0 | 0.161% | | Asphalt | 3,354.00 | 3,386.00 | - 32.0 | - 0.945% | | Methanol | 2,240.00 | 2,244.00 | - 4.0 | - 0.178% | | Ethylene Glycol | 3,739.00 | 3,743.00 | - 4.0 | - 0.107% | | Styrene | 7,609.00 | 7,625.00 | - 16.0 | - 0.210% | | Glass | 1,065.00 | 1,072.00 | - 7.0 | - 0.653% | | Crude Oil | 466.50 | 465.40 | 1.10 | 0.236% | | Fuel Oil | 2,804.00 | 2,831.00 | - 27.0 | - 0.954% | | Soda Ash | 1,178.00 | 1,190.00 | - 12.0 | - 1.008% | | Pulp | 5,220.00 | 5,234.00 | - 14.0 | - 0.267% | | LPG | 4,225.00 | 4,258.00 | - 33.0 | - 0.775% | | Caustic Soda | 1,923.00 | 1,862.00 | 61.0 | 3.276% | | ЬХ | 7,272.00 | 7,262.00 | 10.0 | 0.138% | [4] 3.2 Agricultural Products | Product | Price on 2026/2/9 (8:00) | Price on 2026/2/6 (15:00) | Change | Change Rate | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Yellow Soybean No.1 | 4,380.00 | 4,378.00 | 2.0 | 0.046% | | Yellow Soybean No.2 | 3,483.00 | 3,468.00 | 15.0 | 0.433% | | Soybean Meal | 2,742.00 | 2,735.00 | 7.0 | 0.256% | | Rapeseed Meal | 2,240.00 | 2,239.00 | 1.0 | 0.045% | | Soybean Oil | 8,130.00 | 8,102.00 | 28.0 | 0.346% | | Rapeseed Oil | 9,146.00 | 9,144.00 | 2.0 | 0.022% | | Palm Oil | 9,018.00 | 9,026.00 | - 8.0 | - 0.089% | | White Sugar | 5,228.00 | 5,228.00 | 0 | 0 | | Yellow Corn | 2,263.00 | 2,274.00 | - 11.0 | - 0.484% | | Corn Starch | 2,535.00 | 2,540.00 | - 5.0 | - 0.197% | | No.1 Cotton | 14,655.00 | 14,580.00 | 75.0 | 0.514% | | Cotton Yarn | 20,425.00 | 20,405.00 | 20.0 | 0.098% | [4] 3.3 Main Variety Morning Meeting Views 3.3.1 Agricultural Products - **Sugar**: On February 6, the price was in a narrow - range shock. The supply pressure is the core contradiction, but there are marginal changes. The price may continue to consolidate in the short term, with the upper resistance at 5250 - 5280 yuan and the lower support at 5200 yuan [12]. - **Corn**: On February 6, the price continued to be oscillating and strengthening. The supply - side sales progress is faster, and the demand - side support is limited. One can consider buying on dips near 2250 - 2260 yuan, with short - term resistance at 2280 - 2300 yuan [12]. - **Peanut**: On February 6, the price was in a narrow - range shock. The supply - side import reduction supports the price, and the demand - side situation is relatively balanced. It is expected to remain in a bottom - oscillating pattern in the short term. One can wait and see or try to go long lightly near 8000 yuan [12]. - **Pig**: The current supply is abundant and the downstream demand is limited. The futures market is in a state of near - weak and far - strong [12]. - **Egg**: The current spot price is mainly stable, and the demand is the main factor. The futures market is oscillating, with near - strong and far - weak characteristics [13]. - **Jujube**: The price in the producing area is stable, and the sales area is in normal trading. The price is expected to remain stable in the short term, and the futures market is looking for support [13]. - **Cotton**: On February 6, the price was in a narrow - range shock. The supply - side has a long - term reduction expectation, but the short - term high inventory suppresses the price. It is expected to maintain a wide - range shock in the short term, and one can consider going long on dips [13]. 3.3.2 Energy and Chemicals - **Caustic Soda**: The overall fundamentals remain in an oversupply pattern, and attention should be paid to the impact of supply - side disturbances on prices [13]. - **Coking Coal and Coke**: As the holiday approaches, the supply and demand of coking coal and coke will be weak, and the prices will oscillate weakly [13]. - **Log**: On February 6, the price fell significantly. The pre - holiday demand decline pressure dominates, and it is expected to continue to be weakly oscillating in the short term [14]. - **Pulp**: The supply pressure persists, and the demand support is weak. The pulp price is expected to remain weakly oscillating in the short term [14]. - **Double - offset Paper**: The market is in a weak - balance state. The price is expected to maintain an interval shock in the short term, and one can consider high - selling and low - buying in the 4000 - 4100 yuan/ton range [14]. - **Urea**: The domestic urea market price is mainly stable. The supply has recovered to a high level, and the demand shows different trends. Attention should be paid to the impact of Indian tenders on market sentiment [14][16]. 3.3.3 Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper and Aluminum**: Recently, the market sentiment has cooled down, and copper and aluminum prices have adjusted at high levels, waiting to stop falling and stabilize [18]. - **Alumina**: The fundamentals of alumina remain in an oversupply pattern, waiting for new market drivers [19]. 3.3.4 Ferrous Alloys - **Silicon Iron and Manganese Silicon**: The overall fundamentals of ferrous alloys are relatively healthy. The short - term trend maintains a callback - biased - long thinking, and attention should be paid to the impact of the macro - environment [21]. 3.3.5 Lithium Carbonate - On February 6, the price was volatile. The supply is expected to shrink in February, and the demand provides short - term support, but the expected import increase in March suppresses the price. It is recommended to wait and see before the holiday [21]. 3.3.6 Option Finance - **Stock Index Options**: On February 6, the three major A - share indexes pulled back. Different index futures and options have different performance characteristics. Trend investors can pay attention to the strength - weakness arbitrage opportunities between varieties, and volatility investors can go long on volatility before the Spring Festival [21][22]. - **Stock Index**: Before the Spring Festival, the market is mainly oscillating. One can consider buying a straddle strategy. After the festival, the probability of an upward trend is high, and short - term trading should follow the thinking of a wide - range shock market [22][23]

| 五、宏观信息 | | | --- | --- | | 春节长假将至，多家券商研究所发布关于春节行情的研判观点。"持股过节"是机构主流建议，其理由既来自对历史"春节效应"的复盘，也基于对当前经济 | | | 预期、流动性环境及风险偏好的综合评估。多家券商认为，节前要注重均衡与防御，节后聚焦成长与产业趋势。 | | | 本周全球市场大事不断！国内方面，中国1月CPI、PPI将于2月11日公布；新增贷款、社融等信贷数据有望出炉；2025年第四季度恒生指数系列检讨结果将于2 | | | 月13日公布；科技巨头春节红包大战持续。国际方面，延迟公布的美国1月非农就业和通胀数据重磅来袭；美国与伊朗拟进行新一轮谈判；戛纳世界人工智能 | | | 峰会将于2月12日举办。财报方面，麦当劳、可口可乐、中芯国际、网易等将披露最新财报。 | | | 特斯拉首席执行官埃隆·马斯克表示，未来3年内，太空将成为部署AI最具经济性的地点。马斯克认为，未来"仿真数字人类"将远超人类数量。在此背景 | | | 下，控制AI不是重点，当务之急是确保其价值观与人类文明延续目标一致。今年年内或实现AI对人类能力的全面数字化模拟，这将彻底改变许多行 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened higher on February 9, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.59% to 26,982.49 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index up by 1.9% to 5,447.63 points, and the National Enterprises Index increasing by 1.54% to 9,170.57 points. The Red Chip Index rose by 0.89% to 4,399.55 points [1] - Last week, the Hang Seng Index recorded a significant decline of 3.02%, while the National Enterprises Index fell by 3.07%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped by 6.51% [1] Company Performance and Dynamics - Beijing Capital International Airport Co. (00694.HK) issued a profit warning, expecting a net loss of 600 million to 760 million yuan for 2025, which represents a year-on-year reduction in losses of approximately 45.3% to 56.8%. This improvement is attributed to the recovery in aviation market demand and enhanced cost control [2] - Times Electric (03898.HK) reported preliminary results indicating total revenue of approximately 28.761 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.46%, with a net profit of about 4.105 billion yuan, up by 10.88% [2] - Power sector stocks saw a general increase, with Datang Environment (01272.HK) expecting a pre-tax profit of 700 million to 710 million yuan for 2025. Datang New Energy (01798.HK) reported a power generation of 3.272 million MWh in January, a year-on-year increase of 6.69%, while Longyuan Power (00916.HK) generated 7.1627 million MWh, up by 12.05%, with solar power generation increasing by 42.25% [2] Real Estate Sales - Yuexiu Property (00123.HK) reported a contract sales amount of 4.201 billion yuan in January, a year-on-year decrease of 36.4%. Poly Real Estate (01238.HK) had sales of 470 million yuan, down by 31.98%. In contrast, Greenland Hong Kong (00337.HK) saw a significant increase in sales to 508 million yuan, up by 287.79% year-on-year [3] Pharmaceutical and Technology Developments - CloudTop New Medicine (01952) received approval for a new drug application for the treatment of ulcerative colitis. Kelun-Biotech (06990.HK) received approval for the fourth indication of its core product TROP2 ADC. Heng Rui Medicine (01276.HK) had its HRS-4642 injection included in the breakthrough therapy list [4] - ZTE Corporation (00763.HK) plans to invest 200 million yuan to subscribe to shares of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao fund, focusing on hard technology sectors [4] Stock Buybacks and Financing - Kingsoft (03888.HK) repurchased 1.1142 million shares for approximately 29.9994 million HKD. Geely Automobile (00175.HK) repurchased 166.5 million shares for about 27.1612 million HKD. October Rice Field (09676.HK) repurchased 78 million shares for approximately 7.3357 million HKD. China Galaxy (06881.HK) completed the issuance of 6 billion yuan in corporate bonds [5] Institutional Perspectives - According to浦银国际, the market is expected to maintain a volatile trend in the short term, with a rotation of style. The inflow of incremental funds is slowing before the Spring Festival, and external liquidity is affected by geopolitical uncertainties and Trump’s policies, limiting the expansion space for Hong Kong stock valuations [6] - 广发证券 noted that historical data shows an 82% probability of the Hang Seng Index rising in the three days before the Spring Festival, although there is no significant calendar effect afterward. The current situation differs due to changes in Hong Kong stock pricing logic and increased correlation with A-shares, suggesting a potential passive follow-up increase in Hong Kong stocks [7]

1 、 春节长假将至，多家券商研究所发布关于春节行情的研判观点。 "持股过节"是机构主流建议，其理由既来自对历史"春节效应"的复 盘，也基于对当前经济预期、流动性环境及风险偏好的综合评估。多家券商认为，节前要注重均衡与防御，节后聚焦成长与产业趋势。 2 、 本周全球市场大事不断！国内方面，中国 1 月 CPI 、 PPI 将于 2 月 11 日公布；新增贷款、社融等信贷数据有望出炉； 2025 年 第四季度恒生指数系列检讨结果将于 2 月 13 日公布；科技巨头春节红包大战持续。 国际方面，延迟公布的美国 1 月非农就业和通胀数 据重磅来袭；美国与伊朗拟进行新一轮谈判；戛纳世界人工智能峰会将于 2 月 12 日举办。财报方面，麦当劳、可口可乐、中芯国际、 网易等将披露最新财报。 3 、 特斯拉首席执行官埃隆·马斯克表示，未来 3 年内，太空将成为部署 AI 最具经济性的地点。 马斯克认为，未来"仿真数字人类"将远 超人类数量。在此背景下，控制 AI 不是重点，当务之急是确保其价值观与人类文明延续目标一致。今年年内或实现 AI 对人类能力的全 面数字化模拟，这将彻底改变许多行业。马斯克还就美国债务问题发出严厉警 ...

国务院总理李强2月6日主持召开国务院第十次全体会议，讨论拟提请十四届全国人大四次会议 审议的政府工作报告稿和"十五五"规划纲要草案稿。李强指出，要坚持远近结合，扎实推动高 质量发展。进一步加强年度工作和五年规划的衔接，将中长期目标任务落实到年度工作部署 中。要注重整体规划和重点突破相结合，围绕规划纲要高质量编制各领域专项规划，深入谋划 实施一批重大举措、重大项目，特别是要在发展新质生产力、做强国内大循环、促进居民增收 等方面取得更大突破。要注重前瞻布局，坚持脚踏实地，在实践中不断塑造引领未来的发展新 优势。 中国央行连续第15个月增持黄金 中国央行发布数据，中国2026年1月末黄金储备报7419万盎司，2025年12月末为7415万盎司， 为连续第15个月增持黄金。 要闻速递 李强：深入谋划实施一批重大举措、重大项目 特别是要在发展新质生产力、做强国内大循 环、促进居民增收等方面取得更大突破 中国人民银行等八部门发布关于进一步防范和处置虚拟货币等相关风险的通知。虚拟货币不具 有与法定货币等同的法律地位。比特币、以太币、泰达币等虚拟货币具有非货币当局发行、使 用加密技术及分布式账本或类似技术、以数字化形式存在等 ...

Economic Data - The People's Bank of China will release January CPI and PPI on February 11 [1] - The National Bureau of Statistics will publish the monthly report on January commodity residential sales price index on February 13 [1] - Financial data including January social financing and new RMB loans will also be released next week [1] - In the US, December retail sales month-on-month will be announced on February 10, followed by January unemployment rate and non-farm employment data on February 11 [1] Earnings Reports - The US earnings season continues with several notable companies reporting next week, including BP, Barclays, Marriott, Coca-Cola, and AstraZeneca on February 10 [2] - Other companies such as NetEase, Youdao, and Total will report on February 11, while TripAdvisor and Hyatt will report on February 12 [2] - In Hong Kong, SMIC will report earnings on February 10, followed by Budweiser APAC and NetEase Cloud Music on February 11 [2] New Stock Issuance - One new stock, Tongbao Optoelectronics, will be available for subscription on February 9, with Ai De Technology listing on the Beijing Stock Exchange on February 10 [2] - Several new stocks will list in Hong Kong, including Lanke Technology on February 9 and Aixin Yuanzhi on February 10 [2] Stock Unlocking - A total of 33 restricted stocks will be unlocked next week, with a total market value exceeding 36 billion yuan, led by Hunan YN with 24.096 billion yuan [3][10] Central Bank Operations - The central bank will have 4.055 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing next week, with specific amounts maturing each day [3][10] Government Bonds - The Ministry of Finance will issue the first phase of RMB government bonds in Hong Kong on February 11, with a scale of 14 billion yuan [13]