近年来，公募基金的投资风格正悄然发生着变化，曾经被视为核心资产的绩优白马股正被经济转型背景下 高景气个股取代，公募基金的投资策略也从此前盛行的"全市场选股"逐渐向"主题投资"迁移。如若方向得 当，该策略不仅能够更全面地布局高增长个股，亦能在竞争激烈的相对排名中不落下风，爆款效应叠加资 金的虹吸效应，也会反过来导致部分产品提高风格纯度和仓位集中度。 然而，主题投资对基金管理人的投研能力提出了更高的要求，无论是产业链调研、技术迭代跟踪，还是对投资 节奏感和估值纪律都是投资策略中不可或缺的环节，此外，盈亏同源，高弹性的产品回撤给公司品牌声誉及售 后维护带来的压力也是显而易见。 "近年来伴随我国经济结构转型，新兴产业受政策支持力度更强，市场风格也从传统核心资产向新兴产业转 移，传统核心资产表现相对平淡，而新兴领域结构性机会迭出，频频吸引资金关注。注册制全面推行后，市 场'优胜劣汰'的节奏加快，而公募受限于高频策略限制，这一定程度上影响了全市场选股策略的适配性。"前 述投研总监表示。 主题投资被竞相追逐 回溯过去几年主动权益的"冠军基"，无论是崔宸龙管理的前海开源公用事业，还是黄海管理的万家宏观择时多 策略，亦或是雷志 ...

智通财经APP获悉，中国银河证券发布研报称，随着《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》落地强化业 绩基准约束，以及A股步入"慢牛"格局，市场环境显著改善。2026年，在政策、市场与量化工具的多重 助力下，主动权益基金的投资潜力巨大，其核心优势有望通过高集中度主题型选股得到充分发挥。未来 该行建议一方面持续关注主题投资，在国企、科技、消费三大主题进行布局，并挖掘细分赛道的投资机 会；另一方面重点关注大主题中基本面得分较高的个股，通过优质基本面的兑现挖掘稳健Alpha。 中国银河证券主要观点如下： 政策及市场"慢牛"加持，主动权益有望实现价值重估 被动产品数量和规模跨越式突破，迈入高质量发展阶段 2025年以来，ETF市场数量和规模实现跨越式突破，ETF规模突破5.7万亿元，比2024年底增长逾2万亿 元，行业主题ETF、债券及跨境ETF扩容显著，大体量产品主要集中在宽基、头部行业主题领域。行业 板块方面，受益于政策支持、下游需求爆发及产业技术升级等因素，有色金属及TMT行业相关ETF领 涨。从资金流向角度看，科技和金融地产板块净流入明显。2026年ETF市场将呈现"热门赛道强者恒 强、产品结构持续优化、边缘产品加速 ...

（原标题：公募基金投资逻辑深度重构："主题投资"风行一时 "全市场选股"暂避锋芒） 证券时报记者 赵梦桥 此外，另一只成名已久的基金——广发多因子，投资风格也较为均衡。在该基金多个季度的重仓股中，对非银金融、电力设备、医药、通信等领 域均多有涉猎，中信一级行业基本受到覆盖，因此基金净值一度创下历史高点。 不过，时过境迁。当年风行的策略，如今已归于平淡，无论是在主题产品霸榜的年度业绩排行中，还是在基金宣发时强调的特定赛道上，除了个 别量化产品，"全市场选股"策略已鲜被提及。 对于此种状况，华东某公募投研总监认为主要系近几年的投资环境发生了明显变化。一方面，经济增速换挡、地产链调整、居民收入与预期再平 衡，使得传统消费和部分制造龙头的盈利弹性下降，估值中枢随之回落；另一方面，新兴产业和技术方向层出不穷，导致市场风格更加多元，过 去依靠少数传统核心资产以覆盖全市场机会的做法也越来越难奏效。同时，宽基指数和Smart Beta产品发展迅速，为投资者提供了低费率、广覆盖 的被动选择，传统的主动权益产品在性价比上不再具有明显优势，必须在风格定位和主动度上做出差异化。 "近年来，伴随着我国经济结构转型，新兴产业受政策支持的 ...

公募十变·共塑高质量发展新生态 系列报道(七) 对于此种状况，华东某公募投研总监认为主要系近几年的投资环境发生了明显变化。一方面，经济 增速换挡、地产链调整、居民收入与预期再平衡，使得传统消费和部分制造龙头的盈利弹性下降，估值 中枢随之回落；另一方面，新兴产业和技术方向层出不穷，导致市场风格更加多元，过去依靠少数传统 核心资产以覆盖全市场机会的做法也越来越难奏效。同时，宽基指数和Smart Beta产品发展迅速，为投 资者提供了低费率、广覆盖的被动选择，传统的主动权益产品在性价比上不再具有明显优势，必须在风 格定位和主动度上做出差异化。 "近年来，伴随着我国经济结构转型，新兴产业受政策支持的力度更强，市场风格也从传统核心资 产向新兴产业转移。传统核心资产表现相对平淡，新兴领域则迭出结构性机会，频频吸引资金关注。注 册制全面推行后，市场加快了优胜劣汰的节奏，但公募基金受限于高频策略，因此也让全市场选股策略 的适配性在一定程度上受到了影响。"上述投研总监表示。 近年来,伴随着我国 经济结构转型,新兴产业 受政策支持的力度更强, 市场风格也从传统核心资 产向新兴产业转移。传统 核心资产表现相对平淡, 新兴领域则迭出 ...

此外，另一只成名已久的基金——广发多因子，投资风格也较为均衡。在该基金多个季度的重仓股中， 对非银金融、电力设备、医药、通信等领域均多有涉猎，中信一级行业基本受到覆盖，因此基金净值一 度创下历史高点。 不过，时过境迁。当年风行的策略，如今已归于平淡，无论是在主题产品霸榜的年度业绩排行中，还是 在基金宣发时强调的特定赛道上，除了个别量化产品，"全市场选股"策略已鲜被提及。 对于此种状况，华东某公募投研总监认为主要系近几年的投资环境发生了明显变化。一方面，经济增速 换挡、地产链调整、居民收入与预期再平衡，使得传统消费和部分制造龙头的盈利弹性下降，估值中枢 随之回落；另一方面，新兴产业和技术方向层出不穷，导致市场风格更加多元，过去依靠少数传统核心 资产以覆盖全市场机会的做法也越来越难奏效。同时，宽基指数和Smart Beta产品发展迅速，为投资者 提供了低费率、广覆盖的被动选择，传统的主动权益产品在性价比上不再具有明显优势，必须在风格定 位和主动度上做出差异化。 "近年来，伴随着我国经济结构转型，新兴产业受政策支持的力度更强，市场风格也从传统核心资产向 新兴产业转移。传统核心资产表现相对平淡，新兴领域则迭出结构性机 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that after the improvement in China-US relations, market risk appetite has decreased, leading to fluctuations around the 4000-point mark for the Shanghai Composite Index [1] - The average trading volume for the entire A-share market has decreased to around 2 trillion yuan [1] - Recent capital flows have been active in thematic investments and sectors with growth potential, indicating a shift in market focus [1] Group 2 - The market is expected to continue its oscillating and rotating characteristics, with the key to breaking the current state lying in capital attacking new main lines [1] - The mid-term allocation strategy suggested is to adopt a balanced approach, focusing on clear growth signals without excessive switching [1] - Key sectors to watch include dividends, new chemical materials, superhard materials, lithium battery materials, steel, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, batteries, and AI [1]

Market Review - Global stock indices showed divergence this week, with European, Brazilian, and Indian indices rising, while Chinese and American tech stocks declined. The Shanghai Composite Index continued its narrow fluctuation, with major broad indices generally adjusting. The average daily trading volume in the A-share market remained around 2 trillion yuan, indicating a focus on existing stock games. Growth leaders fell while small-cap stocks rose, with the micro-cap index increasing by 4.11% [1][2] - In terms of sector performance, the TMT, machinery, and military sectors saw the largest declines, while precious metals and copper prices rose, and domestic double焦 prices weakened [1][2] Market Outlook - The core theme for November remains "small-cap stocks + thematic investment." The recent pullback in Chinese and American tech stocks is attributed to tight overseas liquidity and concerns over AI bubbles. Future attention will be on U.S. economic data and changes in December rate cut expectations. The current A-share market is primarily focused on existing stock games, with financing and southbound trading showing a "high-low cut" trend. The performance benchmark for public funds is expected to curb issues like style drift and short-term ranking chasing, potentially weakening extreme institutional clustering [2][3] Fundamental Analysis - The domestic economy is expected to achieve a growth rate of around 5% for the year, despite a weakening trend in both supply and demand in October. Industrial added value growth was 6.1%, continuing to decline. Investment in narrow infrastructure turned negative, and real estate development investment and sales areas also saw significant declines. Retail sales growth was only 2.9%, marking five consecutive months of decline, particularly in major consumer goods. However, corporate earnings are stabilizing, and with PPI growth expected to turn positive next year, the potential for profit improvement in certain sectors is anticipated [3][4] Macro Policy - Future policy observations will focus on the December Political Bureau meeting and the Central Economic Work Conference. The central bank has reiterated "cross-cycle adjustment," signaling a balance between long-term goals and supportive monetary policy. The third-quarter monetary policy report indicates that the national economy is progressing steadily, with a solid foundation for achieving annual targets. The central bank's focus is shifting towards supporting policies that consider long-term objectives [4] Funding Dynamics - Since November, market style has shifted, with tech leaders retreating and small-cap stocks outperforming. This is due to concerns over the AI bubble affecting tech sentiment in A-shares. Financing transactions in sectors like semiconductors and communication equipment have seen net selling since November. Southbound funds have favored banks and oil sectors, leading to a phase where value stocks outperform tech stocks. Recent guidelines from the fund industry association aim to curb style drift and extreme clustering among funds, prompting some capital to migrate towards underweight sectors [5][6] Industry Configuration - Focus on "14th Five-Year Plan" related thematic investments, such as energy storage, batteries, domestic substitution, and new materials. Attention should also be given to sectors benefiting from "anti-involution" trends, such as chemicals, and the guidance signals from Hong Kong's innovative pharmaceuticals to A-shares [5]

2025 年 11 月 16 日 北证开市四周年，市值近万亿流动 性改善显著 ——北交所策略周报（20251110-20251116） 本周策略观点： 本周市场行情： 北交所新股： 新三板动态： ⚫ 本周新挂牌 11 家，摘牌 6 家，周新增计划融资 0.96 亿元，完成融资 0.67 亿元。 风险提示： ⚫ 个股业绩季度波动过大风险，宏观经济下行的风险。 相关研究 证券分析师 刘靖 A0230512070005 liujing@swsresearch.com 王雨晴 A0230522010003 wangyq@swsresearch.com 郑菁华 A0230525060001 zhengjh@swsresearch.com 汪秉涵 A0230525090003 wangbh@swsresearch.com 研究支持 郑菁华 A0230525060001 zhengjh@swsresearch.com 联系人 郑菁华 A0230525060001 zhengjh@swsresearch.com 新 三 板 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 ...

Group 1 - The focus of brokerage strategy analysts this week is on year-end style rebalancing, with historical patterns indicating that sectors with high deviation in holdings during the third quarter, such as new energy, pharmaceuticals, and food and beverage, tend to show weaker performance around November [1][3] - The fourth quarter is expected to face profit-taking pressure in main sectors, as previous main lines have accumulated significant gains, leading to high levels of capital crowding [1][3] - The structure of institutional holdings in the first three quarters of this year is evident, suggesting a high probability of position rebalancing before the spring market rally, which will create favorable conditions for better market performance [1][3] Group 2 - The strategy team from Guojin highlights the fragility of financial cycles among overseas tech giants, leading to a focus on high-certainty varieties, with A-shares also beginning a process of style rebalancing [2][4] - The transition of the tech industry's development from U.S.-led computing infrastructure to China's advantages in electricity, manufacturing, and general infrastructure represents a repricing of Chinese assets [2][4] - In the diffusion market, opportunities in specific sub-sectors within the electric equipment and chemical sectors are worth attention, including electrical instruments, titanium dioxide, organic silicon, and specialty plastics [2][4] Group 3 - The strategy team from Dongwu notes that the spring market rally is likely to experience a position rebalancing before its initiation, with a focus on sectors that have independent logic beyond AI narratives and are experiencing upward trends in ROE from long-term lows [1][3] - The analysis indicates that the small-cap style has a higher probability of rising compared to large-cap style in November, attributed to A-shares being in a performance and macro event "vacuum period," leading to active theme investments based on next year's performance expectations [1][3] Group 4 - The strategy team from Huaxi reviews the past decade, noting that November is favorable for "small-cap value + theme investment," with the market entering an active phase based on performance expectations and industry trends [1][3] - The current investment focus in A-shares may further concentrate on upstream industries and technology applications under the "anti-involution" strategy, with short-term attention on policies promoting consumption [1][3]

Group 1 - The report emphasizes the establishment of a thematic investment database aimed at identifying high-quality price-volume patterns and monitoring the peak rhythm of popular themes and the adjustment levels of leading stocks [2][9]. - The report identifies a total of 2 bottoming, 25 breakout, 25 main rising, and 5 accelerating thematic indices, with key industries including transportation, electric equipment, computer, media, pharmaceutical biology, and defense [12]. - The report highlights the decline in trading heat for humanoid robots to 50% and an increase for Deepseek to 45%, with leading stocks showing significant adjustments below their 60-day moving average [3][17]. Group 2 - The report outlines the two main purposes of the thematic database: to find investment opportunities and to provide warnings for potential peaks [9]. - The report details the monitoring of trading heat for popular themes, specifically humanoid robots and Deepseek, and the corresponding adjustments of leading stocks [17][22]. - The report indicates that the leading stocks for humanoid robots and Deepseek have closing prices significantly below their 60-day moving averages, suggesting potential risks in these themes [3][17].