数据来源：基金定期报告，截至2025/06/30。基金的过往业绩并不预示其未来表现，基金管理人管理的 其他基金的业绩并不构成基金业绩表现的保证。中欧双利债券A的成立以来涨跌幅41.77%， 同期业绩 比较基准12.37%。2020-2024年基金涨跌幅和同期基准表现为11.52%/2.62%， 3.56%/1.5%，-4.38%/-1.78%，1.42%/0.71%，7.28%/6.13%。历任基金经理：蒋雯文20180130- 20220701，黄华20170405-管理至今，张跃鹏20161123-20180601。本产品于2020/10修改投资范围，增加 存托凭证为投资标的。详阅法律文件。中欧康裕混合A的成立以来涨跌幅44.24%， 同期业绩比较基准 16.22%。2020-2024年基金涨跌幅和同期基准表现为10.29%/3.97%， 7.06%/1.19%，-3.43%/-2.92%，-1.5%/0.04%，6.12%/6.69%。历任基金经理：李波20250813-管理至今， 胡琼予20220812-20240119，蒋雯文20180130-20220701，黄华20170405-管理至今，张跃鹏 ...

2025.09.30 本文字数：2823，阅读时长大约5分钟 作者 |第一财经 王方然 国庆长假前最后一个交易日，A股上证指数于3880点展开多空博弈，投资者再度置身"持币"与"持股"的 经典抉择关口。 历史数据显示，近10余年，国庆后A股上涨概率较大，机构普遍看好持股过节性价比；港股亦呈现"AH 科技共振"潜力。与此同时，资产配置格局正从传统的股债二元走向多元。随着国际金价创下历史新 高，"持金过节"成为今年的新选项。 多家机构分析认为，当前市场已进入中长期价值区间，若节前完成充分调整，节后市场修复动能有望增 强。建议投资者在保持均衡配置的基础上，结合自身风险偏好，积极把握跨市场、多资产的配置机遇， 同时仍需警惕短期市场波动风险。 持币 VS 持股？ 国庆长假前最后几个交易日，A股市场波动显著加剧。9月24日，三大指数低开高走，创业板指创三年 多以来盘中新高，科创50指数一度拉升近5%；然而随后交易日（9月26日）市场全线回调，涨势未能延 续。至9月29日，A股再度企稳回升，截至收盘，沪指上涨0.9%，报3862.53点；创业板指涨2.74%，报 3238.01点；深证成指涨幅也超过2%。市场交投活跃度同步 ...

2025.09. 30 本文字数：2823，阅读时长大约5分钟 作者 | 第一财经 王方然 粤开证券进一步分析称，若节前市场已完成调整（如2022年4月、2018年10月），节后修复动力更 强；而近5年数据显示，若节前最后3个交易日成交额较前一周放大，节后上涨概率可升至80%。 国庆长假前最后一个交易日，A股上证指数于3880点展开多空博弈，投资者再度置身"持币"与"持 股"的经典抉择关口。 历史数据显示，近10余年，国庆后A股上涨概率较大，机构普遍看好持股过节性价比；港股亦呈 现"AH科技共振"潜力。与此同时，资产配置格局正从传统的股债二元走向多元。随着国际金价创下 历史新高，"持金过节"成为今年的新选项。 多家机构分析认为，当前市场已进入中长期价值区间，若节前完成充分调整，节后市场修复动能有望 增强。建议投资者在保持均衡配置的基础上，结合自身风险偏好，积极把握跨市场、多资产的配置机 遇，同时仍需警惕短期市场波动风险。 持币 VS 持股？ 国庆长假前最后几个交易日，A股市场波动显著加剧。9月24日，三大指数低开高走，创业板指创三 年多以来盘中新高，科创50指数一度拉升近5%；然而随后交易日（9月26日）市场 ...

"日历效应"会否再现？ 国庆长假前最后一个交易日，A股上证指数于3880点展开多空博弈，投资者再度置身"持币"与"持股"的 经典抉择关口。 历史数据显示，近10余年，国庆后A股上涨概率较大，机构普遍看好持股过节性价比；港股亦呈现"AH 科技共振"潜力。与此同时，资产配置格局正从传统的股债二元走向多元。随着国际金价创下历史新 高，"持金过节"成为今年的新选项。 多家机构分析认为，当前市场已进入中长期价值区间，若节前完成充分调整，节后市场修复动能有望增 强。建议投资者在保持均衡配置的基础上，结合自身风险偏好，积极把握跨市场、多资产的配置机遇， 同时仍需警惕短期市场波动风险。 持币 VS 持股？ 国庆长假前最后几个交易日，A股市场波动显著加剧。9月24日，三大指数低开高走，创业板指创三年 多以来盘中新高，科创50指数一度拉升近5%；然而随后交易日（9月26日）市场全线回调，涨势未能延 续。至9月29日，A股再度企稳回升，截至收盘，沪指上涨0.9%，报3862.53点；创业板指涨2.74%，报 3238.01点；深证成指涨幅也超过2%。市场交投活跃度同步上升，日成交额放大至2.18万亿元。9月30日 收盘，沪指上涨0 ...

（原标题：如何看待近期债券市场行情︱重阳问答） Q：请问重阳投资，如何看待近期债券市场行情？ 中长期来看，债券市场基本面仍然稳固。宏观层面看，中国宏观基本面的结构性问题仍有待解决，生产 强但需求弱的格局尚未发生变化，房地产市场仍然处在止跌回稳的过程中，经济增速降台阶背景下资产 荒仍将长期存在，因此适度宽松的货币政策仍会维持较长时间，降准降息仍然可期，债券市场最大的宏 观基本面没有发生改变。从配置角度上看，权益市场上涨后中证全指股息率已经下降至2%左右，与十 年国债差距明显收窄，债券性价比有所提升；从利差角度看，若以2024年十年国债与政策利率40— 50BP左右的利差估计，1.8—1.9%的十年国债定价相对合理；从交易角度看，今年年初债市下跌过程中 十年国债顶部在1.9%左右，对应国内一季度GDP显著超预期，而目前尚未出现更大力度刺激政策。综 合来看，十年国债收益率1.8-1.9%左右或是合意的顶部区间，若要突破可能需要看到有效的需求侧刺激 政策出台。我们认为，随着央行逐步宽松流动性和国债买卖的重启，债券市场有望回归更加健康的状 态。 A：7月以来，与此前窄区间震荡不同，债券市场波动幅度明显扩大，下跌态势愈发 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article analyzes the performance and strategies of the "Guangfa Juxin" fund, highlighting its long-term success and the stable management by fund manager Zhang Qian since 2015, which allows for a comprehensive understanding of its investment approach [2][29]. Group 1: Fund Performance - "Guangfa Juxin" has been established for over twelve years and has achieved an annualized return of over 9%, making it a standout in the 10-year performance category [2]. - The fund has significantly outperformed representative "fixed income +" fund indices, with an annualized excess return exceeding 4% compared to the Wind Mixed Bond Secondary Index [10][7]. - The fund demonstrates resilience, quickly recovering from downturns and consistently generating excess returns [10]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - The fund employs a dual strategy of equity and bond investments, effectively utilizing a "stock-bond seesaw" approach to mitigate volatility [13]. - The bond investment strategy focuses on leveraging, duration management, and credit risk assessment, maintaining a leverage ratio around 120% for stability [18][20]. - The equity investment strategy emphasizes growth stocks, with a concentrated portfolio that avoids mainstream sectors, instead focusing on underappreciated industries like military and Hong Kong stocks [27][31]. Group 3: Risk Management - The fund manager exhibits a cautious approach to credit risk, having shifted away from low-rated bonds post-2020, demonstrating strong risk sensitivity [24][25]. - The duration of the bond portfolio is managed to remain within a safe range, avoiding excessive risk from interest rate fluctuations [20]. Group 4: Conclusion - The fund manager is characterized as a dynamic alpha hunter, adept at navigating both equity and bond markets, with a focus on growth-oriented strategies [30][31]. - The analysis concludes that the fund's success can be attributed to its balanced approach in managing systemic risks while capitalizing on market opportunities [32].

一场新闻发布会上，央行、金融监管总局、证监会联合宣布了涵盖降准、降息、降存量房贷利率、引导 中长期资金入市等一系列重磅金融政策，立刻引爆市场行情。 一组数据的对比或许更为直观。 Wind数据显示，2024年9月24日前一年，上证指数增幅为-8.6%，深证成指增幅为-17.12%，恒生指数增 幅为5.22%；科创100指数增幅为-33.04%。2024年9月24日后的一年，上证指数增幅为40.19%，深证成 指增幅为65.23%，恒生指数增幅为45.33%；科创100指数增幅为121.85%。 受股指增长的提振，成交额也均实现翻倍。2024年9月24日前一年，上证指数、深证成指、恒生指数、 科创100的成交额分别为82.09万亿元、107.13万亿元、25.25万亿元、3.04万亿元；而一年之后的成交额 分别为165.91万亿元、240.29万亿元、59.49万亿元、8.07万亿元。 一年前的9月24日是A股市场的关键转折点。 最后一段是7月中下旬以后，即股票市场3500点一直到现到3800点之前。而这一阶段又表现出了明显的 股债跷跷板效应。原因是，突破3500点这一关键点位之后，市场开始相信牛市已经再次开启， ...

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of significant financial policies by the central bank and regulatory authorities on September 24, 2023, marked a turning point for the A-share market, leading to a substantial market rally and changes in investment preferences [1]. Market Performance - Before September 24, 2023, the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 8.6%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 17.12%. In contrast, after this date, the Shanghai Composite Index surged by 40.19%, and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 65.23% [2]. - Trading volumes also doubled post-September 24, with the Shanghai Composite Index's trading volume rising from 82.09 trillion yuan to 165.91 trillion yuan [5]. Wealth Management and Investment Products - The financial policies have positively impacted wealth management companies, leading to increased interest in equity investment products, which previously had low market recognition compared to fixed-income products. As of June 2025, equity products accounted for only 0.23% of the total bank wealth management market [4]. - The average net value growth rate for equity wealth management products reached 13.39% in the first eight months of the year, significantly outperforming mixed and fixed-income products [10]. Investment Strategy Shifts - Post-September 24, there has been a noticeable shift in investment preferences from dividend stocks to technology sectors, reflecting changing market dynamics and investor sentiment [11]. - Despite increased interest in equity investments, clients maintain a low-risk appetite, with a significant portion of new affluent individuals unwilling to accept losses exceeding 10% [12]. Bond Market Dynamics - The bond market has experienced a bull market since 2024, with the one-year government bond yield dropping to a record low of 0.9307% in December 2024. However, fluctuations in bond yields have been observed, necessitating close monitoring by fixed-income investors [7]. - The relationship between stocks and bonds has shown atypical behavior, with periods of both interdependence and independence, deviating from the traditional "stock-bond seesaw" effect [8][9].

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of significant financial policies by the central bank and regulatory authorities on September 24, 2023, marked a turning point for the A-share market, leading to a substantial market rally and increased trading volumes [1][2]. Market Performance - Prior to September 24, 2023, the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 8.6%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 17.12%. In contrast, after this date, the Shanghai Composite Index surged by 40.19%, and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 65.23% [2]. - The trading volume for major indices doubled after September 24, with the Shanghai Composite Index's trading volume rising from 82.09 trillion yuan to 165.91 trillion yuan [4]. Wealth Management and Investment Trends - The financial policies have positively impacted wealth management companies, leading to increased interest in equity investment products, which previously had lower recognition compared to fixed-income products. As of June 2025, equity products accounted for only 0.23% of the total bank wealth management market [6]. - Following the policy announcement, there has been a notable increase in job postings for roles related to equity investment and multi-asset strategies within wealth management firms [6]. - Equity investment products have shown strong performance, with an average net value growth rate of 13.39% in the first eight months of the year, prompting wealth management companies to increase their focus on multi-asset and equity products [10]. Bond Market Dynamics - The bond market has experienced a bull market since 2024, with the one-year government bond yield dropping to a record low of 0.9307% in December 2024. However, fluctuations have been observed, necessitating close monitoring by fixed-income investors [7]. - The relationship between the stock and bond markets has evolved, with periods of both correlation and independence, indicating a departure from the traditional stock-bond "teeter-totter" effect [9]. Shifts in Investment Preferences - There has been a shift in investment preferences from dividend stocks to technology sectors post-September 24, reflecting changing market dynamics and investor sentiment [10][12]. - Despite increased allocations to high-risk financial assets, the risk appetite among new affluent individuals remains conservative, with a significant portion unwilling to accept losses exceeding 10% [12].

股债跷跷板未来如何演绎？20250923 摘要 人民币汇率被动升值、中美利差收窄及居民存款转移至股市，共同构成 A 股市场长期支撑，其中 7、8 月居民存款显著减少，非银金融机构存款 增加，资金流向股市趋势明显。 9 月前三周外资净流入超 100 亿美元，看好 A 股，但对港股看法偏弱。 外资流入医药生物、金融、商品材料及消费品能源等板块，科技板块则 出现净流出。 10 年期国债收益率运行至 1.8%引发多空分歧，需关注后续政策及资金 面走向。年初收益率下限为 1.6%，上限为 1.9%，当前水平预示固收产 品面临调整压力。 下半年经济基本面内需不足、修复缓慢，6-8 月经济数据放缓，投资有 下滑趋势。政策托底下，基本面向下定价钝化，向上定价仍较强，对偏 空要素定价敏感。 短期内降准降息必要性不强，货币政策坚持以我为主，兼顾内外平衡。 若经济再度走弱，政策利率和降准仍有空间。关注央行重启国债买卖及 专项债发行高峰结束。 Q&A 如何评价近期 A 股市场的表现及其分化态势？ 上一周，A 股市场整体呈现震荡行情，并且处于分化态势。主要宽基指数，如 深圳指数、创业板指和科创板走势较好，而其他宽基指数表现相对较差。从 ...