Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry and Company Overview - The conference call discusses the AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) compressor industry and the photovoltaic (solar energy) sector, highlighting key companies such as Shunling Environment, Taijia Co., and Aisuke Co. [1][2][3] Key Points and Arguments AIDC Compressor Industry - The tension in US-China relations is accelerating domestic substitution, benefiting companies like Shunling Environment and Taijia Co. due to increased resilience in the supply chain [1] - The demand for magnetic levitation compressors is surging, with Danfoss reporting a year-on-year doubling of demand for CMV compressor heads [3][20] - The AIDC sector is expected to see a new demand of five gigawatts for data centers by 2025, translating to a market space of approximately 10 billion RMB [3][26] - Domestic companies like Tianjin Feixuan are positioned well in the high-end compressor market, with significant growth potential [3][22] Photovoltaic Industry - The photovoltaic industry is currently at a low point, with supply-side reforms being crucial to address overcapacity issues [1][5] - The industry is experiencing a significant overcapacity, with production capacity exceeding 3 million tons against a reasonable demand of 1.5 to 2 million tons [8] - Supply-side reforms are expected to be guided by new policies, with a high likelihood of regulatory frameworks being established to support industry self-discipline [6][10] - The price of polysilicon futures is currently higher than spot prices, indicating potential for price increases if supply-side self-discipline is implemented [11] Market Dynamics and Future Trends - The commercial energy storage market is rapidly expanding, with expectations of market space doubling by 2025 and a further 50% growth in 2026, benefiting companies like Sungrow Power and Aisuke Co. [2][19] - New technologies in battery cells, such as BCB and TOPCon, are showing significant advancements, with companies like Aisuke achieving improved profitability through investment in high-power technologies [17][18] - The photovoltaic sector is expected to see a recovery in prices due to self-discipline measures and potential policy support, despite current low price levels [15][16] Additional Important Insights - The conference highlighted the importance of addressing "zombie capacity" in the photovoltaic sector, which is defined as non-profitable production capacity that hinders market efficiency [9] - The self-discipline measures in the photovoltaic industry have shown some effectiveness, but further actions may be necessary if price recovery does not materialize [10] - The competitive landscape in the AIDC compressor market is shifting, with domestic companies gaining ground against international players due to lower production costs and technological advancements [21][25] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call, focusing on the AIDC compressor and photovoltaic industries, their current challenges, and future opportunities.

5月份，增量政策可能不多，但储备政策不少，政策定力仍然很强，目标是应对关税的冲击。因此，市 场在度过业绩风险后仍然会关注科技成长主题。内需相关板块仍会是国内政策的首要着力点，低利率环 境下业绩稳定的高股息板块仍有配置价值。除此以外，在可能出现的关税缓和过程中，那些品牌力强、 定价能力强、替代难度大的公司有望迎来估值的修复。 谭小兵：看好有边际变化的成长股 4月份市场呈现V字形走势，内需与红利好于成长股。展望5月份，进入业绩真空期，市场对指数填补之 后能否继续上攻还是存在分歧，个人相对还是偏乐观：一方面是国内政策会逐步兑现；另一方面中美谈 判或拉开序幕，这有利于修复市场的风险偏好。方向上看好有边际变化的成长股。 回顾4月，美国"对等关税"来袭，全球市场剧烈波动，就中国资产来看，月内A股和港股主要指数收 跌。进入5月，尽管外部不确定性因素依然存在，但中美关税谈判窗口有望来临，国内一揽子增量政策 也在加速落地，为国内股市稳定发展带来有力支撑。 展望后市，市场将会如何演绎？哪些投资机会值得关注？一起来看看长城基金权益基金经理们的观点吧 ~ 杨建华：持续关注关税政策 展望5月，关税政策及中美贸易谈判仍将会成为左右市场的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses various industry reports highlighting trends and forecasts in sectors such as steel, copper, chemicals, oil and gas, coal, automotive, and semiconductor industries, indicating potential investment opportunities and market dynamics. Steel Industry - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology revised the "Steel Industry Normative Conditions," which may lead to a recovery in steel sector profitability to historical average levels, positively impacting steel stock price-to-book ratios [4]. Copper Industry - Domestic scrap copper production in April decreased by 22.5% year-on-year and 20% month-on-month, while copper inventories fell to low levels. High operating rates in cable enterprises and expected policy stimulus may support copper price increases [5]. Chemical Industry - The article emphasizes the ongoing trend of domestic substitution in the chemical sector, particularly for MXD6, ion exchange resins, and semiconductor materials, driven by technological advancements and market demand [6]. Oil and Gas Industry - Geopolitical risks are rising, and a recent trade agreement between the UK and the US has boosted confidence in oil demand, leading to a rebound in oil prices, with Brent and WTI crude oil prices increasing by 4.0% and 4.6% respectively [7]. Coal Industry - As of May 9, coal inventories at ports reached 33.051 million tons, up 6.5% week-on-week and 42.15% year-on-year, indicating high inventory pressure. Consequently, coal prices have started to decline, reflecting weak downstream demand [8]. Automotive Industry - The automotive sector's overall performance met expectations, with a focus on the potential for increased domestic sales in 2025 driven by trade-in programs and advancements in smart driving technology [9]. Semiconductor Industry - Semiconductor company SMIC faced production issues in Q1 2025, leading to lower-than-expected revenue and guidance for Q2, despite a year-on-year revenue increase of 28.4% to $2.247 billion [9].

Group 1 - A-share market saw new account openings surpassing 1.92 million in April 2025, indicating strong investor enthusiasm supported by robust policy measures [1] - Central Huijin Company announced its role as a "stabilization fund," continuing to increase holdings in ETFs and quality stocks, while the central bank confirmed support through relending [1] - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission is promoting state-owned enterprises to accelerate share buybacks, and the financial regulatory authority has raised the equity asset allocation ratio for insurance funds, expected to release several hundred billion yuan in incremental funds [1] Group 2 - A500 ETF (159339) tracks the A500 index, which covers 63% of total revenue and 70% of total net profit in the A-share market with less than 10% of the total number of stocks [2] - A50 ETF (159592) tracks the A50 index, focusing on large-cap leading stocks across various industries, benefiting from increased market concentration due to supply-side reforms [2] - Despite a continuous decline in non-financial ROE since Q2 2021, the non-financial sector showed a 4.2% year-on-year net profit growth in Q1 2025, particularly in the industrial, consumer, and TMT sectors, indicating structural optimization and strong recovery in certain industries [2]

各行业超级龙头，"漂亮50"：A50ETF基金（159592）跟踪的A50指数布局各行业超大市值龙头股，这 些绩优大白马在供给侧改革的趋势下受益于市场集中度提升，在业绩披露期或更受资金青睐。 A50指数成份股中，小商品城涨超2%，招商银行、恒瑞医药、长江电力、美的集团、三一重工涨超 1%，其余成份股积极跟涨。 消息面上，二季度以来，外资机构调研A股的热情持续高涨，"扎堆"现身上市公司。Wind数据显示，从 4月初至5月8日，共有超470家A股公司接待了外资机构调研。从行业来看，电子、医药生物、机械设备 等领域公司受青睐。梳理发现，外资机构的关注点主要集中在两大方向：一是A股公司的海外板块，包 括海外市场拓展、产能建设情况等；二是机器人、芯片和AI等前沿科技领域的近况。 A股核心资产代表，"A股的标普500"：A500ETF（159339）跟踪的A500指数以不足A股市场10%的成份 股数量，覆盖全市场63%的总营收和70%的总净利润，或是大家长期布局我国资本市场高质量发展趋势 的有力工具。 5月9日，A股市场低位震荡，A500指数小幅回调。A500ETF（159339）过去20个交易日日均成交额2.89 亿元 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the coal mining industry [4] Core Viewpoints - The current coal price adjustment has been ongoing for nearly four years since the peak in Q4 2021, and the market is well aware of the price decline. The industry is at a critical stage of price bottoming, and the report emphasizes the importance of understanding the industry's fundamental attributes and maintaining confidence [7][63] - Key recommendations include major coal enterprises such as China Shenhua (H+A) and China Coal Energy (H+A), as well as companies showing signs of recovery like Qinfa [8][64] Summary by Sections Cash King - Since the supply-side reform in 2016, the historical burden on coal companies has significantly decreased. Despite the continuous decline in coal prices since early 2024, some companies have cash balances (cash and cash equivalents + trading financial assets) far exceeding their interest-bearing debts. As of Q1 2025, the top five companies with the highest cash balances are China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, Jinkong Coal, China Coal Energy, and Lu'an Environmental Energy [1][17] Low Debt - As of Q1 2025, the asset-liability ratio for large coal enterprises is 60.3%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year. Most sampled coal companies have asset-liability ratios lower than the industry average. The companies with the lowest asset-liability ratios are China Shenhua, Jinkong Coal, Electric Power Investment Energy, Yitai B, and Shanghai Energy [20][21] Strong Foundation - Special reserves are funds set aside by coal companies for safety production and maintaining simple reproduction. The top five companies with the highest net increase in special reserves from the end of 2023 to Q1 2025 are China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, Yitai B, Lu'an Environmental Energy, and Gansu Energy [25][31] High Potential - Considering the cyclical nature of coal prices, coal companies may enhance cost control to ensure steady improvement in profitability. The report evaluates potential profit release using the ratio of operating cash flow minus net profit, depreciation, and financial expenses to net profit. The companies with the highest potential for profit release are Haohua Energy, Yitai B, Huabei Mining, China Coal Energy, and Shanmei International [2][51] Dividend King - The top five companies in terms of cumulative cash dividends over the past three years are China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, Yunkang Energy, China Coal Energy, and Lu'an Environmental Energy. The report highlights the high dividend attributes of coal companies, driven by reduced historical burdens and a cautious approach to reinvesting in traditional businesses [3][55]

Core Viewpoint - The company emphasizes high-quality development as a primary task in alignment with national strategies and financial reforms, focusing on enhancing its service capabilities in various financial sectors [1][3][10] Group 1: Strategic Direction - The company is committed to integrating its development with national strategies, particularly in supporting the five key areas of financial services: technology finance, green finance, inclusive finance, pension finance, and digital finance [1][3] - The company aims to deepen its understanding of political and social responsibilities, ensuring that its operations align with the broader goals of the state [2][3] Group 2: Service to the Real Economy - The company prioritizes serving the real economy by providing financial support to small and medium-sized enterprises and engaging in green and low-carbon economic initiatives [3][4] - The company has successfully launched innovative financial products, such as the first special knowledge property asset-backed note for private technology SMEs, enhancing financing channels for these enterprises [3] Group 3: Business Transformation - The company is pursuing a steady transformation towards differentiated and specialized development, establishing a "2+4" business system focusing on asset management and various trust services [5] - The company is enhancing its core investment research capabilities and developing a diverse product portfolio centered around fixed income [5][6] Group 4: Professional Capability Enhancement - The company is focused on improving four key professional capabilities: comprehensive risk management, professional investment research, wealth management, and information technology support [7][8] - The company is implementing a systematic investment research framework to enhance investment strategy precision and performance contribution [7] Group 5: Financial Innovation and Supply-Side Reform - The company is actively involved in supply-side reforms to enhance productivity, particularly by supporting the development of new and traditional industries through various financial instruments [9] - The company has successfully implemented a green industry employee stock ownership plan, demonstrating its commitment to supporting national strategies and the real economy [9]

工业硅月报 供需持续失衡，工业硅延续探底 核心观点及策略 投资咨询业务资格 沪证监许可【2015】84 号 李婷 021-68555105 li.t@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F0297587 投资咨询号：Z0011509 黄蕾 huang.lei@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F0307990 投资咨询号：Z0011692 高慧 gao.h@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F03099478 投资咨询号：Z0017785 王工建 2025 年 5 月 7 日 wang.gj@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F03084165 投资咨询号：Z0016301 赵凯熙 zhao.kx@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F03112296 投资咨询号：Z0021040 敬请参阅最后一页免责声明 1 / 16 核心观点及策略 ⚫ 宏观方面，我国4月制造业PMI陷入萎缩，而工业企 业利润同比增速转正，美国对华关税态度软化推动 人民币汇率升值，央行MLF延续净投放，"两新政策" 引领下我国经济内循环将逐渐加速，政治局会议强 调超常规宏观政策储备仍然充裕，我国将继续全力 推进科技创新和高质量发展。 ...

Group 1 - The global economic landscape has become uncertain since 2025, but stable supply and resilient demand for certain commodities, such as electrolytic aluminum, have led to strong performance [1] - In Q1 2025, the price of electrolytic aluminum was 20,400 CNY/ton, a year-on-year increase of 7.3%, remaining stable compared to Q4 2024 [1] - The complete cost of electrolytic aluminum production in Shandong was 15,810 CNY/ton, showing a year-on-year increase but a significant quarter-on-quarter decrease of 16% [1] Group 2 - Shandong Hongqiao's Q1 2025 revenue reached 40.173 billion CNY, a year-on-year growth of 15.6%, with net profit increasing by 46.5% year-on-year [1][2] - The main components of electrolytic aluminum production costs include alumina and electricity, which together account for 60%-85% of total costs [2] - The price of alumina in Q1 was approximately 3,833 CNY/ton, down 28.1% from Q4 2024, while the price of thermal coal was 721 CNY/ton, down 20% year-on-year [2] Group 3 - Despite falling upstream resource prices, aluminum prices have remained high due to supply-side reforms limiting production growth and sustained demand from sectors like renewable energy [5] - The global electrolytic aluminum production capacity is primarily concentrated in Asia, Europe, and North America, with China accounting for over half of the total capacity [5] - Limited growth in domestic production capacity is expected due to a 45 million ton production cap, while overseas production increases are forecasted to be modest [5] Group 4 - The demand for electrolytic aluminum is expected to grow, driven by its applications in various industries, including lightweight materials and aerospace [6] - Projections indicate a persistent supply-demand imbalance in the domestic market, with deficits expected from 2022 to 2027 [6] - The upward trend in aluminum prices is anticipated to continue due to rigid supply and orderly demand release [7] Group 5 - China Hongqiao is well-positioned in the aluminum industry due to its resource advantages and integrated operations, which enhance its profitability [7] - The company has achieved a 100% self-sufficiency rate in alumina and a 50% self-sufficiency rate in electricity, providing a strong cost advantage [7] - China Hongqiao is accelerating its capacity relocation to Yunnan, focusing on hydropower aluminum production, which is more environmentally friendly and cost-effective [8]

Group 1 - The announcement of global tariffs by Trump has led to a significant decline in the U.S. stock market and a depreciation of the dollar, indicating a shift away from the old order of globalization and free trade [1][2] - The current geopolitical climate highlights China's stability and development as increasingly valuable in contrast to the chaos in the U.S. and other regions [1][2] - The ongoing trade war and the impact of DeepSeek have exposed the undervaluation of Chinese high-tech companies, which are now being recognized as potential investment opportunities [2][3] Group 2 - The U.S. is facing a crisis in its ability to build and maintain infrastructure, as exemplified by the prolonged delays and budget overruns in simple projects like the renovation of a skating rink in New York [5][6][7] - The inability of the U.S. government to effectively manage public projects is attributed to excessive regulation and a lack of coordination among contractors, leading to inefficiencies [5][6][11] - The contrast between the U.S. and China in infrastructure development is stark, with China demonstrating a "can-do" attitude that allows for rapid project completion, such as the high-speed rail between Beijing and Shanghai [3][8] Group 3 - The structural issues in the U.S. economy are highlighted by the increasing difficulty in providing essential public goods like housing, education, and healthcare, which are critical for the working class [10][18] - The decline in social mobility in the U.S. has resulted in a more rigid class structure, making it harder for individuals to improve their economic status [14][16] - The need for the U.S. to learn from China's approach to economic development is emphasized, particularly in terms of enhancing government capabilities to provide public goods and stimulate domestic consumption [18][21]