期货市场
Search documents
对二甲苯:供应收缩,挤压下游利润,PTA:单边震荡市,不追高,MEG:新装置投产,库存继续累积,供应压力仍存
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-11-20 01:46
Report Overview - The report provides insights into the PX, PTA, and MEG markets, including price movements, market dynamics, and future trends [1][2][3] 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Views of the Report - PX: Supply is tight due to increased overseas aromatics blending demand and planned production cuts at the South Korean GS disproportionation unit, leading to rising prices. It's recommended to go long on PX and short on PTA/PF/PR, and conduct a long PX and short pure benzene hedging operation. The price will be in a high - level oscillating market [7] - PTA: The upside space may be limited, and it's advised not to chase high prices. With cost support, the monthly spread view is revised to mainly positive arbitrage. The pressure of inventory accumulation has eased [7] - MEG: The medium - term trend is weak. It's advisable to short at high prices, and maintain reverse arbitrage for monthly spreads. There is an oversupply situation, and the unilateral upward driving force is insufficient [8] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Dynamics - PX: Naphtha prices were stagnant at the end of the session. PX prices rose, with two January Asian spot transactions at $832 and $831. The 1 - 2 month spread shifted from flat to continuous. Asian PX prices rebounded on November 19, mainly affected by the strong energy complex [3][4] - PTA: A 2.2 - million - ton PTA plant in East China started maintenance this week, expected to last 5 weeks [6] - Polyester: A new 100 - ton/day cationic staple fiber production line in a direct - spinning polyester staple fiber factory in northern Jiangsu was newly put into operation. A 300,000 - ton new polyester plant in Anhui and a 300,000 - ton new polyester filament plant in Xinjiang have started operation [6] Price and Spread Data - **Futures**: PX, PTA, PF, and SC futures prices rose, while MEG futures price fell. The monthly spreads of PX, PTA, MEG, PF, and SC all decreased [2] - **Spot**: PX, PTA, and naphtha prices rose, while MEG and Dated Brent prices fell. PX - naphtha spread decreased, PTA processing fee increased, and short - fiber and bottle - chip processing fees decreased [2] Trend Intensity - PX trend intensity is 1, indicating a relatively strong trend; PTA and MEG trend intensities are 0, indicating a neutral trend [7] Fundamentals - **PX**: Overseas refinery maintenance may lead to a continuous decline in gasoline and diesel inventories and strong cracking spreads until December. Domestic PX plants maintain high - level operation, but US and South Korean disproportionation units may cut production. The US - Asia window has opened, and domestic PTA plants face raw material supply shortages [7] - **PTA**: The extension of the maintenance time at Yisheng Ningbo and the commissioning of multiple new polyester plants have relieved the pressure of PTA inventory accumulation [7] - **MEG**: Although some devices have reduced production, new devices are being commissioned, and imports are expected to exceed 600,000 tons this month. Inventory continued to increase by 70,000 tons this Monday, and the polyester load will decline in December, resulting in an oversupply situation [8]
工业硅期货早报-20251120
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-11-20 01:40
大越期货投资咨询部 胡毓秀 从业资格证号:F03105325 投资咨询证:Z0021337 联系方式:0575-85226759 交易咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】1091号 工业硅期货早报 2025年11月20日 1 重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人的投资建议 。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户;市场有风险,投资需谨慎。 目 录 1 每日观点 2 基本面/持仓数据 每日观点——工业硅 供给端来看,上周工业硅供应量为9.1万吨,环比持平。 需求端来看,上周工业硅需求为8.4万吨,环比增长2.44%.需求有所抬升. 多晶硅库存为26.7万吨,处于低位,硅片亏损,电池片亏损,组件盈利; 有机硅库存为56300吨,处于低位,有机硅生产利润为-156元/吨,处于亏 损状态,其综合开工率为72.18%,环比持平,低于历史同期平均水平;铝 合金锭库存为7.21万吨,处于高位,进口亏损为410元/吨,A356铝送至无 锡运费和利润为669.5元/吨,再生铝开工率为60.6%,环比增加2.54%,处 于高位。 成本端来看,新疆地区样本通氧5 ...
《黑色》日报-20251120
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-11-20 01:36
Report on the Steel Industry 1. Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View The steel market shows a weakening trend with falling prices and mixed production and inventory changes. The iron ore supply chain has a negative feedback basis, and it is not recommended to go long. For steel, with the decline in apparent demand and unsold inventory, a short - side attempt can be considered [1]. 3. Summary by Directory Steel Prices and Spreads - **Threaded Steel**: Spot prices in different regions (East, North, South) are between 3220 - 3300 yuan/ton, with a decline of 0 - 10 yuan/ton compared to the previous value. Futures contract prices also decreased, with the 05 contract down 23 yuan, the 10 contract down 18 yuan, and the 01 contract down 20 yuan [1]. - **Hot - Rolled Coil**: Spot prices in different regions are between 3220 - 3300 yuan/ton, with a change of - 10 - 10 yuan/ton. Futures contract prices decreased, with the 05 contract down 14 yuan, the 10 contract down 16 yuan, and the 01 contract down 9 yuan [1]. Cost and Profit - **Cost**: Steel billet price is 2970 yuan/ton (unchanged), and slab price is 3730 yuan/ton (unchanged). The cost of Jiangsu electric - furnace threaded steel is 3254 yuan/ton (unchanged), and the cost of Jiangsu converter threaded steel is 3189 yuan/ton, down 1 yuan [1]. - **Profit**: East China hot - rolled coil profit is - 77 yuan/ton, down 30 yuan; North China hot - rolled coil profit is - 147 yuan/ton (unchanged); East China threaded steel profit is - 127 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan; South China threaded steel profit is 43 yuan/ton (unchanged) [1]. Production - **Daily Average Hot - Metal Output**: It is 236.8 tons, up 2.6 tons or 1.1% [1]. - **Output of Five Major Steel Products**: It is 834.4 tons, down 22.4 tons or - 2.6%. Threaded steel output is 200.0 tons, down 8.5 tons or - 4.1%, including a 1.2 - ton or - 4.0% decrease in electric - furnace output and a 7.4 - ton or - 4.1% decrease in converter output. Hot - rolled coil output is 313.7 tons, down 4.5 tons or - 1.4% [1]. Inventory - **Inventory of Five Major Steel Products**: It is 1477.4 tons, down 26.2 tons or - 1.7%. Threaded steel inventory is 576.2 tons, down 16.4 tons or - 2.8%. Hot - rolled coil inventory is 410.5 tons, with a negligible change [1]. Transaction and Demand - **Building Materials Transaction Volume**: It is 9.2 tons, down 0.4 tons or - 4.1%. The apparent demand for five major steel products is 860.6 tons, down 6.3 tons or - 0.7%. The apparent demand for threaded steel is 216.4 tons, down 2.2 tons or - 1.0%. The apparent demand for hot - rolled coil is 313.6 tons, down 0.7 tons or - 0.2% [1]. Report on the Ore Industry 1. Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View The iron ore futures oscillated. Although the hot - metal output rebounded this week, there is limited room for further increase. With the current profit margin and inventory level of steel mills, it is not enough to trigger a negative feedback. It is expected that iron ore will show a high - level oscillation, and a wait - and - see approach is recommended for single - side trading [5]. 3. Summary by Directory Iron Ore - Related Prices and Spreads - **Warehouse Receipt Cost**: The warehouse receipt costs of various iron ore powders (Carol, PB, Brazilian Blend, Jinbuba) remained unchanged [5]. - **01 Contract Basis**: The basis of various iron ore powders increased slightly, with the basis of Carol powder up 0.5 yuan/ton or 2.4%, PB powder up 0.5 yuan/ton or 1.0%, Brazilian Blend powder up 0.5 yuan/ton or 0.8%, and Jinbuba powder up 0.5 yuan/ton or 1.0% [5]. - **Spread**: The 5 - 9 spread is 25.0 yuan/ton, up 1.5 yuan or 6.4%; the 9 - 1 spread is - 61.5 yuan/ton, down 3.5 yuan or - 6.0%; the 1 - 5 spread is 36.5 yuan/ton, up 2.0 yuan or 5.8% [5]. Spot Prices and Price Indexes - **Spot Prices at Rizhao Port**: The spot prices of various iron ore powders (Carol, PB, Brazilian Blend, Jinbuba) remained unchanged. The price of the Singapore Exchange 62% Fe swap is 104.5 dollars/ton, down 0.1 dollars or - 0.1%, and the Platts 62% Fe is 105.2 dollars/ton, down 0.1 dollars or - 0.1% [5]. Supply - **Arrival Volume at 45 Ports (Weekly)**: It is 2268.9 tons, down 472.3 tons or - 17.2%. - **Global Shipment Volume (Weekly)**: It is 3516.4 tons, up 447.4 tons or 14.6%. - **National Monthly Import Volume**: It is 11632.6 tons, up 1111.6 tons or 10.6% [5]. Demand - **Daily Average Hot - Metal of 247 Steel Mills (Weekly)**: It is 236.9 tons, up 2.7 tons or 1.1%. - **Daily Average Out - Port Volume at 45 Ports (Weekly)**: It is 327.0 tons, up 6.0 tons or 1.9%. - **National Monthly Pig Iron Output**: It is 6554.9 tons, down 49.7 tons or - 0.8%. - **National Monthly Crude Steel Output**: It is 7199.7 tons, down 149.3 tons or - 2.0% [5]. Inventory Change - **Inventory at 45 Ports (Weekly)**: It is 15114.45 tons, down 15.3 tons or - 0.1%. - **Imported Ore Inventory of 247 Steel Mills (Weekly)**: It is 9076.0 tons, up 66.1 tons or 0.7%. - **Inventory Availability Days of 64 Steel Mills (Weekly)**: It is 21.0 days, unchanged [5]. Report on the Coke and Coking Coal Industry 1. Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View Coke futures continued to decline, and the fourth round of price increases by mainstream coking enterprises has been fully implemented. Coking coal futures showed a weak downward trend. For both coke and coking coal, a short - side oscillation is expected, and a wait - and - see approach is recommended [8]. 3. Summary by Directory Coke - Related Prices and Spreads - **Coke Spot and Futures**: The prices of Shanxi and Rizhao Port quasi - first - grade wet - quenched coke (warehouse receipts) remained unchanged. The coke 01 contract is 1639 yuan/ton, down 11 yuan or - 0.6%, and the 05 contract is 1796 yuan/ton, up 1 yuan or 0.0% [8]. - **Basis and Spread**: The 01 basis is 7 yuan/ton, up 11 yuan; the 01 - 05 spread is - 157 yuan/ton, down 11 yuan [8]. - **Coking Profit**: The coking profit of the Steel Union (weekly) is - 54 yuan/ton, down 11 yuan [8]. Coking Coal - Related Prices and Spreads - **Coking Coal Spot and Futures**: The price of Shanxi medium - sulfur primary coking coal (warehouse receipt) remained unchanged, while the price of Mongolian 5 raw coal (warehouse receipt) is 1264 yuan/ton, down 27 yuan or - 2.1%. The coking coal 01 contract is 1140 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan or - 1.7%, and the 05 contract is 1211 yuan/ton, down 22 yuan or - 1.7% [8]. - **Basis and Spread**: The 01 basis is 125 yuan/ton, down 8 yuan; the 01 - 05 spread is - 71 yuan/ton, up 2 yuan [8]. - **Sample Coal Mine Profit**: The sample coal mine profit (weekly) is 569 yuan/ton, up 24 yuan or 4.2% [8]. Supply - **Coke Production (Weekly)**: The daily average output of all - sample coking plants is 63.0 tons, down 0.6 tons or - 0.9%, and the daily average output of 247 steel mills is 46.2 tons, up 0.1 tons or 0.2% [8]. - **Coking Coal Production (Weekly)**: The raw coal output of Fenwei sample coal mines is 853.8 tons, up 5.4 tons or 0.6%, and the clean coal output is 435.7 tons, up 2.7 tons or 0.6% [8]. Demand - **Hot - Metal Production (Weekly)**: The hot - metal output of 247 steel mills is 236.9 tons, up 2.7 tons or 1.1%. - **Coke Demand (Weekly)**: Reflected in the coke production requirements, with the change of coking plant and steel mill production [8]. Inventory Change - **Coke Inventory (Weekly)**: The total coke inventory is 879.4 tons, down 7.7 tons or - 0.9%. The inventory of all - sample coking plants, 247 steel mills, and ports all decreased [8]. - **Coking Coal Inventory (Weekly)**: The clean coal inventory of some coal mines is 87.6 tons, up 7.2 tons or 9.0%. The inventory of all - sample coking plants, 247 steel mills, and ports has different changes, with an overall median increase [8]. Supply - Demand Gap - **Coke Supply - Demand Gap (Weekly)**: It is - 5.5 tons, down 1.8 tons or - 32.5% [8].
棕榈油:反弹高度有限,关注产地去库进程,豆油:暂无突破驱动,区间震荡为主,豆粕:调整震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-11-20 01:31
2025年11月20日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-农产品 观点与策略 | 棕榈油:反弹高度有限,关注产地去库进程 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 豆油:暂无突破驱动,区间震荡为主 | 2 | | 豆粕:调整震荡 | 4 | | 豆一:现货稳定,盘面调整震荡 | 4 | | 玉米:震荡运行 | 6 | | 白糖:偏弱运行 | 8 | | 棉花:期价维持震荡走势 | 9 | | 鸡蛋:近弱远强,反套格局 | 11 | | 生猪:降温预期落地,压力逐步释放 | 12 | | 花生:关注油厂动向 | 13 | 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 油脂基本面数据 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 商 品 研 究 2025 年 11 月 20 日 商 品 研 究 棕榈油:反弹高度有限,关注产地去库进程 豆油:暂无突破驱动,区间震荡为主 | | | 【基本面跟踪】 | | 棕榈油主力 | 单 位 元/吨 | 收盘价 (日盘) | 涨跌幅 | 收盘价 (夜盘) | 涨跌幅 -0.66% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 豆油主力 | ...
国新国证期货早报-20251120
Guo Xin Guo Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-20 01:29
客服产品系列•日评 【胶】泰国气象局预测 11 月 19-22 日暴雨将引发洪水。泰国橡胶生产集中于该国南部。泰国南部的天气风 险引发供应忧虑,给橡胶市场提供了支撑沪胶周三震荡走高。夜盘,沪胶波动不大窄幅震荡小幅收低。隆众资讯, 上周青岛港口总库存延续累库,保税库呈现去库,一般贸易继续累库。截至 2025 年 11 月 16 日,青岛地区天胶 保税和一般贸易合计库存量 45.26 万吨,环比上期增加 0.31 万吨,增幅 0.70%。保税区库存 6.66 万吨,降幅 1.76%。 国新国证期货早报 2025 年 11 月 20 日 星期四 品种观点: 【股指期货】 周三(11 月 19 日) A 股三大指数涨跌不一,截止收盘,沪指涨 0.18%,收报 3946.74 点; 深证成指微幅收跌,收报 13080.09 点;创业板指涨 0.25%,收报 3076.85 点。沪深两市成交额 17259 亿,较昨 日缩量 2002 亿。 沪深 300 指数 11 月 19 日弱势震荡。收盘 4588.29,环比上涨 20.10。(数据来源:东方财富网) 【焦炭 焦煤】11 月 19 日焦炭加权指数重回弱势依旧,收盘价 ...
【早盘直通车】行情提示及操作建议2025/11/20
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 01:27
Market Overview - As of November 19, 2025, domestic futures contracts showed mixed performance, with lithium carbonate, industrial silicon, and polysilicon rising over 4%, while soda ash fell over 3% [3][4] - The A-share market experienced a volatile trading session, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.18% and the ChiNext Index up 0.25% [6] - The bond market saw a decline across all maturities, with the 30-year contract down 0.41%, reflecting increased market divergence on long-term interest rates [7] Commodity Insights - Palm oil prices increased significantly, reaching a three-week high, while soybean oil also saw a rise, indicating strong demand despite a weak supply outlook for Malaysian palm oil [8][9] - The coal market is under pressure due to concerns over potential supply increases, with the focus on energy production stability during the heating season [11] - Gold and silver futures rose by 2.01% and 3.84% respectively, influenced by recent employment data indicating a decrease in private sector jobs [12][13] Specific Commodity Analysis - Lithium carbonate prices surged by 6.18% due to high demand from the power and storage sectors, although there are concerns about potential supply disruptions from upcoming mine restarts [14] - Industrial silicon and polysilicon contracts rose by 4.57% and 4.63% respectively, driven by reduced production rates in key regions [15] - Soda ash prices fell sharply, with the main contract dropping to a new low, reflecting weak demand and a slowdown in new orders [16] Shipping and Logistics - The European shipping index declined by 2.66%, with a notable drop in freight rates for container shipments, indicating a potential oversupply in the market [19]
产量失真、需求成谜,玉米市场啥时候能建库存?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 15:08
(来源:每日粮油) 以粮油仓储贸易企业为例,目前全国粮食标准仓房完好仓容超过7.3亿吨,比"十三五"时期末增加5800 万吨,如果加上这几年民间资本建立的粮仓数量,该数据预计至少仍有30%以上的增长。 来源:每日粮油 关注每日粮油,了解全球市场最新动态。 近年来,随着全球国际形势的变化,各国在对包括粮食、原油、稀土、镍等大宗原料商品市场的争夺愈 加激烈,并传导至下游生产贸易企业层面,跨国性商品贸易集团的合并重组也愈加快速,在此期间,代 表我国走向世界粮食市场的中粮国际也快速成长为全球粮商巨头。 但由于此前中国在国际商品市场的失败案例,从2003年的第一次大豆危机,再到原油宝、中航油套保巨 亏等案例,让不少投资者对国际大宗商品交易工具——期货市场仍心有余悸。 在最近一次的内部讨论中,每日粮油就期货对粮食产业的风险规避问题也进行了简单的交流,特别是针 对当前国内玉米市场面临产量、需求不确定性,实体企业该如何利用期货工具避险? 据悉,今年玉米市场走势较为复杂,部分网友认为今年黄淮地区遭遇历史罕见的持续阴雨天气,无论对 玉米的品质和产量都构成了极大的影响,且造成大面积的小麦冬播延迟,加上玉米价格已经跌至近10年 的低 ...
铁矿石期货日报-20251119
Guo Jin Qi Huo· 2025-11-19 13:31
Report Overview - Research Variety: Iron ore - Report Cycle: Daily - Date of Report: November 17, 2025 - Research Analyst: Feng Jiayu [1] 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View - On November 17, 2025, the iron ore futures market had prices rising in an upward - trending oscillation. The price increase was driven by rising macro - policy expectations and short - term demand recovery. However, the fundamental situation of iron ore has not fundamentally improved, and the market is in a structural game. Short - term prices are supported by policy expectations and a phased increase in demand, while medium - to long - term prices face pressure from a continuous supply surplus, shrinking steel mill profits, and high port inventories. The price is expected to fluctuate widely in the range of 750 - 820 yuan/ton. Key factors to watch include policy signals from important meetings, the sustainability of the increase in steel mill hot - metal production, and the process of port inventory reduction [11]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Futures Market 3.1.1 Contract Market Conditions - On November 17, 2025, the iron ore i2601 contract showed an upward - trending oscillation. The lowest point was 767.5, the highest was 791, and it closed at 788.5, with a 1.81% increase. The trading volume was 351,300 lots, an increase of 84,900 lots compared to the previous trading day, and the open interest was 481,400 lots, an increase of 1,019 lots from the previous day [2]. 3.1.2 Variety Prices - The 12 iron ore futures contracts showed a backwardation market pattern with near - term contracts stronger than far - term ones. All contracts generally rose, with the increase ranging from 3.5 to 14 points. The total open interest of the variety was 907,493 lots, an increase of 6,657 lots compared to the previous trading day. The i2605 contract had the largest increase in open interest, with an increase of 4,639 lots [5]. 3.2 Spot Market 3.2.1 Basis Data - In the past 5 trading days, the basis of the main iron ore i2601 contract fluctuated slightly, with a maximum of 45.9 yuan/ton, a minimum of 39 yuan/ton, and 39 yuan/ton on the reporting day [8]. 3.2.2 Registered Warehouse Receipts - In the past 5 trading days, the registered warehouse receipts fluctuated slightly, with a maximum of 900 lots, a minimum of 800 lots, and 900 lots on the reporting day [8]. 3.3 Influencing Factors 3.3.1 Demand Side - The steel mill hot - metal production increased slightly to 236,880 tons per day on a month - on - month basis. However, steel mill profits continued to deteriorate, the number of maintenance plans increased, the blast furnace operating rate decreased on a month - on - month basis, and the hot - metal production may decline in a step - by - step manner in the future [9]. 3.3.2 Macroeconomic Environment - Hawkish remarks from Fed officials suppressed the risk appetite for commodities. In China, the year - on - year decline in real estate investment widened, the growth rate of infrastructure investment slowed down, and terminal demand weakened seasonally [10].
国投期货化工日报-20251119
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-11-19 11:08
1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Propylene: ★☆☆, indicating a slightly bullish trend but limited trading opportunities on the market [1] - Polypropylene: ★☆☆, suggesting a slightly bullish trend but limited trading opportunities on the market [1] - Pure Benzene: ★★★, representing a clear bullish trend with relatively appropriate investment opportunities [1] - Styrene: ★★★, showing a clear bullish trend with relatively appropriate investment opportunities [1] - PTA: ★★☆, meaning a clear bullish trend and the market situation is developing [1] - Ethylene Glycol: ★☆☆, indicating a slightly bullish trend but limited trading opportunities on the market [1] - Short Fiber: ★★★, representing a clear bullish trend with relatively appropriate investment opportunities [1] - Bottle Chip: ★★★, showing a clear bullish trend with relatively appropriate investment opportunities [1] - Methanol: ☆☆☆, suggesting a bearish trend and a relatively balanced short - term market with poor trading opportunities [1] - Urea: ☆☆☆, indicating a bearish trend and a relatively balanced short - term market with poor trading opportunities [1] - PVC: ★☆☆, suggesting a slightly bullish trend but limited trading opportunities on the market [1] - Caustic Soda: ★☆☆, indicating a slightly bullish trend but limited trading opportunities on the market [1] - Soda Ash: ★★★, representing a clear bullish trend with relatively appropriate investment opportunities [1] - Glass: ☆☆☆, suggesting a bearish trend and a relatively balanced short - term market with poor trading opportunities [1] 2. Core Viewpoints - The olefin - polyolefin market shows a mixed situation, with downstream demand recovering in some aspects but supply pressure remaining in others [2] - The pure benzene - styrene market has different trends, with overseas pure benzene having a short - term rebound and styrene futures rising due to cost and supply - demand factors [3] - The polyester market is affected by multiple factors such as international relations and device adjustments, with different products facing different supply - demand and price trends [5] - The coal - chemical market is generally bearish, with methanol facing high inventory and weak demand, and urea having potential downward risks [6] - The chlor - alkali market has a weak trend, with PVC and caustic soda both facing cost and demand challenges [7] - The soda - glass market is in a bearish situation, with both products facing supply - demand imbalances and cost - related issues [8] 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs Olefin - Polyolefin - Olefin futures contracts closed lower, but downstream demand increased due to the restart of maintenance devices. Propylene inventory is low, supporting spot prices [2] - Plastic and polypropylene futures fluctuated narrowly. Supply pressure persists, seasonal demand is declining, and inventory is accumulating. However, the short - term decline is limited, while the medium - to - long - term bearish pattern continues [2] Pure Benzene - Styrene - Overseas pure benzene rebounded due to supply shortages in the US and overseas blending oil demand, but the rebound in South Korea lacks sustainability. Domestic pure benzene still faces high imports and weak downstream demand [3] - Styrene futures closed higher, driven by the increase in pure benzene prices and a tight supply - demand balance. Although port inventories are high, there is an expectation of continuous inventory reduction [3] Polyester - PX prices rebounded due to factors such as international relations and device shutdowns. PTA has poor profitability, with increased device maintenance and weakening demand. Ethylene glycol has increasing supply pressure and is expected to accumulate inventory [5] - Short fiber has no new investment pressure, but demand is expected to weaken. Bottle chip demand is weakening, with inventory accumulation and pressure on processing margins [5] Coal - Chemical - Methanol futures remained in a low - level oscillation, with high overseas device operation rates and sufficient on - the - way supplies. Demand is expected to be weak, and de - stocking is difficult [6] - Urea spot prices increased slightly. Agricultural demand is weakening, but industrial demand has rebounded. Supply remains high, and there is a possibility of price decline after market sentiment stabilizes [6] Chlor - Alkali - PVC continued to decline due to weak cost support. Although exports to India improved, the overall demand increase was limited. Supply is high, and demand is weak [7] - Caustic soda is in a downward trend. Although there are still profits in chlor - alkali integration, cost support is insufficient. Supply is high, and demand is weak [7] Soda - Glass - Soda ash continued to decline due to a decrease in cost support. Inventory decreased slightly, but the supply - demand surplus pattern persists in the long term [8] - Glass continued to decline, with high intermediate inventory and weak demand. The price is expected to follow cost fluctuations, and it is recommended to wait and see [8]
建信期货聚烯烃日报-20251119
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-19 10:29
聚烯烃日报 日期 2025 年 11 月 19 日 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3037892 028-86630631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3065843 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03134307 行业 连塑 L2601 高开,盘中震荡向下,尾盘收跌,终收 6785 元/吨,跌 65 元/ 吨(-0.95%),成交 26 万手,持仓增 6049 手至 548344 手。PP2601 收于 6392 元/吨,跌 73,跌幅 1.13%,持仓增 5494 手 ...