Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of China's export data, the potential impact of U.S. tariffs on various industries, and the overall market sentiment regarding trade negotiations between the U.S. and China. It highlights the strong export growth in March and anticipates challenges in the upcoming quarters due to tariff pressures and geopolitical tensions [3][4][5]. Export Data Analysis - China's March exports increased by 12.4% year-on-year, contrasting with a decline of 3% in the previous month and a drop of 7.6% in the same month last year. This growth is attributed to a low base effect from last year and a rush to export before potential new tariffs are implemented [3][4]. - The export growth is particularly notable in trade with the EU, where exports rose by 9.7%, and with ASEAN countries, which saw a 5.9% increase [4]. Tariff Implications - U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Rutnik indicated that new tariffs on smartphones, computers, and other electronics could be implemented in about a month, which may further impact China's export performance [3]. - Morgan Stanley predicts that the export growth will face significant negative feedback in Q2, estimating a year-on-year decline of 5% to 10% due to the anticipated tariffs [4]. Market Reactions - The A-share market showed a collective increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.76% and significant trading activity in sectors like cross-border e-commerce and consumer goods [7]. - Goldman Sachs has lowered its target for major Chinese stock indices, citing unprecedented levels of U.S.-China trade tensions and concerns over a potential global economic recession [9]. Company Performance - Several companies reported significant expected profit growth for Q1, including Jinjiang Shipping with a projected increase of 182% to 194% year-on-year, and Shenzhou Huachuang with an expected increase of 68% to 100% [10]. - Companies like Jinhe Biological indicated that their products exported to the U.S. are currently subject to a 20% tariff, but they plan to adjust prices to cover costs [10]. Investment Sentiment - The article notes a shift in investment sentiment, with sectors like textiles, coal, and non-ferrous metals gaining traction, while household appliances and food and beverage sectors are experiencing declines [20].

Group 1 - The article highlights the impact of the trade war initiated by the Trump administration, leading to concerns about a potential global economic recession, which has resulted in significant declines in the US stock market [1] - Gold prices have seen a notable drop, with the June gold futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange closing at $3035.40 per ounce, down 2.76%, erasing earlier gains from the week. The cumulative decline in international gold prices for the week is reported at 2.53% [1] - Domestic gold jewelry prices have also decreased, with notable reductions in prices from major retailers such as Chow Sang Sang and Lao Miao, reflecting a broader trend in the gold market [1] Group 2 - The Shanghai Gold Exchange has issued a notice emphasizing the need for market participants to enhance risk prevention measures due to increased volatility in precious metal prices, urging investors to manage their positions wisely [3] - Several banks, including Everbright Bank and Bank of China, have raised the minimum subscription amounts for gold accumulation products, indicating a tightening of investment conditions in the gold market [4][6] - The Bank of China has adjusted its minimum purchase amount for gold accumulation products twice this year, reflecting a trend among multiple banks to increase the entry threshold for gold investment [6]