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锡业股份: 云南锡业股份有限公司2025年度跟踪评级报告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-05-29 09:46
Core Viewpoint - Yunnan Tin Company Limited maintains a stable credit rating of AA+ due to its leading position in the tin industry, significant resource reserves, and strong financial performance, despite facing challenges from industry cyclicality and declining resource grades [1][2][3]. Company Overview - Yunnan Tin Company is recognized as a global leader in the tin industry, with substantial resource reserves and production capacity [1][7]. - The company has a strong market share, with a domestic market share of 47.98% and a global market share of 25.03% for tin products in 2024 [12][13]. Financial Performance - The total assets of the company were reported at 366.43 billion yuan as of March 2025, with total liabilities at 148.03 billion yuan [3][26]. - The company achieved a net profit of 15.70 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth of 40.51% compared to the previous year [23][26]. - Operating revenue for 2024 was 519.98 billion yuan, with a slight decrease attributed to a reduction in trade business scale [23][26]. Industry Context - The tin market is experiencing price fluctuations, with prices rising from 230,000 yuan/ton to 280,000 yuan/ton, influenced by tightening global supply and recovering demand [6][7]. - The overall economic environment in China is expected to support continued growth, although external uncertainties may pose risks [5][6]. Resource Management - The company has significant mining resources concentrated in the Honghe and Wenshan regions, with proven reserves of tin, copper, zinc, and indium [10][11]. - Resource reserves for tin have decreased from 66.70 million tons in 2022 to 62.62 million tons in 2024, indicating a need for ongoing exploration and resource management [11][12]. Risk Factors - The company faces risks from the cyclical nature of the non-ferrous metals industry, which can impact profitability due to price volatility [6][7]. - Declining grades of resources and lower processing fees are also potential challenges that could affect the company's financial performance [1][12]. Future Outlook - The credit rating agency expects Yunnan Tin Company to maintain its credit rating over the next 12 to 18 months, provided it can enhance its capital structure and sustain profitability [1][2]. - The company is focused on strategic initiatives to enhance resource exploration and modernize mining operations, aiming to solidify its position as a key supplier of non-ferrous metals [9][10].
建信期货铜期货日报-20250522
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-05-22 01:55
行业 铜期货日报 日期 2025 年 5 月 22 日 有色金属研究团队 研究员:张平 021-60635734 zhangping@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3015713 研究员:余菲菲 021-60635729 yufeifei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3025190 研究员:彭婧霖 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 请阅读正文后的声明 每日报告 一、 行情回顾与操作建议 图1:沪铜走势及盘面价差 图2:伦铜走势及价差 沪铜震荡偏强,主力合约重回牛熊线上方,日内主要是受到美元走弱和最大消费 国中国出台刺激措施带来支撑,不过国内期现价差受到进口货源以及仓单流出冲 击,现货升水坍塌,日内现货升水跌 115 至 275,盘面近月价差降至 290,现货进 口亏损扩大至 450 附近,海外库存延续 LME 下降而 COMEX 增加,总库存依旧在 32 万吨附近,短期内外现货市场转宽松对铜价的支撑有所弱化。不过近期市场在传 闻年中冶炼厂加工费谈判,从目前消息来看下半年 ...
化工日报:PTA装置陆续重启,基差快速回落-20250521
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-05-21 02:20
Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for PX/PTA/PF/PR is neutral [5] Core Viewpoints - The market's focus has been shifting between macro and geopolitical factors, with oil prices in a range - bound consolidation. Attention should be paid to the progress of the US - Iran nuclear talks and the Russia - Ukraine negotiations [2] - The gasoline crack has rebounded recently, but its seasonal performance is still weaker than in the previous two years. The aromatics blending demand for gasoline is not promising this year, and the intermittent blending demand at home and abroad can be basically met by naphtha [2] - PXN has rebounded from a low level due to macro - level positive factors and unexpected losses of multiple PX plants. In May, domestic PX maintenance plants will gradually restart, and PX will continue to draw down inventory under the commissioning of new PTA plants [2] - The PTA spot basis has weakened, and the processing fees have declined. With the high - operation of downstream polyester plants, PTA will continue to draw down inventory significantly in May. As the PTA price rebounds, the maintenance of PTA plants is postponed, and the supply will gradually return [3] - The polyester operating rate has increased, and downstream orders have improved after the positive progress of the China - US negotiations and tariff reduction. The inventory of filament has decreased significantly, and the average monthly polyester load in May may increase instead of decrease [3] - The spot processing fee of polyester bottle - chips has increased, and the market supply is gradually rising, which may put pressure on the market price. Attention should be paid to the maintenance news of bottle - chip plants due to rising costs [4] - After the continuous and rapid rise, the current valuations of PXN and PTA are no longer at low levels, and the market sentiment has declined. Attention should be paid to the downstream negative feedback and the support from the crude oil cost side [5] Summary by Directory Price and Basis - The report includes figures on the TA main - contract, basis, and inter - period spread trends; PX main - contract trends, basis, and inter - period spread; PTA East China spot basis; and short - fiber basis [9][10][12] Upstream Profits and Spreads - Figures cover PX processing fee (PXN), PTA spot processing fee, South Korean xylene isomerization profit, and South Korean STDP selective disproportionation profit [17][20] International Spreads and Import - Export Profits - It includes figures on the toluene US - Asia spread, toluene South Korea FOB - Japan naphtha CFR, and PTA export profit [25][27] Upstream PX and PTA Start - up - Figures show the operating rates of Chinese, South Korean, and Taiwanese PTA plants, as well as Chinese and Asian PX plants [28][31][33] Social Inventory and Warehouse Receipts - Figures present the weekly social inventory of PTA, monthly social inventory of PX, and various types of warehouse receipts for PTA, PX, and PF [36][39][40] Downstream Polyester Load - It includes figures on the production and sales of filament and short - fiber, polyester load, and the inventory days and profits of various filament products, as well as the operating rates of weaving, texturing, and dyeing in Jiangsu and Zhejiang [48][50][60] PF Detailed Data - Figures cover the load of polyester staple fiber, factory equity inventory days, physical and equity inventories, and the operating rates and processing fees of related yarns [71][73][80] PR Fundamental Detailed Data - Figures show the load of polyester bottle - chips, factory inventory days, processing fees, export profits, and various price spreads [91][93][99]
芳烃橡胶早报-20250521
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-05-21 01:31
芳烙橡胶早报 價H 研究中心能化团队 2025/05/21 P 不 A 点 点 点 用 POY 1 PX CFR PTA内盘现 仓单+有 PTA平衡 石脑油 石脑油裂 PTA加 PTA负 TA基美 50D/4 聚酯毛利 日期 原油 PX加工美 产销 台湾 解价差 工差 效预报 日本 न्ह 负荷 荷 8F 图什 2025/0 870 5095 7000 105.56 85394 240 0.40 66.1 590 280.0 324 -59 86.9 76.9 5/14 2025/0 80258 64.5 572 853 5030 7050 99.00 281.0 353 65 86.9 76.9 215 0.30 5/15 (图H 2025/0 65.4 4990 7050 103 87.9 200 0.25 565 839 85.92 274.0 386 76.9 70046 5/16 2025/0 841 4995 7025 88.97 272.0 380 68831 200 0.35 65.5 ୧୧୫ 75 87.9 76.9 5/19 2025/0 r ( 65.4 570 827 4860 702 ...
瑞达期货沪锌产业日报-20250519
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-05-19 10:16
氛围减弱,现货升水下跌,国内社会库存小幅回升,海外延续去库。终端地产边际改善,但仍对需求造成 研究员: 王福辉 期货从业资格号F03123381 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0019878 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 沪锌主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) | 22455 | -45 06-07月合约价差:沪锌(日,元/吨) | 210 | 65 | | | LME三个月锌报价(日,美元/吨) | 2691.5 | -33 沪锌总持仓量(日,手) | 222642 | 22 | | | 沪锌前20名净持仓(日,手) | -5863 | -3884 沪锌仓单(日,吨) | 1701 | -474 | | | 上期所库存(周,吨) | 46351 | -751 LME库存(日,吨) | 164200 | -975 | | 现货市场 | 上海有色网0#锌现货价(日,元/吨) | 22650 | -120 长江有色市场1#锌现货价(日,元/吨) | 22410 | -110 | | ...
芳烃橡胶早报-20250519
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-05-19 02:43
音紧像胶呈报 图书 研究中心能化团队 2025/05/19 P 不 A A POY 1 PTA加 仓单+有 PX CFR PTA内盘现 PTA平衡 PTA负 石脑油 石脑油裂 聚酯毛利 TA基美 50D/4 日期 原油 PX加工美 产销 台湾 工差 效预报 日本 न्ह 解价差 荷 负荷 8F rest 2025/0 4840 65.0 ୧୧୧ 839 6675 85.92 274.0 386 -87 86.9 76.9 88754 180 1.15 5/12 2025/0 85172 66.6 576 846 4935 6840 87.60 270.0 298 -29 86.9 76.9 200 0.50 5/13 l RiH 2025/0 7000 105.56 240 0.40 66.1 590 870 5085 280.0 324 -59 86.9 76.9 85394 5/14 2025/0 572 853 5030 7050 353 80258 0.30 64.5 99.00 281.0 65 86.9 76.9 215 5/15 2025/0 图H 65.4 565 4990 7050 85.9 ...
瑞达期货沪锌产业日报-20250515
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-05-15 09:40
步回暖,近期锌价下跌,下游逢低采购氛围改善,现货升水较高,国内库存下降明显,进入传统去库周期 研究员: 王福辉 期货从业资格号F03123381 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0019878 ,海外延续去库。终端地产边际改善,但仍对需求造成拖累,关注后续利好政策指引。技术面,持仓减量 | | | 沪锌产业日报 2025-05-15 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 沪锌主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) | 22590 | -120 06-07月合约价差:沪锌(日,元/吨) | 120 | -10 | | | LME三个月锌报价(日,美元/吨) | 2765 | 60 沪锌总持仓量(日,手) | 222896 | -3156 | | | 沪锌前20名净持仓(日,手) | 2784 | -736 沪锌仓单(日,吨) | 2571 | 971 | | | 上期所库存(周,吨) | 47102 | -1375 LME库存(日,吨) | 167050 | -900 | | 现货市场 | 上 ...
瑞达期货沪锌产业日报-20250514
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-05-14 09:14
| | | 沪锌产业日报 2025-05-14 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 沪锌主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) | 22710 | 385 06-07月合约价差:沪锌(日,元/吨) | 130 | -10 | | | LME三个月锌报价(日,美元/吨) | 2705 | 25 沪锌总持仓量(日,手) | 226052 | -3743 | | | 沪锌前20名净持仓(日,手) | 3520 | 11528 沪锌仓单(日,吨) | 1600 | 0 | | | 上期所库存(周,吨) | 47102 | -1375 LME库存(日,吨) | 167950 | -1900 | | 现货市场 | 上海有色网0#锌现货价(日,元/吨) | 22840 | 190 长江有色市场1#锌现货价(日,元/吨) | 22970 | 510 | | | ZN主力合约基差(日,元/吨) | 130 | -195 LME锌升贴水(0-3)(日,美元/吨) | -27.34 | 0.03 | | ...
对二甲苯:月差正套,加工费扩张,PTA:需求预期好转,月差持续走强
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-05-14 02:24
商 品 研 究 2025 年 5 月 14 日 对二甲苯:月差正套,加工费扩张 PTA:需求预期好转,月差持续走强 MEG:装置意外停车检修,大幅上行 贺晓勤 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0017709 hexiaoqin024367@gtjas.com 【基本面跟踪】 对二甲苯、PTA、MEG 基本面数据 | 日 期 | PX主力收盘 | PTA主力收盘 | MEG主力收盘 | PF主力收盘 | SC主力收盘 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-05-13 | 6708 | 4750 | 4349 | 6496 | 3541 | | 2025-05-12 | 6654 | 4710 | 4302 | 6454 | 3518 | | 2025-05-09 | 6472 | 4582 | 4218 | 6298 | 3472 | | 2025-05-08 | 6404 | 4546 | 4222 | 6290 | 3406 | | 2025-05-07 | 6288 | 4466 | 4199 | 6200 | 3399 | | 日度变化 | 0.8% | 0 ...