优化“两新”政策实施。清理消费领域不合理限制措施，释放服务消费潜力。推动投资止跌回稳，适当增加中央预算内投资规模，优化实施“两重”项目，优化地方政府专项债券用途管理，继续发挥新型政策性金融工具作用，有效激发民间投资活力。高质量推进城市更新。着力稳定房地产市场，因城施策控增量、去库存、优供给，鼓励收购存量商品房重点用于保障性住房等。倡导积极婚育观，努力稳定新出生人口规模。制定全国统一大市场建设条例，深入整治“内卷式”竞争。 ...

文 | 赵伟、屠强 联系人| 屠强、耿佩璇 报告正文 4、生产高频跟踪：工业生产维持弱势，建筑业开工边际改善 图 36: 上周, 高炉开工率延续回落 全国高炉开工率 (247家) === 2020 2019 2021 2022 2023 -2024 · 2025 96 85 80 75 70 65 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月 11月 12月 1月 资料来源: Wind、申万宏源研究 工业生产中，高炉开工延续回落，钢材表观消费也有下滑。 11月23日至11月29日，高炉开工率环 比-1.1%至81.1%，同比-0.8pct至-0.5%；上周（11月30日至12月06日），钢材表观消费环比-2.68%、同 比-2.4pct至-1.2%。钢材社会库存延续回落，环比-2.9%。 图 37: 上周, 钢材周表观消费有所回落 五大品种钢材周表观消费量 2021 2019 == 2020 = 2022 2023 2024 2025 1300 万吨 1200 1100 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月 1 ...

每日金句 吴世春 | 梅花创投创始合伙人 创业心学导师 这里认真推荐你： 报名 「吴世春·西安出行活动」 投资人判断项目时关注三个重点维度：壁垒，需求，谈判能力。壁垒，做这件 事是否有足够深的护城河，比别人做有哪些优势；需求，对现有产品来说是不 是更好的替代品，或是会被别人替代；对上下游谈判能力：在整个环节里面所 占的环节比例，如果太小则不具备足够的话语权。 1月22日-24日 ， 吴世春将亲自带队 100家企业家 ， 去陕西西安线下游学 ， 走进科技制造 产业，打开万亿赛道蓝海。 你 在 创业路上遇到的问题和想法 ， 都可以找吴老师聊聊 。 如果你是 优质的项目，吴老师也会果断投 你 。 希望所有支持吴老师的人 ， 一如既往的相信他、支持他，大家 一起 加油！ 活动详情如下 ↓↓↓ 吴世春导师亲自带队 走进科技制造产业 升级数字文旅体验 探索产业生态协同 打开万亿赛道蓝海 机器人、航空航天、高端装备、新材料、新能源、 科技演费、Al+产出的创出者看过来! ll 你将收获 1场 产业重做的深度链接之旅 与独角虎企业、梅花投资人深度交流,占据产业链关键 卡位,共建协同生态 3天 深度沉浸式学习与认知共振 从技术 ...

Core Viewpoint - The unexpected departure of Todd Combs from Berkshire Hathaway marks a significant transition in the company's leadership, particularly in its insurance sector, where he has made notable contributions to GEICO's turnaround and operational efficiency [4][5][6]. Group 1: Leadership Changes - Todd Combs has resigned from Berkshire Hathaway to join JPMorgan Chase as a special advisor to CEO Jamie Dimon, after serving as CEO of GEICO since 2020 [5][7]. - Combs' departure was announced in a press release on December 8, which also included other leadership appointments within Berkshire's non-insurance and insurance businesses [4][6]. Group 2: Contributions to GEICO - Under Combs' leadership, GEICO experienced significant profitability growth and operational reforms, which were highlighted in Warren Buffett's shareholder letter earlier this year [6]. - Buffett praised Combs for his efforts in revitalizing GEICO, referring to it as a "gem" that required polishing, and noted the impressive progress expected in 2024 [6]. Group 3: Future Plans at JPMorgan Chase - At JPMorgan, Combs will initially manage a $10 billion investment plan, which is expected to grow to $1.5 trillion aimed at promoting economic growth and enhancing safety [7]. - The investment plan will include an external advisory committee featuring prominent figures such as Jeff Bezos and Michael Dell [8]. Group 4: Combs' Background and Philosophy - Todd Combs joined Berkshire Hathaway in 2010 and has been recognized for his investment acumen and leadership qualities, having been a protégé of both Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger [5][6][36]. - His investment philosophy emphasizes the importance of curiosity and perseverance, which he believes are essential for long-term success in investing [10].

After having been in the investing world for more than 25 years from private banking and investment management to private and venture capital; I have pretty much "been there and done that" at one point or another. I am currently a partner at RIA Advisors in Houston, Texas. The majority of my time is spent analyzing, researching and writing commentary about investing, investor psychology and macro-views of the markets and the economy. My thoughts are not generally mainstream and are often contrarian in natur ...

债券研究 证券研究报 告 【债券周报】 通胀边际抬升，聚焦会议定调 ——每周高频跟踪 20251206 （1）动力煤：煤价跌幅扩大。内陆省份电厂日耗同比仍显疲弱，终端企业 采购以长协煤兑现为主，对高价市场煤接受偏低，沿海电厂日耗小幅下降。 （2）螺纹钢：螺纹钢价格涨幅扩大。主要钢材品种去库节奏继续加快，但 建材、螺纹表观需求走弱也加速，说明供给收缩力度相对更大。 （3）沥青：开工率继续处于同期低位。沥青装置开工率环比+0.1pct 至 27.9%，同比-1.0%。赶工需求逐步减少，出货量也处于往年同期低位。 2、地产：（1）新房成交成交放缓。11 月 28 日-12 月 4 日，30 城新房成交面 积 211.8 万平方米，环比-0.6%，同比-36%，降幅继续扩大，月初新房销售动 能有所回落。（2）二手房成交继续走弱。二手房成交面积环比-2.7%，同比- 39.6%，环比跌幅扩大，主因高基数影响。 消费相关：11 月乘用车零售同比-7% 1、汽车：11 月 1-30 日，全国乘用车市场零售 226.3 万辆，同比去年同期下 降 7%，较上月增长 1%。 2、原油：价格继续上涨。美联储降息预期强化、美元指数走 ...

Group 1 - The recent market volatility has led to increased interactions from notable investor Duan Yongping on the Xueqiu platform, where he shares insights on various market hotspots including real estate, Moutai, Apple, and Pinduoduo [1][2][3] - Duan emphasizes that true understanding of investments significantly increases the probability of success, cautioning against the subjective nature of what it means to "understand" [4][5] - He suggests that focusing solely on the business itself, rather than the market, is crucial for successful investing, comparing investment to nurturing a fruit tree that requires patience before yielding returns [6][7][8] Group 2 - Regarding the AI bubble, Duan asserts that historical trends indicate that all bubbles, including those in AI, will eventually be crushed [10] - He expresses concerns about the real estate sector, highlighting the dangers of high leverage and debt, and reflects on past warnings given to real estate companies about their financial practices [11][12] - On Apple, Duan mentions that he is facing a dilemma about selling shares as their price appears high, indicating a cautious approach to investment decisions [12][13] - Duan has recently utilized AI tools to better understand Pinduoduo, suggesting that technology can aid in analyzing companies more efficiently [14][15]

Core Insights - Many investors in 2025 require reliable passive income, particularly those approaching retirement, and investing in exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is highlighted as an effective strategy to achieve this [1] Group 1 - The demand for dependable passive income is increasing among investors, especially retirees [1] - ETFs are presented as a prominent investment option for generating passive income [1]

Economic Overview - Estonia's GDP reached €10.49 billion in Q3 2025, showing a year-on-year growth of 0.9% and remaining stable quarter-on-quarter [1] - Private consumption decreased by 0.6% year-on-year, while government consumption increased by 3.4%, marking the fastest growth since Q2 2024 [1] - Overall investment fell by 0.7% year-on-year, with government investment rising by 8.8% and corporate investment declining significantly by 27.3% [1] - Household investment in housing grew by 12.1% year-on-year [1] Trade Performance - External trade continued to grow, with goods and services exports increasing by 5.7% year-on-year and imports rising by 5.6% [1] - Net exports achieved positive growth for the second consecutive quarter [1] Sector Performance - The energy sector experienced the highest value-added growth at 21.5% year-on-year [1] - Manufacturing sector value-added grew by 7.9% year-on-year [1] - The real estate sector saw a value-added increase of 4.4% year-on-year [1] - The accommodation and food services sector faced the largest decline in value-added, down by 8.8% year-on-year [1] - Transportation sector value-added decreased by 6.9% year-on-year [1] - Wholesale and retail trade sector value-added also fell by 6.9% year-on-year [1] - Health and social work sector value-added declined by 4.5% year-on-year [1]

白宫发言人表示，“大而美法案”中的特朗普帐户是联邦政府对下一代美国儿童的革命性投资。这也是特朗普总统对美国企业和慈善家的行动号召。 戴尔夫妇对美国儿童的60亿美元投资是众多即将宣布的计划中的第一项。特朗普帐户根据7月通过的“大而美法案”创立，这些帐户类似于儿童的个人退休帐户（IRA），旨在鼓励儿童和家庭储蓄与财富累积。只要拥有社会安全号码即可申请，且无收入限制。家长及其他人每年可为帐户贡献最多5000美元，直到孩子满18岁。雇主可为该5000 美元上限贡献最多 2500 美元。合格的提领用途包括教育支出、购置首套住房的首期款或创业资金，这些提领将以长期资本利得税率课税。 ...