Workflow
反内卷政策
icon
Search documents
公募基金指数跟踪周报(2026.01.19-2026.01.23):“春季躁动”行情分化,逐步切换至绩优方向-20260126
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2026-01-26 11:42
1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report's industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the equity market last week (2026.01.19 - 2026.01.23), under the environment of continuous regulatory policy suppression and abundant liquidity, the market structure was highly differentiated. Weight - stocks in consumption, medicine, and finance declined significantly due to large - scale ETF redemptions by policy funds, while the growth direction was active, and the commercial space sector regained strength after adjustment. As the earnings period begins, the market may rotate towards profit recovery and valuation repair. With the in - depth implementation of anti - involution policies, the investment growth rates of various industries have turned negative, implying future supply contraction, while demand stabilizes under the background of fiscal stimulus and economic recovery. This shift in the supply - demand contradiction consolidates the performance inflection points of leading companies in cyclical sectors such as non - ferrous metals and chemicals, and also drives the rise of sectors with price - increase logic like photovoltaics, lithium batteries, and coal [2][10][12]. - In the fixed - income market last week, short - term bond yields rose, and long - term yields fell. The 1 - year Treasury yield rose 3.95BP to 1.28%, the 10 - year Treasury yield fell 1.26BP to 1.83%, and the 30 - year Treasury yield fell 1.65BP to 2.29%, narrowing the term spread. Some funds entered the bond market for safety as the stock market cooled. The central bank governor's statement about potential reserve requirement ratio and interest rate cuts, along with positive news from the Ministry of Finance and good 7 - year Treasury bond issuance results, contributed to the narrowing of the term spread and the decline of long - term interest rates. There is support for the bond market sentiment, and there are opportunities to capture band trading in ultra - long - term interest - rate bonds [3][13]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Weekly Market Observation 3.1.1 Equity Market Review and Observation - Index performance: Last week, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.84%, the CSI 300 fell 0.62%, and the ChiNext Index fell 0.34%. The average daily trading volume of the entire A - share market was 27,972 billion yuan, a decrease from the previous week [10]. - ETF funds: Overall, ETF funds showed a net outflow trend last week. The CSI 300ETF had the most significant share reduction, with 49.603 billion shares less in the past week. The CSI 1000, SSE 50, SSE STAR 50, and CSI A500 also had share reductions of 23.3 billion, 11.5 billion, 9.6 billion, and 7.9 billion respectively. Since January 15, patient funds have continuously redeemed a basket of ETFs, and during this period, some individual stocks with high weight in the index and actively priced by funds performed better. The market trading volume has shrunk from around 4 trillion to around 2.5 trillion, indicating that policy goals have achieved some results. Future market - overheating adjustment methods may focus on cracking down on hot money, relaxing IPOs, and executive share - sales, and the impact of ETF redemptions on the market may weaken marginally [11]. - External factors: The latest US economic data remains resilient, and the November PCE inflation data is in line with market expectations, with no obvious signs of inflation rebound. This week, the Federal Reserve will hold an interest - rate meeting, and the market will focus on the meeting and the earnings reports of large technology companies, especially on performance guidance and the sustainability of profit realization under high valuations. Overseas geopolitical conflicts are also an important short - term uncertainty factor, and market risk - aversion sentiment will remain before the situation in Iran is resolved [11]. 3.1.2 Pan - Fixed - Income Market Review and Observation - Domestic bond market: Last week, short - term bond yields in the domestic bond market rose, and long - term yields fell, narrowing the term spread. The 1 - year Treasury yield rose 3.95BP to 1.28%, the 10 - year Treasury yield fell 1.26BP to 1.83%, and the 30 - year Treasury yield fell 1.65BP to 2.29%. Some funds entered the bond market for safety as the stock market cooled. Positive factors such as the central bank governor's statement on potential reserve requirement ratio and interest rate cuts, the Ministry of Finance's press conference, and good 7 - year Treasury bond issuance results contributed to the narrowing of the term spread and the decline of long - term interest rates. There is support for the bond market sentiment, and there are opportunities to capture band trading in ultra - long - term interest - rate bonds [3][13]. - US Treasury yields: Last week, US Treasury yields fluctuated. The 1 - year US Treasury yield fell 2BP to 3.53%, the 2 - year yield rose 1BP to 3.60%, and the 10 - year yield remained flat at 4.24%. Trump's remarks about Greenland led to European selling of US Treasuries and a rise in yields, but his subsequent attitude reversed the trend. US Treasuries will likely continue to fluctuate in the future, with increased unpredictability [14]. - REITs: Last week, the CSI REITs Total Return Index rose 2.17% to 1047.51 points, and all types of REITs closed higher, with data centers, consumption, and warehousing leading the gains. In the primary market, 5 public REITs withdrew or terminated, including 4 initial projects and 1 expansion project [14][15]. 3.1.3 Public Fund Market Dynamics On January 23, 2026, the China Securities Regulatory Commission issued the "Guidelines for the Performance Comparison Benchmark of Publicly Offered Securities Investment Funds," and the Asset Management Association of China issued the "Operation Rules for the Performance Comparison Benchmark of Publicly Offered Securities Investment Funds." The official versions are generally consistent with the draft versions, with some adjustments including clarifying restrictions on benchmark changes, exempting money - market funds from disclosing performance - benchmark comparisons, and modifying the requirements for long - term performance evaluation by fund evaluation institutions [16]. 3.2 Fund Index Performance Tracking 3.2.1 Equity Strategy Theme - Based Index - Active Stock Fund Selection Index: The index selects 15 funds each period, with equal - weight allocation. It selects active equity funds based on performance competitiveness and style stability within value, balanced, and growth styles, and allocates them according to the style distribution of the CSI Equity - Oriented Fund Index (930950.CSI). The performance benchmark is the CSI Equity - Oriented Fund Index (930950.CSI) [20][21]. 3.2.2 Investment Style - Based Index - Value Stock Fund Selection Index: It includes both deep - value and quality - value styles. It selects 10 funds of deep - value, quality - value, and balanced - value styles based on multi - period style classification. The performance benchmark is the CSI 800 Value Index (H30356.CSI) [24]. - Balanced Stock Fund Selection Index: It selects 10 funds of relatively balanced and value - growth styles based on multi - period style classification. The performance benchmark is the CSI 800 (000906.SH) [24]. - Growth Stock Fund Selection Index: It aims to capture the performance and valuation double - click opportunities of high - growth companies and select "dark - horse" stocks. It selects 10 funds of active - growth, quality - growth, and balanced - growth styles based on multi - period style classification. The performance benchmark is the 800 Growth (H30355.CSI) [27]. 3.2.3 Industry Theme - Based Index - Pharmaceutical Stock Fund Selection Index: It classifies funds according to the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and the constituent stocks of the CITIC Pharmaceutical Index (with an average purity of not less than 60% in the past 3 years or since inception). It constructs an evaluation system in the eligible sample, considering factors such as relative benchmark index win - rate, product drawdown, style stability, and overall performance competitiveness, and selects 15 funds to form the index. The performance benchmark is the pharmaceutical theme fund index (fitted by Huabao Securities' fund research and investment platform) [30][31]. - Consumption Stock Fund Selection Index: It classifies funds according to the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and the constituent stocks of relevant CITIC consumption - related indices (with an average purity of not less than 50% in the past 3 years or since inception). It constructs an evaluation system in the eligible sample and selects 10 funds to form the index. The performance benchmark is the consumption theme fund index (fitted by Huabao Securities' fund research and investment platform) [31][32]. - Technology Stock Fund Selection Index: It classifies funds according to the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and the constituent stocks of relevant CITIC technology - related indices (with an average purity of not less than 60% in the past 3 years or since inception). It constructs an evaluation system in the eligible sample and selects 10 funds to form the index. The performance benchmark is the technology theme fund index (fitted by Huabao Securities' fund research and investment platform) [35]. - High - End Manufacturing Stock Fund Selection Index: It classifies funds according to the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and the constituent stocks of relevant CITIC high - end manufacturing - related indices (with an average purity of not less than 50% in the past 3 years or since inception). It constructs an evaluation system in the eligible sample and selects 10 funds to form the index. The performance benchmark is the high - end manufacturing theme fund index (fitted by Huabao Securities' fund research and investment platform) [40][41]. - Cyclical Stock Fund Selection Index: It classifies funds according to the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and the constituent stocks of relevant CITIC cyclical - related indices (with an average purity of not less than 50% in the past 3 years or since inception). It constructs an evaluation system in the eligible sample and selects 5 funds to form the index. The performance benchmark is the cyclical theme fund index (fitted by Huabao Securities' fund research and investment platform) [43][44]. 3.2.4 Money - Market Enhancement Index - Money - Market Enhancement Strategy Index: It aims at liquidity management, pursuing a curve that exceeds money - market funds and is smooth and upward. It mainly allocates money - market funds with relatively good performance and passive index - bond funds (inter - bank certificate of deposit index funds). The performance benchmark is the CSI Money - Market Fund Index (H11025.CSI) [47]. 3.2.5 Pure - Bond Index - Short - Term Bond Fund Selection Index: It aims at liquidity management, pursuing a smooth and upward curve while controlling drawdown. It mainly allocates 5 funds with stable long - term returns, strict drawdown control, and significant absolute - return ability. The performance benchmark is 50% * Short - Term Pure - Bond Fund Index + 50% * Ordinary Money - Market Fund Index [50]. - Medium - and Long - Term Bond Fund Selection Index: It invests in medium - and long - term pure - bond funds, aiming for stable returns while controlling drawdown. It selects 5 funds with both return and drawdown control, and adjusts the duration and the ratio of credit - bond funds and interest - rate bond funds according to market conditions. The performance benchmark is not clearly stated in a simple formula in the text [52]. 3.2.6 Fixed - Income + Index - Low - Volatility Fixed - Income + Selection Index: The equity center is set at 10%. It selects 10 fixed - income + funds with an equity center (considering convertible bond and stock positions) of less than 15% in the past three years and recently. It focuses on the risk - return ratio and holding experience. The performance benchmark is 10% CSI 800 Index + 90% ChinaBond New Composite Full - Price Index (CBA00303.CS) [55]. - Medium - Volatility Fixed - Income + Selection Index: The equity center is set at 20%. It selects 5 fixed - income + funds with an equity center between 15% and 25% in the past three years and recently, emphasizing the risk - return ratio and performance elasticity. The performance benchmark is 20% CSI 800 Index + 80% ChinaBond New Composite Full - Price Index (CBA00303.CS) [58]. - High - Volatility Fixed - Income + Selection Index: The equity center is set at 30%. It selects 5 fixed - income + funds with an equity center between 25% and 35% in the past three years and recently, emphasizing the risk - return ratio and performance elasticity. It selects funds with stable bond - end returns, no credit - downgrading, and strong stock - selection ability on the equity end. The performance benchmark is 30% CSI 800 Index + 70% ChinaBond New Composite Full - Price Index (CBA00303.CS) [61]. 3.2.7 Other Pan - Fixed - Income Index - Convertible Bond Fund Selection Index: It selects bond funds with an average convertible - bond investment proportion of not less than 60% in the latest period and not less than 80% in the past four quarters as the sample space. It constructs an evaluation system from the fund product, fund manager, and fund company dimensions, considering factors such as long - and short - term returns, drawdown, risk - adjusted returns, and the manager's timing and bond - selection abilities, and selects 5 funds to form the index [64]. - QDII Bond Fund Selection Index: It selects 6 QDII bond funds with stable returns and good risk control based on credit and duration conditions. The underlying assets of QDII bond funds are overseas bonds, covering regions such as the world, Asia, and emerging markets, and investment targets include Chinese - funded US dollar bonds and US dollar bonds [67]. - REITs Fund Selection Index: It selects 10 REITs funds with stable operation, reasonable valuation, and certain elasticity based on the underlying asset type. The underlying assets of REITs are mainly mature, high - quality, and stable - operating infrastructure projects, with relatively clear cash - flow expectations and limited unit - net - value volatility [68].
【公募基金】“春季躁动”行情分化,逐步切换至绩优方向——公募基金指数跟踪周报(2026.01.19-2026.01.23)
华宝财富魔方· 2026-01-26 10:17
Key Points - The article discusses the recent performance of the equity market, highlighting a significant divergence in market trends due to regulatory policies and liquidity conditions. Major sectors like consumption, pharmaceuticals, and finance saw declines, while growth sectors, particularly commercial aerospace, gained attention after adjustments [3][7][9] - The earnings season is beginning, and the market may shift towards profit recovery and valuation repair. The ongoing anti-involution policies are leading to negative investment growth across various industries, indicating future supply contraction, while demand stabilizes under fiscal stimulus and economic recovery, benefiting leading companies in sectors like non-ferrous metals and chemicals [3][9] - The bond market experienced a rise in short-term yields and a decline in long-term yields, with the 1-year government bond yield increasing by 3.95 basis points to 1.28%, while the 10-year and 30-year yields decreased by 1.26 and 1.65 basis points, respectively. This shift is attributed to a "cooling" stock market prompting funds to seek refuge in bonds [4][10] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission released guidelines for public fund performance benchmarks, maintaining consistency with previous drafts and introducing specific adjustments regarding benchmark changes and reporting requirements [12] Equity Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.84%, while the CSI 300 and ChiNext indices fell by 0.62% and 0.34%, respectively. The average daily trading volume in the A-share market decreased to 27.972 trillion yuan, indicating a reduction in market activity [7] - ETF funds experienced a net outflow, with the CSI 300 ETF seeing a reduction of 49.603 billion units. Other ETFs also faced significant outflows, reflecting a shift in investor sentiment and the effectiveness of regulatory measures aimed at attracting long-term capital [7][8] Bond Market Review - The bond market saw a narrowing of yield spreads, with the short-term funding environment remaining favorable. The People's Bank of China indicated potential for further monetary easing, which could support market sentiment [4][10] Public Fund Market Dynamics - The recent release of performance benchmark guidelines for public funds aims to standardize evaluation criteria and ensure consistency in fund management practices, reflecting a regulatory push towards greater transparency and accountability in the fund industry [12]
价格触底,长夜未尽:光伏产业在过剩与希望之间跋涉
市值风云· 2026-01-26 10:15
市场资金显然比产业更乐观。 作者 | beyond 编辑 | 小白 2025年,光伏产业在装机需求持续增长与供应链产能严重过剩的"冰与火"交织中前行。产业链价格的 全线崩塌与激烈的行业洗牌,将光伏板块估值压制至历史低位。 多晶硅价格已从行业高峰期的超过30万元/吨跌至目前的约5万元/吨。进入2026年初,部分环节价格 出现企稳甚至反弹迹象,叠加政策环境的边际改善,市场开始广泛探讨行业是否已触及周期性底部。 (来源:北极星太阳能光伏网) 行业正站在"反内卷"与市场化出清的十字路口。整个产业都在等待行业触底的信号,今天我们就此做 一下简要探讨。 供给端:产能严重过剩,行业陷入深度亏损 光伏行业当前面临的核心矛盾是产能严重过剩。根据行业数据,2025年全球硅料、硅片、电池片、组 件产能分别达到1337GW、1088GW、1157GW、1343GW,而全球装机需求仅约560-650GW, 产能冗 余度超2倍。 中国作为全球光伏制造中心,多晶硅、硅片、电池片、组件产量全球占比均超85%,但各环节产能利 用率普遍不足。 产能过剩直接导致全行业亏损。Solarzoom数据显示,截至2025年8月14日,硅料毛利润为-0.0 ...
建筑材料行业周报:防水发布涨价函,关注内需弹性品种
China Post Securities· 2026-01-26 05:24
证券研究报告:建筑材料|行业周报 发布时间:2026-01-26 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | | 6032.51 | | 52 | 周最高 | 6032.51 | | 52 | 周最低 | 4167.51 | 行业相对指数表现 研究所 分析师:赵洋 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050002 Email:zhaoyang@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《年末需求进入淡季,关注供给改善品 种》 - 2026.01.19 建材行业报告 (2026.01.19-2026.01.25) 防水发布涨价函,关注内需弹性品种 投资要点 本周受防水涨价及风格切换因素影响,建材板块表现较好,尤其 内需涨价逻辑相关标的涨幅居前。展望 26 年,我们认为消费建材弹 性明显,防水、涂料、石膏板等行业均有持续涨价预期,目前行业需 求处于淡季,我们判断在竞争格局改善及反内卷大环境下,行业将持 续延续涨价逻辑,建议关注:东方雨虹、科顺股份、三棵树、兔宝宝、 北新建材。 水泥:年末全国市场逐步进入淡季,整体来看,全国需求仍呈现 下滑态势,房建 ...
防水发布涨价函,关注内需弹性品种
China Post Securities· 2026-01-26 03:09
证券研究报告:建筑材料|行业周报 发布时间:2026-01-26 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | | 6032.51 | | 52 | 周最高 | 6032.51 | | 52 | 周最低 | 4167.51 | 行业相对指数表现 防水发布涨价函,关注内需弹性品种 投资要点 本周受防水涨价及风格切换因素影响,建材板块表现较好,尤其 内需涨价逻辑相关标的涨幅居前。展望 26 年,我们认为消费建材弹 性明显,防水、涂料、石膏板等行业均有持续涨价预期,目前行业需 求处于淡季,我们判断在竞争格局改善及反内卷大环境下,行业将持 续延续涨价逻辑,建议关注:东方雨虹、科顺股份、三棵树、兔宝宝、 北新建材。 水泥:年末全国市场逐步进入淡季,整体来看,全国需求仍呈现 下滑态势,房建市场持续疲弱,基建需求在政策驱动下呈现区域分化 明显,民用市场相对需求刚性。从中期维度来看,水泥行业产能有望 在限制超产政策下产能持续下降,产能利用率从而大幅提升带来利润 弹性。关注:海螺水泥、华新建材。 玻璃:行业需求端在地产影响下 25 年呈现需求持续下行态势。 ...
国盛证券:新能源周报:2023年8月-20260125
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2026-01-25 08:18
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the steel sector, indicating a positive outlook for selected companies within the industry [4][11]. Core Insights - The steel industry is experiencing a slight increase in daily molten iron production, with an average of 228.2 thousand tons, reflecting a 0.2 thousand ton increase [14]. - Total steel inventory has shifted from a decrease to an increase, with a week-on-week rise of 0.8%, indicating a change in market dynamics [26]. - Apparent steel consumption has weakened on a week-on-week basis, with a notable decline in rebar demand, which decreased by 15.3% [40]. - The report highlights a decrease in steel prices and immediate profit margins, suggesting a challenging pricing environment for steel products [71]. Summary by Sections Supply - Daily molten iron production has slightly increased, with long-process production rising [14]. - The capacity utilization rate of 247 steel mills is at 85.5%, showing a 0.1 percentage point increase [20]. Inventory - Total steel inventory has increased, with social inventory at 8.685 million tons, up 0.2% week-on-week [28]. - Steel mill inventory has also risen significantly, indicating a potential oversupply situation [26]. Demand - Apparent consumption of five major steel products has decreased by 2.0% week-on-week, with rebar consumption down by 2.5% [50]. - The average weekly transaction volume for construction steel has dropped to 78 thousand tons [42]. Raw Materials - Iron ore prices have weakened, with a decrease in shipments from Australia and Brazil, leading to a rise in port inventories [49]. - The report notes that the current "anti-involution" policy may influence future production rhythms and pricing [49]. Prices and Profits - The comprehensive steel price index has decreased by 0.7% week-on-week, with specific prices for rebar and hot-rolled sheets also declining [71]. - Immediate profit margins for long-process steel products have decreased, indicating pressure on profitability [71]. Key Companies - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Hualing Steel, Nanjing Steel, and Baosteel, highlighting their potential benefits from the current market conditions [7].
国投期货黑色金属日报-20260123
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2026-01-23 11:27
Report Industry Investment Ratings - Thread steel: ☆☆☆ [1] - Hot-rolled steel: ☆☆☆ [1] - Iron ore: ☆☆☆ [1] - Coke: ★☆☆ [1] - Coking coal: ★☆☆ [1] - Silicon manganese: ☆☆☆ [1] - Silicon iron: ☆☆☆ [1] Core Viewpoints - The overall sentiment of commodities has warmed up, and the steel, iron ore, coke, coking coal, silicon manganese, and silicon iron markets have all shown varying degrees of rebound, but the market sentiment remains cautious, and the sustainability of the rebound remains to be seen [1][2][3][5][6][7] - The fundamentals of the iron ore market are relatively loose, and it is expected to fluctuate in the short term [2] - The carbon element supply is abundant, and the downstream molten iron remains at a low level. The coke and coking coal markets are expected to fluctuate within a range [3][5] - For silicon manganese and silicon iron, it is recommended to short on rebounds [6][7] Summary by Category Steel - The steel market continues to rebound. This week, the apparent demand for thread steel has slightly declined, production has increased, and inventory has accumulated again. The demand and production of hot-rolled steel have both slightly declined, and inventory has continued to decrease. The profits of steel mills are poor, the downstream carrying capacity is insufficient, the resumption of blast furnace production has slowed down, and molten iron production has stabilized [1] - From the December data, the decline in real estate investment has continued to widen, the growth rates of infrastructure and manufacturing investment have continued to decline, domestic demand remains weak overall, and steel exports remain high [1] Iron Ore - The global shipping volume of iron ore has seasonally declined but remains at a high level year-on-year. The inventory at domestic ports has increased significantly this week and continues to accumulate. The structural contradiction remains to be resolved [2] - On the demand side, the terminal demand in the off-season fluctuates at a low level, the resumption of production of steel mills has been disturbed, and molten iron production has remained basically flat this week, with little significant increase expected in the short term [2] - Steel mills' imported ore inventory is at a relatively low level, and there is still an expectation of winter storage replenishment demand [2] Coke - The price of coke has continued to rebound during the day. The first round of price increase for coke has been shelved, the coking profit is average, and daily production has slightly decreased. Coke inventory has increased slightly, and the purchasing意愿 of traders is average [3] - Overall, the carbon element supply is abundant, the downstream molten iron remains at a low level in the off-season. It remains to be seen whether winter storage will continue. The profit level of steel is average, and there is still a strong sentiment to suppress raw material prices [3] Coking Coal - The price of coking coal has slightly rebounded during the day. Yesterday, the customs clearance volume of Mongolian coal was 1,046 vehicles. The production of coking coal mines has slightly increased, and the spot auction transactions have maintained a relatively high level. Driven by the increase in the futures price, the transaction prices have varied. Terminal inventory has increased significantly [5] - The total inventory of coking coal has slightly increased, and the production-side inventory has slightly increased. The winter storage demand continues to be strong [5] - Overall, the carbon element supply is abundant, the downstream molten iron remains at a low level in the off-season. It remains to be seen whether winter storage will continue. The profit level of steel is average, and there is still a strong sentiment to suppress raw material prices [5] Silicon Manganese - The price of silicon manganese has slightly rebounded during the day. Driven by the rebound in the futures market, the spot price of manganese ore has increased [6] - There is a structural problem with the current manganese ore port inventory, and the balance is relatively fragile. The silicon manganese smelting end pursues the most cost-effective option and changes the formula of the manganese ore charged into the furnace. If the reduction of oxidized ore is large, the demand for cheaper semi-carbonate ore is likely to increase [6] - On the demand side, molten iron production has seasonally decreased. The weekly production of silicon manganese has slightly decreased, and the inventory of silicon manganese has slightly decreased [6] Silicon Iron - The price of silicon iron has slightly rebounded during the day. Affected by relevant policy documents, the price is relatively strong [7] - The market's expectation of coal mine supply guarantee has increased, and there is a certain expectation of a decline in electricity costs and blue carbon prices [7] - On the demand side, molten iron production has rebounded to a high level. Export demand has decreased to above 20,000 tons, with little marginal impact. The production of magnesium metal has increased month-on-month, and the secondary demand has increased marginally. Overall, demand still has resilience [7] - The supply of silicon iron has decreased significantly, and inventory has slightly decreased [7]
富国基金朱少醒旗下基金四季报出炉!宁德时代(300750.SZ)获进一步加仓
智通财经网· 2026-01-23 06:26
从调仓动向来看,朱少醒在操作上呈现明显调整。与上季度相比,对紫金矿业进行"反转操作",在2025年上半年清仓 后,又于下半年重新买回,并将其列为第七大重仓股;徐工机械首次进入其前十大持仓;新能源汽车行业板块则遭到减 持,立讯精密等退出十大重仓,中创智领等被减持;此外,宁德时代也在2025年四季度期间获得进一步加仓。 朱少醒在最新季报中分析道,四季度货币政策保持宽松,财政政策持续发力。中美关系经历前期激烈的博弈后进入缓和 阶段,投资者的风险偏好也得以提升。高景气的通讯、电子、有色等行业表现良好。反内卷的系列政策正在逐步反应在 企业的经营环境上,未来将持续影响上市公司的基本面。市场的机会一定程度上有所扩散。 当前的 A 股市场整体估值已经上行不少,但依然处于长周期中的合理区间。当下权益资产在所有资产大类中相对吸引力 显著。当然指数中枢上行后,自下而上个股阿尔法的选择比之前更为重要。放在更长的时间维度,相信实体经济终将有 力复苏。优质的权益资产也将会进一步受益。投资者当前应当选择在权益上的维持头寸。 朱少醒表示,未来依然会致力于在优质股票里寻找价值。个股选择层面,该基金偏好投资于具有良好"企业基因",公司 治理结构 ...
富国基金朱少醒旗下基金四季报出炉!宁德时代获进一步加仓
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-23 06:23
智通财经APP获悉,日前,富国基金副总经理、基金经理朱少醒旗下基金发布2025年四季报。截至2025年四季度末,朱 少醒管理的富国天惠精选成长,基金资产净值为224.84亿元。 从调仓动向来看,朱少醒在操作上呈现明显调整。与上季度相比,对紫金矿业进行"反转操作",在2025年上半年清仓 后,又于下半年重新买回,并将其列为第七大重仓股;徐工机械首次进入其前十大持仓;新能源汽车行业板块则遭到减 持,立讯精密等退出十大重仓,中创智领等被减持;此外,宁德时代也在2025年四季度期间获得进一步加仓。 朱少醒在最新季报中分析道,四季度货币政策保持宽松,财政政策持续发力。中美关系经历前期激烈的博弈后进入缓和 阶段,投资者的风险偏好也得以提升。高景气的通讯、电子、有色等行业表现良好。反内卷的系列政策正在逐步反应在 企业的经营环境上,未来将持续影响上市公司的基本面。市场的机会一定程度上有所扩散。 当前的 A 股市场整体估值已经上行不少,但依然处于长周期中的合理区间。当下权益资产在所有资产大类中相对吸引力 显著。当然指数中枢上行后,自下而上个股阿尔法的选择比之前更为重要。放在更长的时间维度,相信实体经济终将有 力复苏。优质的权益 ...
【财经分析】板块轮番大涨,合成橡胶强势涨停 化工品的牛市要来了吗?
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2026-01-23 01:51
近期大宗商品"牛市归来"的共识愈发强烈,继贵金属和工业金属之后,投资者开始寻找下一个目标, 2026年开年,沉寂已久的化工板块强势逆袭,成为资本市场活跃板块之一。 过去四年,中国化工产业经历供需失衡导致的结构性下行周期,在供应严重过剩的同时,下游房地产等 领域需求下滑,部分传统商品价格持续下跌、产能利用率低位徘徊,部分品种持续在成本线以下运行。 不过去年7月份开始的"反内卷"政策成为化工行业反转的"加速器"。工业和信息化部明确提出2026年化 工行业重点推进"控增量、减存量、管过程"三大举措:新建项目审批提级管理,国家发展改革委严 控"十五五"期间盲目扩产;通过重审审批手续、强制低端产能升级等方式加速落后产能出清;推行碳排 放双控制度,拉大行业成本差距。目前老旧产能摸排工作已全面完成,政策落地进入倒计时。此外, 2025年"反内卷"已从政策呼吁变成行业协会主导、头部企业联动的常态化操作,手段集中在"限产保价 +价格同盟+公约惩戒",长丝、PTA、尿素、己内酰胺等产品均在进行行业协同。申万宏源证券化工行 业首席分析师宋涛此前分析指出,化工行业已处于供需双底部,资本开支高峰落幕叠加"反内卷"政策加 码,以及美国降 ...