Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the strategic planning and top-level design for China's development during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, highlighting the achievements and challenges faced during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1] - The article outlines that China's economy is expected to reach approximately 140 trillion yuan by 2025, with a continuous increase in economic quality and productivity, indicating China's role as a major driver of global economic growth [2] - It mentions significant advancements in technology and innovation, with record-high investments in R&D and breakthroughs in key technologies such as integrated circuits and artificial intelligence, which are crucial for industrial upgrades [2] Group 2 - The article discusses the deepening of reforms and expansion of high-level opening-up, focusing on institutional development and the Belt and Road Initiative, which provide new opportunities for economic and social development [2] - It highlights the progress in cultural development and the enhancement of public cultural services, which contribute to the improvement of social civilization and national cultural influence [3] - The article notes the solidification of poverty alleviation achievements and the implementation of various policies aimed at improving employment, income distribution, and social welfare, marking a significant step towards common prosperity [3][4] Group 3 - The article emphasizes the acceleration of green and low-carbon transformation, with the establishment of the world's largest carbon trading market and improvements in ecological quality [4] - It outlines advancements in national defense and military construction, reinforcing the absolute leadership of the Party over the military and enhancing modern capabilities [5] - The article discusses the expansion of China's diplomatic efforts, promoting a community with a shared future for mankind and enhancing China's international influence [6] Group 4 - The article concludes by stating that the achievements during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period are attributed to the leadership of the Party and the guiding principles of Xi Jinping's thought, setting the stage for further advancements in the "15th Five-Year Plan" period [7]

2025 年 11 月 17 日 建筑 10 月基建投资环比回落，关注高景气 西部区域投资和洁净室板块 本周投资建议： 1-10 月，全国固定资产投资（不含农户）40.89 万亿元，同比下降 1.7%。其中，10 月份固定资产投资（不含农户）下降 1.62%。1-10 月， 扣除房地产开发投资，全国固定资产投资增长 1.7%。1-10 月，狭义 基建、广义基建投资完成额累计同比分别为-0.10%、1.51%，环比 1- 9 月分别-1.2pct、-1.83pct，自 4 月起基建投资增速环比持续回落。 在基建三大分项中，电热气水投资维持两位数快速增长，1-10 月，电 热气水投资同比增长 12.50%（环比-2.80pct）；其次为交通运输、仓 储和邮政业投资同比增长 0.10%（环比-1.50pct）；水利、环境和公 共设施管理业投资，同比减少 4.10%（环比-2.20pct）。在基建各主 要细分行业中，1-10 月，铁路运输业和水利管理业投资维持同比稳 健增长，分别为 3.00%（环比-1.2pct）和 0.70%（环比-2.3pct）。 11 月 14 日，国务院总理主持召开国务院常务会议，研究深入实 ...

宏观信息 行业信息 综合点评及操作建议 五、宏观信息 应新西兰议会议长布朗利、澳大利亚联邦议会参议长莱恩斯和众议长迪克邀请，全国人大常委会委员长赵乐际将于11月19日至25日对新西兰、澳大利亚进行正 式友好访问。 中央财办分管日常工作的副主任、中央农办主任韩文秀在2025年第22期《求是》杂志中发表署名文章《深刻领会因地制宜发展新质生产力的重要论述和决策部 署》。其中提到，要培育壮大新兴产业和未来产业。加快新能源、新材料、航空航天、低空经济等战略性新兴产业集群发展，推动量子科技、生物制造、氢能 和核聚变能、脑机接口、具身智能、第六代移动通信等成为新的经济增长点。 香港特区政府财政司司长陈茂波表示，香港经济将连续第三年取得正增长，且明年经济可望继续增长。 金融监管总局发布的2025年三季度保险公司资金运用情况表显示，三季度末，保险资金运用余额达到37.46万亿元，其中股票的账面余额为3.62万亿元。这一 数字较去年末增加了1.19万亿元，增幅近五成；其中第三季度增加5524亿元。银行股依然是险资的"心头好"，不仅三季度末持仓市值占比超一半，且第三季 度险资增持股数也在所有重仓股中排名首位。在银行股外，钢铁、通信 ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings Macro Finance - **Stock Index**: Mid-to-long term bullish, buy on dips [1][5] - **Treasury Bonds**: Range-bound [1][5] Black Building Materials - **Coking Coal**: Range trading [1] - **Rebar**: Range trading [1][7] - **Glass**: Sell call options [1][8] Non-Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: Short-term range trading [1][11] - **Aluminum**: Suggest buying on dips [1][12] - **Nickel**: Suggest waiting and seeing or shorting on rallies [1][17] - **Tin**: Range trading [1][17] - **Gold**: Range trading [1][19] - **Silver**: Range trading [1][18] Energy Chemicals - **PVC**: Range-bound with a weak bias, 01 contract pay attention to the 4700 resistance level [21][23] - **Caustic Soda**: Range-bound with a weak bias, 01 contract pay attention to the 2400 resistance level [24][25] - **Soda Ash**: Bearish strategy for the 01 contract [1][35] - **Styrene**: Range-bound with a weak bias, pay attention to the 6500 resistance level [26][27] - **Rubber**: Range-bound, pay attention to the 15000 support level [27][28] - **Urea**: Range-bound [30][31] - **Methanol**: Range-bound [31][32] - **Polyolefins**: Weak range-bound, L2601 pay attention to the 6800 support level, PP2601 pay attention to the 6500 support level [33][34] Cotton Textile Industry Chain - **Cotton and Cotton Yarn**: Range-bound [36] - **PTA**: Low-level range-bound, pay attention to the 4400 - 4700 range [36] - **Apple**: Range-bound with a strong bias [38] - **Red Dates**: Range-bound with a weak bias [38] Agricultural Livestock - **Hogs**: Rebound under pressure [1][40] - **Eggs**: Limited upside [1][43] - **Corn**: Range-bound at the bottom [46][47] - **Soybean Meal**: Range-bound [48] - **Oils and Fats**: Limited rebound [1][48] Core Views The report provides investment strategies and market analyses for various futures products across different industries. Market conditions are influenced by a variety of factors including macroeconomic policies, supply and demand fundamentals, and geopolitical events. Each product's investment strategy is based on its specific market situation and outlook [1][5][7]. Summary by Directory Macro Finance - **Stock Index**: Mid-to-long term bullish, but may range-bound in the short term due to rapid market hot - spot rotation and unclear main lines [5] - **Treasury Bonds**: Range-bound. The third - quarter monetary policy report maintains a moderately loose tone, and the possibility of using aggregate monetary policy tools this year is relatively limited. The market is in a range - bound and wait - and - see state [5][6] Black Building Materials - **Coking Coal and Rebar**: Range trading. Coking coal market has weak demand and price cuts, while rebar is undervalued but has limited upside due to weakening demand and potential production cuts [7][8] - **Glass**: Sell call options. End - of - year demand may weaken further, with high inventory and delivery pressure. Technical indicators show a bearish trend [8] Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: High - level range - bound. The US government's situation and economic data add uncertainty, while the long - term demand outlook is positive but short - term consumption is suppressed [11] - **Aluminum**: Suggest waiting and seeing. Supply and demand fundamentals are complex, and there is a risk of over - trading the market's expectations [12][13] - **Nickel**: Suggest waiting and seeing or shorting on rallies. The new RKAB policy brings supply uncertainty, and the medium - to - long - term supply is in surplus [16][17] - **Tin**: Range trading. Supply is expected to improve, and downstream consumption is weak, but prices are supported [17] - **Gold and Silver**: Range trading. Uncertainty about the Fed's December interest - rate decision and concerns about the US economy support prices in the medium term but are in a short - term adjustment [18][19] Energy Chemicals - **PVC**: Range - bound with a weak bias. High supply, weak domestic demand, and uncertain export growth [23] - **Caustic Soda**: Range - bound with a weak bias. High inventory in the alumina industry and potential negative feedback in the industrial chain [25] - **Soda Ash**: Bearish for the 01 contract. Supply is in surplus, and although cost increases, supply pressure remains high [35] - **Styrene**: Range - bound with a weak bias. Weak chemical fundamentals and uncertain cost factors [27] - **Rubber**: Range - bound. High raw material prices, seasonal inventory accumulation, and weak terminal demand [28] - **Urea**: Range - bound. Supply increases, demand is driven by agriculture and industry, and inventory changes need attention [30][31] - **Methanol**: Range - bound. Supply increases, demand weakens, and inventory accumulates [31][32] - **Polyolefins**: Weak range - bound. Supply pressure increases, demand has no obvious increase, and cost pressure exists [33][34] Cotton Textile Industry Chain - **Cotton and Cotton Yarn**: Range - bound. Global cotton supply and demand are both increasing, and the end - of - season inventory is decreasing [36] - **PTA**: Low - level range - bound. Oil prices are weak, supply and demand are in a state of inventory accumulation, and downstream procurement is weak [36] - **Apple**: Range - bound with a strong bias. Production and quality decline, which may support prices [38] - **Red Dates**: Range - bound with a weak bias. Acquisition prices are slightly adjusted, and market sentiment is cautious [38] Agricultural Livestock - **Hogs**: Rebound under pressure. Short - term price fluctuations are limited, and medium - to - long - term supply remains high before the first half of next year [40][42] - **Eggs**: Limited upside. Supply is sufficient in the short term, and long - term supply pressure reduction requires time [43][45] - **Corn**: Range - bound at the bottom. Short - term supply is abundant, and long - term cost support exists, but demand growth is limited [46][47] - **Soybean Meal**: Range - bound. US soybean supply and demand are expected to tighten, but Brazilian production may limit the upside [48] - **Oils and Fats**: Limited rebound. Short - term reports have a neutral impact, and long - term potential factors need attention [54]

| | | | 铁矿：鲍威尔鹰派发言引发降息预期摇摆，宏观利好落地，黑色价格回归 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 基本面。供应方面，中国 47 港到港总量回落 544.8 万吨至 2769.3 万吨降 | | | | | 幅达 16.44%，主要是受上期高基数影响，仍处于近期偏高水平。铁水小 | | | 铁矿石 | 震荡 | 幅回升，核心仍在钢材需求地产，新开工已回落至 2005 年水平，内需疲 | | | | | 弱难改。港口铁矿石库存继续增加，全国 45 个港口进口矿库存刷新 8 个 | | | | | 月高位。铁矿石供需过剩格局难以扭转，钢厂利润再度挤压，目前钢厂的 | | | | | 利润以及累库水平还不足以自发性减产，短期负反馈概率不大，铁矿价格 | | | | | 震荡为主。 | | | | | 煤焦：供暖季保供会议召开，市场担忧后续供给端有复产，煤焦上涨驱动 | | | 煤焦 | 震荡 | 转弱。目前坑口焦煤价格高位运行，焦化厂成本压力大，多数焦化厂在亏 | | | | | 损边缘，开工意向不高，焦炭第四轮提涨仍在博弈中。河北唐山地区限产 | | | | ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report's industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current economic situation shows a weak recovery, with 10 - month economic data indicating mixed trends in various sectors. The bond market is expected to maintain a volatile recovery, and the stock market has different trends in insurance capital investment and institutional research preferences. For 2026, the economy is expected to have positive growth, and different investment strategies are recommended [32][33]. - The commodity market is affected by factors such as policy, supply - demand relationship, and geopolitical situation, resulting in price fluctuations and changes in market structure [4][5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro Data - GDP in Q3 2025 grew by 4.8% year - on - year, down from 5.2% in the previous quarter. The manufacturing PMI in October was 49%, lower than the previous and the same period last year. The non - manufacturing PMI was 50.1%, slightly up from the previous month. The social financing scale in October was 816.1 billion yuan, a significant decrease from the previous month [1]. - In October, CPI increased by 0.2% year - on - year, up from - 0.3% in the previous month, and PPI decreased by 2.1% year - on - year, a narrower decline than before. Fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) decreased by 1.7% year - to - date, and the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 4.28% year - to - date [1]. 3.2 Commodity Investment 3.2.1 Comprehensive - In October, China's industrial added value of large - scale industries increased by 4.9% year - on - year, and the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 462.91 billion yuan, a 2.9% year - on - year increase. Platinum and palladium futures will be listed on November 27, 2025 [2]. - On November 14, 42 domestic commodity varieties had positive basis, and 27 had negative basis. Trump adjusted the scope of "reciprocal tariffs", excluding some agricultural products [3]. 3.2.2 Metals - London's basic metals all declined due to the Fed's policy uncertainty and weak economic data. The demand for lithium carbonate in 2025 is expected to reach 155 tons, with an oversupply of about 20 tons. In 2026, the demand is expected to increase by 30%, and the price may rise [4][5]. - The expansion project of Northern Zhongxin Antai Rare Earth Metals was put into production, increasing the production capacity and product variety. On November 13, zinc inventory reached a new high in over a month, while lead inventory decreased [5][6]. 3.2.3 Coal, Coke, Steel, and Minerals - As of early November, the prices of coking coal and coke increased. The production of crude steel, pig iron, and steel in October decreased both month - on - month and year - on - year. The shipping volume of iron ore to China increased, but port inventory reached an eight - month high [7][8][9]. - The Indonesian government set the benchmark prices for different grades of coal in the second half of November. The steel industry should seize development opportunities, improve product quality, and enhance the self - sufficiency rate of iron ore [8][9]. 3.2.4 Energy and Chemicals - The first gas storage group in Northwest China started winter gas supply, with a maximum daily supply of over 5 million cubic meters. The Russian port of Novorossiysk stopped oil exports due to a drone attack and then resumed operations on November 16 [10][11]. 3.2.5 Agricultural Products - Over 80% of winter wheat has been sown in China. The US soybean crushing volume in October reached a record high. India is considering resuming wheat product exports, and the US and Switzerland adjusted agricultural product tariffs [12]. - The export volume of Malaysian palm oil from November 1 - 15 decreased by 15.5% [13]. 3.3 Financial News 3.3.1 Open Market - On November 17, the central bank conducted 80 billion yuan of 6 - month outright reverse repurchase operations. This week, 112.2 billion yuan of reverse repurchases and 12 billion yuan of treasury cash deposits will mature. On November 14, the central bank conducted 21.28 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net investment of 7.11 billion yuan [15][16]. 3.3.2 Key News - An important article by Xi Jinping emphasizes the development of new - quality productivity. Han Wenxiu mentions cultivating emerging and future industries. China's economic data in October shows a stable operation, and the government promotes consumption and implements fiscal and monetary policies [17][18][19]. - The real estate market shows price declines, and the government promotes "two - major" construction. The financial market needs improvement, and the central bank and financial regulatory authorities take measures. The bond market has rating changes and redemption events [19][20][24]. 3.3.3 Bond Market Summary - The Chinese bond market fluctuated narrowly, with mixed changes in bond yields and futures. The money market funds were balanced, and the overnight repurchase rate increased. The exchange - traded bond market had different trends for different bonds, and the convertible bond index declined [26][27]. - The yields of European and US bonds increased, and the money market interest rates showed different trends. The central bank's bond issuance had specific winning bid yields and multiples [29][30]. 3.3.4 Foreign Exchange Market - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar closed at 7.1007, down 48 basis points. The US dollar index rose, and most non - US currencies fell [31]. 3.3.5 Research Report Highlights - Guosheng Fixed Income believes that the bond market will maintain a volatile recovery, and the 10 - year treasury bond rate may decline. Xingzheng Fixed Income believes that the bond market's allocation power is neutral [32][33]. - CITIC Construction Investment predicts that the GDP in 2026 will grow by about 5%, and recommends investment in three main lines. CITIC Securities believes that the wealth management industry is in a transformation period [33]. - Yangtze River Fixed Income believes that the probability of a comprehensive reserve requirement ratio cut is low, and the interest rate cut window may open. CICC Fixed Income believes that the bond market may have a configuration opportunity [34]. 3.4 Stock Market - At the end of Q3 2025, the insurance funds' stock investment balance increased significantly, with bank stocks being the main investment target. In November, nearly 770 companies were surveyed by institutions, with a focus on the electronics and machinery sectors [37]. - South - bound funds have been flowing in for 26 consecutive weeks, and Xiaomi Group - W received the highest net purchase in the past week [37][38].

Group 1 - The robotics industry is rapidly evolving, with humanoid robots like "Kua Fu" participating in significant events, showcasing advancements in technology and skills [1] - China is expected to account for two-thirds of global robot patent applications in 2024, maintaining its position as the largest industrial robot market for 12 consecutive years [1] - The integration of technological and industrial innovation is crucial for driving the development of emerging industries and transforming traditional sectors, contributing to the construction of a modern industrial system in China [1] Group 2 - The modern industrial system is the material and technical foundation of Chinese-style modernization, aimed at deepening the integration of technological and industrial innovation [2] - The focus on building a modern industrial system is highlighted as a strategic task, emphasizing the importance of addressing weaknesses and promoting the integration of innovation and industry chains [2] - Ensuring technological independence and reliability is essential for the industrial system, with advancements in key areas like high-speed rail and 5G technology reinforcing China's competitive edge [2] Group 3 - The transformation of innovation into practical applications is critical, with "pilot testing" seen as a key step from laboratory success to industrial implementation [3] - Companies play a vital role in enhancing the efficiency of integrating innovation and industry chains, with examples of successful innovations in various sectors [3] - The forecast for the 14th Five-Year Plan period indicates that strategic emerging industries like new energy and new materials will create several trillion-yuan markets, emphasizing the need for continuous integration of technology and industry [3]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report - For the stock index, after a previous continuous rise, recent hot sectors have rotated rapidly, with technology growth remaining the market's main line. Policy support for the capital market remains unchanged, and the medium - to - long - term strategy is mainly to go long on dips [4]. - Regarding treasury bonds, the economic data in October showed weakness in both supply and demand, and the overall situation declined compared to the third quarter. The social financing growth rate may remain weak at the end of the year. The bond market is expected to oscillate and recover [6][7]. - For precious metals, the upward drivers of gold and silver prices remain unchanged. The Fed is about to enter the balance - sheet easing cycle. It is recommended to go long on silver after the price pullback stabilizes [8][9]. - In the non - ferrous metals sector, different metals have different trends. For example, copper prices are expected to continue to oscillate strongly; aluminum prices may strengthen further after consolidation; zinc and lead prices are expected to be weak in the short term; nickel prices may have limited downside space; tin prices are expected to oscillate strongly; and the price trends of other non - ferrous metals also vary according to their fundamentals [11][13][15][16][18][20][21]. - In the black building materials sector, steel demand has entered the off - season, and prices are expected to continue to oscillate weakly in the short term but may recover in the future. Iron ore prices will operate within an oscillating range. Glass and soda ash prices are expected to remain weak, and manganese - silicon and silicon - iron prices are recommended to pay attention to the inflection point of market sentiment [33][36][38][40][43]. - For energy and chemical products, different products have different trends. For example, rubber is recommended for short - term trading; crude oil is recommended for short - term observation; methanol, urea, and other products have different price trends based on their supply - demand and cost situations [56][58][59]. - In the agricultural products sector, for pigs, the strategy is to first conduct reverse arbitrage and then short after a rebound. For eggs, the short - term is expected to oscillate, and the medium - term is to short after a rebound. The prices of other agricultural products also vary according to their fundamentals [80][82]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Macro Financial Stock Index - **Market Information**: Important articles by General Secretary Xi Jinping were published in Qiushi Journal; the State Council executive meeting was held to promote consumption; many airlines announced free ticket refunds and exchanges; and the price of lithium carbonate may break through 150,000 yuan/ton if demand growth exceeds 30% next year [2]. - **Strategy View**: After a previous continuous rise, recent hot sectors have rotated rapidly, with technology growth remaining the main line. The long - term strategy is to go long on dips [4]. Treasury Bond - **Market Information**: On Friday, the prices of treasury bond futures contracts had different changes. The central bank will conduct a 6 - month 800 - billion - yuan repurchase operation, and China's industrial added value in October increased by 4.9% year - on - year [5]. - **Strategy View**: The economic data in October showed weakness in both supply and demand, and the social financing growth rate may remain weak at the end of the year. The bond market is expected to oscillate and recover [6][7]. Precious Metals - **Market Information**: Gold and silver prices fell. The Fed's balance - sheet expansion cycle is in the early stage, and gold and silver prices are not expected to peak [8]. - **Strategy View**: The upward drivers of gold and silver prices remain unchanged. It is recommended to go long on silver after the price pullback stabilizes [9]. Non - Ferrous Metals Copper - **Market Information**: Copper prices declined and then rebounded. LME copper inventory decreased, and domestic spot premiums increased [11]. - **Strategy View**: Copper prices are expected to continue to oscillate strongly, with the Shanghai copper main contract operating in the range of 85,800 - 87,400 yuan/ton [13]. Aluminum - **Market Information**: Aluminum prices declined. Domestic and overseas aluminum inventories had different changes, and the market trading was not good [14]. - **Strategy View**: Aluminum prices may strengthen further after consolidation, with the Shanghai aluminum main contract operating in the range of 21,650 - 22,000 yuan/ton [15]. Zinc - **Market Information**: Zinc prices declined. Zinc ore inventory increased slightly, and LME zinc inventory increased [16]. - **Strategy View**: Zinc prices are expected to be weak in the short term [16]. Lead - **Market Information**: Lead prices declined. Lead ore inventory increased slightly, and domestic lead inventory increased [17]. - **Strategy View**: Lead prices are expected to slow down their rise and enter an oscillating state [18]. Nickel - **Market Information**: Nickel prices fell sharply. Refined nickel inventory increased, and nickel - iron prices decreased [19]. - **Strategy View**: Nickel prices may have limited downside space, and it is recommended to wait and see in the short term [20]. Tin - **Market Information**: Tin prices fell. Tin ore supply was tight, and demand in emerging fields provided support [21]. - **Strategy View**: Tin prices are expected to oscillate strongly, and it is recommended to go long on dips [21]. Carbonate Lithium - **Market Information**: Carbonate lithium prices declined. The price of lithium concentrate increased, and the inventory of lithium carbonate was at a low level [23]. - **Strategy View**: The market contradiction is concentrated on the demand side. It is recommended to pay attention to the changes in lithium - battery materials and battery production schedules [24]. Alumina - **Market Information**: Alumina prices fell. The basis was positive, and the inventory was stable [25]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to wait and see in the short term, with the main contract operating in the range of 2,600 - 2,900 yuan/ton [26]. Stainless Steel - **Market Information**: Stainless steel prices fell. The market supply was in excess, and the inventory decreased [27]. - **Strategy View**: Stainless steel prices are expected to continue to decline [28]. Cast Aluminum Alloy - **Market Information**: Cast aluminum alloy prices fell. The trading volume decreased, and the inventory increased [29]. - **Strategy View**: Cast aluminum alloy prices are expected to follow the trend of aluminum prices [30]. Black Building Materials Steel - **Market Information**: Steel prices had different changes. The inventory of rebar decreased, and the inventory of hot - rolled coils increased [32]. - **Strategy View**: Steel demand has entered the off - season, and prices are expected to continue to oscillate weakly in the short term but may recover in the future [33]. Iron Ore - **Market Information**: Iron ore prices were unchanged. The overseas shipment volume decreased, and the demand increased slightly [34][36]. - **Strategy View**: Iron ore prices will operate within an oscillating range, with the lower limit at 750 - 760 yuan/ton [36]. Glass and Soda Ash - **Market Information**: Glass prices fell, and soda ash prices also fell. The inventory of glass increased, and the inventory of soda ash decreased slightly [37][39]. - **Strategy View**: Glass prices are expected to be weak, and soda ash prices are expected to oscillate at a low level [38][40]. Manganese Silicon and Silicon Iron - **Market Information**: Manganese silicon and silicon iron prices declined slightly. The prices were in an oscillating range [41][42]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to pay attention to the inflection point of market sentiment and beware of overseas sentiment fluctuations [43]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - **Market Information**: Industrial silicon prices fell, and polysilicon prices also fell. The supply of industrial silicon decreased, and the demand for polysilicon decreased [45][48]. - **Strategy View**: Industrial silicon is expected to be in a situation of weak supply and demand and oscillate weakly. Polysilicon prices are expected to oscillate widely, and it is necessary to pay attention to relevant news [47][49]. Energy and Chemical Rubber - **Market Information**: Rubber prices oscillated and declined. The opening rate of tire factories was neutral, and the inventory increased slightly [51][54]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended for short - term trading and partial hedging [56]. Crude Oil - **Market Information**: Crude oil and refined product prices rose. The inventory of refined products had different changes [57]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended for short - term observation and to wait for the verification of OPEC's export behavior [58]. Methanol - **Market Information**: Methanol prices fell. The port inventory was high, and the supply pressure was still there [59]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to wait and see [59]. Urea - **Market Information**: Urea prices fell slightly. The market was affected by news, and the inventory decreased [61]. - **Strategy View**: Urea prices are expected to oscillate and build a bottom [61]. Pure Benzene and Styrene - **Market Information**: Pure benzene prices were unchanged, and styrene prices rose. The supply and demand of both had different changes [62]. - **Strategy View**: Styrene prices may stop falling temporarily [63]. PVC - **Market Information**: PVC prices rose. The supply was in excess, and the demand was weak [64]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to short on rallies in the medium term [65]. Ethylene Glycol - **Market Information**: Ethylene glycol prices rose. The supply decreased slightly, and the demand decreased slightly. The inventory increased [66]. - **Strategy View**: It is recommended to short on rallies [67]. PTA - **Market Information**: PTA prices were unchanged. The supply was expected to increase, and the demand was expected to be weak. The inventory increased [68]. - **Strategy View**: It is necessary to pay attention to the opportunity of PTA strengthening driven by PXN in the medium term [69]. Para - Xylene - **Market Information**: PX prices fell. The load was high, and the inventory was expected to increase slightly [70]. - **Strategy View**: It is necessary to pay attention to the opportunity of valuation increase in the medium term [72]. Polyethylene (PE) - **Market Information**: PE prices rose. The upstream opening rate increased, and the inventory had different changes [73]. - **Strategy View**: PE prices are expected to oscillate at a low level [74]. Polypropylene (PP) - **Market Information**: PP prices fell. The supply pressure was high, and the demand increased slightly [75]. - **Strategy View**: PP prices are expected to be affected by cost changes in the first quarter of 2026 [76]. Agricultural Products Pigs - **Market Information**: Pig prices were expected to be stable in the south and decline in the north [78][79]. - **Strategy View**: First conduct reverse arbitrage and then short after a rebound [80]. Eggs - **Market Information**: Egg prices were stable. The inventory was high, and the demand was recovering [81]. - **Strategy View**: The short - term is expected to oscillate, and the medium - term is to short after a rebound [82]. Soybean and Rapeseed Meal - **Market Information**: CBOT soybean prices fell. The global soybean supply decreased slightly, and the domestic soybean and meal inventory was large [83]. - **Strategy View**: Soybean meal prices are expected to oscillate [84]. Oils and Fats - **Market Information**: Palm oil export decreased, and production had different changes. Domestic oil prices oscillated [85][86]. - **Strategy View**: Observe the production trend of palm oil and adjust the strategy accordingly [87]. Sugar - **Market Information**: Sugar prices fell. Brazilian sugar production increased, and India allowed sugar exports [88]. - **Strategy View**: Wait for a rebound and then short [89]. Cotton - **Market Information**: Cotton prices oscillated. The downstream demand was weak, and the domestic production was high [90][91]. - **Strategy View**: Cotton prices are expected to oscillate in the short term [92].

金融期货早评 宏观：关注美国经济数据发布 【市场资讯】1）《求是》杂志发表中共中央总书记重要文章《因地制宜发展新质生产力》。 韩文秀《求是》署名文章：深刻领会因地制宜发展新质生产力的重要论述和决策部署。2） 李强主持召开国务院常务会议，部署增强消费品供需适配性进一步促进消费政策措施。3） 财政部：有力有效实施积极的财政政策，坚持扩大内需，支持建设强大国内市场。4）吴清： 抓紧研究谋划"十五五"时期资本市场战略任务和重大举措，着力推动市场更具韧性、更加 稳健，制度更加包容、更具吸引力。5）中国公布 10 月经济数据，规模以上工业增加值同 比增 4.9%、社会消费品零售同比增 2.9%、1-10 月固定资产投资同比降 1.7%、房地产开发投 资同比降 14.7%，均不同程度不及 9 月；各线城市房价格环比同比下降，一线二手房价格 环比降幅收窄至 0.9%、同比跌幅扩大。6）中国市场监管总局公布《互联网平台反垄断合规 指引（征求意见稿）》，提出八类新型垄断风险场景。7）针对高市早苗发表台湾问题挑衅言 论，央视玉渊谭天称中方已做好对日实质反制准备，首次在中日外交场合提出"迎头痛击"； 文旅部提醒中国游客近期避免前往日 ...

融合聚变，绿动未来： 以新能源集成融合发展 书写 高质量发展新篇章 ——《关于促进新能源集成融合发展的指导意见》 解读 在我国加快建设新型能源体系和推动经济社会发展全面绿色转型的关键时期，新能源的发展已从规模的快速扩张，迈入量 与质并重、与产业深度融合的新阶段。近期，国家能源局发布的《关于促进新能源集成融合发展的指导意见》，以新发展 理念引领新能源发展理念和模式创新升级，坚持技术创新、产业协同，拓宽新能源与产业耦合发展新空间，将有力推动因 地制宜发展新质生产力，不断增强绿色发展动能。 一、时代必然：以集成融合筑牢高质量发展的绿色根基 当前，我国新能源发展成绩斐然，但也面临着消纳瓶颈、系统协同性不足等挑战。单纯依靠资源投入的粗放式发展模式难 以为继。推动新能源与产业集成融合发展，是破解当前难题、面向未来竞争的必然选择，是因地制宜发展新质生产力的重 大举措。 一是强化 "绿色化"基础，打造零碳制造新标杆。 核心是推动全产业链 "以绿造绿"。新能源资源富集区不再是简单的发电 外送，而是以新能源资源引导重大生产力，建设零碳工厂和园区。在新能源电力应用方面，通过应用分布式能源、智能微 电网（源网荷储一体化）等模式，构建 ...