市场避险情绪
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实探 | 1000g售价突破30000元!投资银条走俏
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-01-28 15:00
Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in silver prices has led to a significant increase in demand for investment silver bars in the Shenzhen Shui Bei market, with prices for 1000g silver bars reaching up to 33,800 yuan [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The price of silver has dramatically increased from 11 yuan per gram to 28 yuan per gram, resulting in a higher demand for silver bars [2]. - Various merchants in Shui Bei are selling silver bars in standard weights such as 100g, 200g, 500g, and 1000g, with significant price variations among different sellers [2][4]. - As of January 28, the listed price for silver in Shui Bei was 33.8 yuan per gram, while the "Rongtong Gold" market price was around 28 yuan per gram [2][4]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Factors - The supply of silver has been notably constrained, leading to increased prices and a higher recovery price for silver bars, which can exceed the market price by 1-2 yuan per gram [4][5]. - The demand for silver is being driven by sectors such as photovoltaics, electric vehicles, and AI data centers, contributing to a persistent supply shortage in the silver market for the fifth consecutive year [5][6]. Group 3: Price Trends and Risks - The COMEX silver price has recently surpassed 116 USD per ounce, reflecting a year-to-date increase of approximately 60% [5]. - Analysts indicate that while silver prices may continue to benefit from macroeconomic narratives and safe-haven demand, there is a potential for price corrections due to high volatility and profit-taking by investors [6].
金价彻底爆了!历史首次!有基金公告:今天起暂停申购
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 09:36
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that gold and silver prices have surged significantly, with gold reaching a new high of $5220 per ounce and silver prices also increasing, leading to a rise in domestic jewelry prices [1][10] - The recent price increases have prompted major gold jewelry brands in China to raise their prices, with brands like Chow Sang Sang and Chow Tai Fook reporting prices of 1614 RMB and 1618 RMB per gram respectively [1] - Both E Fund's Gold LOF and Guotai Junan's Silver LOF have announced the suspension of subscription and regular investment services starting January 28, 2026, to ensure stable fund operations [3][7] Group 2 - The E Fund Gold LOF experienced a significant price increase of over 60% in 2025 and continued to rise by over 15% in 2026, but faced a market price correction with a drop of over 7% on January 22 [5][4] - The Guotai Junan Silver LOF also saw a high premium rate, with a closing price of 4.336 RMB and a premium rate exceeding 46.02% as of January 27 [9] - Analysts warn that both gold and silver markets may face short-term correction pressures due to rapid price increases, urging investors to remain rational and avoid chasing high prices [2][12]
金饰,突破1600元!
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2026-01-28 03:21
1月28日,多家金饰品牌足金报价突破1600元/克。其中,周大福报1618元/克,较1月27日的1578元/克,每克上调40元。 | 品 今日金价 手机版 港澳及海外版 | | CHOW TAI FOOK | | | Q & 0 白 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 周 大 福 | | | | | 首页 | 全部商品 | 婚嫁 CTF for YOU定制 | 企业业务 | 礼品卡 | | | | | 今日金价 | | | | | | | 更新于2026年01月28日 09:34:37 | | | | | | (半) | 足金 ( 饰品、工艺品类 ) | 1618 元/克 | | | | | 零售金价 | 工艺金章金条类 | 1419 元/克 | | | | | 〈半〉 黄金增值服务 | 黄金增值服务金价 (金条、金章不作增值服务) | 1379 元/克 | | | | | 含 黄金回收服务 | 黄金回收服务金价 11. 11 4 montage a 11. 1 m 1 1 l r m m st of the security and the ben i ...
许安丰:1.27黄金晚间操作策略,受压回撤调整继续上攻
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-27 12:44
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that gold prices have recently reached historical highs around 5111 but have experienced corrections, with fluctuations influenced by global economic recovery, inflation, and geopolitical tensions [1][3] - The market sentiment is mixed, with support for gold stemming from ongoing economic uncertainties and inflationary pressures in some countries, while the strength of the US dollar and unclear timelines for potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts pose challenges [1] - Technically, gold maintains a bullish trend on the daily chart, but momentum has weakened after consecutive gains, indicating a potential for short-term corrections [1] Group 2 - Short-term support levels for gold are identified at 5010-5015 and 4985-4990, with a strategy focused on buying on dips rather than assuming a trend reversal during corrections [3] - The recommended trading strategy includes light buying at 5010-5015, with additional purchases at 4990-4995, setting a stop-loss at 4986, and targeting levels between 5090-5100 [3]
黄金周报(2026.1.19-2026.1.25):地缘政治风险加剧、美元走弱,金价突破历史高位-20260127
Dong Fang Jin Cheng· 2026-01-27 08:35
地缘政治风险加剧、美元走弱,金价突 破历史高位 ——黄金周报(2026.1.19-2026.1.25) ·· 时间 东方金诚 研究发展部 2026 年 1 月 27 日 地缘政治风险加剧、美元走弱,金价突破历史高位。上周五 (1 月 23 日),沪金主力期货价格较前周五上涨 8.07%至 1115.64 元/克,COMEX 黄金主力期货价格较前周五上涨 8.30% 至 4983.10 美元/盎司;现货方面,黄金 T+D 现货价格上涨 7.69%至1110.35元/克,伦敦金现货价格上涨8.31%至4981.31 美元/盎司。具体来看,上周特朗普政府就格陵兰岛问题对欧 洲八国发起关税威胁,同时还多次威胁军事干涉伊朗局势,加 之此前对委内瑞拉的霸权措施,这意味着地缘政治风险持续扩 大、全球经贸环境不确定性加剧,显著推升市场避险情绪,金 价随之大幅上涨。此外,由于市场高度警惕日本政府可能出手 干预汇市,上周五日本央行会议后日元剧烈反弹,日元对美元 汇价大幅上涨,引发美元走弱,也是推动黄金价格大涨的原因 之一。整体上看,受地缘政治风险加剧、美元走弱提振,上周 金价突破历史高位。 本周(1 月 26 日当周)金价料将继 ...
国际金价,突破历史性关口!重要提醒
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-27 05:41
不同于一般投资品,黄金具备商品属性、金融属性、投资属性等特点。影响黄金价格走势的不只是供需基本面,还有货币政策、对冲风险、对冲通胀等多 重因素。 避险功能是黄金的重要价值,风险始终是推升金价的"关键词"。今年以来黄金价格上涨的主要推动力,来自地缘政治紧张局势加剧和由此导致的市场避险 情绪快速升温。美国突袭委内瑞拉、致力于获取格陵兰岛等多重风险因素叠加,共同推动了市场对黄金的强烈避险需求。 全球央行加快购金步伐,也是今年以来推动黄金价格上涨的重要因素。当地时间1月20日,波兰央行表示,已批准一项购买多达150吨黄金的计划,此举将 使该国的黄金储备总量增加到700吨。众多国家央行购金,除了为优化自身外汇储备资产结构,实现资产保值增值,还是为了对冲地缘政治风险而采取的 长远战略。 浙江省湖州市德清县乾元镇一家金店的营业员在整理黄金首饰。新华社发(倪立芳摄) 去年,国际金价全年涨幅70%左右,创下自1979年石油危机以来年度最大涨幅。今年以来,国际金价继续强势上涨,目前与年初相比已上涨15%左右。 受国际金价影响,国内金价同样大幅上涨。今年以来,上海黄金交易所现货黄金价格多次创下新高,品牌金店的足金饰品报价突破每克1 ...
直线拉升!涨停潮 来了
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2026-01-27 04:59
盘面上,科技方向探底回升,贵金属、半导体、大金融等板块涨幅居前;电池产业链下挫,锂电电解液、固态电池等大幅下跌,医药、房地产、消费零售 等板块均下挫。 贵金属板块持续走高 【导读】半导体板块掀涨停潮,大金融、贵金属板块大涨;电池产业链、零售板块下挫 1月27日上午,A股三大股指涨跌不一。截至午间收盘,沪指报4134.03点,微涨0.03%;深证成指走弱,跌0.37%;创业板指涨0.44%。 | | | Wind热门概念指数 | | | | | Wind中国行业指数 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 培育钻石 | 先进封装 | 存储器 | 汽车芯片 | 超硬材料 | 保险 | 贵金属 | 半导体 | 林木 | 昌 通信设备 | | 5.27% | 3.76% | 3.23% | 3.21% | 3.20% | 3.09% | 3.03% | 1.82% | 1.42% | 6 1.29% | | 光芯片 3.18% | 光模块(CPO 2.93% | 模拟芯片 2.83% | 保险 2.80% | MCU芯 ...
市场避险情绪急剧升温 伦敦金一举突破5060美元
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-27 03:28
今日周二(1月27日)亚盘时段,伦敦金在隔夜纽约时段自高位大幅回落之后,突然出现暴涨行情。金价 刚刚突破5060美元/盎司,日内涨幅超过52美元。美国总统特朗普最新表态称,美国对从韩国进口的汽 车、药品和木材征收的关税将从15%上调至25%。 【要闻速递】 摘要今日周二(1月27日)亚盘时段,伦敦金在隔夜纽约时段自高位大幅回落之后,突然出现暴涨行情。 金价刚刚突破5060美元/盎司,日内涨幅超过52美元。美国总统特朗普最新表态称,美国对从韩国进口 的汽车、药品和木材征收的关税将从15%上调至25%。 回顾上周末,特朗普曾威胁对加拿大加征高达100%的关税,这一激进言论直接助推国际金价在本周一 出现暴涨行情。 知名人士指出,今年的贵金属市场几乎完全由"特朗普因素"主导。他认为,当前市场正迎来一波全新的 散户投资浪潮,主力军来自亚洲与欧洲,投资者正急于建立黄金与白银的头寸以应对潜在的系统性风 险。 技术分析人士也指出,受地缘政治紧张局势重燃及央行持续购金的影响,金价在本周一成功突破每盎司 5000美元的里程碑,并触及5111美元的历史新高。 【最新伦敦金行情解析】 市场分析普遍认为,当前金价仍具备进一步上行的动能 ...
美日分歧收敛日央行鹰派升温
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-27 02:41
Core Viewpoint - The USD/JPY exchange rate has shown a significant decline after reaching a key resistance level of 159.45, driven by expectations of Japanese government intervention, converging monetary policies between the US and Japan, and a weakening US dollar [1][2]. Group 1: Exchange Rate Movements - As of January 27, the USD/JPY closed at 154.26, having fluctuated between 154.07 and 154.44 during the day, marking a decline of over 3% from a peak of 159.45 [1]. - The exchange rate experienced a sharp drop of 1.5% within 15-20 minutes after touching 159.22, raising strong speculation about potential intervention by the Bank of Japan [1]. Group 2: Monetary Policy Divergence - The Bank of Japan maintained its benchmark interest rate at 0.75% with an 8-1 vote, signaling a hawkish stance as one member advocated for a 25 basis point hike, while also raising economic growth forecasts for fiscal years 2025 and 2026 [1][2]. - Market expectations for a potential interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan have increased, with predictions of a 50-75 basis point increase by June [1][2]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Intervention Signals - Japanese authorities have been signaling intervention, with Prime Minister Fumio Kishida warning against speculative currency operations, and the Ministry of Finance conducting interest rate checks, indicating a higher likelihood of coordinated intervention as the yen approaches the 160 level [2]. - Geopolitical uncertainties have heightened market risk aversion, supporting the yen as a traditional safe-haven currency, while the US dollar index has fallen to its lowest level since September 2025 [2]. Group 4: Economic Fundamentals - Japan's economic fundamentals are showing signs of recovery, with GDP growth forecasts for fiscal years 2025 and 2026 raised to 0.9% and 1.0%, respectively, driven by overseas economic recovery and domestic policy stimulus [2]. - Core CPI remains above the Bank of Japan's target despite a slowdown to 2.0%, with persistent inflationary pressures evident in the core inflation excluding energy [2]. Group 5: Technical Analysis - The technical indicators for USD/JPY show a bearish trend, with the daily MACD falling below zero and the RSI at 32, indicating increasing selling pressure [3]. - Key support levels are identified at 154.00, close to the 100-day moving average, with a potential deeper correction if this level is breached [3]. Group 6: Future Outlook - The USD/JPY is expected to oscillate around the 154.00-156.00 range in the short term, with a break below 154.00 targeting 152.00, while a rebound requires a breakthrough above 156.00 to alleviate bearish pressure [4].
现货金价创新高 机构仍看好长期趋势
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2026-01-26 16:29
本报记者 孟珂 "展望未来,与其他贵金属相比,黄金由于其地缘敏感性、对冲便利性等原因,在当下宽松预期出现阶段性回调的过程中 仍有望得到其他因素的交替支持,看好其长期走势。"博时黄金ETF基金经理王祥对《证券日报》记者说。 平安证券认为,黄金价格震荡上行。长期来看,美元信用走弱的主线逻辑愈加清晰,黄金货币属性加速凸显,持续看好黄 金中长期走势。 瞿瑞认为,对于普通投资者来说,仍可以投资黄金,但需理性看待金价行情:一是警惕高位波动风险,避免盲目跟风追 涨,需结合自身风险承受能力、资产配置规模及投资周期,合理规划黄金资产占比;二是立足长期逻辑,当前支撑金价长期上 行的核心因素(如全球不确定性、实际利率下行趋势等)未发生根本改变,建议把握市场节奏,采取逢低布局策略,待金价回 调至合理区间时择机逐步建仓;三是明确投资目标,以资产保值、对冲风险为核心,而非单纯追逐短期价差收益,规避盲目追 高导致的投资风险。整体上看,理性投资者应以低风险优先、长期配置的角度配置黄金。 截至1月26日记者发稿,现货黄金最高触及5110.25美元/盎司,刷新历史高位。 东方金诚研究发展部高级副总监瞿瑞对《证券日报》记者表示,国际黄金价格突破5 ...