盈利预测
Search documents
Unlocking Q3 Potential of Dow Inc. (DOW): Exploring Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-10-20 14:16
Core Insights - Wall Street analysts anticipate Dow Inc. (DOW) will report a quarterly loss of -$0.31 per share, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 166% [1] - Expected revenues for the quarter are projected at $10.18 billion, which represents a decrease of 6.5% compared to the same quarter last year [1] - Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 31.8%, indicating a reassessment of initial projections by analysts [1][2] Revenue Estimates - Analysts predict 'Revenues- Performance Materials & Coatings' will be $2.11 billion, down 4.9% from the previous year [4] - 'Revenues- Corporate' are expected to reach $154.97 million, indicating a year-over-year decline of 17.1% [4] - 'Revenues- Packaging & Specialty Plastics' are forecasted at $5.09 billion, reflecting a decrease of 7.8% from the prior-year quarter [4] Operating EBITDA Estimates - The consensus estimate for 'Operating EBITDA- Packaging & Specialty Plastics' is $513.07 million, down from $1.00 billion in the same quarter last year [5] - 'Operating EBITDA- Performance Materials & Coatings' is estimated at $281.78 million, compared to $334.00 million a year ago [6] - 'Operating EBITDA- Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure' is projected to be $57.29 million, down from $102.00 million in the same quarter last year [6] Stock Performance - Over the past month, Dow Inc. shares have declined by 6.8%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has increased by 1.1% [6] - Dow Inc. holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell), suggesting it is likely to underperform the overall market in the near future [6]
Insights Into M/I Homes (MHO) Q3: Wall Street Projections for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-10-17 14:16
Core Insights - Analysts project that M/I Homes (MHO) will report quarterly earnings of $4.37 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 14.3% [1] - Revenue is expected to reach $1.16 billion, indicating a 1.2% increase from the same quarter last year [1] - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, suggesting a reevaluation of initial estimates by analysts [1] Revenue Estimates - Financial services revenue is estimated at $29.85 million, a decrease of 0.4% from the previous year [4] - Homebuilding revenue is projected to be $1.12 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 1.1% [4] Key Metrics - The average home closing price is expected to be $480.56 thousand, down from $489.00 thousand a year ago [5] - Total homes delivered is forecasted at 2,339, compared to 2,271 in the same quarter last year [5] - New contracts are estimated to reach 2,013, slightly lower than the year-ago figure of 2,023 [5] Backlog and Community Metrics - The average sales price of homes in backlog is projected at $552.34 thousand, up from $544.00 thousand in the same quarter last year [6] - The number of active communities is expected to be 231, compared to 214 in the same quarter last year [6] - The aggregate sales value of homes in backlog is estimated at $1.24 billion, down from $1.73 billion a year ago [7] - Homes in backlog are projected to be 2,251, significantly lower than the 3,174 reported in the same quarter last year [7] Stock Performance - M/I Homes shares have shown a return of -11.3% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.7% change [7] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the overall market [7]
Exploring Analyst Estimates for EQT (EQT) Q3 Earnings, Beyond Revenue and EPS
ZACKS· 2025-10-17 14:16
Core Viewpoint - EQT Corporation is expected to report significant growth in quarterly earnings and revenues, with earnings per share projected at $0.47, a 291.7% increase year-over-year, and revenues forecasted at $1.71 billion, reflecting a 23.5% increase compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Projections - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 7.7% over the last 30 days, indicating a reevaluation of initial estimates by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price movements [3]. Revenue Estimates - Analysts predict 'Operating revenues- Pipeline, net marketing services and other' will reach $149.76 million, a year-over-year increase of 27.8% [5]. - 'Operating revenues- Sales of natural gas, natural gas liquids and oil' is expected to be $1.71 billion, indicating a 55.6% increase from the same quarter last year [5]. - 'Revenues from contracts with customers- NGLs sales' is estimated at $139.47 million, showing a slight decline of 0.2% year-over-year [6]. - 'Revenues from contracts with customers- Oil sales' are projected to be $16.67 million, reflecting a significant decrease of 21.2% year-over-year [6]. Sales Volume and Pricing - The consensus estimate for 'Average Sales Price - Oil price' is $51.00, down from $61.25 in the same quarter last year [7]. - Analysts expect 'NGLs, excluding ethane - NGLs price' to be $29.85, compared to $35.09 in the same quarter last year [7]. - 'Natural gas - Sales volume' is projected to reach 591,651.10 million cubic feet, an increase from 547,225.00 million cubic feet reported last year [8]. - The estimated 'Sales Volume - Total' is 628,248 million cubic feet equivalent, up from 581,414 million cubic feet equivalent year-over-year [8]. - The average daily sales volume is expected to be 6,829 million cubic feet equivalent per day, compared to 6,320 million cubic feet equivalent per day last year [9]. - 'Oil - Sales volume' is forecasted to reach 441 thousand barrels, an increase from 345 thousand barrels reported last year [9]. Additional Metrics - The average prediction for 'Average Sales Price - Ethane price' is $6.26, up from $5.56 in the same quarter last year [10]. - 'NGLs - Sales volumes (NGLs, excluding ethane and Ethane)' is projected to be 3,657 thousand barrels, slightly down from 3,710 thousand barrels reported last year [10]. Market Performance - EQT shares have returned +7.8% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.7% change, although it holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance in the near future [11].
Unlocking Q3 Potential of United Rentals (URI): Exploring Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-10-17 14:16
Core Insights - United Rentals (URI) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $12.50 per share, reflecting a 5.9% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $4.16 billion, a 4.1% increase from the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 0.1%, indicating analysts' reassessment of their forecasts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts estimate 'Revenues- Equipment rentals' will reach $3.61 billion, a 4.2% increase from the prior year [5]. - 'Revenues- Service and other revenues' are expected to be $101.34 million, reflecting a 9% increase year-over-year [5]. - 'Revenues- Contractor supplies sales' are projected at $39.43 million, indicating a 3.8% increase from the previous year [5]. - 'Revenues- Sales of new equipment' are forecasted at $79.81 million, a 3.6% year-over-year increase [6]. - 'Revenues- Sales of rental equipment' are estimated at $321.65 million, showing a slight increase of 0.2% [6]. - 'Revenues- Specialty- Contractor supplies sales' are expected to be $17.09 million, reflecting a 6.8% increase [6]. - 'Revenues- Specialty- Equipment rentals' are projected to reach $1.22 billion, a 7.6% increase from the prior year [7]. - 'Revenues- Specialty- Sales of new equipment' are expected to decline to $35.83 million, a decrease of 12.6% year-over-year [7]. - 'Revenues- Specialty- Sales of rental equipment' are estimated at $46.95 million, indicating a slight decrease of 0.1% [8]. - 'Revenues- Specialty- Service and other revenues' are projected to reach $9.15 million, reflecting a significant increase of 30.6% [8]. - The consensus estimate for 'Total Revenues- General rentals' stands at $2.83 billion, indicating a 3% year-over-year increase [9]. - 'Revenues- General Rentals- Service and other revenues' are expected to reach $100.48 million, reflecting a 16.8% increase from the previous year [9]. Stock Performance - Shares of United Rentals have increased by 6.7% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which saw a 0.7% increase [9].
扬农化工(600486):销量提升带动营收及利润同比增长
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-10-17 07:44
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [7][24]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 6.234 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.38%, with a net profit of 806 million yuan, up 5.60% year-on-year [12][24]. - The increase in sales volume has driven revenue and profit growth, with the second quarter showing a revenue of 2.993 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.63% [12][24]. - The original drug business has seen significant growth, with revenue from original drugs, formulations, and trade reaching 3.655 billion, 1.171 billion, and 1.287 billion yuan respectively [2][13]. Revenue and Profit Analysis - The company reported a gross profit of 1.473 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, an increase of approximately 93 million yuan year-on-year, with a gross margin of 23.6%, down 0.6 percentage points [2][13]. - Domestic sales increased by 799.5 million yuan to 3.579 billion yuan, while overseas sales decreased by 260 million yuan to 2.655 billion yuan [2][13]. - The gross profit from original drugs, formulations, and trade was 1.031 billion, 312 million, and 105 million yuan respectively, with corresponding gross margins of 28.2%, 26.7%, and 8.2% [2][13]. Production and Sales Volume - The production volume for original drugs and formulations in the first half of 2025 was 57,800 and 25,500 tons, respectively, with sales volumes of 56,700 and 28,100 tons [3][15]. - The average selling price for original drugs was 64,500 yuan per ton, down 3.0% year-on-year, while the average selling price for formulations was 46,000 yuan per ton, down approximately 8.3% [3][15]. Future Growth Potential - The company is advancing the Liaoning Youchuang project, which is expected to provide new growth in the next 2-3 years, with a total investment budget of 3.48 billion yuan and a cumulative investment progress of 84.41% [4][23]. - Profit forecasts for the company indicate net profits of 1.47 billion, 1.78 billion, and 2.04 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027 [24].
Manpower (MAN) Q3 Earnings on the Horizon: Analysts' Insights on Key Performance Measures
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 14:16
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street analysts predict that ManpowerGroup (MAN) will report quarterly earnings of $0.82 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 36.4%, while revenues are expected to reach $4.6 billion, an increase of 1.6% compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 3.7% over the past 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts forecast 'Revenues from Services- Americas' at $1.08 billion, a year-over-year increase of 2.4% [5]. - 'Revenues from Services- APME' are expected to be $518.96 million, reflecting a decline of 7.8% year over year [5]. - 'Revenues from Services- Southern Europe' are projected to reach $2.19 billion, indicating a growth of 4.6% from the previous year [5]. - 'Revenues from Services- Northern Europe' are estimated at $826.53 million, showing a slight decline of 0.2% year over year [6]. - 'Revenues from Services- Southern Europe- Other Southern Europe' are expected to be $540.01 million, with an increase of 8.7% year over year [6]. - 'Revenues from Services- Southern Europe- France' are projected at $1.19 billion, reflecting a growth of 1.2% [7]. - 'Revenues from Services- Americas- United States' are expected to be $702.28 million, indicating a year-over-year change of 0.7% [7]. - 'Revenues from Services- Americas- Other Americas' are projected at $369.92 million, with a year-over-year increase of 4.8% [8]. - 'Revenues from Services- Southern Europe- Italy' are expected to reach $455.61 million, reflecting an increase of 8.7% [8]. Operating Unit Profit Estimates - 'Operating Unit Profit- Americas' is estimated at $36.77 million, compared to $36.10 million reported in the same quarter last year [9]. - 'Operating Unit Profit- APME' is forecasted to be $24.65 million, up from $23.00 million in the previous year [9]. - 'Operating Unit Profit- Northern Europe' is expected to be -$5.98 million, a decline from $6.70 million reported in the same quarter last year [10]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, Manpower shares have recorded a return of -1%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has seen a change of +0.4% [10].
Unlocking Q3 Potential of CSX (CSX): Exploring Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 14:16
Core Viewpoint - Analysts forecast a decline in CSX's quarterly earnings and revenues, indicating potential challenges for the company in the upcoming earnings report [1][2]. Earnings and Revenue Estimates - CSX is expected to report earnings of $0.43 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 6.5% [1]. - Revenue is anticipated to be $3.61 billion, showing a decrease of 0.4% compared to the same quarter last year [1]. Revisions and Analyst Sentiment - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.6% lower over the past 30 days, indicating a reevaluation of initial estimates by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price movements [3]. Key Revenue Metrics - Revenue from Coal is projected at $489.25 million, down 11.5% year-over-year [5]. - Revenue from Intermodal is expected to reach $518.62 million, up 1.9% year-over-year [5]. - Revenue from Merchandise-Fertilizers is estimated at $139.15 million, indicating a significant increase of 17.9% year-over-year [5]. - Revenue from Merchandise-Chemicals is forecasted at $722.80 million, reflecting a slight decline of 0.6% year-over-year [6]. Volume and Operating Metrics - Revenue per unit for Intermodal is expected to be $694.28, slightly down from $697.00 reported in the same quarter last year [7]. - Volume for Merchandise-Automotive is projected at 98.67 thousand, up from 98.00 thousand year-over-year [7]. - Volume for Merchandise-Minerals is expected to be 95.05 thousand, down from 96.00 thousand reported last year [8]. - Volume for Coal is anticipated to be 184.66 thousand, down from 190.00 thousand year-over-year [8]. - Volume for Merchandise-Fertilizers is projected at 50.24 thousand, up from 45.00 thousand last year [9]. - Volume for Merchandise-Metals and Equipment is expected to be 66.49 thousand, up from 64.00 thousand year-over-year [9]. - Volume for Merchandise-Agricultural and Food Products is projected at 110.94 thousand, down from 118.00 thousand reported last year [10]. Market Performance - CSX shares have returned +9.3% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.4% change [11]. - With a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), CSX is expected to underperform the overall market in the near future [11].
美银证券:料中资券商第三季纯利同比增21% 首选中金公司(03908)、中信证券(06030)及广发证券
智通财经网· 2025-10-10 07:01
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Bank of America Securities expects a strong performance from Chinese brokerage firms, with a projected average net profit growth of 9% quarter-on-quarter and 21% year-on-year by Q3 2025, driven by robust brokerage fee growth and potentially exceeding stock trading revenue expectations [1] - China International Capital Corporation (CICC) and CITIC Securities are anticipated to lead the industry, with projected year-on-year net profit growth of 258% and 116% respectively for Q3 [1] - Despite strong fundamentals, H-shares of brokerage firms underperformed in September due to concerns over growth from Q4 2025 to H1 2026 and state-owned enterprises' reduction in holdings [1] Group 2 - Bank of America Securities has raised its earnings forecast for Chinese brokerage stocks for 2025 to 2026 by 0% to 13%, expecting an average profit growth of 30% among major listed Chinese brokerages, with CICC expected to outperform [2] - The daily average trading volume forecast for A-shares has been increased by 14% to a range of RMB 1.6 trillion to 1.7 trillion [2] - The target prices for H-share brokerages have been raised by an average of 4% to reflect higher profit forecasts, with abundant market liquidity continuing to support market growth [2]
五粮液(000858):Q2收入端表现稳健,费投加大利润季度承压
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-10-09 13:45
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [6] Core Views - The company reported a stable revenue performance in Q2 2025, with total revenue and net profit attributable to the parent company reaching 527.71 billion and 194.92 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.19% and 2.28% [1] - The growth in the liquor business is primarily driven by volume, although the price per ton is under pressure due to structural declines [2] - The company has adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting revenues of 895 billion, 933 billion, and 977 billion yuan, and net profits of 319 billion, 333 billion, and 351 billion yuan respectively [4] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the liquor segment generated revenues of 491.20 billion yuan, with the flagship product Wuliangye contributing 409.98 billion yuan, both showing year-on-year growth of 4.26% and 4.57% respectively [2] - The gross profit margin for the liquor segment was 82.20%, with a slight decrease of 0.39 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company’s operating cash flow increased by 18.40% year-on-year to 152.88 billion yuan [4] Channel Performance - In H1 2025, the revenue from distribution and direct sales channels was 279.25 billion and 211.95 billion yuan respectively, with direct sales showing a stronger growth of 8.60% year-on-year [3] - The number of Wuliangye distributors decreased by 20 to 2,510, while the number of distributors for other liquor brands increased by 127 to 1,077 [3] Cost and Profitability - The company faced pressure on profitability due to increased expenses, with the gross margin and net profit margin for Q2 2025 at 74.69% and 29.26% respectively, both showing declines year-on-year [4] - The sales and management expense ratios increased to 18.88% and 4.90% respectively, indicating higher operational costs [4] Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a strong cash flow position, with contract liabilities increasing by 19.11% year-on-year to 100.87 billion yuan [4] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 8.21 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.75 [5]
德昌电机控股一度跌超6% 花旗指其股价上行空间有限
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-30 02:16
Core Viewpoint - Citi has raised its earnings forecast for DCH Holdings from 5% to 16% for the years 2024 to 2028, citing the development of liquid cooling pumps and humanoid robot joints as key drivers [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - DCH Holdings' stock price initially dropped over 6%, currently down 4.98% at HKD 41.6, with a trading volume of HKD 193 million [1] - The stock has appreciated 2.8 times this year and approximately 55% this month [1] Group 2: Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The target price for DCH Holdings has been increased from HKD 29 to HKD 45, reflecting a forecasted P/E ratio of 19 times for next year, which is 2 standard deviations above the average and the highest since 2017 [1] - The target P/E for the ordinary automotive and industrial product segments is set at 11 times, while the new business segments are projected at a P/E of 300 times [1] Group 3: Investment Rating - The investment rating has been downgraded from "Buy" to "Neutral" due to limited upside potential in the stock price [1] - The upcoming interim results are expected to show a moderate profit growth of about 10%, largely benefiting from foreign exchange factors [1]